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World Technology Network (New York City)

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  • 1. Michell Zappa @mzAbout a year ago I found myself questioning my professional outlook. I’m a designer by trade, butfascinated with technology and our relation to it. But I realized that my day job would never influenceor even explain how technology would unravel in the future. So I decided to start making sense of allingenious innovation taking place.
  • 2. envisioning technologyMy work is called Envisioning Technology, and today I’ll be telling you a little bit about my process andmethodology.
  • 3. The first step was ingesting and starting to organize all books, blogs and articles I’ve been readingover the years.
  • 4. But it helps to speculate if you’re a Sci-Fi geek.
  • 5. A crucial starting point was Wikipedia’s list of emerging technologies, which gives an excellentoverview of research in dozens of areas.
  • 6. But the list is too comprehensive and not very readable.
  • 7. I’m a sucker for maps of all sorts.
  • 8. So, what do you do with information and maps?
  • 9. Wetware Synthetic life Smart Smart warfare vehicles Local power Exoskeletons production Personalized Tabs/pads medicine Energy Smart harvesting toys 3D PGS AR 3D printing Agents Metamaterials Smart grids NFC Biofuels Biomarkers Wireless NUIs energy Machine Sensors translation Space Biofeedback tourism Strong AI UbicompThe first step was to list the most interesting and relevant emerging technologies.
  • 10. Wetware Smart Synthetic life warfare Personalized Smart Exoskeletons medicine vehicles Smart PGS toys 3D printing Metamaterials NFC Trackers Sensors Wireless Biomarkers Space energy tourism Local power Ubicomp Energy production harvesting AR Agents Smart 3D Biofuels grids Tabs/pads NUIs Machine translation Biofeedback Strong AIThen, to group them around areas of similarity.
  • 11. Wetware (biofeedback) Reversal of aging Optogenetics Artificial limbs Domestic Swarm robots robotics Programmable matter UAVs Utility Regenerative fog medicine Exoskeletons Synthetic meat Molecular assembler Stem-cell treatments ROBOTICS Self-driving vehicles Vertical Nanowires agriculture Personalized Interplanetary medicine internet Carbon nanotubes BIOTECH Tele- Intelligence Smart medicine Amplification cities Smart toys Bio- materials MATERIALS HAPs Bio- markers Meta- materials Machine translation Semantic ARTIFICIAL web Self-healing materials INTELLIGENCE Smart Linked data Appliance infrastructure robots Memristor NFC Cermets INTERNET Print on demand Medical (CONNECTIVITY) PGS diagnostics Space Social 3D 5G graph printing elevator Natural language Tethers High-frequency interpretation Cloud trading computing Software 2025 + 2015 – 2025 2011 – 2015 Cyber- now Private spaceflight agents warfare Sub-orbital Sensors Fuel cells spaceflight Space PAN Ultra- Bio-enhanced tourism Tabs & capacitors fuels SPACE Pads Multi Smart Virtual 4G touch All media Multi-segmented meters smart grids currencies on demand Virtual property Pervasive Gesture VASIMR video recognition Inductive Superconducting Boards 3D chargers interties Electronic paper AR Gamification of media Lunar Pico- outpost projectors ENERGY Nanostructure Speech battery cathodes recognition Procedural storytelling SPIMES UBICOMP MEDIA (HARDWARE) Haptics PV at NUI grid parity Piezo- electricity (SOFTWARE) Fabric- Thorium embedded Holography reactors screens Location-aware media Photvoltaic Biomechanical glass harvesting Traveling wave reactor Telepresence Nano- Nuclear generators Solar Smart clothing thermal Kinetic Machine vision Artificial Immersive 3D photosynthesis projections Retinal screens Solar Skin-embedded screensThen, I added a degree of prediction of when each individual tech is likely to become mainstream.
  • 12. medicine Carbon nanotubes BIOTECH Tele- medicine Smart toys Bio- materials MATERIALS Bio- markers Meta- materials Semantic ARTIFICIAL web Self-healing materials INTELLIGENCE Linked data Appliance robots Memristor NFC Cermets INTERNET Print on demand Medical (CONNECTIVITY) PGS diagnostic Social 3D graph printing Natural language High-frequency interpretation Cloud trading computing Software15 – 2025 2011 – 2015 Cyber- now Private spaceflight agents warfare Sub-orbital Sensors Fuel cells spaceflight S PAN Ultra- Bio-enhanced to Tabs & capacitors fuels Pads Multi Smart Virtual 4G touch All media Multi-segmented meters smart grids currencies on demand Virtual property Pervasive Gesture video recognition Inductive Superconducting Boards 3D chargers interties Electronic paper AR Gamification of media Pico- projectors ENERGY Nanostructure Speech battery cathodes recognition Procedural storytelling SPIMES UBICOMP MEDIA (HARDWARE) Haptics PV at NUI grid parity Piezo- electricity (SOFTWARE) Fabric- Thorium embedded Holography reactors screens Location-aware media Photvoltaic Biomechanical glass harvesting Telepresence Nano- generators Theclothing Smart distance from the center indicates how far into the future the technology might take place. Solar thermal Kinetic Machine vision Artificial Immersive 3D photosynthesis
  • 13. ow spaceflight Sub-orbital spaceflight Space tourism SPACE Fuel cells Bio-enhanced Ultra- fuels capacitors Smart Multi-segmented smart grids meters VASIMR All media on demandesture Superconductingecognition interties Inductive Lu chargers out Gamification AR of media ENERGY Nanostructure battery cathodes Speech Procedural recognition storytelling MEDIA PV at Piezo- Haptics grid parity electricity Thorium reactors Biomechanical Traveling Photvoltaic Holography Location-aware glass harvesting wave reactor media Nuclear Nano- generators Solar thermal Kinetic Artificial photosynthesis Solar The nodes are organized by area of research similarity.
  • 14. Virtual Fue Tabs & currencies 4G Pads Multi Virtual touch property All media Pervasive on demand video Gesture Boards recognition Electronic 3D Inductive paper chargers Pico- projectors AR Gamificatio of media SPIMES Speech recognition UBICOMP (HARDWARE) MEDIA Haptics Fabric- NUI embedded (SOFTWARE) screens Holography Location-aware media TelepresenceSmart clothing Machine vision Immersive 3D Retinal projections screens Skin-embedded screens
  • 15. Domestic Swarm robots UAVs Regenerative robotics medicine Utility fog Exoskeletons Stem-cell treatments Self-driving ROBOTICS vehicles Personalized medicine Interplanetary internet Tele- medicine Smart toys Smart cities Bio- markers HAPs Semantic web Linked Appliance data robots Smart infrastructure NFCAnd you can start noticing the critical path necessary to develop the future ones. INTERNET Social (CONNECTIVITY) graph
  • 16. Social Ubiquitous dots Connecting the networks GPS smartphonesAs an example of critical paths, take the example of Foursquare. The service would have beenimpossible if GPS, Smartphones and Social networks weren’t already available.
  • 17. Moore’s law Parallel Sensors computingSame thing for 23andMe, which critically depends on Moore’s law, Parallel computing and ubiquitoussensors.
  • 18. survive 2012 prepare for 2021So when Jim invited me to speak here at the WTN I asked myself how to bring the visualization up anotch.
  • 19. ARTIFICIAL INTERNET INTERFACES SENSORS UBICOMP ROBOTICS BIOTECH MATERIALS ENERGY SPACE GEOTECH INTELLIGENCE QUANTITATIVE FORECASTS Global online population: ± 2 billion High-frequency Cloud Multi Depth Tablets Personal Additive 2012 trading computing touch imaging gene sequencing manufacturing 2012 Connected devices: ±10 billion 2013 Inductive 2013 chargers Cyber- Gesture Near-field 2014 warfare recognition communication 2014 Software agents Volumetric Self-healing (3D) screens Appliance materials robots Tidal turbines Global online population: ± 2.5 billion 2015 2015 Connected devices: ±15 billion Speech Pervasive Sources: recognition video Intel – http://intel.ly/pWbH04 4G capture InternetWorldStats – http://bit.ly/AKbO5 Flexible screens Fuel cells Organ Commercial printing spaceflight 2016 2016 Natural language interpretation Boards Graphene Mesh networking Augmented Biometric reality Smart sensors toys 2017 2017 Bio-enhanced fuels Virtual 4K Robotic Synthetic currencies surgery blood Smart power meters 2018 Personal fabricators Biomarkers Pico- Machine Haptics projectors Self-driving Sub-orbital translation vehicles Smart drugs Multi-segmented smart grids spaceflight 2019 2019 Global online population: 4-5 billion Connected devices: 30-50 billion Machine Meta- Space 5G vision tourism $150 Hard disk: ±200 Tb materials Photvoltaic Standard RAM: ±750Gb Powered glass Procedural exoskeleton Sources: storytelling Eyewear-embedded Intel – http://intel.ly/pWbH04 screens Ericsson – http://bit.ly/avvVok Alan Conroy – http://bit.ly/pofHp5 2020 2020 FutureTimeline – http://bit.ly/qz4ben Personalized medicine Holography Optical invisibility cloaks Piezo- Weather Context-aware electricity computing engineering In-vitro meat Reputation Unmanned economy aerial Computational vehicles photography Synthetic Petabyte storage standard Fabric-embedded biology Carbon screens nanotubes Source: http://bit.ly/r9BYQc VR-only Telepresence lifeforms $ 1.000 computer reaches the capacity of the human brain (± 1015 calculations per second) Stem-cell Vertical Source: http://bit.ly/6MoQJc treatments farming World population 8 billion Interplanetary Reprogrammable Domestic Biomaterials Biomechanical Source: U.N. – http://bit.ly/7nqQkS internet chips robots harvesting BRICs GDP overtakes the G7 Source: Goldman Sachs – http://bit.ly/nc9Wqj Sea- Nano- steading generators Optogenetics Gene therapy Artificial 2030 photosynthesis 2030 Skin-embedded Molecular Terabit internet speed standard screens Swarm assembler Source: http://bit.ly/kPMKMb robotics Immersive virtual reality Desalination Hybrid Lunar assisted limbs Enernet outpost Remote presence Retinal screens Exabyte storage standard Nanowires Source: http://bit.ly/kPMKMb Artificial Mars Carbon retinas mission sequestration Neuro- Thorium informatics reactor Embodied avatars Nanomedicine Climate Exocortex engineering Programmable Space matter elevator Machine- augmented cognition Anti- Traveling Machine augmented aging cognition drugs wave reactor Utility fog Space-based Solar Arcologies solar power sail World population reaches 9 billion Source: U.N. – http://bit.ly/7nqQkS 2040 2040I call this a “roadmap to the singularity”
  • 20. ARTIFICIAL INTERNET INTERFACES SENSORS UBICOMP ROBOTICS BIOTECH MATERIALS ENERGY SPACE GEOTECH INTELLIGENCE QUANTITATIVE FORECASTS Global online population: ± 2 billion High-frequency Cloud Multi Depth Tablets Personal Additive2012 trading computing touch imaging gene sequencing manufacturing 2012 Connected devices: ±10 billion2013 Inductive 2013 chargers Cyber- Gesture Near-field2014 warfare recognition communication 2014 Software agents Volumetric Self-healing (3D) screens Appliance materials robots Tidal turbines Global online population: ± 2.5 billion2015 2015 Connected devices: ±15 billion Speech Pervasive Sources: recognition video Intel – http://intel.ly/pWbH04 4G capture InternetWorldStats – http://bit.ly/AKbO5 Flexible screens Fuel cells Organ Commercial printing spaceflight2016 2016 Natural language interpretation Boards Graphene Mesh networking Augmented Biometric reality Smart sensors toys2017 2017 Bio-enhanced fuels Virtual 4K Robotic Synthetic currencies surgery blood Smart power meters2018 Personal fabricators Biomarkers Pico- Machine Haptics projectors Self-driving Sub-orbital translation vehicles Smart drugs Multi-segmented smart grids spaceflight2019 2019 Global online population: 4-5 billion Connected devices: 30-50 billion Machine Meta- Space 5G vision tourism $150 Hard disk: ±200 Tb materials Photvoltaic Standard RAM: ±750Gb Powered glass Procedural exoskeleton Sources: storytelling Eyewear-embedded Intel – http://intel.ly/pWbH04 screens Ericsson – http://bit.ly/avvVok Alan Conroy – http://bit.ly/pofHp52020 2020 FutureTimeline – http://bit.ly/qz4ben Personalized medicine Holography Optical invisibility cloaks Piezo- Weather Context-aware electricity computing engineering In-vitro meat Reputation Unmanned economy aerial Computational vehicles photography Synthetic Petabyte storage standard Fabric-embedded biology Carbon screens nanotubes Source: http://bit.ly/r9BYQc VR-only Telepresence lifeforms $ 1.000 computer reaches the capacity of the human brain (± 1015 calculations per second)
  • 21. 2012 Interplanetary internet Reprogrammable chips Domestic robots Optogenetics 2030 Skin-embedded 2020 screens Swarm robotics Immersive virtual reality Remote presence Retinal screens 2030 Neuro- informatics Embodied avatars Exocortex Machine- augmented cognition Machine augmented cognition 2040 Utility fog 2040We’re looking at emerging technologies for the next ~30 years.
  • 22. AI INTERNET INTERFACES SENSORS UBICOMP ROBOTICS BIOTECH MATERIALS ENERGY SPACE GEOTECHINTERNET INTERFACES SENSORS UBICOMP ROBOTICS BIOTECH MATERIALS ENERGY SPACE GEOTECH Cloud Multi Depth Tablets Personal Additivecomputing touch imaging gene sequencing manufacturing Inductive chargers Cyber- Gesture Near-field warfare recognition communication Volumetric Self-healing (3D) screens Appliance materials robots Tidal turbines Speech Pervasive recognition video 4G capture Flexible screens Fuel cells Organ Commercial printing spaceflight Boards Graphene Meshnetworking Augmented Biometric reality Smart sensors toys Bio-enhanced fuels Eleven categories, organized from “bits” to “atoms”.
  • 23. NFC OptogeneticsWith a comparison of relative importance (larger is more important).
  • 24. Cyber- warfare 5GAnd the relative commercial appeal (indicated by the thickness of the outline).
  • 25. Graphene Meta- materialsA couple of these are tightly clustered and are shown as such.
  • 26. I’ve written explanations and added links for every single technology mentioned on the map. Even thehypothetical ones.
  • 27. envisioningtech.comI want your input, sources, projects.
  • 28. thank you. @envisioningtechmz@envisioningtech.com envisioningtech.com