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PBL project
 

PBL project

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Presentation on DGIS project

Presentation on DGIS project

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    PBL project PBL project Presentation Transcript

    • Climate change and adaptation climate water land use Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker, Joost-Jan Schrander, Joost Knoop, Arno Bouwman, Lex Bouwman
    • Scope of PBL DGIS research on adaptation 2 Focus 1: developing countries Focus 2: climate change water land use Encompassing Drought Floods Salinisation of deltas part of integrated Options and costs of adaptation assessment Synergies/trade-offs with MDG strategies, conserving biodiversity, forestry/REDD, biofuels Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
    • Drought: scoping study Potential of deep aquifers water scarcity 3 Vulnerability with respect to water scarcity Source: IWMI (2007) Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
    • Vulnerability with respect to floods 4 Willem Ligtvoet
    • Interactions trade-offs within river basins 5 Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
    • Typology of vulnerabilities: bridging scales
    • Aim: vulnerability typology of river basins/deltas 7 Based on: - Risks of drought potential use of deep aquifers - Risks of floods - Risk of salinisation of deltas - Future developments * climate change Changes in * population growth vulnerability * land use changes pattern? * …….. - drought - floods - salinisation Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
    • Future risks of droughts 8 and floods New facility Flood risks 2010/2011 drought Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
    • Assessment: options and costs of adaptation 9 Addressing: - Drought - Floods - Salinisation in deltas Types of measures - Adjustment of behaviour/management - Technical measures - Land use development Starting point: - Migration (tipping points?) - Global study Worldbank - Country study Worldbank - other literature Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
    • Assessment: options and costs of adaptation 10 Addressing: - Drought - Floods - Salinisation in deltas Types Adaptive capacity - Adjustment of behaviour/management - Institutional - Technical measures - Education - Land use development - Finances - Migration (tipping points?) Building blocks Analysis of main actors for effective adaptation strategies Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
    • Integration 11 adaptation options Flood risks Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
    • Adaptation?