PBL project

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PBL project

  1. 1. Climate change and adaptation climate water land use Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker, Joost-Jan Schrander, Joost Knoop, Arno Bouwman, Lex Bouwman
  2. 2. Scope of PBL DGIS research on adaptation 2 Focus 1: developing countries Focus 2: climate change water land use Encompassing Drought Floods Salinisation of deltas part of integrated Options and costs of adaptation assessment Synergies/trade-offs with MDG strategies, conserving biodiversity, forestry/REDD, biofuels Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
  3. 3. Drought: scoping study Potential of deep aquifers water scarcity 3 Vulnerability with respect to water scarcity Source: IWMI (2007) Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
  4. 4. Vulnerability with respect to floods 4 Willem Ligtvoet
  5. 5. Interactions trade-offs within river basins 5 Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
  6. 6. Typology of vulnerabilities: bridging scales
  7. 7. Aim: vulnerability typology of river basins/deltas 7 Based on: - Risks of drought potential use of deep aquifers - Risks of floods - Risk of salinisation of deltas - Future developments * climate change Changes in * population growth vulnerability * land use changes pattern? * …….. - drought - floods - salinisation Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
  8. 8. Future risks of droughts 8 and floods New facility Flood risks 2010/2011 drought Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
  9. 9. Assessment: options and costs of adaptation 9 Addressing: - Drought - Floods - Salinisation in deltas Types of measures - Adjustment of behaviour/management - Technical measures - Land use development Starting point: - Migration (tipping points?) - Global study Worldbank - Country study Worldbank - other literature Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
  10. 10. Assessment: options and costs of adaptation 10 Addressing: - Drought - Floods - Salinisation in deltas Types Adaptive capacity - Adjustment of behaviour/management - Institutional - Technical measures - Education - Land use development - Finances - Migration (tipping points?) Building blocks Analysis of main actors for effective adaptation strategies Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
  11. 11. Integration 11 adaptation options Flood risks Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker
  12. 12. Adaptation?

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