2009 South Metro Outlook Presentation

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    2009 South Metro Outlook Presentation - Presentation Transcript

    1. The Good, The Bad and The Downright Ugly: A review of Fayette County's current economic climate and the state of the retail, office and industrial markets. Matt Forshee President/CEO Fayette County Development Authority
    2. Overview
      • The Good
        • Population, Jobs & Employment and a little bit of a Challenge.
      • The Bad
        • Announced Job Losses
      • The Downright Ugly
        • One Industry Sector’s nearly complete collapse.
      • State of the Retail, Office and Industrial markets
    3. The Good
      • Over the last three years, FCDA has announced the creation of 1400 new positions in Fayette county.
        • Sany America – 600 Jobs over 10 years
        • NCR – 600 jobs over 3 years
        • Other New Companies - FieldTurf, Dixie Aerospace.
        • Expansions by Existing Companies – Hella, Aventure Aviation, Rinnai,
    4. The Good
    5. The Good: Population Detail
    6. The Good: Population Detail
    7. The Good
      • Employed Fayette County Residents at the highest number ever, hitting 54,000 employed in July 2008
    8. The Good
      • In 2008, the predominant household income category in Fayette County is $100K - $150K, and the income group that is least represented is $0 - $15K. The average HHI is $90,608 and the median HHI is $89,115.
    9. The Bad
      • Long standing companies announce plans for layoffs
        • Panasonic plans to layoff 500 people in 2009
        • Corporate parents of other local companies announce plans for system-wide layoffs. Local effects unknown. Cooper Industries, Gardner Denver
    10. The Downright Ugly
      • Unemployed Fayette County Residents at the highest number ever, hitting 3,200 in November 2008.
    11. The Downright Ugly
    12. The Downright Ugly
      • From a high of 1,710 units in 1987 to a low of 143 units in 2008 (as of October). In 2007, there were 353 units built.
    13. The Downright Ugly
      • From 2005 to 2008, the total value of SFH permitted in Fayette County went from $214mm to $42mm, a loss of over 80% of value.
    14. The Downright Ugly
      • On the bright side, we are now home to the most expensive new average single family home price in Georgia.
    15. Commercial - Retail
      • ARC’s March 2008 Regional Snapshot
        • YR 2000
          • Metro – 48.4 sf/person
          • Fayette – 64.4 sf/person
            • 2 nd after Coweta
            • 6 th in vacancy rate (4.6%)
        • YR 2007
          • USA – 20 sf/person
          • Metro – 49.2 sf/person
          • Fayette - 65.4 sf/person
            • 2 nd after Coweta
            • 19 th in vacancy rate (5.5%)
        • The report appears to show that, though we have more retail space per person than nearly every other county in metro Atlanta, our spaces are staying occupied at a higher rate than nearly every other county’s. Does this partially explain why commercial developers continue to show interest in developing retail centers in Fayette?
    16. Commercial - Office
      • ARC’s March 2008 Regional Snapshot
          • 2000 – 2007,+823,523 sf (38.3%)
          • Total of 2,975,284 sf (284 blds)
            • 7 th largest office market in 20 county metro region (Fulton, DeKalb, Cobb, Gwinnett, Forsyth & Clayton)
          • Average space/building – 10,476 sf
            • 9 th largest average building size
            • Metro Average – 27,499 sf
          • Average vacant space/bld – 1,666 sf
            • 10 th largest average vacant space
            • Metro Average – 3,864 sf
          • Comparisons
            • 2000 – 2007, Forsyth grew by 153%
            • Henry has below Fayette in total bld sf at 2.4 MSF, but grew 1,320% between 2000 and 2007.
    17. Industrial Buildings
      • No major new stand alone Industrial Construction, mostly small lease spaces
      • Tiernan & Patrylo’s retrofit of 300,000 sf TDK facility into 10 unit facility.
      • Within 6 months, T&P had all but one 40,000 sf space leased out.
    18. Thank You Matt Forshee President/CEO Fayette County Development Authority Copies of this presentation available at www.fayettega.org

    + mforsheemforshee, 9 months ago

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