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UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
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UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights

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Monthly hotel forecasts for key UK and German markets. New reports launched as result of predictive intelligence collaboration between e-forecasting.com and HotStats. Hotel market forecasts highlights …

Monthly hotel forecasts for key UK and German markets. New reports launched as result of predictive intelligence collaboration between e-forecasting.com and HotStats. Hotel market forecasts highlights for April for following markets: Berlin, Birmingham, Bristol, Cardiff, Frankfurt, Glasgow, Liverpool, London, Manchester, Munich, Newcastle, Provincial UK and Total UK. This month's new addtional focus feature is the 'myhotel' customization which provides property level forecasts.

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  • 1. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next UK & German Monthly Hotel Market Forecast June Highlights Presented by E-forecasting.com
  • 2. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 2 Monthly Hotel Forecasts  Launched in June 2013, e−forecasting.com released market Monthly Hotel Forecasts of key UK and German markets using HotStats historical data  More markets in Europe and MENA to follow in the coming months
  • 3. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 3 Current Forecast Markets  Berlin  Birmingham  Bristol  Cardiff  Frankfurt  Glasgow  Liverpool  London  Manchester  Munich  Newcastle  Provincial UK  Total UK
  • 4. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 4 Monthly Hotel Forecast Reports  Historic hotel market data from powerful HotStats database  24 month forecast, 8 quarters out, 2 years out  Key metrics: occupancy, ADR, RevPAR  Proprietary hotel metrics: – HIP - hotel industry pulse – HIL - hotel industry leading indicator – FTLI – foreign travel leading indicator – Monthly GDP  Additional econometric insights: – Labor market conditions – Inflation – Exchange and interest rates – Energy prices – Special events
  • 5. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 5 Monthly Hotel Forecast Reports – UPDATED FEATURE  ‘myhotel’ add-on customization provides property level forecasts  Properties individual data is analyzed within market forecasts and each month clients receive these forecasts in addition to market level details
  • 6. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 6 UK Hotel Market Forecast June Report Highlights  UK countrywide 2 year forecast: – Increase 2% in 2014 and 2.2% in 2015 – Long term economic growth = 2.2%  Monetary policy: no policy changes in previous month, all other key rates on hold  Oil prices: WTI & Brent prices lowering  Financial futures: US dollar and British Pound mixed
  • 7. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 7 UK Hotel Market Forecast June Data Highlights  UK HIP – up 2.5%  UK HIL – up 0.1%  Probability of upcoming recession: 33.1%  UK Monthly GDP – up 0.2%  UK FTLI up 0.1%  Consumer prices up 2.9%  Unemployment rate at 7.8%  Consumer confidence up  Business executives less optimistic  Builders showing lower expectations
  • 8. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 8 UK Hotel Forecast Highlights Market 2014 RevPAR Forecast 2015 RevPAR Forecast Birmingham (0.2%) 1.9% Bristol 0.2% 1.5% Cardiff 1.3% 2% Glasgow (1.8%) (4.2%) Liverpool 4.4% 0.2% London 0.2% (5.1%) Manchester (1.9%) (1.6%) Newcastle 6.9% 2.5% Provincial UK (0.2%) (1.2%) Total UK (2.3%) (1.7%)
  • 9. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 9 German Hotel Market Forecast June Report Highlights  German countrywide 2 year forecast: – Increase 1.7% in 2014 and 1.9% in 2015 – Long term economic growth = 1.7%  Monetary policy: no policy changes in previous month, all other key rates on hold  Oil prices: WTI & Brent prices lowering  Financial futures: US dollar and Euro mixed
  • 10. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 10 German Hotel Market Forecast June Data Highlights  German HIP – up 0.5%  German HIL – up 0.1%  Probability of upcoming recession: 22.5%  German Monthly GDP – up 0.4%  German FTLI up 0.2%  Consumer prices up 2%  Unemployment rate at 5.3%  Consumer confidence up  Business executives less optimistic  Builders showing lower expectations
  • 11. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 11 German Hotel Forecast June Report Highlights Market 2014 RevPAR Forecast 2015 RevPAR Forecast Berlin (8.3%) 0.3% Frankfurt (4%) (1.1%) Munich (14.5%) 1.5%
  • 12. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 12 For More Information  Monthly hotel forecast highlights were taken from the June issue of Monthly Hotel Forecasts, please visit: – http://www.e-forecasting.com or email info@e-forecasting.com for subscription rates and queries on additional markets

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