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After the Land Grab:
10 Trends Shaping Big Data’s Next Stage
Jonathan Margulies             January 23, 2013
Managing Director      OMMA DDM • New York, NY
Winterberry Group: Supporting the Growth of Advertising, Marketing,
Media, Information and Technology Organizations


                                        Strategic Consulting

          • Corporate Strategy
          • Market Intelligence
          • Process Optimization and Alignment
          • M&A Transaction Due Diligence Support
          • Investment Banking Services, through
Our Agenda

After the Land Grab

• The Data “Market”:
  Four Evolving
  Paradigms
• 10 for ‘13: Trends
  Shaping Big Data’s
  Next Stage
“What Is Data?” Depends on Your Perspective…




Targeting
                              Vs.
                                           Audience Insights
“What Is Data?” Depends on Your Perspective…




Personally-Identifiable
                              Vs.
                                               Anonymous
“What Is Data?” Depends on Your Perspective…




Relationship-Enriching                         Creepy
                              Vs.
“What Is Data?” Depends on Your Perspective…




Established
                              Vs.
                                               “Big”
If Only We Could Illustrate The “Big Data” Opportunity…




              Sources: Asigra, Century Link, Forbes/Dave Feinleib, HortonWorks, IBM, Jaspersoft,
              NetApp, Sybase, Wikibon, Wipro
In the Media and Marketing Worlds, A Frenzy of “Big Data”
Investment Has Three Constituencies Vying for a Piece of the Pie

“The Buyers”: Marketers,                      “The Sellers”: Publishers,
Advertisers, Publishers                         Compilers, Researchers




                   “The Intermediaries”: Agencies,
                Exchanges, Ad Tech & Service Providers

  Shared Goals: Activation, Engagement, Value
But One Challenge Persists: Striking an “Omnichannel” Balance with
  Costly (But Effective) Traditional Data Infrastructure

        U.S. Spending, Targeted Marketing Data & Related Services
                                                           (2010-2014E)
                                                              Total:                      Total:
                       Total:                               $11.31 BB                   $11.57 BB
                      $9.96 BB                                             6.1%
                                                                                                               3.9%
       2.9%                                2.4%


                                                                                                              90.0%
                                          94.7%




(1) Includes retargeting services, intent/inferred data,
offline data used for online marketing
                                                                          Online Display-Related Data Spending1
                                                                                                              1

(2) Includes e-mail lists, database management/hygiene                    E-mail-Related Data Spending2
                                                                                                      2
and analytics services
(3) Includes mailing lists, database management/hygiene                   Direct Mail-Related Data Spending3
                                                                                                           3

and analytics services
                                                                          Source: Winterberry Group analysis of various sources
How (and When) Will Data Dollars Align with Top-Line Spending?

                         U.S. Spending, Targeted Marketing Media
                                                        (2010-2014E)

                                                                                     Total:
                                                           Total:                   $68.1 BB
                      Total:
                                                          $60.7 BB     +57.1%
                     $56.2 BB
 $1.4 BB                                                                                       +109.1%
                                          $9.9 BB



                                                                                                -0.7%
                                         $44.9 BB




                       2010                                2012                      2014E
                                                                        Email Spending
Source: Winterberry Group analysis of various sources
                                                                        Display Spending
                                                                        Direct Mail Spending
We’re Now Emerging from “Big Data 1.0”: A Land Grab for Information
and Resources (Without the Benefit of Vision, Experience or Insight)
Our Agenda

After the Land Grab

• The Data “Market”:
  Four Evolving
  Paradigms
• 10 for ‘13: Trends
  Shaping Big Data’s
  Next Stage
The Use Cases Emerge: Something to Do With All That (Digital)
Data…

• Centerpiece applications
  finally emerging across the
  ecosystem
• Few deploying substantial (or
  even equal) resources across
  all addressable use cases;
  investments reflect legacy
  needs rather than systematic
  data strategy
“How Important Will the Following Use Cases Be to Your Future
 Data-Driven Marketing Efforts?”




                                    Not likely to be a focus   Likely to be a significant
Source: Winterberry Group survey,   of our future data         focus of our future data
Jan. 2012                           utilization                               utilization
The Talent Gap: What Good is the Data if Nobody Understands It?


• Acute shortage of analytics/
  technical staff with marketing
  perspective inhibiting data
  investment
• “All marketers are
  technologists”: Up for
  debate? Or just a matter of
  time?
Organizations Lack the Necessary Analytic and Technical Skills
Internally; Have Trouble Recruiting

   “How would you rate the analytic                         “How challenging is it for your company
 capabilities of your company today?”                            to source analytical skills?”


       78%                                                           No issue                   0%
                                                                  Somewhat
                                                                 challenging



                                                                 Challenging


                                                          76%

                                                                          Very
                                                                      difficult

                                                                  Impossible

                 Source: NewVantage Partners: “Big Data Executive Survey,” 2012
The Process Gap: Many Still Trying to Force New-World Information
Through Old-World Pipes

• Infrastructure built to support
  traditional media commonly
  “engineered” to address
  fundamentally different
  execution needs
• The silo conflict: competing
  interests with respect to data,
  rights, budgets, authority,
  creative assets, etc.
Internal Operating Challenges (and Neither Data nor Technology) Are
  the Real Barriers to Wider Data Integration

                 “Which issues would you describe as ‘major hurdles’
                        inhibiting faster DMP deployment?”
    73%              71%
                                     63%
                                                       56%             55%
                                                                                      44%
                                                                                                     38%
                                                                                                                    32%

                                                                                                                                   15%


Internal process No clear internal No clarity into      Lack of      Lack of clear Concerns about Concerns over     Lack of      Prefer to wait
 and marketing owner for DMP the role of DMPs         established   business case / privacy, security cost        addressable       for next
   operations        solution      in the C-suite    performance         ROI            and data                  data to fuel    generation
    hurdles                                             metrics      expectations     governance                   DMP use        technology

Source: Winterberry Group, November 2012
The Big Data Death Match: Marketing, IT Vie for Influence Over
Critical Information Assets (and Marketing Might Just Win)

• At the heart of Big Data
  evolution: a competition for
  authority between marketing,
  brand management and IT
• One likely solution: the
  emergence of a dedicated
  marketing technology
  function (possibly aligned
  with the chief data officer)
“Minor” Internal Conflicts Can Give Rise to Substantial Long-Term
 Costs (Among Them: Missed Opportunity)

         “What are your biggest challenges in using ‘Big Data’ for
                             marketing?”
               51%
                                       45%
                                                               42%
                                                                                        39%
                                                                                                   29%




        The lack of sharing We aren't using our We are not able to Our data is collected We have too little
         data across the     data to effectively link our data at the too infrequently or is customer or consumer
        organization is an personalize messaging level of individual not real-time enough           data
             obstacle                                 customers

Source: Columbia Business School, NYAMA: “Marketing ROI in the Era of Big Data,” 2012
The “Omnichannel” Imperative: Engaging Customers Across Screens
Becomes a Need-to-Have

• Consumers’ embrace of mobile,
  social and other media raising
  the bar for marketers to deliver
  seamless engagement
• The dilemma: attribution,
  campaign management,
  execution approaches still
  reflect “last-click,” single-
  channel sensibility
The Prerequisite: Effective Multi-Platform Attribution


            Why Pursue Better                              Though only 14% of marketers
                                                        think last-click attribution is “very
            Attribution?                                  effective,” 54% use the same as
                                                        their primary performance metric




                                                Source: eConsultancy and Google Analytics,
                               Marketing Attribution: “Valuing the Customer Journey,” 2012
In the Line of (Regulatory) Fire: If We’re All Buying and Selling
Information, Just Who Exactly is a “Data Broker”?

• Growth of data-driven economy
  focusing regulator attention on
  marketplace; “data brokers”
  under current FTC investigation
• Good questions: What is right
  level of transparency, choice?
  How to best deliver both?
• Bad question: “Who owns
  data?”
Largely Underreported: The Consumer Benefits That Come with
Responsible, Transparent Data Deployment




                             Source: The New York Times, “You for Sale,” June 16, 2012
The DMP at Center Stage: Big (Marketing) Data Demands Custom
Tools to Meet Scale, Speed, Modularity Needs

• Originally developed to solve an
  organic challenge—“How to
  access audience segments from
  third parties?”—DMPs now
  serving as effective hub for data
  integration, activation
• Growth driven by organizational
  needs—not inherent complexity
  of data or technology
The DMP Aggregates, Integrates, Manages and Deploys Disparate Data
Interest in DMP Solutions is Substantial—And Growing Rapidly

“How would you say that your (or your        “What type of role do you think DMPs are
 clients’) interest in DMP solutions has    likely to play in expanding the performance
 changed over the last several years?”        of companies’ long-term advertising and
                                                         marketing efforts?”




 Source: Winterberry Group, November 2012
Rules of the Road: Stewardship Strategies Emerge as Critical
Prerequisite for Data Activation

• Data stewardship strategies
  emerging as critical “need-to-
  have” given the growing role of
  data across the enterprise (and
  costs associated with its misuse)
• Once considered niche legal/
  privacy function; now joining the
  cross-disciplinary marketing
  mainstream




                                            Artwork Source: OCDQ Blog/Jim Harris, Jill Dyché
Most Marketing Teams Unprepared When it Comes to the Evolving
Demands of Marketing Data Stewardship

  “Does your company have a specific                       “How prepared is your marketing team
strategy for handling the challenges of                    with regard to the rules and regulations
              big data?”                                      of marketing data governance?”



                           60%
                                                             Not Very




                                                            Somewhat


                                                                 Very



                       Source: DMA/Neolane, “Big Data: Impact on Marketing Organizations,” January 2013
And One Contrary View: The Big Data Bubble is Here


• What if we invested millions of
  dollars (and millions of man-
  hours) in information,
  technology and process changes
  that… delivered very meager
  results?
• How can we optimize the
  chance that our Big Data bets
  pay off in a meaningful way?
“Big Data” May Ultimately Prove Transformative, But There Will Be
 Growing Pains as Companies Feel Their Way

    Does the “hype cycle” provide a useful means of benchmarking
    the progress of Big (Marketing) Data over the next few years?

                          Big Data




                      Technology Peak of        Trough of                Slope of      Plateau of
                        Trigger   Inflated   Disillusionment          Enlightenment   Productivity
                                Expectations
Source: Gartner, Hype Cycle for Cloud Computing, August 2012
                                                               Time
Or Should We Learn From the Experience of Past Innovation Cycles?

                                  It's as if the plan is roughly:

                                   • Analyze data—preferably Big
                                     Data
                                   • ???
                                   • Profit.

                                  This feels eerily analogous to the
                                  dot-com bubble of the late 90s to
                                  me (substitute “analyze data” with
Scott Brinker; January 21, 2013   “capture eyeballs”)… except
                                  underneath the hype, a truly major
                                  revolution is happening: The real
                                  revolution in data will be a
                                  change in organizational behavior
                                  and culture… creating a [data-
                                  driven] organization that can
                                  confidently experiment, innovate
                                  and adapt on a broad scale
Toward a “Secret Sauce”: Competitive Differentiation Derived from
More Than Just Data Accrual

• Success in the “Big Data 2.0” era
  will require more than just a data
  land grab; it demands the
  synthesis of strategy, customer
  insight and automated execution
• At the end of the day, effective
  strategy begins with desired
  outcomes… which cannot be
  identified by machine
For A Deeper Dive…


                                        And Coming Soon…
                                         “Taking Cues from the
                                       Consumer: Omnichannel
                                               Comes of Age”

                                                          and…

                                        “The New Rules of the
                                       Road: Data Stewardship
                                         in the Era of Big Data”
Download at:
www.winterberrygroup.com/ourinsights
Thank You!




60 Broad Street, 38th Floor                Jonathan Margulies
New York, NY 10004                          Managing Director
www.winterberrygroup.com      jmargulies@winterberrygroup.com
@WinterberryGrp                                  @jcmargulies

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After The Land Grab: 10 Trends Shaping Big Data’s Next Stage

  • 1. After the Land Grab: 10 Trends Shaping Big Data’s Next Stage Jonathan Margulies January 23, 2013 Managing Director OMMA DDM • New York, NY
  • 2. Winterberry Group: Supporting the Growth of Advertising, Marketing, Media, Information and Technology Organizations Strategic Consulting • Corporate Strategy • Market Intelligence • Process Optimization and Alignment • M&A Transaction Due Diligence Support • Investment Banking Services, through
  • 3. Our Agenda After the Land Grab • The Data “Market”: Four Evolving Paradigms • 10 for ‘13: Trends Shaping Big Data’s Next Stage
  • 4. “What Is Data?” Depends on Your Perspective… Targeting Vs. Audience Insights
  • 5. “What Is Data?” Depends on Your Perspective… Personally-Identifiable Vs. Anonymous
  • 6. “What Is Data?” Depends on Your Perspective… Relationship-Enriching Creepy Vs.
  • 7. “What Is Data?” Depends on Your Perspective… Established Vs. “Big”
  • 8. If Only We Could Illustrate The “Big Data” Opportunity… Sources: Asigra, Century Link, Forbes/Dave Feinleib, HortonWorks, IBM, Jaspersoft, NetApp, Sybase, Wikibon, Wipro
  • 9. In the Media and Marketing Worlds, A Frenzy of “Big Data” Investment Has Three Constituencies Vying for a Piece of the Pie “The Buyers”: Marketers, “The Sellers”: Publishers, Advertisers, Publishers Compilers, Researchers “The Intermediaries”: Agencies, Exchanges, Ad Tech & Service Providers Shared Goals: Activation, Engagement, Value
  • 10. But One Challenge Persists: Striking an “Omnichannel” Balance with Costly (But Effective) Traditional Data Infrastructure U.S. Spending, Targeted Marketing Data & Related Services (2010-2014E) Total: Total: Total: $11.31 BB $11.57 BB $9.96 BB 6.1% 3.9% 2.9% 2.4% 90.0% 94.7% (1) Includes retargeting services, intent/inferred data, offline data used for online marketing Online Display-Related Data Spending1 1 (2) Includes e-mail lists, database management/hygiene E-mail-Related Data Spending2 2 and analytics services (3) Includes mailing lists, database management/hygiene Direct Mail-Related Data Spending3 3 and analytics services Source: Winterberry Group analysis of various sources
  • 11. How (and When) Will Data Dollars Align with Top-Line Spending? U.S. Spending, Targeted Marketing Media (2010-2014E) Total: Total: $68.1 BB Total: $60.7 BB +57.1% $56.2 BB $1.4 BB +109.1% $9.9 BB -0.7% $44.9 BB 2010 2012 2014E Email Spending Source: Winterberry Group analysis of various sources Display Spending Direct Mail Spending
  • 12. We’re Now Emerging from “Big Data 1.0”: A Land Grab for Information and Resources (Without the Benefit of Vision, Experience or Insight)
  • 13. Our Agenda After the Land Grab • The Data “Market”: Four Evolving Paradigms • 10 for ‘13: Trends Shaping Big Data’s Next Stage
  • 14. The Use Cases Emerge: Something to Do With All That (Digital) Data… • Centerpiece applications finally emerging across the ecosystem • Few deploying substantial (or even equal) resources across all addressable use cases; investments reflect legacy needs rather than systematic data strategy
  • 15. “How Important Will the Following Use Cases Be to Your Future Data-Driven Marketing Efforts?” Not likely to be a focus Likely to be a significant Source: Winterberry Group survey, of our future data focus of our future data Jan. 2012 utilization utilization
  • 16. The Talent Gap: What Good is the Data if Nobody Understands It? • Acute shortage of analytics/ technical staff with marketing perspective inhibiting data investment • “All marketers are technologists”: Up for debate? Or just a matter of time?
  • 17. Organizations Lack the Necessary Analytic and Technical Skills Internally; Have Trouble Recruiting “How would you rate the analytic “How challenging is it for your company capabilities of your company today?” to source analytical skills?” 78% No issue 0% Somewhat challenging Challenging 76% Very difficult Impossible Source: NewVantage Partners: “Big Data Executive Survey,” 2012
  • 18. The Process Gap: Many Still Trying to Force New-World Information Through Old-World Pipes • Infrastructure built to support traditional media commonly “engineered” to address fundamentally different execution needs • The silo conflict: competing interests with respect to data, rights, budgets, authority, creative assets, etc.
  • 19. Internal Operating Challenges (and Neither Data nor Technology) Are the Real Barriers to Wider Data Integration “Which issues would you describe as ‘major hurdles’ inhibiting faster DMP deployment?” 73% 71% 63% 56% 55% 44% 38% 32% 15% Internal process No clear internal No clarity into Lack of Lack of clear Concerns about Concerns over Lack of Prefer to wait and marketing owner for DMP the role of DMPs established business case / privacy, security cost addressable for next operations solution in the C-suite performance ROI and data data to fuel generation hurdles metrics expectations governance DMP use technology Source: Winterberry Group, November 2012
  • 20. The Big Data Death Match: Marketing, IT Vie for Influence Over Critical Information Assets (and Marketing Might Just Win) • At the heart of Big Data evolution: a competition for authority between marketing, brand management and IT • One likely solution: the emergence of a dedicated marketing technology function (possibly aligned with the chief data officer)
  • 21. “Minor” Internal Conflicts Can Give Rise to Substantial Long-Term Costs (Among Them: Missed Opportunity) “What are your biggest challenges in using ‘Big Data’ for marketing?” 51% 45% 42% 39% 29% The lack of sharing We aren't using our We are not able to Our data is collected We have too little data across the data to effectively link our data at the too infrequently or is customer or consumer organization is an personalize messaging level of individual not real-time enough data obstacle customers Source: Columbia Business School, NYAMA: “Marketing ROI in the Era of Big Data,” 2012
  • 22. The “Omnichannel” Imperative: Engaging Customers Across Screens Becomes a Need-to-Have • Consumers’ embrace of mobile, social and other media raising the bar for marketers to deliver seamless engagement • The dilemma: attribution, campaign management, execution approaches still reflect “last-click,” single- channel sensibility
  • 23. The Prerequisite: Effective Multi-Platform Attribution Why Pursue Better Though only 14% of marketers think last-click attribution is “very Attribution? effective,” 54% use the same as their primary performance metric Source: eConsultancy and Google Analytics, Marketing Attribution: “Valuing the Customer Journey,” 2012
  • 24. In the Line of (Regulatory) Fire: If We’re All Buying and Selling Information, Just Who Exactly is a “Data Broker”? • Growth of data-driven economy focusing regulator attention on marketplace; “data brokers” under current FTC investigation • Good questions: What is right level of transparency, choice? How to best deliver both? • Bad question: “Who owns data?”
  • 25. Largely Underreported: The Consumer Benefits That Come with Responsible, Transparent Data Deployment Source: The New York Times, “You for Sale,” June 16, 2012
  • 26. The DMP at Center Stage: Big (Marketing) Data Demands Custom Tools to Meet Scale, Speed, Modularity Needs • Originally developed to solve an organic challenge—“How to access audience segments from third parties?”—DMPs now serving as effective hub for data integration, activation • Growth driven by organizational needs—not inherent complexity of data or technology
  • 27. The DMP Aggregates, Integrates, Manages and Deploys Disparate Data
  • 28. Interest in DMP Solutions is Substantial—And Growing Rapidly “How would you say that your (or your “What type of role do you think DMPs are clients’) interest in DMP solutions has likely to play in expanding the performance changed over the last several years?” of companies’ long-term advertising and marketing efforts?” Source: Winterberry Group, November 2012
  • 29. Rules of the Road: Stewardship Strategies Emerge as Critical Prerequisite for Data Activation • Data stewardship strategies emerging as critical “need-to- have” given the growing role of data across the enterprise (and costs associated with its misuse) • Once considered niche legal/ privacy function; now joining the cross-disciplinary marketing mainstream Artwork Source: OCDQ Blog/Jim Harris, Jill Dyché
  • 30. Most Marketing Teams Unprepared When it Comes to the Evolving Demands of Marketing Data Stewardship “Does your company have a specific “How prepared is your marketing team strategy for handling the challenges of with regard to the rules and regulations big data?” of marketing data governance?” 60% Not Very Somewhat Very Source: DMA/Neolane, “Big Data: Impact on Marketing Organizations,” January 2013
  • 31. And One Contrary View: The Big Data Bubble is Here • What if we invested millions of dollars (and millions of man- hours) in information, technology and process changes that… delivered very meager results? • How can we optimize the chance that our Big Data bets pay off in a meaningful way?
  • 32. “Big Data” May Ultimately Prove Transformative, But There Will Be Growing Pains as Companies Feel Their Way Does the “hype cycle” provide a useful means of benchmarking the progress of Big (Marketing) Data over the next few years? Big Data Technology Peak of Trough of Slope of Plateau of Trigger Inflated Disillusionment Enlightenment Productivity Expectations Source: Gartner, Hype Cycle for Cloud Computing, August 2012 Time
  • 33. Or Should We Learn From the Experience of Past Innovation Cycles? It's as if the plan is roughly: • Analyze data—preferably Big Data • ??? • Profit. This feels eerily analogous to the dot-com bubble of the late 90s to me (substitute “analyze data” with Scott Brinker; January 21, 2013 “capture eyeballs”)… except underneath the hype, a truly major revolution is happening: The real revolution in data will be a change in organizational behavior and culture… creating a [data- driven] organization that can confidently experiment, innovate and adapt on a broad scale
  • 34. Toward a “Secret Sauce”: Competitive Differentiation Derived from More Than Just Data Accrual • Success in the “Big Data 2.0” era will require more than just a data land grab; it demands the synthesis of strategy, customer insight and automated execution • At the end of the day, effective strategy begins with desired outcomes… which cannot be identified by machine
  • 35. For A Deeper Dive… And Coming Soon… “Taking Cues from the Consumer: Omnichannel Comes of Age” and… “The New Rules of the Road: Data Stewardship in the Era of Big Data” Download at: www.winterberrygroup.com/ourinsights
  • 36. Thank You! 60 Broad Street, 38th Floor Jonathan Margulies New York, NY 10004 Managing Director www.winterberrygroup.com jmargulies@winterberrygroup.com @WinterberryGrp @jcmargulies