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Our future world.

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  • 1. • More from less • Going, going ... gone? • The silk highway • Forever young • Virtually here • Great expectations
  • 2. • More people • A bigger world economy • Global water scarcity • Increasing domestic water demand • Increasing energy consumption • Increasing global energy demand • Energy investment
  • 3. • Increasing carbon emissions & new markets • Global food demand & supply challenges • Higher & more volatile food prices • Increased biofuel production • Resource conflicts • Declining mineral ore grades & the rise of recycling
  • 4. • Implications • Opportunities • Edit text • Edit text
  • 5. • Biodiversity decline • No signs of slowing • Habitat fragmentation • Deforestation • Increasing the number of protected areas
  • 6. • Efforts towards the protection of critical biodiversity sites are increasing • Climate change impact • Extent of climate change impacts • Emissions & climate change forecast • Impact of climate change on biodiversity
  • 7. • Implications • Opportunities • Edit text • Edit text
  • 8. • The shifting hotspot of world economic activity • Near term growth forecasts for world regions • The rise of China • Building a new world economy with BRICS • A growing middle class • Strong economic ties with Asia • Investment into Australia • Tourism as a growth export industry for Australia
  • 9. • Highs & possible future lows of global commodity prices • Economic growth in China forecast to slow – but a soft landing likely • Rise of industrialisation & steel use to slow in China • Will India pick up the slack? • Increasing commodity supply from developing countries • The Switzerland of Asia?
  • 10. • Edit text • Edit text
  • 11. • A new demographic profile • The situation in Japan • The whole world is getting older • Longer life spans • Retirement savings gap • Changed retirement models
  • 12. • Lifestyle related illnesses • Diabetes on the rise • Fitness trend • Healthcare expenditure • Staying active
  • 13. • Implications • Opportunities • Edit text • Edit text
  • 14. • The rise of the digital world can change business models • Structural change in the retail sector fuelled by online competition • The rise of internet enabled micro-transaction • A consumer trend – collaborative consumption
  • 15. • The potential demand for teleworking • The “Anywhere Working City” • From offices to open plan, to activity based to...? • Background operations • Freelancing models • Offshoring • Virtual crime & cyber security threats
  • 16. • Implications • Opportunities • Edit text • Edit text
  • 17. • Moving upwards through Maslow’s hierarchy • Declining relative material consumption • Education spending is on the rise • Australians have increased spending on culture & entertainment • Innovative personalisation • Tourism bounced back from the global financial downturn • Retail turnover is growing in the experience oriented sectors & contracting in the products oriented sectors • Rising importance of moral and ethical dimensions for consumers
  • 18. • Humans are complex and income growth & class ascendancy can be associated with negative behaviours • Loneliness & single person households • The expectation for face-to-face interaction • The expectation for fewer but stronger social relations • Basic (not great) expectations for billions of people • The millennium development goals • Heading in the right direction, but still so far to go
  • 19. • Implications • Opportunities • Edit text • Edit text
  • 20. • Large levels of government debt internationally  Reduced policy options  Currency wars, inflationary pressures • Shifting government priorities – consumer directed care, mutual obligation, decline of the welfare society • Shifting global power & centres of influence, oil & energy
  • 21. • Implications • Opportunities • Edit text • Edit text
  • 22. • Tribalism – more connected to tighter groups (not necessarily geographic) social media, nationalism • Relative decline of the middle class • Younger for longer – baby boomers last generation to die? Refuse to act old, high baby boomers, ageing, • Gen Y, centennials have different attitudes – immediacy, short termism, entitlement, lacking the scarcity fears of immediate post war boomers • More pressured society – depression, drug & alcohol dependency on the rise
  • 23. • Implications • Opportunities • Edit text • Edit text
  • 24. • More sophisticated consumers – higher expectations, better informed, increased comparison shopping, more likely to challenge • Reverse consolidation – fragmenting markets, rise of specialists, niches, personalisation • Involved through technology
  • 25. • Opportunities • Edit text • Implications • Edit text