Solar Renewable Energy - Now

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Thomas Leyden, Managing Director of SunPower, Corporation, discusses some of his company's large-scale commercial solar projects and the driving forces behind them. …

Thomas Leyden, Managing Director of SunPower, Corporation, discusses some of his company's large-scale commercial solar projects and the driving forces behind them.

This presentation was given December 4, 2009 at the Solar Energy Focus Conference: Fall 2009 hosted by the Maryland, DC, Virginia Solar Energy Industries Association (MDV-SEIA) in Gaithersburg, MD.

To learn more please visit:

www.mdvseia.camp7.org

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  • 1. Solar Renewable Energy - Now MDV-SEIA Thomas Leyden, Managing Director December 4, 2009
  • 2. SunPower Update Established in 1985 World record solar cell efficiency = MORE 4,000 Employees: All we do is POWER Over 85 patents and over 20 years of R&D solar Worldwide footprint Publicly traded (NASDAQ), strong balance Over 500 systems on 3 continents sheet Energy efficiency expertise Over 500 MW installed, 24 MWs in $1.4 billion in 2008 revenue – all solar NJ Largest solar projects in North America Fully staffed NJ office in Trenton Established and Proven. Technology Leaders.
  • 3. Technology Comprehensive Solar Program Your SunPower Solar Solution
  • 4. Reaching “Grid Parity” MSEIA/PV Now All-in price of electricity 0.4 0.35 Incentives accelerate the cross-over 0.3 0.25 Grid 4.5% inflation $/kwh Grid 3% inflation 0.2 solar declining 5% solar declining 6% 0.15 Crossover points 0.1 0.05 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2005-2020
  • 5. Solar PV Value Chain Raw Materials to Rooftops = Lower Risk and Higher Savings Polysilicon Ingot Wafer Solar Cell Solar Panel Systems
  • 6. Deployment Applications Residential Retrofit New Production Homes Commercial & Public Power Plants 6
  • 7. SunPower Deployment Products Solar Cell Rooftop Ground SunPower ® SunPower SunPower ® PowerGuard ® T10 Solar Roof Tile T5 Solar Roof Tile SunPower ® SunPower ® T0 Tracker T20 Tracker 7
  • 8. More Power Per Square Foot More Energy (kWh) = More Customer Cost Savings Thin Film Conventional High Efficiency 205,000 kWh 468,000 kWh 880,000 kWh (4.4% efficiency) (12.8% efficiency) (18.4% efficiency)
  • 9. More Energy, Less Space Efficient Use of Land with High-Efficiency PV Technology Thin Film Conventional High Efficiency 41 Acres 32 Acres 21 Acres 9.5% Efficiency 12.6% Efficiency 19.3% Efficiency 6MW Solar Power Plant
  • 10. Tiffany & Co. 1.3 MW Parsippany, NJ Solar + Energy Efficiency delivering savings of more than $450,000/year
  • 11. FedEx Oakland, CA
  • 12. Toyota Ontario, CA
  • 13. Target Hayward, CA
  • 14. Shiseido 699 kW New Jersey Headquarters • Reduces annual energy usage by 35% • Saves $100,000 annually in electricity costs
  • 15. Johnson & Johnson New Jersey
  • 16. Conectiv Energy 4.1 MW
  • 17. Bavaria, Germany 10 MW
  • 18. Florida Power & Light – Desoto, FL 25 MW
  • 19. NJ Policies Created A National Leader NJ Policies Bridged the Price Gap and Removed Barriers: Market Incubator Components: Rebate programs via SBC funding Early REC market Net metering and simplified interconnection New Jersey RPS New Solar Energy Companies 160 120,000 140 Projected Growth 3,000 new jobs NJ Solar Companies 120 100,000 Solar RPS MWhs 100 80,000 80 60,000 60 780% solar industry growth 40,000 40 20 20,000 In the first 5 years 0 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Year MWh's/cum Solar Companies in NJ
  • 20. RPS Drives Rapid Growth and Investment in NJ Opportunity For Market-Based Growth: RPS with solar carve out and ACP sets the stage 2000 MW goal by 2021 lays the foundation for large scale investment NJ Photovoltaic Installations - RPS Driven Requirement 15 year Aggregate Investment of $8.8 billion 2,000,000 $1,400 1,800,000 $1,200 1,600,000 Annual PV Installs ($ millions) $1,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 Total RECS Required $800 1,000,000 800,000 $600 600,000 $400 400,000 $200 200,000 0 $0 RPS 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Mandated $mm SRECS
  • 21. EAST COAST SOLAR MARKETS TO 2010-2012 Known East Coast Solar Markets Based on RPS & SRECs New Jersey Ohio New Solar New Solar Capacity New Solar Capacity New Solar Year (MWp) Value $m Year (MWp) Value $m 2010 67.5 $405 2010 13.7 $82 2011 76.1 $419 2011 41.0 $226 2012 71.5 $358 2012 81.9 $410 Total 215.1 $1,181 Total 136.6 $717 Maryland Pennsylvania Upcoming New Solar New Solar Capacity New Solar Capacity New Solar Markets for East Year (MWp) Value $m Year (MWp) Value $m Coast 2010 9.0 $54 2010 0.5 $3 •New York 2011 9.0 $50 2011 19.5 $107 2012 13.0 $65 •Massachusetts 2012 30.4 $152 Total 31.0 $169 Total 50.3 $262 •Vermont •Delaware North Carolina New Solar Capacity New Solar Existing East New Solar Year (MWp) Value $m Coast Markets 3 Years New Solar Value $m 2010 12.5 $75 2011 25.7 $141 Total 3 Years 504 $2,711 2012 33.1 $166 Total 71.3 $382 21 21
  • 22. Utility Scale: Cross-Over is Here and Now . . . PV has reached the cross-over point when compared with new construction of a gas peaker, coal or nuclear plant. Conventional utility capacity alternatives have become too expensive and/or too risky: Coal cannot be financed Gas Peakers yield very expensive power Nuclear is too costly and too risky PV is now the lowest cost of any of these options 22
  • 23. Levelized Cost of Energy - Forecast The weighted average LCOE from PV over the construction period of a Conventional Plant is lower than the LCOE from that plant. References: • Lazard for start year for Coal IGCC, Gas CT, Gas CCCT, Nuclear, Wind. E3 Consulting for CSP and Coal IGCC with CCS. • DOE for Central and distributed PV (CPV and DPV). Costs after start year are trended per SunPower internal assumptions on commodity prices, fuel costs and cap & trade. Wind is flat for 4 years, then declines 1%/year; CSP declines per a blend of various company price curves. 23
  • 24. A New Era is Upon Us….…. DOE HQ Fort Dix 24
  • 25. Nothing is as powerful as an idea whose time has come -- Victor Hugo 25