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Study of Flu Impacts on Small and Mid-
 Sized Businesses (Winter 2012-2013)
                      Craig Everett, Ph.D., MBA
                   Assistant Professor of Finance
    Associate Director, Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project

                    John K. Paglia, Ph.D., CFA, CPA
                    Associate Professor of Finance
         Director, Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project




                                  11
This research was made possible with the support of Dun &
 Bradstreet Credibility Corp., the leading provider of credit
      building and credibility solutions for businesses.
                 DUN & BRADSTREET CREDIBILITY CORP.
                Jeffrey Stibel, Chair and Chief Executive Officer
                      Judy Hackett, Chief Marketing Officer
                Aaron Stibel, Senior Vice President, Technology
             Erik Simon, Director, Marketing and Communications
                     Brenda Gary, Senior Marketing Director
  Bernice Brennan, Manager, Creative Services & Marketing Communications
                       Trenice Taylor, Marketing Manager




                                    22
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

I’d also like to thank the following people at The Graziadio School
       of Business and Management for their contributions:

                    Dean Linda Livingstone
                Associate Dean David M. Smith
               Mike Sims, Executive Officer, CER
         Douglass Gore, Director of Public Relations
       Mark Chun, Director, Center for Applied Research
          Bill Bleuel, Professor of Decision Sciences
           Irina Shaykhutdinova, Research Analyst




                               33
About the January 2013 Flu Survey
•     14 questions
•     Invite to participate distributed to sample from Dun
      & Bradstreet Credibility Corp.’s business database
•     679 completed responses

•     Responses collected from January 14 – January 27




                             44
Percentage Indicating “Yes” to “Is the flu
               outbreak restricting…”
                                                                             97%
                                    91%
100%

80%

60%

40%
                      9%
20%                                                             3%


 0%
         Growth opportunities for business          Ability to hire new employees
                                             Yes   No

                                              55
Number of Employees Currently
                          Out With The Flu
    450

    400

    350

    300

    250

    200

    150

    100

      50

       0
                0     1   2     3   4   5        6   8   10   11 - 15   16 - 20   21 - 30   51 -100
Whole sample   445   84   47   17   6   7        1   1    1      3         1         1         1



                                            66
Total Number of Employees Who Have Been
           Out Sick With The Flu At Any Time
                    This Flu Season
    300

    250

    200

    150

    100

      50

       0
                0    1     2    3    4    5    6   7        8   9   10   11 - 15 16 - 20 21 - 30 31 - 40 51 -100   101 -
                                                                                                                   1000
Whole sample   267   127   77   45   31   26   6   7        5   2   5      5       3       6       1        1        1



                                                       77
Flu Survey Results By Revenue Size
Sample                                                  Value    # of Observations
Average Cost to Company Per Sick Employee
< $5 million                                           $22,802         271
$5 million - $100 million                              $15,806          67
Average Number of Days Absent Per Sick Employee
< $5 million                                             7.4           275
$5 million - $100 million                                3.6            69
Average Number of Days Telecommuting Per Sick
< $5 million                                             3.5           244
$5 million - $100 million                                1.6            61
Percentage of Sick Employees Who Telecommuted
< $5 million                                            38.4           267
$5 million - $100 million                               75.4            66
Percentage of Companies That Provided Flu Shots
< $5 million                                            20.7           569
$5 million - $100 million                               29.7            81


                                                  88
Average Number of Days People Don’t Report to
          Work Because Of The Flu
    300


    250


    200


    150


    100


      50


       0
                0     1    2    3     4    5   6         7   8   9   10   11 - 15   21 - 30   51 -100
Whole sample   272   33   97   102   28   40   8        16   5   2    4      5         2         1



                                                   99
Number of Employees Who Did Any
               Telecommuting While They Were Sick
    450

    400

    350

    300

    250

    200

    150

    100

      50

       0
               0     1     2    3    4   5         7   8   10   16 - 20   31 - 40   41 - 50   101 -
                                                                                              1000
Whole sample   429   106   46   11   6   3         1   1   1      1         1         1         2



                                             10
                                              10
Average Number of Days People Telecommuted
           While They Were Sick
    400

    350

    300

    250

    200

    150

    100

      50

       0
                0    1    2     3    4         5   7   10   11 - 15   21 - 30   101 - 1000
Whole sample   382   54   64   36   10         6   2   2       1         1          4



                                         11
                                          11
Percentage of Respondents That Provided Flu
        Shots To Employees In 2012
100%
                                                                     77%

80%


60%


40%
             20%

20%
                               2%                      1%

 0%
       Yes - Free   Yes - Discounted         Yes - Full Price   No


                                       12
                                        12
Percentage of Employees That Received Flu
                Shots In 2012
                                              91.0%
100.0%


 80.0%

                             50.0%
 60.0%


 40.0%
                15.0%
 20.0%


  0.0%
         1st quartile   Median       3rd quartile

                          13
                           13
Average Flu Outbreak Costs Per Firm
  100%
   90%
   80%
   70%
   60%
   50%
   40%
   30%
   20%
   10%
     0%
               $0    $1 - $500   $501 - $1,000   $1,001 - $5,000   $5,001 -   $10,001 -   $25,001 -   More than
                                                                   $10,000     $25,000     $50,000    $5,000,000
Whole sample   48%     12%           12%              15%            6%          3%          2%           1%



                                                            14
                                                             14
Details About the Respondents
                                Geographic Location
     0-1
     2-3
     4-5                                                                                                                  ME
     5 - 10                    WA
     11 - 20                                         ND         MN                                               VT NH
                                          MT
     21 - 30              OR                                                                                               MA
                                                                          WI                                NY
     41 - 50
                                    ID               SD                              MI                                     RI
     more than 50                                                                                                         CT
                                          WY                                                           PA
                                                                 IA                        OH                        NJ
                                                     NE                                                         MD
                               NV                                          IL        IN
                                                                                                 WV        VA
                                     UT        CO
                                                           KS        MO                   KY
                         CA                                                                                NC
                                                                                    TN
                                                           OK         AR                              SC
                                    AZ    NM
                                                                               MS    AL         GA
HI
                    AK                                                LA
                                                          TX

                                                                                                      FL




                                               15
                                                15
Details About the Respondents
                                    Industry
                                               Services

           2% 2%        1%                     Retail trade

 2%4% 4%                                       Construction
3%                                             Finance & real estate
                             32%
 7%                                            Manufacturing

6%                                             Information technology or services
                                               Health care
  9%                           9%              Wholesale trade
           10%     9%
                                               Unclassified establishments
                                               Educational services
                                               Arts, entertainment or recreation
                                               Transportation and warehousing
                                               Forestry, fishing, hunting or agriculture
                                               Utilities & mining


                                       16
                                        16
Details About the Respondents
                        Annual Revenues
                                     $0 or pre-revenue stage
      1% 1% 2% 2%                    $1 - $100,000
           4%      4%                $100,001 - $500,000
      7%                21%
                                     $500,001 - $1,000,000
20%
                                     $1,000,001 - $5,000,000
                        24%          $5,000,001 - $10,000,000
           14%
                                     $10,000,001 - $25,000,000
                                     $25,000,001 - $50,000,000
                                     $50,000,001 - $100,000,000
                                     $100,000,001 - $500,000,000
                                     More than $500,000,000

                              17
                               17
Details About the Respondents
                                          Number of Employees
    120
    110
    100
      90
      80
      70
      60
      50
      40
      30
      20
      10
       0
                1     2     3    4    5     6   7    8     9    10   11 - 15 16 - 20 21 - 30 31 - 40 41 - 50   51 -   101 -   More
                                                                                                               100    1000    than
                                                                                                                              1000
Whole sample   110   116    59   29   40   29   15   10    14   20     43      30      33      17      13      27      18       1



                                                          18
                                                           18
Details About the Respondents
                  Firm age
                              Less than 1 year

         5% 5% 4%             At least 1 but less than 2
                 6%
                  11%         At least 2 but less than 3
48%
            21%               At least 3 but less than 5

                              At least 5 but less than 10

                              At least 10 but less than 20

                              20 or more


                        19
                         19
About Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project
The Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project at the Graziadio School of
Business and Management is the first simultaneous, comprehensive, and on-going
investigation of the major private capital market segments. The research seeks to
understand the true cost of private capital across market types and the investment
expectations of privately-held business owners; providing lenders, investors and
the businesses that depend on them with critical data to make optimal investment
and financing decisions, and better determine where the opportunities to create
lasting economic value may be realized. Download reports and find more
information at http://bschool.pepperdine.edu/privatecapital.

About Pepperdine University’s Graziadio School of Business and
Management
Founded on the core values of integrity, stewardship, courage, and compassion,
Pepperdine University’s Graziadio (GRAT-ZEE-ah-DEE-oh) School of Business
and Management has been developing values-centered leaders and advancing
responsible business practice since 1969. Student-focused, experience-driven, and
globally-oriented, the Graziadio School offers fully accredited top-ranked MBA,
Masters of Science, and bachelor’s completion business programs. More
information found at http://bschool.pepperdine.edu/newsroom/.


                                       20
                                        20
THANK YOU!
                   Craig Everett, Ph.D., MBA
                 Assistant Professor of Finance
Associate Director, Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project
         http://bschool.pepperdine.edu/privatecapital
                 craig.everett@pepperdine.edu
                         310.506.8543

                John K. Paglia, Ph.D., CFA, CPA
                 Associate Professor of Finance
     Director, Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project
         http://bschool.pepperdine.edu/privatecapital
                  john.paglia@pepperdine.edu
                         805.379.5809

                              21
                               21

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Pepperdine Flu Impact on Small and Medium-sized Businesses 2013

  • 1. Study of Flu Impacts on Small and Mid- Sized Businesses (Winter 2012-2013) Craig Everett, Ph.D., MBA Assistant Professor of Finance Associate Director, Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project John K. Paglia, Ph.D., CFA, CPA Associate Professor of Finance Director, Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project 11
  • 2. This research was made possible with the support of Dun & Bradstreet Credibility Corp., the leading provider of credit building and credibility solutions for businesses. DUN & BRADSTREET CREDIBILITY CORP. Jeffrey Stibel, Chair and Chief Executive Officer Judy Hackett, Chief Marketing Officer Aaron Stibel, Senior Vice President, Technology Erik Simon, Director, Marketing and Communications Brenda Gary, Senior Marketing Director Bernice Brennan, Manager, Creative Services & Marketing Communications Trenice Taylor, Marketing Manager 22
  • 3. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I’d also like to thank the following people at The Graziadio School of Business and Management for their contributions: Dean Linda Livingstone Associate Dean David M. Smith Mike Sims, Executive Officer, CER Douglass Gore, Director of Public Relations Mark Chun, Director, Center for Applied Research Bill Bleuel, Professor of Decision Sciences Irina Shaykhutdinova, Research Analyst 33
  • 4. About the January 2013 Flu Survey • 14 questions • Invite to participate distributed to sample from Dun & Bradstreet Credibility Corp.’s business database • 679 completed responses • Responses collected from January 14 – January 27 44
  • 5. Percentage Indicating “Yes” to “Is the flu outbreak restricting…” 97% 91% 100% 80% 60% 40% 9% 20% 3% 0% Growth opportunities for business Ability to hire new employees Yes No 55
  • 6. Number of Employees Currently Out With The Flu 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 10 11 - 15 16 - 20 21 - 30 51 -100 Whole sample 445 84 47 17 6 7 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 66
  • 7. Total Number of Employees Who Have Been Out Sick With The Flu At Any Time This Flu Season 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 - 15 16 - 20 21 - 30 31 - 40 51 -100 101 - 1000 Whole sample 267 127 77 45 31 26 6 7 5 2 5 5 3 6 1 1 1 77
  • 8. Flu Survey Results By Revenue Size Sample Value # of Observations Average Cost to Company Per Sick Employee < $5 million $22,802 271 $5 million - $100 million $15,806 67 Average Number of Days Absent Per Sick Employee < $5 million 7.4 275 $5 million - $100 million 3.6 69 Average Number of Days Telecommuting Per Sick < $5 million 3.5 244 $5 million - $100 million 1.6 61 Percentage of Sick Employees Who Telecommuted < $5 million 38.4 267 $5 million - $100 million 75.4 66 Percentage of Companies That Provided Flu Shots < $5 million 20.7 569 $5 million - $100 million 29.7 81 88
  • 9. Average Number of Days People Don’t Report to Work Because Of The Flu 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 - 15 21 - 30 51 -100 Whole sample 272 33 97 102 28 40 8 16 5 2 4 5 2 1 99
  • 10. Number of Employees Who Did Any Telecommuting While They Were Sick 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10 16 - 20 31 - 40 41 - 50 101 - 1000 Whole sample 429 106 46 11 6 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 10 10
  • 11. Average Number of Days People Telecommuted While They Were Sick 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 7 10 11 - 15 21 - 30 101 - 1000 Whole sample 382 54 64 36 10 6 2 2 1 1 4 11 11
  • 12. Percentage of Respondents That Provided Flu Shots To Employees In 2012 100% 77% 80% 60% 40% 20% 20% 2% 1% 0% Yes - Free Yes - Discounted Yes - Full Price No 12 12
  • 13. Percentage of Employees That Received Flu Shots In 2012 91.0% 100.0% 80.0% 50.0% 60.0% 40.0% 15.0% 20.0% 0.0% 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile 13 13
  • 14. Average Flu Outbreak Costs Per Firm 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% $0 $1 - $500 $501 - $1,000 $1,001 - $5,000 $5,001 - $10,001 - $25,001 - More than $10,000 $25,000 $50,000 $5,000,000 Whole sample 48% 12% 12% 15% 6% 3% 2% 1% 14 14
  • 15. Details About the Respondents Geographic Location 0-1 2-3 4-5 ME 5 - 10 WA 11 - 20 ND MN VT NH MT 21 - 30 OR MA WI NY 41 - 50 ID SD MI RI more than 50 CT WY PA IA OH NJ NE MD NV IL IN WV VA UT CO KS MO KY CA NC TN OK AR SC AZ NM MS AL GA HI AK LA TX FL 15 15
  • 16. Details About the Respondents Industry Services 2% 2% 1% Retail trade 2%4% 4% Construction 3% Finance & real estate 32% 7% Manufacturing 6% Information technology or services Health care 9% 9% Wholesale trade 10% 9% Unclassified establishments Educational services Arts, entertainment or recreation Transportation and warehousing Forestry, fishing, hunting or agriculture Utilities & mining 16 16
  • 17. Details About the Respondents Annual Revenues $0 or pre-revenue stage 1% 1% 2% 2% $1 - $100,000 4% 4% $100,001 - $500,000 7% 21% $500,001 - $1,000,000 20% $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 24% $5,000,001 - $10,000,000 14% $10,000,001 - $25,000,000 $25,000,001 - $50,000,000 $50,000,001 - $100,000,000 $100,000,001 - $500,000,000 More than $500,000,000 17 17
  • 18. Details About the Respondents Number of Employees 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 - 15 16 - 20 21 - 30 31 - 40 41 - 50 51 - 101 - More 100 1000 than 1000 Whole sample 110 116 59 29 40 29 15 10 14 20 43 30 33 17 13 27 18 1 18 18
  • 19. Details About the Respondents Firm age Less than 1 year 5% 5% 4% At least 1 but less than 2 6% 11% At least 2 but less than 3 48% 21% At least 3 but less than 5 At least 5 but less than 10 At least 10 but less than 20 20 or more 19 19
  • 20. About Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project The Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project at the Graziadio School of Business and Management is the first simultaneous, comprehensive, and on-going investigation of the major private capital market segments. The research seeks to understand the true cost of private capital across market types and the investment expectations of privately-held business owners; providing lenders, investors and the businesses that depend on them with critical data to make optimal investment and financing decisions, and better determine where the opportunities to create lasting economic value may be realized. Download reports and find more information at http://bschool.pepperdine.edu/privatecapital. About Pepperdine University’s Graziadio School of Business and Management Founded on the core values of integrity, stewardship, courage, and compassion, Pepperdine University’s Graziadio (GRAT-ZEE-ah-DEE-oh) School of Business and Management has been developing values-centered leaders and advancing responsible business practice since 1969. Student-focused, experience-driven, and globally-oriented, the Graziadio School offers fully accredited top-ranked MBA, Masters of Science, and bachelor’s completion business programs. More information found at http://bschool.pepperdine.edu/newsroom/. 20 20
  • 21. THANK YOU! Craig Everett, Ph.D., MBA Assistant Professor of Finance Associate Director, Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project http://bschool.pepperdine.edu/privatecapital craig.everett@pepperdine.edu 310.506.8543 John K. Paglia, Ph.D., CFA, CPA Associate Professor of Finance Director, Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project http://bschool.pepperdine.edu/privatecapital john.paglia@pepperdine.edu 805.379.5809 21 21