Week 5 Disruption

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    Week 5 Disruption - Presentation Transcript

    1. CS 292: Beyond the One Way Web Matthew Jett Hall, Spring 2008 http://beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com
      • Shell Global Scenarios Overview
      • Blogging Iran: Esfandiar Zafar
      • What is Disruption?
      • Impacted Industries
      • Chapter 4 Summary
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
    2. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • The Three Global Scenarios
        • Low Trust Globalisation
        • Open Doors
        • Flags
      • How do these scenarios impact
        • … IT Professional?
        • … individuals?
        • … governments?
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Response To
        • Technology
        • Terrorism
        • Bad Corporate Conduct
      • Generates
        • Regulatory Compliance
          • Accounting and Auditing (Logging)
          • E-Discovery (Preservation and Protocol)
        • State Censorship
        • Increase in Security / Decrease in Trust
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Blogging
        • Drivers
        • Rate of Growth
      • State of Blogging in Iran
        • Motivations
        • Penetration
        • Infrastructure used
        • Limitations, Filtering
      • Sample blogs
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • “ Low Cost” of online Publishing
      • Another medium of communication
      • Low cost of entry
      • As easy of writing an email
      • Enhanced by pictures and podcasting
      • Ability to comment
      • And now mobile posting
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
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      • Islamic republic in 1979
      • 1980-88, Iran-Iraq War
      • Isolated by sanctions
      • Population
        • Doubled in under 30 yrs
        • Large ex-pat community
      • Reformer: President Khatami ‘97 – ‘05
      • President Mahmud AHMADI-NEJAD ‘05 - Present
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com) Source: google earth
      • Youth culture pushing the envelope
        • Seeking a medium to self express
        • Thirst for knowledge and information
        • Lack of trust in government
      • Restrictions in social gatherings
        • Religious
        • Cultural
      • Restrictions in publishing and media
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
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    12.  
    13.  
      • IR - 70,431,905 population - Country size: 1,648,195 sq km
      • Capital City: Tehran - population 7,185,831 ('07)
      • 18,000,000 users as of Aug/07, 25.6% penetration, per ITU.
      • 465,100 Broadband Internet connections as of Sept/07, per ITU
      • Source: http://www.internetworldstats.com/
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
    14. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Conclusions :
      • Tremendous growth in Internet usage over 7 years
      • Substantial portion of total Internet adoption in Middle East
      • Amplifies the youth culture’s ability to
        • challenge authority
        • access the world’s popular culture
      Population 2007 Est. Usage 2000 Usage Latest Data % Population % of M.E. 7 Year Usage Growth Iran 65,397,521 250,000 18,000,000 27.5% 53.7% 7,100.0% Middle East 192,755,045 3,284,800 33,510,500 17.4% 100% 920.2%
      • Persian Blog
      • BlogFa
      • Blog Sky
      • Mihan Blog
      • Parsi Blog
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • www.wordpress.org
      • www.youtube.com
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • OpenNet Initiative
      • Most Restrictive Filtering
        • China
        • Iran
      • Detailed Report on Iran 2004-2005
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
    15. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Government and/or ISPs?
      • Persian Text reads:
      • “ Dear Customer
      • Access to this site is not possible.”
      • Captured from a blog in Persian
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
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      • Back of a bus seat in Tehran
      • Persian text reads “fast filter breaker”
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
    18. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Discussing gOS and Web 2.0
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Persian blog entry on how to pass filters to access Google, Gmail, Blogfa
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
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      • “ The action of rending or bursting asunder; violent dissolution of continuity; forcible severance. “ (OED)
      • Out with the old, in with new!
      • Sources
        • Social Change: Revolution
        • Technical Innovation: Obsolescence
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • When an industry is disrupted
        • It impacts that industry
        • It impacts the suppliers of that industry
        • It impacts the sellers of the products
        • It impacts the people transporting the products
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
    22. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com) CIA World Factbook: July 2007 Age Male Female Total 0-14 31,152,050 29,777,438 60,929,488 15-64 100,995,752 101,365,035 202,360,787 65+ 15,858,477 21,991,195 37,849,672 Total 148,006,279 153,133,668 301,139,947
    23. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com) http://www.pewinternet.org/ Web 2.0
      • Notice emergence – late ‘04 / ‘05
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com) Web 2.0
      • Learning and Dissemination
      • Broadcast and Print
      • Advertising
      • Health Care
      • Research
      • Politics
      • Shopping
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • How do you meet your reference needs?
      • How do you learn?
        • Classroom?
        • Recorded Lecture
        • Live Lecture
        • E-Learning
        • Computer Based Training?
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • “ A type of web page designed so that its content can be edited by anyone who accesses it, using a simplified markup language.” wiki, n. " The Oxford English Dictionary . 2nd ed. 1989. OED Online . Oxford University Press.
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • WIKIPEDIA
      • 2001: Wiki Software and Web Server from a dude in St. Pete
      • Utilizes wiki social editing
      • Donation supported
      • Style and structure defined by the contributor
      • “ Our goal is to get to Britannica quality, or better.” Jimmy Wales, Founder
      • BRITANNICA
      • “ December 1768, and the whole work was completed in 1771 in three volumes containing 2,391 pages, four folded leaves of unnumbered tables, and 160 copperplates”
      • Professional editors”
      • Revenue model
      • Style and structure defined by the editorial process
      • Gold Standard for information quality
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
    24. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • 1974 : The 15th edition was given a world point of view by more than 4,000 contributing authors from more than 100 countries. The editorial creation of the work cost $32 million exclusive of printing costs, representing the largest single private investment in publishing history up to that time.
      • “ Encyclopædia Britannica .&quot; Encyclopædia Britannica . 2008. Encyclopædia Britannica Online.  < http://search.eb.com/eb/article-2112 >.
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • December 2005: Nature magazine “Internet encyclopaedias go head to head” by Jim Giles
      • 42 entries examined
        • “ the average science entry in Wikipedia contained around four inaccuracies; Britannica, about three.”
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
    25. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com) Date # Articles Increase from Previous Year 1/1/2002 19,700 19,700 1/1/2003 96,500 76,800 1/1/2004 188,800 92,300 1/1/2005 438,500 249,700 1/1/2006 895,000 456,500 1/1/2007 1,560,000 665,000 1/1/2008 2,153,000 593,000
      • Compression of Time
      • Compression of Distance
      • Modes of Learning
        • Live Lecture
        • Recorded Lecture
        • Interactive Seminar
        • Asynchronous / Interactive
        • Question: Is Face to Face / Live Better?
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Course Management Systems
      • Telepresence
      • Messages come to you, not to a desk
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
    26. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Anywhere Learning
        • Technical Certifications
        • CISSP, Network+, Security+
      • Instructor Led
      • Through web based conferencing
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • TRADITIONAL
      • Print
        • Book
        • Newspaper
        • Magazines
      • Advertising
        • Yellow Pages
        • Print
      • Broadcast
      • DISRUPTION
      • Books
        • Lulu.com
        • Amazon kindle
      • Newspaper
        • Blogs
        • On-Line editions
      • Advertising
        • Search engines
        • Reduction in print readership
        • Dispersion of readership to sites of narrow, topical interest
      • Broadcast
        • ABC, CBS, NBC  Cable
        • Cable  YOUTUBE
        • On-demand, digital distribution
        • DVR
        • What you want when you want it
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
    27. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
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      • Are newspapers dead?
      • HBO – The Wire
        • Episode 53
        • Baltimore Sun
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • “ NAA is a nonprofit organization representing the $59 billion newspaper industry and more than 2,000 newspapers in the U.S. and Canada.” -  naa.org
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
    30. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • 701 hits
      • It’s your work
      • You took someone and redirected their energy 701 times
      • They could have been reading the New York Times
      • They could have been watching CBS
      • Instead they were reading your blog!
      Your blog --- 701 Hits as of 6 Feb 08
      • Problem – how do I reach micro-markets?
      • Banner Ads
      • Flash Ads
      • Text Message Ads
      • Paid placement in search
      • Blog topic related ads
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Web 1.0
        • Electronic Medical Record
        • CPOE
        • Imaging and Diagnostics
      • Web 2.0 moves towards
        • Personalized
        • Evidenced based medicine
        • On-demand
          • access to clinical records for patient and physician
          • access to clinical data regarding procedure outcomes
          • access to clinical data regarding pharmacological outcomes
        • Error reduction and quality improvement
        • Reduced Cycle Time
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Personalized Medicine
      • On-Demand 24 x 7 x 365
      • Physician & Patient Messaging
      • Yes privacy people -- that is my cholesterol
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
    31. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Distributed Computation
        • SETI
        • Cancer
      • Supercomputiing
      • National Cyber Infrastructure
      • Many
        • Disciplines
        • Researchers
        • data sets
        • Scientific instrumentation
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Personal Crusades
        • Utah Taser
        • Bad Cop News
      • Scandal
        • Old School vs. 1.0
      • Campaigning
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Old School – Rodney King
      • New School – Utah Taser Guy
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • This author really loves the po-po
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Monica Lewinsky
      • +
      • Bill Clinton
      • +
      • HTTP+ TCP/IP
      • =
      • Major Scandal Spark
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
    32. CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • June 17, 1972
      • Watergate Hotel
      • Break In
      • Presidents
      • Reporters
      • Large Papers
      • Even a movie about the reporters!
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Youtube Debates
      • Question directly from the population
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)
      • Amazon.com rating systems
      • Netflix Reviews
      • It’s nice to know what others experienced before you buy your products!
      • Based upon your ratings, systems can now recommend things to you.
      CS 292-1: Beyond the One Way Web (beyondtheonewayweb.wordpress.com)

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