Disruptive tech lifecycle: Newkidontheblock

New Kid on the Block The rise and fall of Google Andy Kessler

Start here

Rules are established to create order and maintain profits for incumbents. Examples of rules are: social mores, professional licenses, government regulation, locked-up distribution channels.

Cheaper technology suddenly allows for the bypassing of the rules.

Incumbents are fat and dumb and happy with current monopolistic profits and their general situation, so they bad-mouth any new stuff which threatens their incumbency or profits, or both.

Fringe players emerge to use this ever cheaper technology to simply ignore the rules.

Fringe companies attract venture capital since there are great profits to be made by underselling the incumbents.

Incumbents are in denial until their profits are really threatened and/or market share begins to erode meaningfully.

Chaos ensues; fringe players are threatened with lawsuits, government regulation, public shaming, etc.

Growth at the fringe accelerates, as it is the right way to do business using new technology.

Incumbents co-opt the fringe, or fringe players become the new incumbents and seek to establish new rules...

Restart from the top ▲

Disruptive tech lifecycle: Newkidontheblock

by Bram Alkema on Jun 14, 2007

Accessibility

Categories

Tags

Upload Details

Usage Rights

1 Embed 1

Statistics

Disruptive tech lifecycle: Newkidontheblock — Presentation Transcript