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Technology Outlook




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               ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION




                                                                                                       R
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                          AND DEVELOPMENT




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      The OECD is a unique forum where the governments of 30 democracies L e together
address the economic, social and environmental challenges of globalisation. The OECD is also at
the forefront of efforts to understand and to help governments respond to new developments and
concerns, such as corporate governance, the information economy and the challenges of an
ageing population. The Organisation provides a setting where governments can compare policy
experiences, seek answers to common problems, identify good practice and work to co-ordinate
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      The OECD member countries are: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic,
Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea,
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                                                  Also available in French under the title:
                                         Technologies de l’information et des communications
                                  Perspectives des technologies de l’information de l’OCDE
                                                                      2008




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             he OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008 has been prepared by the OECD under the
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         guidance of its Committee for Information, Computer and Communications Policy (ICCP), and in
         particular the Working Party on the Information Economy (WPIE). This edition is the ninth in a
         biennial series designed to provide member countries with a broad overview of trends and near-term
         prospects in the information technology (IT) industry, analysis of the growing impact of IT on the
         economy and society, developments and emerging applications in selected areas of information
         technology, and a review of IT policies and new policy directions. The 2008 edition builds on previous
         editions to further extend the economic and policy analysis. This edition has been extensively
         updated through mid-November 2008 to take account of rapidly worsening macroeconomic
         conditions.
               The first two chapters provide an overview of the importance and growth of information and
         communication technologies (ICTs) in national economies, describe recent market dynamics, give a
         detailed overview of the globalisation of the ICT sector, and provide a thorough analysis of the
         ongoing shift of production, trade and markets to non-OECD economies, particularly China and
         India. The third chapter provides an overview of the importance of ICT R&D and innovation, the
         leading role of the ICT sector in developing new sources of innovation and the growing importance of
         ICT-related R&D in other sectors. Some of this activity is driven by changing use of the Internet and
         broadband by consumers and users, which is analysed in the following chapter; the rise of digital
         content and increasing online delivery in a range of content-rich industries are analysed in Chapter 5.
         This is followed by a review of some of the economic implications of broadband adoption and use. The
         last chapter provides a critical overview of IT policy developments and priorities in OECD countries.
         National information technology policy profiles are also posted on the OECD website to enable their
         widespread use (www.oecd.org/sti/information-economy).
               The OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008 was drafted under the direction of Graham
         Vickery, with Cristina Serra-Vallejo and Sacha Wunsch-Vincent of the Information, Computer and
         Communications Policy Division of the Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry (DSTI);
         Pierre Montagnier and Desirée van Welsum of DSTI, John Houghton of Victoria University
         (Australia) and Arthur Mickoleit (consultants), with contributions from Verena Kroth and Adam
         Masser (consultants). It benefited from review and valuable contributions by delegates to the
         Working Party on the Information Economy, under the chairmanship of Jean-Jacques Sahel (United
         Kingdom) and Daniela Battisti (Italy), particularly regarding national IT policy developments and
         up-to-date national statistics on the production and use of IT goods and services. This report has
         been recommended for wider distribution by the ICCP Committee.




OECD INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK 2008 – ISBN 978-92-64-05553-7 – © OECD 2008                                         3
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         Highlights: OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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         Chapter 1. The IT Industry: Recent Developments and Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                            Le         c tu    23
               Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        24
               Recent developments in ICT supply . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                           25
               Prospects in the near to medium term . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                            28
               ICT firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     29
               Top 250 ICT firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           31
               Individual firm performance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                     38
               Top 50 ICT firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .          39
               Semiconductors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            43
               Structural change in the ICT sector. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                        45
               Value added . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .         45
               Employment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .          48
               Venture capital . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .         51
               ICT markets and spending . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                    52
               Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        55
               Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .   57
               References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      58
               Annex 1.A1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       59
               Annex 1.A2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       67

         Chapter 2. Globalisation of the ICT Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                          71
               Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        72
               Global trade in information technology products. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                    72
               OECD trade in ICT subsectors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                     81
               Software goods trade. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .               86
               Trade in ICT services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .             87
               Globalisation of the ICT sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                   90
               Foreign direct investment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                  96
               Mergers and acquisitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                  98
               Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107
               Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108
               References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109
               Annex 2.A1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111

         Chapter 3. ICT Research and Development and Innovation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143
               Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144
               ICT R&D challenges and priorities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144


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             ICT sector R&D expenditures and employment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148




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             ICT-related R&D in other industries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173
             ICT-related patents and R&D expenditures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 176




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             Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182




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             References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185




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             Annex 3.A1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 190




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       Chapter 4. Broadband and ICT Access and Use by Households and Individuals. . . . . . 193                  An                                          r
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             Access and use of broadband and selected ICTs: Recent developments. . . . . . . . . . 194
             Time use and the Internet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 208
             From the digital access divide to the digital use divide . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 212
             Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 218
             Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219
             References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219
             Annex 4.A1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 222
             Annex 4.A2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229

       Chapter 5. Digital Content in Transition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 247
             Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 248
             Broadband content markets and value chains: Cross-sector comparisons . . . . . . . 248
             Broadband content developments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257
             Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 278
             Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 278
             References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 280
             Annex 5.A1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 282

       Chapter 6. Economic Implications of Broadband . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 283
             Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 284
             The expected economic impact of broadband. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 285
             Reliability of the infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 288
             Evidence on the productivity impacts of broadband . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291
             Broadband and SMEs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 300
             Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301
             Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301
             References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 303

       Chapter 7. ICT Policy Developments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307
             Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308
             Overview of ICT policy priorities and developments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308
             ICT policy environment: Co-ordination and priority setting. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312
             Specific ICT policies and programmes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314
             Policy assessment and evaluation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 332
             Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 334
             Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 336



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               Annex 7.A1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 337




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         Annex A. Methodology and Definitions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 339




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              1.1. Methodology used to compile the 2006 ICT top 250. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                      30




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              1.2. ICT equipment manufacturing in Chinese Taipei and China. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                               34




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              1.3. Fast-growing ICT firms in the top 250 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                          39




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              2.1. Depreciation of the US dollar against leading currencies: Impacts on ICT
                                                                                                                    An                                       r
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                     trade data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
                                                                                                                                          74
              2.2. Communication equipment trade and missing trader inter-community fraud. . .                                                          84
              2.3. Measuring software trade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                   87
              2.4. Out of South Africa: Globalisation of ICT services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                 89
              2.5. Russian communication service providers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                91
              2.6. Vietnam: A new centre for offshore assembly? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                   97
              2.7. ICT M&A targets and acquirers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101
              3.1. Examples of ICT R&D priorities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146
              3.2. Defining the top ICT R&D spending firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157
              3.3. Samsung R&D and innovation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 160
              3.4. Semiconductor research collaboration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168
              3.5. R&D activities of US affiliates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171
              3.6. Embedded systems in cars. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175
          3.A1.1. When is software development R&D? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 190
          3.A1.2. Definition of ICT patents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191
              4.1. France: The diffusion of ICTs compared to other technologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213
              5.1. Prevalent pricing models in online advertising . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 275
              6.1. Open source software: User-driven innovation and the role of broadband
                     communication networks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 288
              6.2. Deep sea cable infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290
              6.3. The role of intangible capital and other complementary factors for ICTs . . . . . 293
              6.4. Modelling the macro-impacts of broadband deployment and use
                     in the European Union . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298
              7.1. Achieving socio-economic objectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314
              7.2. Government e-health projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 316
              7.3. Open source applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 317
              7.4. Venture finance policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 318
              7.5. Business innovation in SMEs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 319
              7.6. Supporting RFID applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 322
              7.7. Increasing the appeal of ICT-related professions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 324
              7.8. Policies for digital content development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 326
              7.9. Public sector information and content . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 328
             7.10. Monitoring the Recommendation of the OECD Council on Broadband
                     Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 330
             7.11. Open standards for information exchange . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 331
             7.12. Online identity theft . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 332
             7.13. Evaluation of ICT R&D in the European Commission’s 6th Framework
                     Programme . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 333


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                    Top ten ICT policy priorities, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                21




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             1.1. Economies represented in the top 250 ICT firms, 2000 and 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . .                                            33




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             1.2. Top 250 ICT firms by sector, 2000 and 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                           35




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             1.3. Top 50 ICT firms ranked by revenue in 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                             40




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        1.A1.1. Top 10 communications equipment and systems firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                            59




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        1.A1.2. Top 10 IT equipment and systems firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                              61




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        1.A1.3. Top 10 electronics firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .               62
        1.A1.4. Top 10 specialist semiconductor firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                  62




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        1.A1.5. Top 10 IT services firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     63
        1.A1.6.     Top 10 software firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .L . e. c. 64
                                                                                                                                 .. .. ..
        1.A1.7. Top 10 Internet firms. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .   65
        1.A1.8. Top 10 telecommunication services firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                              66
        1.A2.1. Total ICT spending, 2003-08 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                  68
        1.A2.2. Emerging economy ICT spending by segment, 2003-08 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                          69
             2.1. Currency exchange rates, national units per USD, percentage changes
                    compared to 2001 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       74
             2.2. Growth in electronics goods production, trade and sales, 1995-2006. . . . . . . . .                                              93
             2.3. US intra-firm trade in ICT goods and services, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                96
             2.4. Foreign-owned enterprises in Sweden’s ICT sector, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107
        2.A1.1. World and OECD ICT goods trade, 1996-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111
        2.A1.2. OECD trade in ICT goods, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112
        2.A1.3. Balance of OECD trade in ICT goods, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
        2.A1.4. ICT goods trade, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114
        2.A1.5. OECD accession countries trade in ICT goods, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116
        2.A1.6. Emerging economies trade in ICT goods, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118
        2.A1.7. Direction of ICT goods exports, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119
        2.A1.8. Direction of ICT goods imports, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120
        2.A1.9. OECD trade in computer and related equipment, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120
       2.A1.10. OECD trade in electronic components, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121
       2.A1.11. OECD trade in communication equipment, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122
       2.A1.12. OECD trade in audio and video equipment, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123
       2.A1.13. OECD trade in other ICT-related equipment, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 124
       2.A1.14. OECD trade in software goods, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125
       2.A1.15. Trade in ICT services, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 126
       2.A1.16. Growth in the value of electronics production, 2005-2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127
       2.A1.17. Share of ICT goods in total merchandise exports, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128
       2.A1.18. Revealed comparative advantage in ICT goods exports, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . 129
       2.A1.19. Grubel and Lloyd Index for ICT goods, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130
       2.A1.20. ICT sector cross-border M&A deals, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131
       2.A1.21. ICT sector cross-border M&A deal values, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131
       2.A1.22. ICT sector cross-border M&A deals by target country, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . 132
       2.A1.23. ICT sector cross-border M&A deals by country of acquirer, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . 133
       2.A1.24. ICT sector cross-border M&A deal values by target country, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . 134
       2.A1.25. ICT sector cross-border M&A deal values by country of acquirer, 1997-2007 135
       2.A1.26. ICT sector cross-border M&A deals by economy: Top 50 targets
                    and acquirers, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136



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                  and targets, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            137




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         2.A1.28. ICT sector foreign affiliates operating in the United States, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . .                                        138
         2.A1.29. US foreign affiliates operating overseas, 2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                          139




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         2.A1.30. Country origin of foreign-owned enterprises in Sweden’s ICT sector, 2006 . . .                                                  140




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         2.A1.31. Swedish-owned ICT sector enterprises operating overseas, 2004. . . . . . . . . . . .                                            141




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             3.1. Top ICT R&D spenders: Absolute expenditure, 2006 and 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                           159




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             3.2. Top ICT R&D spenders: Expenditure growth, 2000-07 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                     160




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             3.3. Top ICT R&D spenders: R&D expenditures per employee, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                             161




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             3.4. Top ICT R&D spenders: R&D intensity (R&D expenditure as share of sales),                     An                                       r
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                  2000 and 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
                                                                                                                                   162
             3.5. ICT R&D promotion and public funding in selected OECD and non-member
                  economies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .   166
             3.6. R&D performed abroad by majority-owned foreign affiliates of US parent
                  companies, 2002-05 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .          171
             3.7. Top 20 ICT patenting firms among patents granted (all industries)
                  by the USPTO number of patents, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                        180
             3.8. Position of ICT firms among the top 20 patent applicants (all industries)
                  at the European Patent Office, Japan Patent Office, and the PCT, 2007
                  or latest available year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        180
             4.1. Speed of diffusion of selected ICT goods/services in selected OECD countries . . .                                              195
             4.2. Average time spent using email, chat or Internet, per week, during leisure
                  time, in Finland. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     209
             4.3. Differences among high school pupils by socio-economic group in the use
                  of instant messaging for chatting, France, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                             217
          4.A2.1. Households and individuals with access to a home computer in selected
                  OECD countries, 1986-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .               230
          4.A2.2. Households with access to the Internet in selected OECD countries,
                  1996-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .         232
          4.A2.3. Households and individuals with broadband access to the Internet from
                  home in selected OECD countries, 2000-07. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                           233
          4.A2.4. Places where the Internet has been used by females and males, 2005 . . . . . . .                                                234
          4.A2.5. Marginal effect of broadband on selected activities in Canada, 2005 . . . . . . . .                                             235
          4.A2.6. Marginal effect of broadband on selected activities in EU countries, 2007 . . . . . . .                                         236
          4.A2.7. Selected Internet broadband activities in EU countries, 2007. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                               238
          4.A2.8. Marginal effect of broadband on selected Internet activities in the
                  United States, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       240
          4.A2.9. PC and Internet penetration rates, differences between top and bottom
                  income bands . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      241
         4.A2.10. Purposes of use of the Internet in Finland, spring 2004 and spring 2007. . . . . .                                              242
         4.A2.11. Number of activities participated in by home Internet users during the
                  last 12 months, Canada, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                243
         4.A2.12. Diversity of Internet activities in the Netherlands, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                 243
         4.A2.13. Number of different uses of the Internet in France, all types of connection
                  combined, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        244
             5.1. Market size and growth, 2007 or latest available year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                 250
             5.2. Impact of broadband on value chains, competition and market structure . . . .                                                   252



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            5.4. Evolving sector-specific online business models. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254




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            5.5. Digital content product characteristics and broadband functionalities. . . . . . . 255
            5.6. Platforms for user-created content . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257




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            5.7. Economic incentives and benefits for different UCC value chain participants. 260




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            5.8. UCC platform business models: Citizen journalism and photos. . . . . . . . . . . . . 261




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            5.9. Actual and projected online cinema product revenue, 2004-10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265




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                  January 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266




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          5.11. Evolution of digital music sales and yearly per capita music spending,                            An                                           r
                  selected countries, 2006. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .L . . . . . . t
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        5.A1.1. Intellectual property provisions in terms of services of UCC sites . . . . . . . . . . . 282
            7.1. Top ten ICT policy priorities, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309
            7.2. Summary of ICT policy replies, 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 310
            7.3. Summary of ICT policy priorities, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312
            7.4. Changing ICT policy priorities, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 334
        7.A1.1. Ranking of ICT policy areas, 2008. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 338

       Figures
           1.1. Growth in monthly shipments of ICT goods by segment in the United States,
                  December 2001-September 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                          26
           1.2. Growth in monthly production in selected ICT sectors in Germany,
                  December 2001-September 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                          26
           1.3. Growth in monthly turnover in selected ICT sectors in France,
                  December 2001-August 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                      27
           1.4. Growth of monthly sales of IT services industries in Japan,
                  December 2001-August 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                      27
           1.5. Trends in real output (GDP) in the Canadian ICT sector, Q1 2002-Q2 2008 . . . .                                                        28
           1.6. Top 250 ICT firms’ performance trends, 2000-07 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                     31
           1.7. Top ICT firms’ revenue and net income trends, 2000-07 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                            32
           1.8. Top 250 ICT firms’ revenue growth by economy of registration, 2000-06 . . . . .                                                        34
           1.9. Top 250 ICT firms’ revenue shares by sector, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                      36
          1.10. Top 250 ICT firms’ revenue trends by sector, 2000-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                       36
          1.11. Top 250 ICT firms’ profitability by sector, 2000-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                  37
          1.12. Top 250 ICT firms’ R&D intensity by sector, 2000-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                      38
          1.13. Worldwide semiconductor market by region, 1990-2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                              43
          1.14. Worldwide semiconductor sales by market segment, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                44
          1.15. Worldwide semiconductor market by segment, 1990-2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                 44
          1.16. Share of ICT valued added in business sector value added, 1995 and 2006 . . . .                                                        46
          1.17. Share of ICT employment in business sector employment, 1995 and 2006 . . . .                                                           47
          1.18. Share of ICT specialist occupations in the total economy, narrow definition,
                  1995 and 2007. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .          49
          1.19. Share of ICT-using occupations in the total economy, broad definition,
                  1995 and 2007. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .          50
          1.20. Venture capital investments in ICT as a percentage of all venture capital
                  investment, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           51




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                     Q1 1995-Q3 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                    52




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             1.22. Worldwide ICT spending by market segment, 2003-08 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                    53
             1.23. OECD ICT spending by market segment, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                              53




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             1.24. Fastest ICT spending growth, 2003-07 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                     54




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              2.1. World trade in ICT goods, 1996-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                    73




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              2.2. United States ICT goods trade growth, March 2001-March 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                          75




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              2.3. China ICT goods export trade growth, April 2000-April 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                     76




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              2.4. Top importers and exporters of ICT goods, 1996-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                  77




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             2.5a. ICT goods exports, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                          78      r
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                     ICT goods imports, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .L . . . .c. t 79
             2.5b.                                                                                                        ..
                                                                                                                             e .
              2.6. Direction of OECD ICT goods trade, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                           81
              2.7. OECD computer equipment trade, 2006. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                         82
              2.8. OECD electronic components trade, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                         83
              2.9. OECD communication equipment trade, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                               85
             2.10. OECD audio and video equipment trade, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                             86
             2.11. OECD software goods trade, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                  87
             2.12. OECD and major emerging economies’ computer and information services
                     trade, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .              88
             2.13. OECD and major emerging economies’ communication services trade, 2006 . .                                                                      90
             2.14. Electronics production, 2005 and 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                            92
             2.15. Growth in the value of electronics production, 2005-2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                   92
             2.16. Share of ICT goods in total merchandise exports, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                     94
             2.17. Revealed comparative advantage in ICT goods, 1996-2006. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                      95
             2.18. Value of cross-border M&A deals in ICT and non-ICT sectors, 1995-2007 . . . . .                                                                99
             2.19. Cross-border M&As deals in the ICT sector, 1995-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                 99
             2.20. Cross-border M&As deals in the ICT sector, 1995-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100
             2.21. ICT sector cross-border M&As deals by region, 1995-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102
             2.22. ICT sector cross-border M&As deals by region, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102
             2.23. Foreign affiliates’ share of turnover in ICT manufacturing, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . 104
             2.24. Foreign affiliates’ share of employment in ICT manufacturing, 2005 . . . . . . . . . 104
             2.25. Foreign affiliates’ share of turnover in IT services, 2004. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105
             2.26. United States cross-border and affiliate services sales, 1990-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . 106
              3.1. ICT R&D priorities (clusters of topics and subtopics). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145
              3.2. Socio-economic applications of ICT research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148
              3.3. Business R&D spending, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149
              3.4. Growth of the largest R&D-spending sectors in the OECD area, 1993-2005 . . . . 150
              3.5. ICT sub-sector R&D expenditures as a share of total OECD area ICT R&D,
                     1993-2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151
              3.6. Business R&D expenditure for ICT goods and services, as a share of GDP,
                     1997 and 2005. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151
              3.7. Share of selected OECD countries in total OECD area ICT sector R&D expenditures,
                     2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152
              3.8. R&D expenditures in the United States, the EU15, Japan and Korea by ICT
                     sub-sectors, 1996, 2003 and 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153
              3.9. R&D expenditures in the computer services and software sector, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . 154
             3.10. ICT R&D researchers, 2006 or latest available year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155



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          3.11. Share of ICT R&D researchers in total R&D researchers, 2006 or latest
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                 available year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156




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          3.12. Top ICT firms, growth of revenue and R&D expenditure, 2000-06 . . . . . . . . . . . 157
          3.13. R&D expenditures of top ICT firms, 2006 (left: in USD billions, right: in percentage




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                 of total) and growth of R&D expenditures of top ICT firms, 2000-06 (bottom,




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                 in percentage, current terms) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158




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          3.14. Reported R&D expenditures of top 100 ICT R&D spending firms, by sector,




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                 2000 and 2006. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159




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          3.15. Average R&D intensity of top ICT firms by sector, 2000 and 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . 162




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          3.16. R&D intensity of ICT firms, by country/region, 2002-06 (only top ICT firms                      An                                          r
                 reporting R&D) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .L . . . . . . t
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                                                                                                                                e c 163
          3.17. Co-operation of innovative firms with universities or higher education
                 institutions per industry sector, four EU countries (France, Germany, Spain
                 and the United Kingdom), 2002-04 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170
          3.18. Share of R&D expenditure under foreign control in the ICT sector, 2005. . . . . . 172
          3.19. Japanese ICT R&D expenditures, in ICT and non-ICT sectors, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . 174
          3.20. Software development in industrial R&D, United States, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174
          3.21. ICT-related patents filed under the PCT, by country, 1994-2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 176
          3.22. Share of countries in ICT-related patents filed under the PCT, 2005 . . . . . . . . . 178
          3.23. ICT-related patents as a percentage of national total, PCT filings, 2003-05 . . . . 179
          3.24. ICT-related patents granted at the USPTO versus R&D expenditures . . . . . . . . . 181
          3.25. ICT-related patent applications at the EPO versus R&D expenditures . . . . . . . . 181
           4.1. Households with access to a home computer in selected OECD countries,
                 1994-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 196
           4.2. Household access to the Internet in selected OECD countries, 1996-2007 . . . . . 196
           4.3. Households with broadband access in OECD countries, 2003-07. . . . . . . . . . . . . 197
           4.4. Diffusion of PC and Internet in Sweden by level of education, 1994-2005 . . . . . 198
           4.5. Internet access by high, medium and low education level in selected
                 OECD countries, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199
           4.6. Broadband access and selected Internet activities among students
                 and pensioners in Finland, 2002-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200
           4.7. Gender differences for selected Internet activities in selected
                 OECD countries, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201
           4.8. Broadband uptake among households with or without children in Finland,
                 Norway and the United Kingdom, 2003-07 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 202
           4.9. PC and Internet diffusion and use in the United States and Japan,
                 by employment status . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203
          4.10. Non-business-related use of the Internet at the workplace in Luxembourg,
                 2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 204
          4.11. Frequency of use of the Internet in Mexico and the United Kingdom . . . . . . . . 205
          4.12. Impact of broadband on selected Internet activities, selected
                 OECD countries, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 207
          4.13. Internet activities of adults in the United Kingdom, 2000-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 208
          4.14. Weekly Internet access hours in Korea, 2004-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209
          4.15. Broadband diffusion and time spent on the Internet in Norway, 2000-07 . . . . . . . 210
          4.16. Media consumption by Internet users in France, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 210
          4.17. US adult Internet users who use other media while online, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . 211



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             4.19. Evolution of inequalities in possession of selected products in France . . . . . . . 213
             4.20. Number of purposes of use of the Internet in Finland, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 214




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             4.21. Broadband effect on variety of home Internet use in Finland, 2004 . . . . . . . . . . 215




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                     12 months, Canada, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 215




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                     France, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 216




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          4.A1.1. Diffusion of PCs among households by income level in Japan, 1992-2007 . . . . . 222             An                                         r
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          4.A1.2.                                                                         L e . . 223
          4.A1.3. Internet usage in Finland, 2001 and 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 224
          4.A1.4. Internet usage pattern by gender and age in Korea, 2005. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225
          4.A1.5. Selected online activities by level of education in Sweden, 2003-07 . . . . . . . . . . 226
          4.A1.6. Minutes using the Internet at home in leisure time per week in Finland,
                     2001-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227
              5.1. Broadband growth, OECD total, 2003-08 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249
              5.2. Global consumer Internet traffic 2005-11 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249
              5.3. Digital broadband content value and distribution chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251
              5.4. Digital broadband content business models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254
              5.5. Bandwidth requirements of selected digital content types, in Mbit/s, 2008 . . . . . . 255
              5.6. Blog readers, bloggers, and minihompy owners in Korea. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259
              5.7. Major film market revenues, 2006 (excluding TV market) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 264
              5.8. Value of global music sales, 1984-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269
              5.9. Growth of worldwide advertising spending . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273
             5.10. Worldwide shares of advertising expenditure by medium. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273
          5.A1.1. Market size and growth, 2007 or latest available year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 282
              6.1. The 23 600 mile SEA-ME-WE 3 Cable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289
          7.A1.1. ICT policy framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 337


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OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008
OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008

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OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008

  • 1. t Ed s e _i iti o w n o D Br y nl OECD Information O u le Technology Outlook d EC ea se R O e An r u Lect 2008
  • 2. t Ed s e _i iti o w o n D Br y nl O u le d EC ea se R O e An r Le ctu About OECD Browse_it editions In a traditional bookshop you can browse the display copies from cover-to-cover, free of charge. Wouldn't it be good to be able to do the same online? Now you can. OECD's Browse_it editions allow you to browse our books, online, from cover-to-cover. But, just as in a real bookshop where you can't take or copy pages from the books on display, we've disabled the print and copy functions in our Browse-it editions - they're read-only. And, just as in a real bookshop, you may choose to buy or borrow from a library some titles you've browsed, so we hope you'll buy or borrow our books when they meet your needs. Tell us what you think about our Browse-it service, write to us at sales@oecd.org. Buying OECD Publications You can purchase OECD books and e-books from our Online Bookshop - www.oecd.org/bookshop where, if you purchase printed editions you can download the e-book edition free of charge. Our books are also available from a network of distributors, click the 'Distributors' button on this website: www.oecd.org/publications/distributors to find your nearest OECD publications stockist. OECD Publications in Libraries You'll find OECD publications in many institutional libraries around the world, especially at universities and in government libraries. Many subscribe to the OECD's own e-library, SourceOECD. SourceOECD provides online acess to our books, periodicals and statistical databases. If your institutional library does not yet subscribe to SourceOECD, tell your librarian about our free three-month trial offer. For more details about SourceOECD visit http://new.SourceOECD.org or email sourceoecd@oecd.org. OECD has a network of Depository Libraries in each Member country where all OECD printed publications are available for consultation - www.oecd.org/deposoitorylibraries for a list.
  • 3. D Br EC o O w s R An ea e _i d O t Ed nl Lect y iti u r o e n se u le
  • 4. t Ed s e _i iti o w Information and Communications Technologies n o D Br y nl O u le d EC ea se R O e r OECD Information An Lect u Technology Outlook 2008
  • 5. t Ed s e _i iti o w n o D Br y nl O u le d EC ea se ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION R O AND DEVELOPMENT e r An work c t u to The OECD is a unique forum where the governments of 30 democracies L e together address the economic, social and environmental challenges of globalisation. The OECD is also at the forefront of efforts to understand and to help governments respond to new developments and concerns, such as corporate governance, the information economy and the challenges of an ageing population. The Organisation provides a setting where governments can compare policy experiences, seek answers to common problems, identify good practice and work to co-ordinate domestic and international policies. The OECD member countries are: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, the Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States. The Commission of the European Communities takes part in the work of the OECD. OECD Publishing disseminates widely the results of the Organisation’s statistics gathering and research on economic, social and environmental issues, as well as the conventions, guidelines and standards agreed by its members. This work is published on the responsibility of the Secretary-General of the OECD. The opinions expressed and arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of the Organisation or of the governments of its member countries. Also available in French under the title: Technologies de l’information et des communications Perspectives des technologies de l’information de l’OCDE 2008 Corrigenda to OECD publications may be found on line at: www.oecd.org/publishing/corrigenda. © OECD 2008 You can copy, download or print OECD content for your own use, and you can include excerpts from OECD publications, databases and multimedia products in your own documents, presentations, blogs, websites and teaching materials, provided that suitable acknowledgment of OECD as source and copyright owner is given. All requests for public or commercial use and translation rights should be submitted to rights@oecd.org. Requests for permission to photocopy portions of this material for public or commercial use shall be addressed directly to the Copyright Clearance Center (CCC) at info@copyright.com or the Centre français d'exploitation du droit de copie (CFC) contact@cfcopies.com.
  • 6. t E d FOREWORD s e _i iti o w n o D Br y nl O u le d EC ea se Foreword R O T e he OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008 has been prepared by the OECD under the An r u Lect guidance of its Committee for Information, Computer and Communications Policy (ICCP), and in particular the Working Party on the Information Economy (WPIE). This edition is the ninth in a biennial series designed to provide member countries with a broad overview of trends and near-term prospects in the information technology (IT) industry, analysis of the growing impact of IT on the economy and society, developments and emerging applications in selected areas of information technology, and a review of IT policies and new policy directions. The 2008 edition builds on previous editions to further extend the economic and policy analysis. This edition has been extensively updated through mid-November 2008 to take account of rapidly worsening macroeconomic conditions. The first two chapters provide an overview of the importance and growth of information and communication technologies (ICTs) in national economies, describe recent market dynamics, give a detailed overview of the globalisation of the ICT sector, and provide a thorough analysis of the ongoing shift of production, trade and markets to non-OECD economies, particularly China and India. The third chapter provides an overview of the importance of ICT R&D and innovation, the leading role of the ICT sector in developing new sources of innovation and the growing importance of ICT-related R&D in other sectors. Some of this activity is driven by changing use of the Internet and broadband by consumers and users, which is analysed in the following chapter; the rise of digital content and increasing online delivery in a range of content-rich industries are analysed in Chapter 5. This is followed by a review of some of the economic implications of broadband adoption and use. The last chapter provides a critical overview of IT policy developments and priorities in OECD countries. National information technology policy profiles are also posted on the OECD website to enable their widespread use (www.oecd.org/sti/information-economy). The OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008 was drafted under the direction of Graham Vickery, with Cristina Serra-Vallejo and Sacha Wunsch-Vincent of the Information, Computer and Communications Policy Division of the Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry (DSTI); Pierre Montagnier and Desirée van Welsum of DSTI, John Houghton of Victoria University (Australia) and Arthur Mickoleit (consultants), with contributions from Verena Kroth and Adam Masser (consultants). It benefited from review and valuable contributions by delegates to the Working Party on the Information Economy, under the chairmanship of Jean-Jacques Sahel (United Kingdom) and Daniela Battisti (Italy), particularly regarding national IT policy developments and up-to-date national statistics on the production and use of IT goods and services. This report has been recommended for wider distribution by the ICCP Committee. OECD INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK 2008 – ISBN 978-92-64-05553-7 – © OECD 2008 3
  • 7. t Ed s e _i iti o w n o D Br y nl O u le d EC ea se R O e An r u Lect This book has... StatLinks2 A service that delivers Excel® files from the printed page! Look for the StatLinks at the bottom right-hand corner of the tables or graphs in this book. To download the matching Excel® spreadsheet, just type the link into your Internet browser, starting with the http://dx.doi.org prefix. If you’re reading the PDF e-book edition, and your PC is connected to the Internet, simply click on the link. You’ll find StatLinks appearing in more OECD books.
  • 8. t Ed s e _i TABLE OF CONTENTS iti o w n o D Br y nl O u le d EC ea se Table of Contents R O e Highlights: OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . An 15 r Chapter 1. The IT Industry: Recent Developments and Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Le c tu 23 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Recent developments in ICT supply . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Prospects in the near to medium term . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 ICT firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Top 250 ICT firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Individual firm performance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Top 50 ICT firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Semiconductors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Structural change in the ICT sector. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Value added . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Employment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 Venture capital . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 ICT markets and spending . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 Annex 1.A1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 Annex 1.A2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 Chapter 2. Globalisation of the ICT Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 Global trade in information technology products. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 OECD trade in ICT subsectors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 Software goods trade. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 Trade in ICT services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 Globalisation of the ICT sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 Foreign direct investment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 Mergers and acquisitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 Annex 2.A1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 Chapter 3. ICT Research and Development and Innovation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144 ICT R&D challenges and priorities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144 OECD INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK 2008 – ISBN 978-92-64-05553-7 – © OECD 2008 5
  • 9. t Ed TABLE OF CONTENTS s e _i iti o w ICT sector R&D expenditures and employment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148 n o Trends in the organisation of ICT R&D . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164 D Br y nl ICT-related R&D in other industries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173 ICT-related patents and R&D expenditures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 176 O u le Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182 d EC Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182 ea se References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185 R O Annex 3.A1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 190 e Chapter 4. Broadband and ICT Access and Use by Households and Individuals. . . . . . 193 An r Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .L . . . . . . t . . e c 194 u Access and use of broadband and selected ICTs: Recent developments. . . . . . . . . . 194 Time use and the Internet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 208 From the digital access divide to the digital use divide . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 212 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 218 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219 Annex 4.A1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 222 Annex 4.A2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229 Chapter 5. Digital Content in Transition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 247 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 248 Broadband content markets and value chains: Cross-sector comparisons . . . . . . . 248 Broadband content developments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 278 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 278 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 280 Annex 5.A1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 282 Chapter 6. Economic Implications of Broadband . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 283 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 284 The expected economic impact of broadband. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 285 Reliability of the infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 288 Evidence on the productivity impacts of broadband . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291 Broadband and SMEs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 300 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 303 Chapter 7. ICT Policy Developments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308 Overview of ICT policy priorities and developments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308 ICT policy environment: Co-ordination and priority setting. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312 Specific ICT policies and programmes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314 Policy assessment and evaluation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 332 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 334 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 336 6 OECD INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK 2008 – ISBN 978-92-64-05553-7 – © OECD 2008
  • 10. t Ed s e _i TABLE OF CONTENTS iti o w References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 336 n o D Br Annex 7.A1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 337 y nl Annex A. Methodology and Definitions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 339 O u le Boxes d EC ea 1.1. Methodology used to compile the 2006 ICT top 250. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 se 1.2. ICT equipment manufacturing in Chinese Taipei and China. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 R O 1.3. Fast-growing ICT firms in the top 250 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 e 2.1. Depreciation of the US dollar against leading currencies: Impacts on ICT An r u Lect trade data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 2.2. Communication equipment trade and missing trader inter-community fraud. . . 84 2.3. Measuring software trade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 2.4. Out of South Africa: Globalisation of ICT services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 2.5. Russian communication service providers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 2.6. Vietnam: A new centre for offshore assembly? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 2.7. ICT M&A targets and acquirers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 3.1. Examples of ICT R&D priorities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146 3.2. Defining the top ICT R&D spending firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157 3.3. Samsung R&D and innovation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 160 3.4. Semiconductor research collaboration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168 3.5. R&D activities of US affiliates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171 3.6. Embedded systems in cars. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175 3.A1.1. When is software development R&D? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 190 3.A1.2. Definition of ICT patents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191 4.1. France: The diffusion of ICTs compared to other technologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213 5.1. Prevalent pricing models in online advertising . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 275 6.1. Open source software: User-driven innovation and the role of broadband communication networks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 288 6.2. Deep sea cable infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290 6.3. The role of intangible capital and other complementary factors for ICTs . . . . . 293 6.4. Modelling the macro-impacts of broadband deployment and use in the European Union . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298 7.1. Achieving socio-economic objectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314 7.2. Government e-health projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 316 7.3. Open source applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 317 7.4. Venture finance policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 318 7.5. Business innovation in SMEs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 319 7.6. Supporting RFID applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 322 7.7. Increasing the appeal of ICT-related professions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 324 7.8. Policies for digital content development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 326 7.9. Public sector information and content . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 328 7.10. Monitoring the Recommendation of the OECD Council on Broadband Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 330 7.11. Open standards for information exchange . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 331 7.12. Online identity theft . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 332 7.13. Evaluation of ICT R&D in the European Commission’s 6th Framework Programme . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 333 OECD INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK 2008 – ISBN 978-92-64-05553-7 – © OECD 2008 7
  • 11. t Ed TABLE OF CONTENTS s e _i iti o Tables w n o D Br Top ten ICT policy priorities, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 y nl 1.1. Economies represented in the top 250 ICT firms, 2000 and 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 O 1.2. Top 250 ICT firms by sector, 2000 and 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 u le 1.3. Top 50 ICT firms ranked by revenue in 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 d EC 1.A1.1. Top 10 communications equipment and systems firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 ea se 1.A1.2. Top 10 IT equipment and systems firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 R O 1.A1.3. Top 10 electronics firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 1.A1.4. Top 10 specialist semiconductor firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 e An r tu 1.A1.5. Top 10 IT services firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 1.A1.6. Top 10 software firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .L . e. c. 64 .. .. .. 1.A1.7. Top 10 Internet firms. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 1.A1.8. Top 10 telecommunication services firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 1.A2.1. Total ICT spending, 2003-08 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 1.A2.2. Emerging economy ICT spending by segment, 2003-08 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 2.1. Currency exchange rates, national units per USD, percentage changes compared to 2001 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 2.2. Growth in electronics goods production, trade and sales, 1995-2006. . . . . . . . . 93 2.3. US intra-firm trade in ICT goods and services, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 2.4. Foreign-owned enterprises in Sweden’s ICT sector, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 2.A1.1. World and OECD ICT goods trade, 1996-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 2.A1.2. OECD trade in ICT goods, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 2.A1.3. Balance of OECD trade in ICT goods, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 2.A1.4. ICT goods trade, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 2.A1.5. OECD accession countries trade in ICT goods, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 2.A1.6. Emerging economies trade in ICT goods, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 2.A1.7. Direction of ICT goods exports, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 2.A1.8. Direction of ICT goods imports, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 2.A1.9. OECD trade in computer and related equipment, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 2.A1.10. OECD trade in electronic components, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 2.A1.11. OECD trade in communication equipment, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122 2.A1.12. OECD trade in audio and video equipment, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 2.A1.13. OECD trade in other ICT-related equipment, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 124 2.A1.14. OECD trade in software goods, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 2.A1.15. Trade in ICT services, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 126 2.A1.16. Growth in the value of electronics production, 2005-2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 2.A1.17. Share of ICT goods in total merchandise exports, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128 2.A1.18. Revealed comparative advantage in ICT goods exports, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . 129 2.A1.19. Grubel and Lloyd Index for ICT goods, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 2.A1.20. ICT sector cross-border M&A deals, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 2.A1.21. ICT sector cross-border M&A deal values, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 2.A1.22. ICT sector cross-border M&A deals by target country, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . 132 2.A1.23. ICT sector cross-border M&A deals by country of acquirer, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . 133 2.A1.24. ICT sector cross-border M&A deal values by target country, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . 134 2.A1.25. ICT sector cross-border M&A deal values by country of acquirer, 1997-2007 135 2.A1.26. ICT sector cross-border M&A deals by economy: Top 50 targets and acquirers, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136 8 OECD INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK 2008 – ISBN 978-92-64-05553-7 – © OECD 2008
  • 12. t Ed s e _i TABLE OF CONTENTS iti o 2.A1.27. ICT sector cross-border M&A deals by economy: Largest acquirers w n o and targets, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 D Br y nl 2.A1.28. ICT sector foreign affiliates operating in the United States, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . 138 2.A1.29. US foreign affiliates operating overseas, 2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 O u le 2.A1.30. Country origin of foreign-owned enterprises in Sweden’s ICT sector, 2006 . . . 140 d EC 2.A1.31. Swedish-owned ICT sector enterprises operating overseas, 2004. . . . . . . . . . . . 141 ea 3.1. Top ICT R&D spenders: Absolute expenditure, 2006 and 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159 se R 3.2. Top ICT R&D spenders: Expenditure growth, 2000-07 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 160 O 3.3. Top ICT R&D spenders: R&D expenditures per employee, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161 e 3.4. Top ICT R&D spenders: R&D intensity (R&D expenditure as share of sales), An r u Lect 2000 and 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162 3.5. ICT R&D promotion and public funding in selected OECD and non-member economies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 166 3.6. R&D performed abroad by majority-owned foreign affiliates of US parent companies, 2002-05 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171 3.7. Top 20 ICT patenting firms among patents granted (all industries) by the USPTO number of patents, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180 3.8. Position of ICT firms among the top 20 patent applicants (all industries) at the European Patent Office, Japan Patent Office, and the PCT, 2007 or latest available year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180 4.1. Speed of diffusion of selected ICT goods/services in selected OECD countries . . . 195 4.2. Average time spent using email, chat or Internet, per week, during leisure time, in Finland. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209 4.3. Differences among high school pupils by socio-economic group in the use of instant messaging for chatting, France, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217 4.A2.1. Households and individuals with access to a home computer in selected OECD countries, 1986-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 230 4.A2.2. Households with access to the Internet in selected OECD countries, 1996-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 232 4.A2.3. Households and individuals with broadband access to the Internet from home in selected OECD countries, 2000-07. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 233 4.A2.4. Places where the Internet has been used by females and males, 2005 . . . . . . . 234 4.A2.5. Marginal effect of broadband on selected activities in Canada, 2005 . . . . . . . . 235 4.A2.6. Marginal effect of broadband on selected activities in EU countries, 2007 . . . . . . . 236 4.A2.7. Selected Internet broadband activities in EU countries, 2007. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 238 4.A2.8. Marginal effect of broadband on selected Internet activities in the United States, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 240 4.A2.9. PC and Internet penetration rates, differences between top and bottom income bands . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 241 4.A2.10. Purposes of use of the Internet in Finland, spring 2004 and spring 2007. . . . . . 242 4.A2.11. Number of activities participated in by home Internet users during the last 12 months, Canada, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 243 4.A2.12. Diversity of Internet activities in the Netherlands, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 243 4.A2.13. Number of different uses of the Internet in France, all types of connection combined, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 244 5.1. Market size and growth, 2007 or latest available year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 250 5.2. Impact of broadband on value chains, competition and market structure . . . . 252 OECD INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK 2008 – ISBN 978-92-64-05553-7 – © OECD 2008 9
  • 13. t Ed TABLE OF CONTENTS s e _i iti o 5.3. New cross-industry participation in broadband content distribution . . . . . . . . 252 w n o 5.4. Evolving sector-specific online business models. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254 D Br y nl 5.5. Digital content product characteristics and broadband functionalities. . . . . . . 255 5.6. Platforms for user-created content . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257 O u le 5.7. Economic incentives and benefits for different UCC value chain participants. 260 d EC 5.8. UCC platform business models: Citizen journalism and photos. . . . . . . . . . . . . 261 ea 5.9. Actual and projected online cinema product revenue, 2004-10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265 se R 5.10. Online full-feature film providers, selected examples from OECD countries, O January 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266 e 5.11. Evolution of digital music sales and yearly per capita music spending, An r selected countries, 2006. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .L . . . . . . t u .. e c 268 5.A1.1. Intellectual property provisions in terms of services of UCC sites . . . . . . . . . . . 282 7.1. Top ten ICT policy priorities, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309 7.2. Summary of ICT policy replies, 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 310 7.3. Summary of ICT policy priorities, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312 7.4. Changing ICT policy priorities, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 334 7.A1.1. Ranking of ICT policy areas, 2008. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 338 Figures 1.1. Growth in monthly shipments of ICT goods by segment in the United States, December 2001-September 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 1.2. Growth in monthly production in selected ICT sectors in Germany, December 2001-September 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 1.3. Growth in monthly turnover in selected ICT sectors in France, December 2001-August 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 1.4. Growth of monthly sales of IT services industries in Japan, December 2001-August 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 1.5. Trends in real output (GDP) in the Canadian ICT sector, Q1 2002-Q2 2008 . . . . 28 1.6. Top 250 ICT firms’ performance trends, 2000-07 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 1.7. Top ICT firms’ revenue and net income trends, 2000-07 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 1.8. Top 250 ICT firms’ revenue growth by economy of registration, 2000-06 . . . . . 34 1.9. Top 250 ICT firms’ revenue shares by sector, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 1.10. Top 250 ICT firms’ revenue trends by sector, 2000-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 1.11. Top 250 ICT firms’ profitability by sector, 2000-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 1.12. Top 250 ICT firms’ R&D intensity by sector, 2000-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 1.13. Worldwide semiconductor market by region, 1990-2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 1.14. Worldwide semiconductor sales by market segment, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 1.15. Worldwide semiconductor market by segment, 1990-2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 1.16. Share of ICT valued added in business sector value added, 1995 and 2006 . . . . 46 1.17. Share of ICT employment in business sector employment, 1995 and 2006 . . . . 47 1.18. Share of ICT specialist occupations in the total economy, narrow definition, 1995 and 2007. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 1.19. Share of ICT-using occupations in the total economy, broad definition, 1995 and 2007. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 1.20. Venture capital investments in ICT as a percentage of all venture capital investment, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 10 OECD INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK 2008 – ISBN 978-92-64-05553-7 – © OECD 2008
  • 14. t Ed s e _i TABLE OF CONTENTS iti o 1.21. Quarterly venture capital investments in the ICT sector in the United States, w n o Q1 1995-Q3 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 D Br y nl 1.22. Worldwide ICT spending by market segment, 2003-08 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 1.23. OECD ICT spending by market segment, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 O u le 1.24. Fastest ICT spending growth, 2003-07 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 d EC 2.1. World trade in ICT goods, 1996-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 ea 2.2. United States ICT goods trade growth, March 2001-March 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 se R 2.3. China ICT goods export trade growth, April 2000-April 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 O 2.4. Top importers and exporters of ICT goods, 1996-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 e An 2.5a. ICT goods exports, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 r u ICT goods imports, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .L . . . .c. t 79 2.5b. .. e . 2.6. Direction of OECD ICT goods trade, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 2.7. OECD computer equipment trade, 2006. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 2.8. OECD electronic components trade, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 2.9. OECD communication equipment trade, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 2.10. OECD audio and video equipment trade, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 2.11. OECD software goods trade, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 2.12. OECD and major emerging economies’ computer and information services trade, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 2.13. OECD and major emerging economies’ communication services trade, 2006 . . 90 2.14. Electronics production, 2005 and 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 2.15. Growth in the value of electronics production, 2005-2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 2.16. Share of ICT goods in total merchandise exports, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 2.17. Revealed comparative advantage in ICT goods, 1996-2006. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 2.18. Value of cross-border M&A deals in ICT and non-ICT sectors, 1995-2007 . . . . . 99 2.19. Cross-border M&As deals in the ICT sector, 1995-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 2.20. Cross-border M&As deals in the ICT sector, 1995-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 2.21. ICT sector cross-border M&As deals by region, 1995-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 2.22. ICT sector cross-border M&As deals by region, 1997-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 2.23. Foreign affiliates’ share of turnover in ICT manufacturing, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 2.24. Foreign affiliates’ share of employment in ICT manufacturing, 2005 . . . . . . . . . 104 2.25. Foreign affiliates’ share of turnover in IT services, 2004. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 2.26. United States cross-border and affiliate services sales, 1990-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . 106 3.1. ICT R&D priorities (clusters of topics and subtopics). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145 3.2. Socio-economic applications of ICT research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148 3.3. Business R&D spending, 1996-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149 3.4. Growth of the largest R&D-spending sectors in the OECD area, 1993-2005 . . . . 150 3.5. ICT sub-sector R&D expenditures as a share of total OECD area ICT R&D, 1993-2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 3.6. Business R&D expenditure for ICT goods and services, as a share of GDP, 1997 and 2005. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 3.7. Share of selected OECD countries in total OECD area ICT sector R&D expenditures, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 3.8. R&D expenditures in the United States, the EU15, Japan and Korea by ICT sub-sectors, 1996, 2003 and 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 3.9. R&D expenditures in the computer services and software sector, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . 154 3.10. ICT R&D researchers, 2006 or latest available year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 OECD INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK 2008 – ISBN 978-92-64-05553-7 – © OECD 2008 11
  • 15. t Ed TABLE OF CONTENTS s e _i iti o 3.11. Share of ICT R&D researchers in total R&D researchers, 2006 or latest w n o available year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156 D Br y nl 3.12. Top ICT firms, growth of revenue and R&D expenditure, 2000-06 . . . . . . . . . . . 157 3.13. R&D expenditures of top ICT firms, 2006 (left: in USD billions, right: in percentage O u le of total) and growth of R&D expenditures of top ICT firms, 2000-06 (bottom, d EC in percentage, current terms) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 ea 3.14. Reported R&D expenditures of top 100 ICT R&D spending firms, by sector, se R 2000 and 2006. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159 O 3.15. Average R&D intensity of top ICT firms by sector, 2000 and 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . 162 e 3.16. R&D intensity of ICT firms, by country/region, 2002-06 (only top ICT firms An r reporting R&D) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .L . . . . . . t u .. e c 163 3.17. Co-operation of innovative firms with universities or higher education institutions per industry sector, four EU countries (France, Germany, Spain and the United Kingdom), 2002-04 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170 3.18. Share of R&D expenditure under foreign control in the ICT sector, 2005. . . . . . 172 3.19. Japanese ICT R&D expenditures, in ICT and non-ICT sectors, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . 174 3.20. Software development in industrial R&D, United States, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174 3.21. ICT-related patents filed under the PCT, by country, 1994-2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 176 3.22. Share of countries in ICT-related patents filed under the PCT, 2005 . . . . . . . . . 178 3.23. ICT-related patents as a percentage of national total, PCT filings, 2003-05 . . . . 179 3.24. ICT-related patents granted at the USPTO versus R&D expenditures . . . . . . . . . 181 3.25. ICT-related patent applications at the EPO versus R&D expenditures . . . . . . . . 181 4.1. Households with access to a home computer in selected OECD countries, 1994-2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 196 4.2. Household access to the Internet in selected OECD countries, 1996-2007 . . . . . 196 4.3. Households with broadband access in OECD countries, 2003-07. . . . . . . . . . . . . 197 4.4. Diffusion of PC and Internet in Sweden by level of education, 1994-2005 . . . . . 198 4.5. Internet access by high, medium and low education level in selected OECD countries, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199 4.6. Broadband access and selected Internet activities among students and pensioners in Finland, 2002-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200 4.7. Gender differences for selected Internet activities in selected OECD countries, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201 4.8. Broadband uptake among households with or without children in Finland, Norway and the United Kingdom, 2003-07 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 202 4.9. PC and Internet diffusion and use in the United States and Japan, by employment status . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203 4.10. Non-business-related use of the Internet at the workplace in Luxembourg, 2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 204 4.11. Frequency of use of the Internet in Mexico and the United Kingdom . . . . . . . . 205 4.12. Impact of broadband on selected Internet activities, selected OECD countries, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 207 4.13. Internet activities of adults in the United Kingdom, 2000-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 208 4.14. Weekly Internet access hours in Korea, 2004-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209 4.15. Broadband diffusion and time spent on the Internet in Norway, 2000-07 . . . . . . . 210 4.16. Media consumption by Internet users in France, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 210 4.17. US adult Internet users who use other media while online, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . 211 12 OECD INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK 2008 – ISBN 978-92-64-05553-7 – © OECD 2008
  • 16. t Ed s e _i TABLE OF CONTENTS iti o 4.18. Internet users listening to Web radio/watching TV, selected w n o OECD countries, 2002-07 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 212 D Br y nl 4.19. Evolution of inequalities in possession of selected products in France . . . . . . . 213 4.20. Number of purposes of use of the Internet in Finland, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 214 O u le 4.21. Broadband effect on variety of home Internet use in Finland, 2004 . . . . . . . . . . 215 d EC 4.22. Number of activities participated in by home Internet users during the last ea 12 months, Canada, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 215 se R 4.23. Number of activities participated in by Internet users during the last month, O France, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 216 e 4.A1.1. Diffusion of PCs among households by income level in Japan, 1992-2007 . . . . . 222 An r Internet access or use by educational attainment in selected OECD countries. c. t u 4.A1.2. L e . . 223 4.A1.3. Internet usage in Finland, 2001 and 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 224 4.A1.4. Internet usage pattern by gender and age in Korea, 2005. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225 4.A1.5. Selected online activities by level of education in Sweden, 2003-07 . . . . . . . . . . 226 4.A1.6. Minutes using the Internet at home in leisure time per week in Finland, 2001-06 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227 5.1. Broadband growth, OECD total, 2003-08 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249 5.2. Global consumer Internet traffic 2005-11 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249 5.3. Digital broadband content value and distribution chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251 5.4. Digital broadband content business models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254 5.5. Bandwidth requirements of selected digital content types, in Mbit/s, 2008 . . . . . . 255 5.6. Blog readers, bloggers, and minihompy owners in Korea. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259 5.7. Major film market revenues, 2006 (excluding TV market) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 264 5.8. Value of global music sales, 1984-2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269 5.9. Growth of worldwide advertising spending . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273 5.10. Worldwide shares of advertising expenditure by medium. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273 5.A1.1. Market size and growth, 2007 or latest available year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 282 6.1. The 23 600 mile SEA-ME-WE 3 Cable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289 7.A1.1. ICT policy framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 337 Table of Contents OECD INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK 2008 – ISBN 978-92-64-05553-7 – © OECD 2008 13
  • 17. D Br EC o O w s R An ea e _i d O t Ed nl Lect y iti u r o e n se u le