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Revised skipper presentation
 

Revised skipper presentation

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This is the presentation Michael Skipper, Executive Director of the Metropolitan Planning Office, delivered to the Transit Citizen Leadership Academy of Septemb

This is the presentation Michael Skipper, Executive Director of the Metropolitan Planning Office, delivered to the Transit Citizen Leadership Academy of Septemb

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    Revised skipper presentation Revised skipper presentation Presentation Transcript

    • Other than economic factors, what do you think communities are most concerned about as they consider transit issues?
      Safety & Security
      Health & Environment
      Quality growth/Sustainable land development
    • Planning for the Future with Mass Transit
      Middle Tennessee Transit Academy
      September 14, 2011
    • What percentage of employees across the 10-county area commute to another county to work?
      10%
      25%
      33%
      66%
    • Transportation is Regional Issue
      WORK in Downtown Nashville, LIVE in…..
    • Transportation is Regional Issue
      Live in Hendersonville/ Gallatin Area, WORK in…..
    • MPOs in Tennessee
    • Regional Geographies in Middle TN
    • Population Growth, Middle Tennessee
      Robertson
      Montgomery
      Sumner
      Cheatham
      Wilson
      Dickson
      Davidson
      Williamson
      Rutherford
      Maury
    • How will our Region Grow?
    • Development Pattern, 1965-2035
      2035
      2,600,000
      (In 2035, the Nashville region will be
      about the size of the Denver region today)
      2000
      1,450,000
      1965
      750,000
      Population
      Properties affected by development
    • Market and Policy Driven Forecasting
      Environmental Constraints
      Land Use Policy
      Suitability Analysis
      Growth Policy
    • Increasing Diversity
      Race, Ethnicity, Age
      Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Woods & Poole Economics
    • Increasing Diversity
      Household Composition
      Census for 1960 and 2000, 2025 adapted from Martha Farnsworth Riche, How Changes in the Nation’s Age and Household Structure Will Reshape Housing Demand in the 21st Century, HUD, 2003.
    • Growth’s Impact on Mobility & Quality-of-Life
    • Resiliency in Urban Congestion
      2035
      w/ Short-Term Improvements
      2035
      After Long-Term Improvements
      TODAY
      Congestion in Urban Areas Cannot Be Treated with Roadway Capacity Alone.
      Daily Recurring Congestion on Major Roadways.
    • How much does traffic congestion cost the region annually in wasted fuel and lost time?
      $200 million to $300 million
      $300 million to $400 million
      $400 million to $500 million
      $500 million to $600 million
      More than $600 million
    • Texas Transportation Institute (TTI)
      Urban Mobility Report, 2009
      Nashville-Davidson Urbanized Area
      Cost of Congestion (wasted fuel and time):
      $ 426 Million, Annually
      $ 10.65 Billion, over next 25 years
    • Source: Driven Apart (CEO for Cities)
    • Source: Driven Apart (CEO for Cities), TTI Urban Mobility Report, 2009
    • What percentage of Middle Tennessee households spend 20% or more of their income on transportation costs?
      Less than 30%
      30% to 50%
      50% to 70%
      70% to 90%
      More than 90%
    • On average, Americans spend about 18% of their Household Income on Transportation- Related Expenses
      Source: Center for Neighborhood Technology Housing + Transportation Affordability Index (http://www.htaindex.org/)
    • Public Attitudes toward Transportation Policy
    • I have no choice but to drive as much as I do.
      Strongly agree
      Strongly disagree
    • I would like to spend less time in my car.
      Strongly agree
      Strongly disagree
    • No Other Options than Driving
      (National telephone survey of 800 registered voters: 700 landline interviews & 100 cell phone interviews.)
    • Transit a Preferred Solution
      (National telephone survey of 800 registered voters: 700 landline interviews & 100 cell phone interviews.)
    • U.S. DOT Responding to Public Demand
      “I have traveled all over this country…and everywhere I go, people want better options. Options that offer reduced greenhouse-gas emissions. Options that offer reduced fuel-consumption. Options that offer better health. Options that bring communities together. Now, let me make this absolutely clear: I never said we would stop repairing, maintaining, and –yes–even expanding roadways. I said only that it's time tostop assuming that putting more cars on more roads is the best way to move people around more effectively.”
      – U.S. DOT Secretary Ray LaHood
    • Middle TN Public Opinions
      Middle Tennessee residents are most satisfied with:
      the maintenance of roadways in their area (63%)
      overall levels of roadway congestion in their area (54%)
      Middle Tennessee residents are least satisfied with:
      how walkable their community is (49%)
      how safe it is to ride a bicycle in their community (42%)
      availability of mass transit services in their area (29%), with lack of transit options considered the greatest problem in Middle TN, followed by lack of walking & bicycling options.
      Of several issues mentioned, the most important to solve was to provide alternatives to driving.
    • Of these three strategies for improving transportation, which do you feel is most important?
      Improve and expand mass transit options
      Make communities more walkable and bike friendly
      Build or widen existing roadways
    • MPO Area Public Opinions
      Three strategies provided for improving transportation in Middle Tennessee; respondents then asked to prioritize–
      1st choice: improve and expand mass transit options
      2nd choice: make communities more walkable & bike-friendly
      3rd choice: build new or widen existing roadways
    • How Should We Invest in Our Future?
    • #1A Bold, New Vision for Mass Transit
      #2Support for Active Transportation & Walkable Communities
      #3Preservation & Enhancement of Strategic Roadways
    • A Bold, New Vision for Mass Transit
    • WHY MASS TRANSIT?
      Traffic Congestion, Energy Costs, Environmental Burden
      Changing Demographics &
      Market Demand
      Quality of Life &
      Economic Development Tool
    • Existing Services
      Bus Service
      Commuter Rail
      Park & Ride
      Not Shown:
      • Regional Vanpool Service
      • ADA Paratransit Service
      • Rural Intercity Bus Service
    • A Bold, New Vision for Mass Transit
      Clarksville
      Springfield
      Gallatin
      FUTURE REGIONAL CORRIDOR SERVICE
      Lebanon
      Nashville
      Dickson
      FUTURE LOCAL TRANSIT SERVICE
      Franklin
      Murfreesboro
      Columbia
    • Rapid Transit Corridors
    • A History with InterUrban Rail
    • existing
      proposed
      Light Rail Transit Alternative
      Source: American Public Transportation Association
      Mapping: Nashville Area MPO (2007)
    • Rapid Rail Transit – Peers
    • Bus Rapid Transit Alternative
    • BUS Rapid Transit – Peers
    • existing
      proposed
      Heavy Rail Transit Alternative
      Source: American Public Transportation Association
      Mapping: Nashville Area MPO (2007)
    • Regional Rapid Transit Corridors
    • Denver – Urban/ Suburban Rapid Transit
    • 13 Potential Station Sites
      Gallatin
      Harris
      Big Station Camp
      Indian Lake
      New Shackle Island
      Saundersville
      Conference Drive
      Center Point
      Old Hickory
      Dickerson/ Skyline
      Trinity
      Cleveland Street
      Music City Central
    • Music City Central Station
      Land Use Issues:
      • Needed density/intensity increases must come from high density office and residential redevelopment in downtown core.
      • Will be driven by policy decisions (focusing high density regional employment and residential opportunities) more than land use decisions.
      Station Context:
      Urban Downtown Center,
      Regional employment destination
    • Music City Central Station
    • Saundersville Station
      Future Land Use
      Station Context:
      Suburban interchange with significant industrial and institutional uses
      Land Use Issues:
      • Single-use categories – need to permit a mix of uses adjacent to station
      • Significant industrial and public facilities land uses limit TOD opportunities in station area
      • Vertical mixed-use development not permitted
      • New street connectivity will be needed to maximize access to station area
    • Traditional Office Park
      Transit Oriented Development
      Saundersville Station
      The Streets at Indian Lake Village
    • Saundersville Station
    • Regional Rapid Transit Corridors
    • Regional Commuter Rail Corridors
    • existing
      proposed
      Commuter Rail Transit Alternative
      Source: American Public Transportation Association
      Mapping: Nashville Area MPO (2007)
    • Regional Commuter Rail Corridors
    • Regional Commuter Rail Corridors
    • Regional Commuter Rail Corridors
    • Regional Express Coach Service
    • Regional Express Coach Service
    • Denver Regional Express Coach
      BOULDER
      AIRPORT
      DOWNTOWN
      DENVER
    • Regional Express Coach Service
    • Local Circulators
    • Local Circulators
    • Local Circulators
    • Urban Fixed Route Service
    • Frequent, Safe & Comfortable Bus Service
    • Frequent, Safe & Comfortable Bus Service
    • Return of the Urban Streetcar
    • Return of the Urban Streetcar
    • Nashville Urban Streetcar
    • Lower Broadway/ West End
    • The 2035 Plan Provides:
      A bold, new vision for mass transit to communicate the region's intentions for the long-term;
      Funding for upcoming corridor and circulator studies to layout more specific strategies to implement the vision;
      A call to re-organize the existing RTA to take advantage of new legislation;
      A call to establish dedicated funding for transit to improve operational capacity of existing agencies and to help build the vision;
      $950 million in federal transit funds for the continued maintenance and modest expansion of urban transit, ridesharing, and vanpool services;
      $30 million for continued support for the JARC and New Freedom programs;
      10% of future U-STP for transit projects.
    • Support for Active Transportation & Walkable Communities
    • System Preservation & Enhancement
    • Show me the Money
    • Average Costs per Mile
    • Sources of Funding for Transit
    • What do other things cost?
      2030 Regional Plan adopted in 2005 = $3.5 B
      Annual Payroll for NFL Players = $3.6 B
      Central Texas Turnpike around Austin = $3.6 B
      San Francisco/Oakland Bridge Replacement = $6.3 B
      Denver FasTracks System = $6.9 B
      Las Vegas City Center (mixed-use) = $11 B
      Big Dig (Boston) = $14.6 B
      TTI Cost of Congestion for Nashville Metro between now and 2035 = $15+ B
    • Funding/ Financing Issues
      2035 Plan estimated to provide approx $4.9 B Federal
      The cost of NEEDS/ VISION is at least triple the anticipated revenues
      Lack of dedicated funding for transit to ensure stability and to compete for federal transit funds
      Sprawling land development pattern creates unsustainable demand for infrastructure
      Declining fuel tax revenues and buying power means fewer projects, slower progress, less benefit
    • 2035 Cost-Feasible Road Projects
    • Highway Trust Fund Balance
      DEFICIT
    • Gasoline Prices, Last 5 Years
    • Thinking Beyond the Gas Tax…
      Public Private Partnerships
      Tolling & Congestion Pricing
      Distance-Based User Fees
      Multi-Modal District Impact Fees
      New Dedicated Funding for Mass Transit
      Align Current Dollars with Real Priorities
      Invest Now to Save Later
      Build More Sustainable Communities