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The Science Behind Climate Change

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Presentation from a Cary Institute of Ecosystems Studies public forum on climate change by Cary President Dr. William Schlesinger.

Presentation from a Cary Institute of Ecosystems Studies public forum on climate change by Cary President Dr. William Schlesinger.

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The Science Behind Climate Change The Science Behind Climate Change Presentation Transcript

  • The Science Behind Climate ChangeWilliam H. Schlesinger, President 22 October 2011
  • Burns et al. 2007. Recent climate trends and implications for water resources in theCatskill Mountain region, New York, USA. J. Hydrology 336:155-170.
  • Annual mean water temperature at Poughkeepsie 14Annual Mean Temperature (deg C) 13 12 11 10 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 Year
  • Tree Swallow 180 160 y = -0.595x + 1267. 140 R² = 0.437Julian Day 120 Series1 100 Linear (Series1) 80 60 40 20 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 Year
  • Mean Temperature (∆D)-370-380-390-400-410-420 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Years Before Present CO2 (ppmv)400350300250200 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Years Before Present
  • Milly et al., 2005
  • Rondout Creek, Kingston, NYPhoto : Chris Bowser, HREP © Chris Bowser, NYS DEC Hudson River Estuary Program
  • Burns et al. 2007. Recent climate trends and implications for water resources in the Catskill Mountainregion, New York, USA. J. Hydrology 336:155-170.
  • www.caryinstitute.org
  • Number of days minimum temperature less than 0 degrees F4035302520151050