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Forecasting commercial services from IrSOLaV - Luis Martin (IRSOLAV)

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Forecasting commercial services from IrSOLaV - Luis Martin (IRSOLAV)

Forecasting commercial services from IrSOLaV - Luis Martin (IRSOLAV)

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  • 1. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat
  • 2. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat IrSOLaV company profile Methodology IrSOLaV products and activities IrSOLaV data time series and reports IrSOLaV maps IrSOLaV data services IrSOLaV plant performance IrSOLaV short term forecasting IrSOLaV nowcasting Research and Development IrSOLaV partnership
  • 3. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat IrSOLaV is a spin-off company founded in 2007.Initially formed by researchers with broadexperience in Solar Energy and solar radiationknowledge. Methodology for solar radiation derived fromsatellite information. Consulting services on solar resourcecharacterization and prediction. Involved into several relevant R&D initiatives: Task46 of IEA/SHC, COST action on solar radiation andwind forecast.
  • 4. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat IrSOLaV have participated as INDEPENDENTconsultant and data provider in more than 3.4GWof PV and CSP solar energy projects. IrSOLaV customers are governments, mainfinancial institutions, project developers and plantoperators in 4 continents. IrSOLaV is currently headquartered in Madrid withoffices in Santiago de Chile, New Delhi and soon inChina.
  • 5. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematHEAD OFFICEAdress: Calle Santiago Grisolia 2 (PTM) Tres Cantos -28760 - Madrid - SpainIRSOLAV-ACIRA SOLAR INDIAAdress: 63 Daryagani New Delhi 110002 - IndiaIRSOLAV-WE CONSULTING CHILEAdress: Estoril 120 Oficina 809, Las Condes, Santiago -Chile
  • 6. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematInputs to algorithm for prediction and estimation solarradiation from satellite images are: ESRA, SOLIS, REST2 clear sky models. DirIndex to obtain DNI from GHI. Global Forecast System and MACC global models. Information about atmospheric constituents.AOD and other components from severalsatellites and models: MODIS, MISR, MACC,AERONET and NCEP. Cloud information from geostationary satellite
  • 7. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat MPG 1994-2005 and MSG 2006 to the present.EUROPE, AFRICA and MIDDLE EAST. MPG: 5x5km2 spatial and 30 minutestemporal resolution. MSG: 1x1km2 spatial and 15 minutestemporal resolution.
  • 8. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat MPG 1999 to the present covering MIDDLE EASTand ASIA. MPG: 5x5km2 spatial and 30 minutestemporal resolution.
  • 9. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat GOES 1999 to 2013 covering NORHT, CENTRALand SOUTH AMERICA GOES: 1x1km2 spatial and 30 minutestemporal resolution.
  • 10. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat MTSAT 2012 to the present covering EAST ASIAAND PACIFIC MPG: 1x1km2 spatial and 30 minutestemporal resolution.
  • 11. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat Time series of solar irradiance (GHI and DNI)from satellite images covering all the planet. Solar resource analysis reports with statisticalstudy for the long term. Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) of solarradiation components and meteorologicalvariables. Consulting services on measuring solar radiationand quality reports of solar radiation measuredon ground stations.
  • 12. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat
  • 13. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat
  • 14. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat
  • 15. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat
  • 16. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematMonitoring performanceof PV plants and radiometricmeasurementsVirtualPIR, ftp,email, databaseIrSOLaVnear-realtimeSatellite ImagesProcessing
  • 17. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat
  • 18. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat Analyis of energy production of the plant usingSAM, TRSYS (STEC-library), etc.. Report on energy generation with long termanalysis (probabilities P50, P70, P90)
  • 19. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematNWP global modelGFS NCEP model.3 hours temporal resolution0.5º spatial resolutionStatistical post-processing(Downscaling)Site local predictionsTemporal interpolation withclear sky model to obtainGHIDirIndex Model to obtainDNI from GHIMACC ECMWF model.AOD and WV predictions1 hourly predictions
  • 20. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat Predictions of hourly solar radiation with atemporal horizon of 72 hours. Predictions are done 4 times per day at: 00:00 UTC 06:00 UTC 12:00 UTC 18:00 UTC Reliability of more than 99%. Delivered by FTP, mail or accessible in ourweb portal www.solarexplorer.info
  • 21. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematBlockmatchingalgorithmCloud index to Solar RadiationMACC ECMWF model. AOD and WV 1 hourlyDirIndex Model to obtain DNI from GHIForecast cloud index
  • 22. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat Predictions of 15-60 minutes solar radiationwith a temporal horizon of 6 hours. Spatial resolution 1 km. Predictions are updated every hour. Delivered by FTP, mail or accessible in our webportal www.solarexplorer.info
  • 23. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematTask 46 of Solar Heating and Cooling (IEA). 2011-2015Solar Resource Assessment and ForecastingActivity C.1: Short-term forecasting (up to 7 days ahead)Activity C.2: Integration of solar forecasts into operationsCOST Action WIRE 1002Benchmarking of PV predictionsDNICast 7th Framework Programme
  • 24. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat Global Forecasters: spin-off from CIEMAT. Wind energyservices. Geonica: provision and installation of meteorologicalstations to measure solar radiation.
  • 25. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematWeb: www.irsolav.comE-mail: info@irsolav.comIrSOLaV, S.L. c/ Santiago Grisolía, 2Parque Científico de Madrid28760 Tres Cantos, MadridTfno. +34 911263612 / +34 677740918