Identifying and Responding to Emerging Technologies

Twitter: http://iwmw.ukoln.ac.uk/iwmw2012/sessions/jisc-observatory//#iwmw12 #A1 IWMW 2012: Identifying and Responding to Emerging Technologies Brian Kelly Acceptable Use Policy UKOLN Recording this talk, taking photos, University of Bath discussing the content using Bath, UK Twitter, blogs, etc. is permitted Email: providing distractions to others is b.kelly@ukoln.ac.uk minimised. Blog: Twitter: http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/ http://twitter.com/briankelly/ UKOLN is supported by: This work is licensed under a A centre of expertise in digital information management Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 licence (but note caveat)

Introduction Summary This session will be facilitated by members of the JISC Observatory team at UKOLN and CETIS. It will use a mixture of group exercises and discussions to understand potential enablers and disenablers of emerging new technologies. Having developed a better appreciation of how new technologies may or may not be adopted can help to develop appropriate strategies for preparing institutions for exploiting innovative developments in an appropriate and effective manner. A centre of expertise in digital information management2

Timetable Time Content Who 11.00 Introductions BK 11.05 Your interests All 11.15 Detecting, Analysing & Interpreting Trends BK 11.20 Exploring Scenarios All 11.45 The Mobile Scenario MP 11.55 JISC Observatory: Horizon Scanning for the Sector TB 12.10 Getting Involved All 12.25 Final Thoughts All A centre of expertise in digital information management3

Introduction Introductions Facilitators: Brian Kelly, Innovation Support Centre at UKOLN and Communications Manager for the JISC Observatory Thom Bunting, Innovation Support Centre at UKOLN and JISC Observatory Project Manager Mark Power, JISC CETIS, contributor to JISC Observatory & author of Delivering Web to Mobile report. A centre of expertise in digital information management4

Introduction Your Interests In small groups: • Introduce yourselves • Describe what you hope to gain from the session and any particular topics you’d like to see addressed You will summarise the key points in ~5 minutes A centre of expertise in digital information management5

Analysing Trends Analysing Trends Which would have been the most useful prediction in 2009: • “Gordon Brown will win the election, overcome the economic difficulties and invest in education, the health service and the environment” • “The Tories will win the election but have to form a coalition with the Lib Dems. They cut back public investment, increase tuition fees which results in a double-dip recession and 10% reduction in student numbers” Planning for future scenarios can be of limited use if we base future scenarios on our wishes rather than reality! A centre of expertise in digital information management6

Analysing Trends Detecting Trends Series of evidence-based posts on UK Web Focus blog look at trends which help us to understand today’s environment. What might these usage trends tell us? A centre of expertise in digital information management7

Analysing Trends Challenges: • Context • Blips • Lack of a NPOV Blekko’s Traffic up by 400%Is Blekko’s Traffic Really Going Through The Roof? A centre of expertise in digital information managementWill It Challenge Google?8

Analysing Trends Understanding Trends “Lies, damned lies and statistics” “Anscombes quartet comprises four datasets that have nearly identical simple statistical properties, yet appear very different when graphed” Anscombes quartet, Wikipedia hallenge is in: • Interpreting the evidence • Postulating reasons • Speculating on implications • Implementing evidence-based A centre of expertise in digital information management policy decisions9

Analysing Trends Interpreting Trends pproaches: • Documenting the survey methodology (the ‘paradata’) e.g. “Data was collected using Firefox on 1 June 2012” • Providing open access to data where possible (often using Google Spreadsheets) • Publishing an open commentable summary of the survey, the methodology, the findings, the • Survey of Institutional inviting discussions implications and Use of Facebook • Is Blekko’s Traffic Really Going Through The Roof? Will It Challenge Google? • Institutional Use of Social Media in China • Profiling Staff and Researcher Use of Cloud Services Across Russell Group Universities A centre of expertise in digital information management10

JIS Observatory process A centre of expertise in digital information management11

Exploring Scenarios Group Exercise Choose one scenario: • Scenario 1: Social Media Does Social media have a significant role to play across a range of University activities, or is it hype or primarily for personal use? • Scenario 2: Open Data Is open data really "the new content" which will be of importance to the Web team as well as the University? Or might it be the latest fashionable term? And in a time of cuts, increased fees and competition for students and research funding, wont institutions be less inclined to provide open access to data, their crown jewels? A centre of expertise in digital information management12

Exploring Scenarios Group Exercise Choose one scenario: • Scenario 3: Structured Metadata For the Web Will developments such as schema.org provided better searching for structured resources? Should we be implementing it? But didnt we hear promises that Dublin Core metadata in Web pages or use of RDF would deliver this in the past? • Scenario 4: Online Conferencing Will online conferencing and collaboration tools have an impact on traditional approaches, ranging from conferences, events for practitioners (e.g. IWMW) through to student lectures? How might, e.g. this affect plans for building a new conference centre and lecture theatre block? A centre of expertise in digital information management13

Exploring Scenarios Group Exercise Choose one context: • Responding to the institution The Pro Vice-Chancellor / Head of IT/ Librarian has asked for a report on the scenarios you have chosen. This will be discussed at a forthcoming planning meeting • Advising the institution You have been asked to provide a paper on IT developments which should be considered in planning related to current institutional priorities (threats and opportunities) You have 15 minutes to produce a plan for the report, which will describe the processes for gathering & interpreting evidence. Note the SMT want evidence,centrespeculation andinformation management A not of expertise in digital ‘hand-waving’!14

MP Mobile Study Case Study Mark Power to summarise approaches take in commissioning and writing the Delivering Web to Mobile TechWatch report A centre of expertise in digital information management15

TB JISC Observatory: Horizon Scanning for the Sector Thom Bunting to describe: • The role of the JISC Observatory • The approaches it takes • The work it has carried out • Ways in which you can get involved A centre of expertise in digital information management16

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Identifying and Responding to Emerging Technologies

by Brian Kelly

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