Let's Predict the Future: D1 Agile Thinking

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Slides on "Let's Predict the Future: Agile Thinking" for a workshop session on "Predicting the Future" held on 3 June 2014 at the SAOIM 2014 conference in Pretoria, South Africa and facilitated by Brian Kelly, Cetis.

See https://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/saoim-2014-lets-predict-the-future-workshop/

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Let's Predict the Future: D1 Agile Thinking

  1. 1. D: We've Predicted the Future! So What? Let’s Predict the Future! A half-day workshop at the SAOIM 2014 conference held on Tuesday 3 June 2014 facilitated by Brian Kelly, Cetis Slides available under a Creative Commons licence (CC-BY) 1 D1: Let’s Predict the Future! Agile Thinking
  2. 2. Need for Agility & Flexibility Dangers that we: • Assume the future is like today, only faster, bigger, smaller, … • Fail to transform existing practices • Fail to recognise implications of political, economic, cultural, … changes 2
  3. 3. What Did You Notice? What did you notice for the first time today?* Or variants: • What did you notice for the first time this week / recently? 3 * Acknowledgements to Tony Hirst My recent observations: • Buying newspaper using my mobile phone • Being awarded a badge on a computer game • WiFi on buses • Responses to “Who has used a mobile device for work-related purposes - in bed?”
  4. 4. What Was The Question? You overhear someone saying “Have you tried the library?” What might have been the question? You overhear someone saying “Have you tried Amazon/Google/…?” What might have been the question? 4 Acknowledgements to Tony Hirst
  5. 5. The Future Backwards What will we see in the future? Dangers of:  Providing optimistic or pessimistic views based on personal inclinations  No new insights Need for innovative ways of story-telling such as:  The History of the Web Backwards  Forecasting Trends Backwards  Reversible, Reverse History and Side-by- Side Storytelling (Tony Hirst’s blog post) 5
  6. 6. Questions Any questions? 6

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