The Club of Rome

Linhares
Research in decision-making
Cognitive psychology
Game theory
Management science
Technology & globalization
Developing high-technology (within FGV’s applied math group)
Associate member, The Club of Rome

“ Twenty years ago some spoke of limits to growth. But today we now know that growth is the engine of change. Growth is the friend of the environment.
George H.W. Bush, 1992

Who was Bush responding to?

Dr Hugo Thiemann , who in 1968 asked for a study

Dr Dennis Meadows who conducted that study in MIT.

“ If present growth trends in world population, industrialization, pollution, food production, and resource depletion continue unchanged, the limits to growth on this planet will be reached sometime within the next 100 years. The most probable result will be a rather sudden and uncontrolled decline in both population and industrial capacity.”

Exponential growth Gas: 2.8% growth/annum

Scenario #2.
One of the long-term scenarios of The Club of Rome.

Collapse in welfare and footprint

Resources decline as population and industrial output grow; pollution follows, leading to collapse

The rise in pollution brings a collapse in food production; life expectancy follows

Who do these problems belong to?
NOBODY
there’s not a single country which, alone, could solve them

What’s their solution timeframe?
Much longer than 4 to 8 years
Longer than any single administration can handle

How to avoid disaster?
Negotiation
The Club of Rome brings together businessman, scientists, economists, heads of state, and personalities such as Nobel prize winners and Kings.
Throw in the same room people with different backgrounds, and focus on global issues.

2005 Host: Admiral Sir Mark Stanhope

Int’l Members: Heads of State
Raymond Barre (prime minister, France)
Frederick W. de Klerk (South Africa)
Michail Gorbachov
Richard von Weizsäcker (Germany)
HRH Juan Carlos I, King of Spain
Luis Lacalle Hererra (Uruguay)
Mario Soares (Portugal)
…

Members: Scientists & Economists
Pentii Malaska
Jay Forrester
Dennis Meadows
Ernesto Zedillo
Patrick Liedtke
Roberto Peccei
Wolfgang Sachs
…

Other Brazilian members
Prof. Paulo Alcantara
Prof. Candido Mendes
Prof. Heitor Gurgulino
Ex-Presidente Fernando Henrique
Profa. Eda Coutinho Barbosa
Deputado José Aristodemo Pinotti
Helio Jaguaribe

Recent inauguration in Brazil
Paulo Skaf
Luiz Lacalle Herrera
Rodrigo Carazo
Luis Carlos Bresser Pereira
Uwe Möller
Tobias Lengsfeld
Paulo Alcantara
Fernando Henrique Cardoso
José Aristodemo Pinotti
Rubens Barbosa
José Serra
Cristóvam Buarque
Carlos Henrique Moreira
Geraldo Alckmin
Joerg Geier
Marco Maciel
Celso Lafer
Eda Coutinho Barbosa
Jorge Wertheim
Rubens Ricupero
Roberto Gianetti da Fonseca
Alexandre Linhares
Heitor Gurgulino de Souza
Claudia Santiago de Abreu
Carla Winter Afonso
Mario Amato
Paulo Renato

The Club of Rome

by Alexandre Linhares on Jul 15, 2007

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The Club of Rome — Presentation Transcript

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