Central East Housing and Homelessness Area Network 2010 Modelling Social Housing Need An Overview of Actors & Factors Dr. Delwar Akbar Sustainable Regional Development Program Centre for Environmental Management (CEM)
Modelling Social Housing Need- An overview of Actors & Factors Structure of the Presentation
Every household has propensity to own/rent a dwelling unit
Government initiatives to construct public housing in a certain area or any emergency situation would not reflect in this model
Changing housing preferences due to changes in tastes over time has not been considered
Example: Bowen Basin Regional Housing (BBRH) Model The Model Input:Population by age and sex, family type by age, housing type by family type; cumulative population impacts within the town’s threshold Process:Linear extrapolation based on 1996, 2001 and 2006 census data; count household size and occupancy rate by family type and % of changes over time; % of change in labour in-migration within the town’s threshold Output: Household types and dwelling types over a 20-30 year period.
Bowen Basin Regional Housing (BBRH) Model Application of the model on Moranbah– based on ABS data 10
Bowen Basin Regional Housing (BBRH) Model Application of the model on Moranbah – Incorporating cumulating impacts