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Degvielas tirgus izaicinājumi nākotnē
 

Degvielas tirgus izaicinājumi nākotnē

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Dace Lodziņa

Dace Lodziņa
SIA “Latvija Statoil”
Transporta degvielas departamenta vadītāja,
Vadības grupas pārstāve

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    Degvielas tirgus izaicinājumi nākotnē Degvielas tirgus izaicinājumi nākotnē Presentation Transcript

    • Degvielas tirgus izaicinājumi nākotnē Dace Lodziņa SIA “Latvija Statoil” Transporta degvielas departamenta vadītāja, Vadības grupas pārstāve
    • Pasaules tendences World Population (Billions) Oil Demand (Million BOE/Day) GDP (Trillion 2005 US$) Source: Wood Mackenzie Source: OECD Source: EIA
    • Pasaules tendences Global Oil Demand by Sector (Million BOE/Day) Percent of Global Oil Demand Source: Wood Mackenzie Source: Wood Mackenzie
    • Pasaules tendences Source: PFC Energy Strategic Horizons + 500 million LDV in 20 Years Explosive Growth
    • Alternatīvie degvielas veidi
      • Country specific and dependant on legislation
      • Connected with energy supply
      • Electricity and LPG/LNG as most growing global alternatives
      Source: PFC Energy
      • By 2030, 58% of world oil product demand will come from the transportation sector
      • The LDV fleet will grow by 62% by 2030, from 901 million to 1.46 billion vehicles
      • Gasoline-powered vehicles will fall from 80% of the world LDV fleet to 62% by 2030
      • Alternative-fueled vehicles will rise from the current level of 5% of the LDV fleet to 17% by 2030
      Pasaules tendences – galvenie secinājumi Source: PFC Energy Strategic Horizons
    • Tendences: degvielas patēriņš samazinās EU Passenger Car Fuel Efficiency (New Vehicles - Litres/100Km) Fuel Efficiency Fleet Average Prognoses: 2010 - 2040
      • US: from 10 Litres to 4 Litres
      • China: from 7.6 Litres to 4 Litres
      • EU: from 7.3 Litres to 4 Litres
    • Eiropas Savienībā - lielākā dizelizācija pasaulē
      • The total passenger cars will grow by 5.3% from 2007 to 2030 or 11,5 million passenger cars
      • The dieselisation will reach its peak of over 54% in 2031
      • Eastern Europe and Scandinavia 2010 ~ 23-25% diesel share
    • Avots: CSP, CSDD Situācija Latvijā
    • Kas notiks ar smago transportu?
      • These vehicles will run on diesel also in the future - 2020
      • Increased use of biodiesel
        • Local use of B100/B30
        • B7 soon to be launched
      • Very limited use of other alternative fuels
        • Hydrogen, Biomethane , etc.
        • Mainly demonstration projects
      • Some hybridisation
        • As a tool for fuel savings
      • Focus on reduction of fuel consumption and emissions
        • Engine downsizing
        • Design optimisation, etc.
    • Prioritātes šobrīd
    • Paldies par uzmanību! Degvielas tirgus izaicinājumi nākotnē Dace Lodziņa SIA “Latvija Statoil” Transporta degvielas departamenta vadītāja, Vadības grupas pārstāve