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Commentary                                    2
   Released:         The Numbers That Drive Real Estate            3

  October 2011       This Month in Washington                      8
                     Topics for Home Buyers, Sellers, and Owners   11




Brought to you by:
KW Research
Commentary
       Despite some pessimism pertaining to the global and domestic economies, the U.S.
       housing sector continues to show promising signs of stability and growth. Low levels
       of new home construction and gaining sales volume fueled by an inventory of
       affordable housing since Richard Nixon was president have reduced the number of
       homes on the market. This means home prices may begin to appreciate again.

       While there are many factors that can be barriers to buying a home, such as the
       tightening of mortgage lending rules by banks, consumer confidence in the job market
       is among one of the top obstacles to home ownership. In the 2011 Housing Pulse
       Survey conducted by the National Association of Realtors, 80% of respondents cited
       job security as their primary concern when deciding to buy.

       For only the fourth time since the beginning of 2010, home sales in August were up
       both year-over-year and month-over-month, posting an 18.6% gain from last year, with
       first-time home buyers accounting for nearly a third of all homes purchased. These
       indications of strength in the housing market may help to add to consumer confidence,
       which is an integral part of sustained growth. Even though there is still a long road to
       recovery ahead of us, there are opportunities to be had for both home buyers and
       sellers.


Source: National Association of Realtors                                        KW Research 2
Home Sales            4
  The Numbers That    Home Price            5

  Drive Real Estate   Supply of Inventory
                      Mortgage Rates
                                            6
                                            7




Brought to you by:
KW Research
Home Sales
    In Millions
August home sales were up 18.6% year-to-year, posting a 7.7% increase in sales activity over
July despite Hurricane Irene, which struck the Eastern seaboard and New England regions at
the end of the month. As a result of the hurricane, the Northeast experienced the smallest
increase in sales. At the same time, persisting restrictions among banks affecting home lending
are having the greatest constraint on sales levels. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun
stated, “The market can easily move into a healthy expansion if mortgage underwriting
standards return to normalcy.”


                              Original Tax Credit
                                 Scheduled to
                                    Expire

                                                                                               Expanded
                                                                                               Tax Credit
                                                    5.2               5.1                       Expired
                                                                4.9          5.0                            5.0
                                                                                     4.8
                          4.4
    4.2



   Aug        Sep        Oct        Nov      Dec          Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr    May   Jun    Jul         Aug
Latest Data Release: September 21, 2011
Source: National Association of Realtors
                                                                                           KW Research 4
Home Price
    In Thousands

Homes prices were down, with a 5.1% drop in August compared to a year ago. The national
median price for homes in August was $168,300, with distressed properties, foreclosures, and
short sales still accounting for 31% of sales. The buyer’s market for residential property
continues, as favorable prices, and record low interest rates offer the most affordable
conditions for purchasing a home in the last 40 years.




$177.3
                                                                                                $168.3
                                                                                 $175.6
                       $170.6

                                           $157.9          $159.8 $161.1


   Aug        Sep         Oct        Nov Dec   Jan   Feb    Mar   Apr      May   Jun      Jul   Aug
Latest Data Release: September 21, 2011
Source: National Association of Realtors
                                                                                    KW Research 5
Supply of Inventory
    In Months

    The supply of homes measured in months on the market at their current pace of sales fell
    10.5% in the month of August, to an 8.5 month supply of inventory, down from a 9.5-
    month supply in July. With homes being more affordable than they have been in a
    generation and the lowest levels of new home construction since World War II, this
    inventory is projected to continue to fall, which will eventually result in the appreciation of
    home prices and a move toward a balanced market.



                                                                                         Tax
                                                                                        Credit
                                                                                       Expired
   11.7
              10.9
                                                                                       9.5
                                           7.5                           9.1                       8.5

                                                             8.3




   Aug        Sep        Oct        Nov    Dec   Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun     Jul       Aug
Latest Data Release: September 21, 2011
Source: National Association of Realtors
                                                                                   KW Research 6
Mortgage Rates
    30-Year Fixed

  Home ownership became even more affordable, with the average rate for 30-year fixed
  mortgages falling to 4.01% the last week in September. This drop came as a result of the
  Federal Reserve extending the average maturity of its holdings as a part of the Maturity
  Extension Program, an effort designed to put downward pressure on interest rates and yields
  on treasury bonds in order to stimulate the economy. It is hoped that this action will
  encourage banks to loosen lending conditions, as it becomes more attractive to loan money
  to home buyers, rather than invest in treasury bonds.

                                          Type         Rate
                         30-Year Fixed                4.01%
                         15-Year Fixed                3.28%
                         5/1 ARM                      2.83%
                         Historical Average           8.90%




Source: Freddie Mac; September 29, 2011                                     KW Research 7
This Month in Washington


Brought to you by:
KW Research
This Month in Washington
Congressional Loan Limit Guarantees Set to Fall
   On October 1 the loan amounts that can be guaranteed by the agencies Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae,
   and the Federal Housing Administration dropped in higher-priced markets from $729,750 to $625,000,
   or a -14.35% reduction. While $625,000 is far above the national median price of $168,300, affecting
   only 1.3% of loans, this reduction can have an impact on the overall prices of homes by creating even
   tighter mortgage lending standards and cause some sellers to reduce their asking prices.
   Source: The Wall Street Journal

Senate Subcommittee Brainstorms Foreclosure Solutions
   On Tuesday, September 20, a Senate subcommittee met to discuss the foreclosures that still plague
   the balance sheets of banks, the federal government and other agencies. Of the total 54.9 million
   residential real estate loans that exist, 4.5 million are non-performing, with another 10.4 million
   borrowers who are likely to default. The subcommittee listened to the opinions of many industry
   experts, who urged the policymakers to be conscious of these borrowers and to find ways to increase
   available funds to potential buyers and investors who could absorb some of these properties.

   This meeting comes on the heels of several attempts to stem the tide of foreclosures which includes
   the Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan enacted in 2009, a $79 billion effort to help 7–9 million
   families avoid foreclosure by refinancing or restructuring their loans.
   Source: The Wall Street Journal




                                                                                         KW Research 9
This Month in Washington
2.3 Million Refinance Candidates Denied
   Policymakers for the past two years have been encouraging homeowners to refinance their homes and
   take advantage of record-low interest rates; however, their efforts are continually frustrated by today’s
   tough lending standards. A study released by the Federal Reserve found that out of 6.8 million
   applicants to refinance their mortgages, 2.3 million were denied due to current lending standards and
   the decline in the value of their home. The study also revealed that many of these candidates would
   have qualified for a refinance prior to the housing bubble burst, which as of the end of June has left
   10.9 million borrowers, or 23% of mortgage holders, owing more on their house than it is worth.

   Despite banks’ continuing reluctance to relax lending requirements, in some cases it may still make
   sense to sell a home for a small loss rather than refinance. With record-low interest rates, which
   dropped again in September to 4.01%, the savings realized from a low interest 30-year fixed mortgage
   on a new home may eclipse any loss incurred in selling the current one.
   Sources: The Wall Street Journal, National Association of Realtors




                                                                                        KW Research 10
Topics for Home Buyers, Sellers,
                   and Owners

Brought to you by:
KW Research
Distressed Properties and What They Mean to You

   Since affordable pricing tops the list of motivation and criteria for buying, it is no surprise
   that many first-time home buyers purchase distressed properties, which can be up to
   30% below market value. Cost-conscious buyers are the most interested in distressed
   properties, but it is important for them to take into consideration the additional costs and
   expenses related to damage or neglect that occurred during the foreclosure process. On
   average, distressed property prices for first-time home buyers are $185,971 with a
   median of $153,000.

   Another consideration for buyers is the transaction time. Short sales and foreclosures
   typically take considerably longer to close because buyers deal with institutions rather
   than individual sellers. Yet buyers who are patient can benefit by paying less

   As a seller, it is important to understand the current real estate market, and a real estate
   agent is there to guide sellers every step of the way. Agents can help sellers understand
   what the level of distressed sales and competition look like in their area. This way, they
   will be able to price their home right and will more than likely be able to attract attention
   from potential home buyers.




Source: KW Research                                                                KW Research 12
Your Local Market

Although it is important to stay informed about what is going on in the
national economy and housing market, many different factors impact the
your real estate market.

 Talk to your KW associate for assistance interpreting the
             conditions in your local market.



KW associates are equipped with the knowledge and information to help
you navigate the home-buying or selling process in this challenging
market.



                                                           KW Research 13
About Keller Williams Realty

Keller Williams Realty Inc. is the second-largest real estate
franchise operation in the United States, with 700 offices and more
than 80,000 associates in the United States and Canada. The
company has grown exponentially since the opening of the first
Keller Williams Realty office in 1983, and continues to cultivate its
agent-centric culture that emphasizes access to leading-edge
education and promotes an economic model that rewards
associates as stakeholders. The company also provides specialized
agents in luxury homes and commercial real estate properties. For
more information, or to search for homes for sale visit Keller
Williams Realty online at
  www.kw.com

                                                       KW Research 14
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by
local and national media, local real estate agents, and other expert sources. You should not treat any opinion
expressed in This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular
strategy, but only as an expression of opinion. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible
for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind. All
information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only. Nothing herein should be
construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain
professional advice before making any investment decision. All investments involve some degree of risk. Keller
Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in This
Month in Real Estate.




                                                                                                      KW Research 15

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10 tmire oct_us_2011

  • 1. Commentary 2 Released: The Numbers That Drive Real Estate 3 October 2011 This Month in Washington 8 Topics for Home Buyers, Sellers, and Owners 11 Brought to you by: KW Research
  • 2. Commentary Despite some pessimism pertaining to the global and domestic economies, the U.S. housing sector continues to show promising signs of stability and growth. Low levels of new home construction and gaining sales volume fueled by an inventory of affordable housing since Richard Nixon was president have reduced the number of homes on the market. This means home prices may begin to appreciate again. While there are many factors that can be barriers to buying a home, such as the tightening of mortgage lending rules by banks, consumer confidence in the job market is among one of the top obstacles to home ownership. In the 2011 Housing Pulse Survey conducted by the National Association of Realtors, 80% of respondents cited job security as their primary concern when deciding to buy. For only the fourth time since the beginning of 2010, home sales in August were up both year-over-year and month-over-month, posting an 18.6% gain from last year, with first-time home buyers accounting for nearly a third of all homes purchased. These indications of strength in the housing market may help to add to consumer confidence, which is an integral part of sustained growth. Even though there is still a long road to recovery ahead of us, there are opportunities to be had for both home buyers and sellers. Source: National Association of Realtors KW Research 2
  • 3. Home Sales 4 The Numbers That Home Price 5 Drive Real Estate Supply of Inventory Mortgage Rates 6 7 Brought to you by: KW Research
  • 4. Home Sales In Millions August home sales were up 18.6% year-to-year, posting a 7.7% increase in sales activity over July despite Hurricane Irene, which struck the Eastern seaboard and New England regions at the end of the month. As a result of the hurricane, the Northeast experienced the smallest increase in sales. At the same time, persisting restrictions among banks affecting home lending are having the greatest constraint on sales levels. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun stated, “The market can easily move into a healthy expansion if mortgage underwriting standards return to normalcy.” Original Tax Credit Scheduled to Expire Expanded Tax Credit 5.2 5.1 Expired 4.9 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.4 4.2 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Latest Data Release: September 21, 2011 Source: National Association of Realtors KW Research 4
  • 5. Home Price In Thousands Homes prices were down, with a 5.1% drop in August compared to a year ago. The national median price for homes in August was $168,300, with distressed properties, foreclosures, and short sales still accounting for 31% of sales. The buyer’s market for residential property continues, as favorable prices, and record low interest rates offer the most affordable conditions for purchasing a home in the last 40 years. $177.3 $168.3 $175.6 $170.6 $157.9 $159.8 $161.1 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Latest Data Release: September 21, 2011 Source: National Association of Realtors KW Research 5
  • 6. Supply of Inventory In Months The supply of homes measured in months on the market at their current pace of sales fell 10.5% in the month of August, to an 8.5 month supply of inventory, down from a 9.5- month supply in July. With homes being more affordable than they have been in a generation and the lowest levels of new home construction since World War II, this inventory is projected to continue to fall, which will eventually result in the appreciation of home prices and a move toward a balanced market. Tax Credit Expired 11.7 10.9 9.5 7.5 9.1 8.5 8.3 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Latest Data Release: September 21, 2011 Source: National Association of Realtors KW Research 6
  • 7. Mortgage Rates 30-Year Fixed Home ownership became even more affordable, with the average rate for 30-year fixed mortgages falling to 4.01% the last week in September. This drop came as a result of the Federal Reserve extending the average maturity of its holdings as a part of the Maturity Extension Program, an effort designed to put downward pressure on interest rates and yields on treasury bonds in order to stimulate the economy. It is hoped that this action will encourage banks to loosen lending conditions, as it becomes more attractive to loan money to home buyers, rather than invest in treasury bonds. Type Rate 30-Year Fixed 4.01% 15-Year Fixed 3.28% 5/1 ARM 2.83% Historical Average 8.90% Source: Freddie Mac; September 29, 2011 KW Research 7
  • 8. This Month in Washington Brought to you by: KW Research
  • 9. This Month in Washington Congressional Loan Limit Guarantees Set to Fall On October 1 the loan amounts that can be guaranteed by the agencies Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, and the Federal Housing Administration dropped in higher-priced markets from $729,750 to $625,000, or a -14.35% reduction. While $625,000 is far above the national median price of $168,300, affecting only 1.3% of loans, this reduction can have an impact on the overall prices of homes by creating even tighter mortgage lending standards and cause some sellers to reduce their asking prices. Source: The Wall Street Journal Senate Subcommittee Brainstorms Foreclosure Solutions On Tuesday, September 20, a Senate subcommittee met to discuss the foreclosures that still plague the balance sheets of banks, the federal government and other agencies. Of the total 54.9 million residential real estate loans that exist, 4.5 million are non-performing, with another 10.4 million borrowers who are likely to default. The subcommittee listened to the opinions of many industry experts, who urged the policymakers to be conscious of these borrowers and to find ways to increase available funds to potential buyers and investors who could absorb some of these properties. This meeting comes on the heels of several attempts to stem the tide of foreclosures which includes the Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan enacted in 2009, a $79 billion effort to help 7–9 million families avoid foreclosure by refinancing or restructuring their loans. Source: The Wall Street Journal KW Research 9
  • 10. This Month in Washington 2.3 Million Refinance Candidates Denied Policymakers for the past two years have been encouraging homeowners to refinance their homes and take advantage of record-low interest rates; however, their efforts are continually frustrated by today’s tough lending standards. A study released by the Federal Reserve found that out of 6.8 million applicants to refinance their mortgages, 2.3 million were denied due to current lending standards and the decline in the value of their home. The study also revealed that many of these candidates would have qualified for a refinance prior to the housing bubble burst, which as of the end of June has left 10.9 million borrowers, or 23% of mortgage holders, owing more on their house than it is worth. Despite banks’ continuing reluctance to relax lending requirements, in some cases it may still make sense to sell a home for a small loss rather than refinance. With record-low interest rates, which dropped again in September to 4.01%, the savings realized from a low interest 30-year fixed mortgage on a new home may eclipse any loss incurred in selling the current one. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, National Association of Realtors KW Research 10
  • 11. Topics for Home Buyers, Sellers, and Owners Brought to you by: KW Research
  • 12. Distressed Properties and What They Mean to You Since affordable pricing tops the list of motivation and criteria for buying, it is no surprise that many first-time home buyers purchase distressed properties, which can be up to 30% below market value. Cost-conscious buyers are the most interested in distressed properties, but it is important for them to take into consideration the additional costs and expenses related to damage or neglect that occurred during the foreclosure process. On average, distressed property prices for first-time home buyers are $185,971 with a median of $153,000. Another consideration for buyers is the transaction time. Short sales and foreclosures typically take considerably longer to close because buyers deal with institutions rather than individual sellers. Yet buyers who are patient can benefit by paying less As a seller, it is important to understand the current real estate market, and a real estate agent is there to guide sellers every step of the way. Agents can help sellers understand what the level of distressed sales and competition look like in their area. This way, they will be able to price their home right and will more than likely be able to attract attention from potential home buyers. Source: KW Research KW Research 12
  • 13. Your Local Market Although it is important to stay informed about what is going on in the national economy and housing market, many different factors impact the your real estate market. Talk to your KW associate for assistance interpreting the conditions in your local market. KW associates are equipped with the knowledge and information to help you navigate the home-buying or selling process in this challenging market. KW Research 13
  • 14. About Keller Williams Realty Keller Williams Realty Inc. is the second-largest real estate franchise operation in the United States, with 700 offices and more than 80,000 associates in the United States and Canada. The company has grown exponentially since the opening of the first Keller Williams Realty office in 1983, and continues to cultivate its agent-centric culture that emphasizes access to leading-edge education and promotes an economic model that rewards associates as stakeholders. The company also provides specialized agents in luxury homes and commercial real estate properties. For more information, or to search for homes for sale visit Keller Williams Realty online at www.kw.com KW Research 14
  • 15. The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents, and other expert sources. You should not treat any opinion expressed in This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind. All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. All investments involve some degree of risk. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in This Month in Real Estate. KW Research 15