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Eur sld shr_may_2013_v3

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  • 1. European Leveraged Finance Market UpdateMay, 2013Sucheet Gupte - DirectorText
  • 2. European Market TrendsText• The S&P European Leveraged Loan Index (ELLI) finished the month up 0.88%.• Loan issuance was €6.7B in April 2013; HY issuance was €6.5B.• Secondary markets were up:loan markets up almost 72 bps points to finish the month at 100.58;high yield markets down 206 bps to finish the month at 104.63.• Estimated inflows into European HY funds was €543M for April.YTD inflows are at €2.9B.• Default rates stayed level.
  • 3. 9193949698991012/11 4/11 6/11 8/11 10/11 12/11 2/12 4/12 6/12 8/12 10/12 12/12 2/13 4/13.European Loan Flow Name PricesTextSource: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 4. .8185899498102106211 4/11 6/11 8/11 10/11 12/11 2/12 4/12 6/12 8/12 10/12 12/12 2/13 4/13European HY Bond Flow Name PricesSource: BloombergText
  • 5. 0%0.4%0.8%1.1%1.5%4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13.ELLI Multi-Currency Loan ReturnTextApril 2013: + 0.88%March 2013: + 0.91%Jan-April 2013: + 3.70%Jan-April 2012: + 5.19%Source: S&P European Leveraged Loan Index
  • 6. .04811154/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13Volume: New-Issue Loans vs. HY BondsHY bondsLoans€billionsTextSource: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data€6.5B€6.7B
  • 7. 0%3%6%10%13%16%2/09 2/10 12/11 2/12 4/130%3%6%10%13%16%2/09 2/10 2/11 12/11 4/13.ELLI Default Rates – European Leveraged LoansDefault Rate by Principal Amount Default Rate by Issuer CountTextSource: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 8. Themes To Watch ForText• Along with repricings, some sponsors are tabling dividend recap deals to take advantage of investor demand, both inloans and high yield.• CLOs emerge back on the landscape; according to LCD reports, there are 4 vehicles in the pipeline totaling€1.5B. So far this year, 3 vehicles have priced for a total of €964M.• Further spread / yield compression is expected, as loan issuers use access to the high yield markets to reduceexisting spreads.• Still strong demand for high yield bonds, so far this year, net inflows stand at €2.9 billion.• Bond for loan-take-outs will continue to keep pace as issuers address their maturity concerns.
  • 9. pauseTextCopyright 2013 Standard & Poors, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.No content (including ratings, credit-related analyses and data, model, software or other application or output therefrom) or any part thereof (Content) may be modified, reverseengineered, reproduced or distributed in any form by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of S&P.The Content shall not beused for any unlawful or unauthorized purposes. S&P, its affiliates, and any third party providers, as well as their directors, officers, shareholders, employees or agents (collectively S&PParties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness or availability of the Content. S&P Parties are not responsible for any errors or omissions, regardless of the cause,for the results obtained from the use of the Content, or for the security or maintenance of any data input by the user.The Content is provided on an "as is" basis. S&P PARTIESDISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR APARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE, FREEDOM FROM BUGS, SOFTWARE ERRORS OR DEFECTS,THAT THE CONTENT’S FUNCTIONING WILL BE UNINTERRUPTED OR THATTHE CONTENT WILL OPERATE WITH ANY SOFTWARE OR HARDWARE CONFIGURATION. In no event shall S&P Parties be liable to any party for any direct, indirect,incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including, without limitation, lost income or lost profits andopportunity costs) in connection with any use of the Content even if advised of the possibility of such damages.Credit-related analyses, including ratings, and statements in the Content are statements of opinion as of the date they are expressed and not statements of fact or recommendationsto purchase, hold, or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions. S&P assumes no obligation to update the Content following publication in any form or format.TheContent should not be relied on and is not a substitute for the skill, judgment and experience of the user, its management, employees, advisors and/or clients when makinginvestment and other business decisions. S&P’s opinions and analyses do not address the suitability of any security. S&P does not act as a fiduciary or an investment advisor.While S&Phas obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, S&P does not perform an audit and undertakes no duty of due diligence or independent verification of anyinformation it receives.S&P keeps certain activities of its business units separate from each other in order to preserve the independence and objectivity of their respective activities. As a result, certainbusiness units of S&P may have information that is not available to other S&P business units. S&P has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of certainnon-public information received in connection with each analytical process.S&P may receive compensation for its ratings and certain credit-related analyses, normally from issuers or underwriters of securities or from obligors. S&P reserves the right todisseminate its opinions and analyses. S&Ps public ratings and analyses are made available on its Web sites, www.standardandpoors.com (free of charge), and www.ratingsdirect.comand www.globalcreditportal.com (subscription), and may be distributed through other means, including via S&P publications and third party redistributors. Additional informationabout our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees.Text

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