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Smc Newsletter December 06

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  • 1. Volume 1, Number 12, – December 2006 People you should con- No paean to panaceas tact about peak oil: Unfortunately, the world is more complicated than the one our brains •Senator Barbara Boxer http://boxer.senate.gov/con- evolved to deal with. The lure of the tact/email/policy.cfm simple single solution is always tug- •Senator Dianne Feinstein ging at us. There’s no end of events http://www.senate.gov/~fein- and people and ideas that are hard stein/email.html to understand—and make us un- •Congressman Sam Farr comfortable. Con men have made 1221 Longworth House Of- their livings down through the ages fice Building exploiting people’s attraction to Washington, DC 20515 panaceas, and that won’t be any dif- (202) 225-2861 ferent in the age of fossil-fuel deple- FAX (202) 225-6791 http://www.farr.house.gov/ tion and climate change. •Governor Arnold Schw… Those selling ease and simplicity http://www.govmail.ca.gov offer temporary comfort (followed by •President George Bush a rude surprise) to those who are not http://www.whitehouse.gov/ sufficiently critical, skeptical or in- formed. Not that the ideas they offer Now you can contribute a will all be bad ones—some are cent to SMC every time you great. But even the best ideas can do a web search—just go to be the basis of pernicious fantasies www.goodsearch.com, enter when treated as the one solution to “Sustainable Monterey Coun- our problems: a panacea. ty” in answer to the “Who do It’s likely that doing everything that you GoodSearch for” ques- helps, as fast as we can, will fall tion, and search . short of preventing hardship in the next decade or two. So we need to Thanks to all those who have contributed help and funds to do all the things that will help, and SMC not just pick the first one that sounds good, and then go back to sleep. Here’s a list of tools I think are necessary, but not sufficient for UPCOMING EVENTS Dec. 7: Amory Lovins 7:00 PM at Irvine 6:45-8:30pm, Mry Youth Center, 777 Pearl Auditorium, MIIS St. December 24: “Tomorrow Matters” on January 24, Wednesday: Richard Heinberg KRXA 540 AM, Richard Heinberg speech at “Ecofarm Conference”, Asilo- December 31: “Tomorrow Matters” on mar KRXA 540 AM, Richard Heinberg February 1, Thursday: SMC Discussion Jan. 11: SMC Discussion Group: (re?) Group: Economy, 6:45-9pm, Mty Youth Introduction to Peak Oil Thurs., Center, 777 Pearl St. Mission: To ensure an orderly transition through the fossil fuel decline by co- operatively developing a sustainable economy for Monterey County.
  • 2. SUSTAINABLE MONTEREY COUNTY Has Oil Peaked Already? GREAT IDEAS AREN’T (shamelessly lifted from an article by Khebab on the Oil Drum) BEING ADOPTED FAST ENOUGH Amory Lovins came to Irvine Au- ditorium at MIIS and presented a whole string of great energy-sav- ing ideas: • Ultralight cars could safely and cheaply double fuel economy. • Houses can be comfort- able without heaters. • Small-scale cogeneration can make electricity more robust and inexpensive. • The U.S. could develop “The All liquids peak is now May 2005 at 85.205 mbpd, the energy saving technolo- year to date average values (9 months) are down from 2005 gies to sell to the world. for all the categories.” The peaks and dates are listed for all • Businesses could sponta- categories of liquid fuels in the table below. He got his data from the Energy Information Administration neously decide to act in of the USDOE, and BP. Of course, oil production could rise their enlightened self-inter- again, but this is the first time it has fallen with rising prices est to solve our energy and no major political disruption to production. problems. He’s not wrong—at least the physics and engineering are pos- sible—but it isn’t happening with the necessary scale and speed. Sept Sept 12 2006 9 2005 9 Peak Peak Category Share MA1 2006 2005 Months Months Date Value All Liquids 84.64 84.01 84.43 84.41 84.45 100.00% 2005-05 85.21 Crude Oil + NGL 81.09 80.86 81.24 81.21 81.30 95.80% 2005-05 81.97 Other Liquids 3.55 3.15 3.19 3.20 3.15 4.20% 2006-09 3.55 NGPL 7.77 7.58 7.78 7.83 7.81 9.18% 2005-02 8.04 Crude Oil + Con- 73.32 73.28 73.46 73.38 73.50 86.62% 2005-12 74.08 densate
  • 3. SUSTAINABLE MONTEREY COUNTY NATURAL GAS IS LOOKING SCARY I found this graph on the web in the last week or so, and the implica- tions seem pretty serious. Jean Laherrere shifted a smoothed plot of North American gas discovery by 23 years, so it would lie most closely on top of the curve of gas production. I think the match is amazing. The blue curve is gas discovery, pink is marketed gas production, red is marketed pro- duction less unconventional. You can’t extract what you haven’t dis- covered—and it looks like we’ve extracted and used almost all that we’ve discovered. Amory Lovins’ house stays warm enough to grow bananas, with- out a furnace—in Aspen. Could we make an unheated home in Monterey that would stay warm enough for people? Further Reading Rocky Mountain Institute http://www.rmi.org/ Life After the Oil Crash http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/ Energy Bulletin http://www.energybulletin.net Oil Addiction: The World in Peril, Pierre Chomat Blood and Oil, Michael T. Klare Eating Fossil Fuels: Oil, Food and the Coming Crisis in Agriculture, Dale Allen Pfeiffer The Oil Depletion Protocol, Richard Heinberg
  • 4. Director’s Note CONTACT The year is coming to a close and there are so many things looking INFORMATION up. Please see our website, www.sustainablemontereycounty.org for a recent letter I wrote to the Herald (unpublished) about all the things go- MARK FOLSOM: ing on in Monterey County, (look for the title, “Things looking up in Mon- Phone: 831 648 1543 terey County”) because it outlines what’s really going on in our commu- nity, and let me tell you, it’s a lot! I’m positive you readers could add E-Mail: folsomman@red- even more to the list. You could add all your efforts of lowering your shift.net ecological footprint, of reducing your CO2 production, of helping see our area successfully through to the next generation, and passing on a strong and vital legacy. I know you are there, I know we stand together; Steering Committee Members I know my words are voiced in all your hearts and minds. Going local is Deborah Lindsay, Director deb@sus- catching on; we are forging green economies and creating a greener tainablemontereycounty.org planet. Now, that is something to celebrate! Can I say it’s all done? No, of course, there is still much to be done. Ruth Smith, 831-620-1303 2007 has SMC approaching the County to adopt the Monterey County Committee Chair and Budget Chair Peak Oil Resolution. We will start lectures in Marina and we will make Virginia Chomat, Sustainable Monterey (the City) a reality. We will continue to support Secretary and Co-treasurer Sustainable Pacific Grove and Big Sur Power Down, and we will march Pierre Chomat, on until this County is ready for the fossil fuel decline and we can Resident Expert weather the coming storm together. Mark Folsom, SMC is at a critical juncture—we must broaden our network of sup- Newsletter Editor, porters to take our work to the next level. We are embarking on a sup- folsomman@redshift.net port drive to raise $12,000 toward our efforts. As one who understands George Wilson, 831-372-0659 the urgency of transitioning our region to one that lives within its means Committee Evaluation Coordinator and in peace with the global community, we ask that you help us reach Denyse Frischmuth, this goal. All donations are tax-deductible and support our vital pro- 831-643-0707 grams to localize our regional economy. Donors of at least $250 will be Volunteer Coordinator and Urban Envi- personally acknowledged in our next newsletter. ronmental Accords Coordinator Remember, money moves ideas and the ideas of SMC are for the en- Robert Frischmuth, vironmental and social profit of our local community and its future. Co-Treasurer Program Heads: Many holiday blessings to you and your family, Annette Chaplin, 831-372-8725 Deborah Sustainable Pacific Grove Linda Parker, phone # 831-656-0664 surite@sbcglobal.net Big Sur Powerdown Can oil money buy your science teachers? The scandal at the National Science Teachers Association (NSTA) just keeps getting worse. Since the Washington Post published an op-ed I wrote asking if NSTA's puzzling decision Newsletter Design by to reject 50,000 free DVDs of Al Gore's global warming documentary An Inconvenient Truth Adrienne Allen might - just might - have had anything to do with more than six million dollars the organiza- aa_nixon@comcast.net tion has accepted from ExxonMobil, Shell Oil, ConocoPhillips and the American Petroleum Institute, the muck keeps piling up. ExxonMobil, of course, remains the standout among a large group of fossil fuel compa- We’re on the Web! nies that have done everything in their considerable power to delay, deflect, and derail any See us at: serious effort to cut global warming emissions. Funding scientific disinformation has long http://www.postcarbon.org/ been one of their favorite tactics. groups/monterey New evidence flatly contradicts statements NSTA has made in defense of its suspect part- nerships, and efforts appear to be underway to wipe out online evidence showing that what the oil industry got in exchange was the group's imprimatur on classroom videos, teaching guides, and other quot;educationalquot; materials that play down threats like global warming and play up the glories of continued oil dependence. --Laurie David via Huffington Post