Since Regan and Bush, PA has been leaning towards the blue. PA has been considered a swing state, (from 72-96, their state voted with the winning candidate) however, they have voted democratically in terms of the presidential election since 1988
In terms of the upcoming election, PA seems to be disgruntled with the Obama administration as a whole and this is can be seen through Toomey’s lead in the polls
Obviously the economy is a prominent issue, with 9% unemployment in January and growing
Possible deciding factor:
From RealClearPolitics: “Toomey’s economic conservatism isn’t a great match for this economically populist state. But in this year of tea parties, the more salient factor in the general election may be Sestak’s support of the Obama administration’s spending.”
The Philly suburbs have moved toward the Democrats, while Pittsburgh has moved toward the Republicans.
This indicates blue collar favors the more conservative candidate
Probably due to the fact that Toomey is a ‘taxpayers friend’ and is vehemently pro-life and has a strong pro-gun voting record
Sestak has focused on attacking Toomey who he alleges has intentions to “eliminate corporate taxes altogether”. Their back and forth battle through TV ads has seen a lot of news time. Sestak has been defending these attack ads by questioning their honesty and credibility.
Sestak’s discussion on how he will “stand up” to his party have clouded the airwaves. While Sestak traditionally votes Democratic majority of the time, he has been trying to establish the fact that while he is a democrat, he is trying to always do the “right” thing. Many news sources have been trying to reconcile these messages with Sestak’s past actions.
Both Sestak and Toomey have been labeled as “extremists” in their own right. Both sides have accused the other of making outlandish decisions or having eccentric ideas. While this is certainly not the first time candidates have been called extremist, it’s interesting that there is coverage of both sides being considered as such.