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Warcost

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    Warcost Warcost Presentation Transcript

    • War Funds Kassundra Dasalia
      • So far, the war in Iraq has cost
      • $610 billion
    • Where is it all going?
      • From that amount Iraq is receiving
      • $450 billion
      • OEF = $127 billion
      • Enhanced Base Security = $28 billion
      • CRS = cannot locate $5 billion
      • Other funds are for the DOD, Foreign aid programs, and embassy operations, and medical care for veterans.
    •  
    • Tuesday October 23 2007 Bush asks for $45.9B more in war funds
      • This article is about an emergency funding request from President Bush.
      • President Bush vetoed healthcare for 10 million children.
      • The President objected to a $30 billion spending on a popular health insurance program for children.
    • Since 9/11..
      • The US initiated 3 operations:
      • Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF)- covering Afghanistan and other Global War on Terror (GWOT) operations.
      • Operation Noble Eagle (ONE)- providing enhanced security for US military bases and other homeland security.
      • Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF)- buildup of troops for the March 2003 invasion of Iraq, counter-insurgency, and stability operations.
      • All US citizens who pay taxes.
      • So far the rate is $8000 per man, woman, and child in the country.
      • Children who have cannot afford health insurance.
      Who does this affect?
      • Wednesday October 24 2007
      • Wars could cost $2.4 trillion
      This article is showing that the war could cost $2.4 trillion over the next decade. The estimated cost before the invasion of Iraq was at $50 billion .
      • When will this end?
      If not in the next century, when the war is over and Iraq is stable enough on its own as a country.
    • Wednesday October 24 Senate reverses Bush spending cuts This article is in response to Bush’s cut on children’s health insurance. This article says if allowed to continue at the same rate, these bills will cost the American taxpayer $120 billion over the next 10 years.
      • Is the Iraq War Costlier Than Doing Nothing?
      • November 14, 2007 12:15 PM ET | Pethokoukis , James | Permanent Link
      • The Democratic study on the "real costs" of the wars in Iraq ($1.3 trillion) and Afghanistan ($300 billion) from 2002 through 2008 will almost assuredly lead to a common perceptual pitfall. An explanation: Let's assume that the numbers on Iraq are more or less accurate. And let's stipulate for a moment that when you take into account "hidden costs" such as interest payments on new debt to pay for the war, the expense of long-term healthcare for our injured warriors, and the impact of higher oil prices, the total cost of Iraq is indeed twice what the White House has requested from Congress.
      • Should we then assume that by not waging the war, Uncle Sam would be a trillion dollars to the better? That would be a questionable assumption, a product of a sort of "static analysis" that assumes if you change one critical factor, all the rest stay pretty much the same. Professional futurists, like the ones at the Big Oil companies, know better than that. They give clients a range of scenarios based on different values for different variables. And that is also what three economists at the University of Chicago's business school did in 2006. They looked at the costs of not going to war with Iraq back in 2003. Their study instead examined the costs of containing Iraq.
      • Advocates for forcible regime change in Iraq expressed several concerns about the pre-war containment policy. Some stressed an erosion of political support for the containment policy that threatened to undermine its effectiveness and lead to a much costlier conflict with Iraq in the future. Others stressed the difficulty of compelling Iraqi compliance with a rigorous process of weapons inspections and disarmament, widely seen as a critical element of containment. And others stressed the potential for Iraqi collaboration with international terrorist groups. To evaluate these concerns, we model the possibility that an effective containment policy might require the mounting of costly threats and might lead to a limited war or a full-scale regime-changing war against Iraq at a later date. We also consider the possibility that the survival of a hostile Iraqi regime raises the probability of a major terrorist attack on the United States.
      • Factoring in all those contingencies, the authors find that a containment policy would cost anywhere from $350 billion to $700 billon. Now when you further factor in that 1) a containment policy might also have led to a higher risk premium in the oil markets if Iraq was seen to be gaining in military power despite our efforts to box it in, and 2) money not borrowed and spent on Iraq might well have been spent on something else given the White House's free-spending ways, it's easy to see that doing a cost-benefit analysis on "war vs. containment" might have left administration officials with no clear-cut economic answer. (The GOP counter to the Dem proposal can be found here .)
      • Of course, the White House apparently didn't even bother to do such a cost-benefit analysis. And had it done so, the results should hardly have been the determining factor whether to wage war or not. As U.S. Court of Appeals Judge Richard Posner notes in his blog with the University of Chicago's Nobel Prize-winning economist Gary Becker (neither gentleman participated in the Iraq war study),
      • All this said, I do not think a decision to go to war should be based on cost-benefit analysis. It would terrify the world if powerful nations conducted cost-benefit analyses of whether to go to war. There are 192 nations besides the United States; should we ask the Defense Department to advise us which ones we should invade because the expected benefits would exceed the expected costs? Might a conquest of Canada produce net benefits for the United States?
      • You know, those Canadian tar sands do look awfully inviting...
    •  
      • http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/natsec/RL33110.pdf
      • http://www.usnews.com/blogs/capital-commerce/2007/11/14/is-the-iraq-war-costlier-than-doing-nothing.html
      • http://www.google.com
      • Honolulu Advertiser