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    350 Presentation 350 Presentation Presentation Transcript

    • ? WHAT IS
    • it’s MORE than a NUMBER...
    • SCIENCE it’s about…
    • a SCIENTIFIC TARGET…
    • CHANGING CLIMATE FOR OUR
    • it’s a opportunity POLITICAL
    • a specific goal
    • to shift what’s possible for A GLOBAL CLIMATE TREATY
    • it’s about… MOVEMENT
    • moving away from fossil fuels
    • a rallying cry for a global movement
    • and a single day to join together AND MAKE OUR VOICES HEARD 24 oct. an international day of climate action 2009
    • SCIENCE
    • THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT
    • 387ppm CO2 today:
    • Do you think we’re above or below where we need to be?
    • NOW climate change is impacting our planet
    • NATURAL WORLD it’s impacting our
    • GLACIERS ARE MELTING
    • MUIR & RIGGS GLACIER 1941
    • MUIR & RIGGS GLACIER 2004
    • PEDERSEN GLACIER, AK 1920
    • PEDERSEN GLACIER, AK 2005
    • OCEANS ARE ACIDIFYING
    • Coral reefs are bleaching
    • SEA LEVELS ARE RISING Three Year Average Satellite Altimetry Year Sea Level Change (cm)
    • WEATHER IS BECOMING MORE EXTREME
    • Australia suffers worst drought in 1,000 years “ ” - Guardian UK, Nov 7, 2008
    • Burma cyclone death toll rises above 43,000. “ ” - USA Today, May 15 th , 2008
    • U.S. dealing with Katrina’s wrath as death toll soars. “ ” - International Herald Tribune, August 31, 2005
    • Solomon Islands declare FLOOD DISASTER. “ ” - Reuters Feb 4, 2009
    • MAJOR FLOODS PER DECADE
    • FORESTS ARE THREATENED
    • “ Rapid Warming’ Spreads Havoc in Canada’s Forests. “ ” - Washington Post, March 1, 2006
    • Australia fires spark calls for CLIMATE ACTION “ ” - Washington Post, March 1, 2006
    • climate change impacts HUMANITY
    • threatens the survival of SMALL ISLANDS
    • [Small islands] are like the canary in the coal mine in terms of the dramatic impact of climate change on a whole civilization of people. They didn’t cause the problem, but they will be among the first to feel it. “ ” - James J. McCarth, Oceanographer
    • impacts LOCAL LIVELIHOODS
    • The most comprehensive review ever carried out on the economics of climate change warns that global warming could inflict worldwide disruption as great as that caused by the two World Wars and the Great Depression. “ ” - Environmental News Service STERN REVIEW, 2006
    • The world has never faced such a predictably massive threat to food production as that posed by the melting mountain glaciers of Asia “ ” - Lester Brown, Earth Policy Institute, Author of Plan B DISRUPTS FOOD PRODUCTION
    • Global Warming Increases Malaria, Dengue Fever Threat, UN Says. “ ” - Bloomberg, Nov. 27, 2007 AFFECTS OUR HEALTH:
    • Climate change could force 1 BILLION from their homes by 2050. “ ” - April 30, 2008, The Independent. CREATES CLIMATE REFUGEES
    • Climate change will draw ever-deeper lines of division and conflict in international relations… over the distribution of resources, especially water and land. “ ” - Report: World in Transition THREATENS SECURITY:
    • 387ppm CO2 today:
    • CO2 CONCENTRATIONS ARE OFF THE CHARTS CO2 in PPM TEMPERATURE Years Parts per Million CO2 TODAY: 387ppm 550ppm? More? EARLY 1900S LAST ICE AGE Where we’ll be mid-century if we keep this up
    • The most startling evidence yet…
    • is the MELTING OF THE ARCTIC. New predictions Satellite observations Mean IPCC prediction Most likely change (melt) IPCC range Actual observed melting it has melted nearly 80 YEARS ahead of when scientists predicted YEAR % change in ice cover
    • do you think we’re above or below where we need to be? So,
    • CO2 IN THE ATMOSPHERE WE’RE HERE: 387 WE NEED TO BE HERE: 350 PARTS PER MILLION CO2 YEAR
    • “ If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on Earth is adapted, paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will need to be reduced from its current 387ppm to at most 350ppm.” - NASA climatologist Dr. James E. Hansen, 2008
    • ? HOW DO WE GET TO
    • GLOBAL EMISSIONS STILL RISING 2PPM PER YEAR Total Petroleum Coal Natural Gas Cement Production YEAR MILLION METRIC TONS OF CARBON/YEAR
    • MEANS REMAKING OUR WORLD
    • IT MEANS PUTTING UP WIND TURBINES INSTEAD OF COAL PLANTS
    • IT MEANS PLANTING TREES INSTEAD OF CLEAR-CUTTING RAINFORESTS
    • AND IMPLEMENTING A THOUSAND DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS
    • that can create new jobs
    • And make our communities HEALTHIER
    • PARTS PER MILLION CO2 YEAR Phaseout of coal by 2030 Improved forestry and soil Reduced oil/gas use GETTING TO 350
    • POLITICS
    • 2009 IS A CRUCIAL YEAR
    • World leaders will gather to create a new climate treaty at the end of the year in Copenhagen.
    • this all began 20 years ago
    • 1988: Jim Hansen made his first testimony to the U.S. Congress on global warming
    • 1988: The IPCC was created to “provide the decision-makers and others interested in climate change with an objective source of information about climate change”
    • NEW REPORTS EVERY 4 YEARS SCIENTISTS
    • WON THE NOBEL PRIZE IN 2007 WITH AL GORE
    • UNFCCC, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change created at the Rio Earth Summit COPENHAGEN RIO
    • KYOTO PROTOCOL 1997 Ratified Treaty Didn’t Ratify Signed, Ratification Pending No Position
    • Each year there is a two-week Conference of the Parties (COP) to discuss the terms of the Kyoto Treaty COP 12 Montreal, Canada 2005
    • 10,000 participants come together from governments, corporations, media, civil society, and NGOs
    • to try to INFLUENCE this process
    • Now, Kyoto is set to EXPIRE , and negotiators must agree upon a new treaty by the end of this year.
    • In 2007, at COP 13 in Bali, Indonesia
    • NEGOTIATORS CREATED THE BALI ROADMAP
      • ADAPTATION
      • MITIGATION
      • TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
      • FINANCIAL RESOURCES
    • IPCC 450ppm (in 2007- last report) MITIGATION TARGETS:
    • 450ppm = 50% chance of 2 °C warming
    • As effects of warming grow, UN Report is QUICKLY DATED. “ ” -February 12, 2009, Yale Environment 360
    • 350ppm has begun gaining traction in the INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE NEGOTIATIONS
    • Two degrees (450ppm) is really not a safe level for small island states. For many of them it would be like a death sentence in the long run. “ ” - Leon Charles, Chair of the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS)
    • Gore won the loudest cheers [at COP14 in Poland) for supporting a tougher limit on levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere than a widespread aim of 450 ppm or more. ‘We will soon need to toughen that goal to 350,’ he said. – Reuters, December 2008
    • DECEMBER 2009 By the end of this year, negotiators must agree upon the final terms for a NEW CLIMATE TREATY in Copenhagen
    • Many are concerned about the prospects for a treaty that is fair and just:
      • CDM
      • CARBON TRADING
      • INDIGENOUS REPRESENTATION
      • KYOTO HASN’T REDUCED EMISSIONS
      • FINANCING FROM DEVELOPED TO DEVELOPING NATIONS
    • But there is reason to hope that a new treaty could be BETTER My presidency will mark a new chapter on American leadership on climate change.
    • There is a lot of work to be done this year. If the nations of the world were to agree upon a deal right now, it would be FLAWED AND INADEQUATE .
    • That’s why we need to make our voices heard in 2009
    • HOPE
    • THE MOVEMENT
    • POTENTIAL FOR A GLOBAL MOVEMENT: WE ARE READY FOR ACTION: Global public opinion polls have found 9 in 10 people want action on climate change, and 7 in 10 want to see dramatic action ‘very soon’ WE ARE ORGANIZED: 110,00 civil society organizations listed on WiserEarth.org WE ARE NETWORKED: Since 2007, Avaaz.org has collected 10 million signatures online for human rights and environmental causes
    • BILLIONS on email lists 100+ MILLION blogs 50 MILLION Facebook users 55 MILLION users/month on YouTube Roughly 25% of the world’s population is on-line.
    • A GROWING GLOBAL CLIMATE MOVEMENT
    • BALI, INDONESIA
    • LEBANON
    • UNITED KINGDOM
    • AUSTRALIA
    • [INSERT YOUR OWN CLIMATE ACTION PHOTO!]
    •  
    • Make the INVISIBLE VISIBLE
    • can unite us
    • HOW? A single, clear message
    • for everyone who believes in fighting for safety from DANGEROUS CLIMATE CHANGE
    • Who is ? A global movement of concerned citizens A network of partner organizations Messengers A coordinating team of young people from around the world ALL OF US who seek a just and equitable solution to the climate crisis
    • 350 IS A GLOBAL MOVEMENT OF CONCERNED CITIZENS
    • CAMEROON
    • NUNAVUT, CANADA
    • NAGPUR, INDIA
    • BOGOT Á, COLOMBIA
    • VALDIVIA, CHILE
    •  
    • [INSERT YOUR OWN 350 ACTION PHOTO!]
    • 350 IS A NETWORK OF PARTNER ORGANIZATIONS
    • to the GRASSROOTS From INTERNATIONAL NGOS
    •  
    • INSERT INFORMATION ABOUT YOUR OWN ORGANIZATION’S INFORMATION
    • 350 IS AIDED BY INSPIRING MESSENGERS
    • If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed, and to which life on Earth is adapted, paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will need to be reduced from its current 387ppm to at most 350ppm. -NASA Climatologist Dr. James E. Hansen, 2008
    • Climate change is already dangerous. As the Arctic melts and the small islands sink below a rising sea, the world cannot stand immobile. Inuit and all Peoples have the right to live safely in their culture. As a shared humanity, we must back away from the precipice. 350 is a good target to head towards. -Sheila Watt-Cloutier, Former International Chair, Inuit Circumpolar Conference
    • Why 350? We must return to the Earth’s natural balance! -David Suzuki, Canadian Scientist, Author, and Activist
    • Getting to 350 means changing everything about our global economy. It means providing clean-energy jobs to rewire every corner of the world and catalyzing a global transformation built on principles of equity and opportunity. -Van Jones, Civil Rights and Environmental Advocate
    • Climate change is a reality. Life depends on a sustainable environment. With no world, there can only be nothing- no birds, no animals, no trees, no us. That’s why getting involved with 350.org is so important – it’s an effective way to take action to turn around the climate crisis. -Desmond Tutu, Archbishop Emeritus
    • I am completely behind the 350 campaign. A shift from industrial agriculture to ecological, local food systems would be the biggest single step to move towards 350 and a safe climate, while simultaneously solving the food crisis. -Vandana Shiva, Environmental Leader
    • 350 IS COORDINATED BY A TEAM OF YOUTH FROM AROUND THE WORLD
    • Civilization is what grows up in the margins of leisure and security provided by a workable relationship with the natural world. That margin won’t exist, at least for long, as long as we remain on the wrong side of 350. That’s the limit we face. -Bill McKibben, author, environmental leader, and Director of 350.org And author and environ-mentalist Bill McKibben
    • THE SAME TEAM FROM STEP IT UP 2007
    •  
    •  
    •  
    • 2,000 EVENTS
    • 2,000 EVENTS 1 DAY
    • 2,000 EVENTS 1 DAY 1 MESSAGE
    • 80% BY 2050
    • OUR STRATEGY: CREATIVE ACTIONS + TARGETED AND SPECIFIC MESSAGE = REAL CHANGE IN THE POLICY DISCUSSION
    • GET INVOLVED!
    • 24 oct. an international day of climate action 2009 ORGANIZE AN ACTION IN YOUR COMMUNITY.
    • Six weeks before the UN climate negotiations in Copenhagen.
    • A SINGLE DAY TO JOIN TOGETHER
    • AND MAKE OUR VOICES HEARD
    • TO THE MEDIA
    • TO DECISION-MAKERS
    • TO THE WORLD
    • What will we do at these events?
    • United by our COMMON CALL TO ACTION…
    • WE WILL GATHER
    • WE WILL MARCH
    • WE WILL HIKE TO THE TOPS OF MOUNTAINS
    • WE WILL DIVE UNDERWATER
    • WE WILL RIDE OUR BIKES
    • WE WILL GET CREATIVE
    • WE WILL LOBBY OUR POLITICIANS
    • The options are open... WHAT’S YOUR IDEA?
    • WHERE WILL WE TAKE ACTION?
    • iconic places
    • places we hold dear places we hold dear
    • in the face of our changing climate
    •  
    •  
    • places important to our communities
    • OUTCOME A GLOBAL MOVEMENT, CONNECTED BY THE INTERNET, WITH A COMMON CALL TO ACTION.
    • THE 350 ANIMATION:
    • JOIN THE MOVEMENT. Take a stand for a fair global climate deal that meets the latest science. SIGN UP!
    • Insert your contact info here LOCAL GLOBAL
    • 24 october, 2009 SAVE THE DATE!
    • Sources
      • Hansen’s paper
      • BBC World Service Poll - http://www.globescan.com/news_archives/bbc_climate/