Future of UD
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John Salmen, AIA, provides his take on the future of Universal Design along with thought from other Universal Design experts in the field.
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Future of UD
- 1. Future of Kevin Braheny – Galaxies: Starflight 3
- 2. Future of John P.S. Salmen, AIA
- 3. Envisioning the Future 1 5 10 25
- 4. Exponential Growth 1 5 10 25 Omar Iskandar Intention is our only hold on the future!
- 5. Envisioning the Future 1 5 10 25 Nobody Knows It All 23 Leaders 51 Visions 5 Areas Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 6. 5 Areas to Watch 1. Information and Communication Technologies 2. Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities 3. Design Process 4. Consumer Products 5. Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design 1 5 10 25 Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 7. 5 Areas to Watch 1. Information and Communication Technologies 2. Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities 3. Design Process 4. Consumer Products 5. Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design 1 5 10 25 Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 8. • 3D Printing Jim S. Sandhu 1 5 10 25 Information and Communication Technologies • smartphone revolution will benefit the quality of the built environment. Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud jimsandu@onetel.com
- 9. Todd Andersen 1 5 10 25 Information and Communication Technologies Technology driven disruption • Change the environment, rather than the individual • Genetic engineering • Stem cell manipulation Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud ttoddandersen@gmail.com
- 10. Lee Swinscoe 1 5 10 25 Information and Communication Technologies Will we still need the ADA as science evolves to do this? • Gene therapy • Electrode-array implants Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud lswinscoe@udconsultants.com
- 11. • Personalized user experience for all Daria Rogers 1 5 10 25 Information and Communication Technologies Smartphone as a customizable interface • Specialized assistive technology Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud Drogers@udconsultants.com
- 12. Betty Dion Information and Communication Technologies 1 5 10 25 ICT will control • Communications • Transportation • Built Environment Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud Bettydion.bdel@gmail.com
- 13. 5 Areas to Watch 1. Information and Communication Technologies 2. Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities 3. Design Process 4. Consumer Products 5. Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design 1 5 10 25 Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 14. Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities Jim S. Sandhu 1 5 10 25 Universal should mean that it applies to every citizen in any country Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud jimsandu@onetel.com
- 15. • Usability v. Social inclusion Edward Steinfeld 1 5 10 25 Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities Inclusion v. accessibility UD will have an emphasis on prevention of disability and wellness promotion Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud ap-idea@buffalo.edu
- 16. Shoshana Shamberg 1 5 10 25 Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities Coordinated case management and communication • Caring communities • Bartering and trading services Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud info@AOTSS.com
- 17. Harold Dean Kiewel 1 5 10 25 Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities “Ours isn't an issue of design; it's an issue of prejudice.” “The whole of the village must be accessible/visitable…” Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud mraccess@earthlink.net
- 18. More proactive, preventing accidents and motivating people to a lifestyle which leads to health and longevity. Cynthia Leibrock 1 5 10 25 Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud healthaccess@yahoo.com
- 19. • People with all abilities Karen L. Braitmayer 1 5 10 25 Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities Integration of People with disabilities • No architectural and landscape barriers • Communities fully engaged Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud karen@braitmayer.com
- 20. • New materials and technologies Mark Derry 1 5 10 25 Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities Chemical and Environmental Sensitivities Transparent aluminum Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud adamarkd@aol.com
- 21. Mary Jo Peterson 1 5 10 25 Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities Extreme convenience • UD in every home, product and space • Process of design concepts and products Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud maryjo@mjpdesign.com
- 22. UD can create communities that bring * housing, * transportation, * shopping, * recreation, * employment, * health care, and other needs together to serve people - without segregation Ruth Lusher 1 5 10 25 Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities UD will transform how we think Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud rhlusher2@att.net
- 23. • Co-design • Social design • Patient safety Roger Coleman 1 5 10 25 Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities UD as a central element in future- oriented business models Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 24. 5 Areas to Watch 1. Information and Communication Technologies 2. Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities 3. Design Process 4. Consumer Products 5. Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design 1 5 10 25 Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 25. Design Process Marsh Mazz 1 5 10 25 Without standards and tools you must be a true believer to practice UD • Corral v. Horizon • UD has no borders • Accessibility is Quantifiable. Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud mazz@Access-Board.gov
- 26. • Standard of Sustainable Housing • Way to save billions of dollars in healthcare costs. Charles Schwab 1 5 10 25 UD basics will become code Design Process Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud charlesschwabaia@msn.com
- 27. Diffusion Tactics • Universal designing • Respect the context • Reduce “Gatekeepers” • No “One Best Way” • Innovation v. compliance Edward Steinfeld 1 5 10 25 Design Process Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud ap-idea@buffalo.edu
- 28. Mandated visitability Shoshana Shamberg 1 5 10 25 Design Process • Will eliminate barriers to community living • Requires greater consumer education Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud info@AOTSS.com
- 29. • UD and visitability features will be considered part of Sustainable homes Rosemarie Rossetti 1 5 10 25 Design Process UD will be recognized as part of Sustainability Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud rosemarie@udll.com
- 30. The creative perspective of disability will be recognized and exploited James Mueller Design Meets Disability, Graham Pullin 1 5 10 25 Design Process Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud jlminc1@verizon.net
- 31. Louis Tenenbaum 1 5 10 25 Design Process Government incentives for UD Features: • Permit discounts • Greater Density • Speedy review process Eventually there will be Standards Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud aginginplaceguide@gmail.com
- 32. Roger Coleman 1 5 10 25 Design Process Transnational collaboration and knowledge transfer • 'Normalizing' UD as an essential element of good design. • Isolating and reductionist, v. integrating and holistic. Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 33. Design Process Abir Mullick 1 5 10 25 The inclusive interest of universal design will be better served by connecting three aspects of UD thinking: • Intellectual• Social• Global Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud Abir.mullick@arch.gatech.edu
- 34. 5 Areas to Watch 1. Information and Communication Technologies 2. Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities 3. Design Process 4. Consumer Products 5. Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design 1 5 10 25 Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 35. Consumer Products • custom-built products • turnkey tools for consumers Andy Yarrish 1 5 10 25 Replicators Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud AYarrish@udconsultants.com
- 36. Consumer Products • Home automation Shoshana Shamberg 1 5 10 25 • Community assisted technologies Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud info@AOTSS.com
- 37. • UD works • Think beyond incremental change Edward Steinfeld 1 5 10 25 Poor availability and usability of pay phones contributed to the rapid adoption of mobile phones. Consumer Products Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud ap-idea@buffalo.edu
- 38. • Flexibility of smartphone interfaces • The cloud • New technology Daria Rogers 1 5 10 25 Consumer Products Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud Drogers@udconsultants.com
- 39. • Convergence of UD and Good Design • Universal appeal and benefit Mary Jo Peterson 1 5 10 25 Consumer Products Mainstreaming of UD Products Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud maryjo@mjpdesign.com
- 40. 5 Areas to Watch 1. Information and Communication Technologies 2. Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities 3. Design Process 4. Consumer Products 5. Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design 1 5 10 25 Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 41. Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design • Ask for it • More common • Just Good Design Louis Tenenbaum 1 5 10 2515 Popular media and consumer demand Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud aginginplaceguide@gmail.com
- 42. • We won’t need to talk about it, because it will be the standard course of action Rosemarie Rossetti 1 5 10 25 Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design UD embraced by and integrated into housing Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud rosemarie@udll.com
- 43. • Designing for the diversity of humankind • Promote and explain the concept of Universal Design from primary school to college. Betty Dion 1 5 10 25 Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design Seamless interconnectivity Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud Bettydion.bdel@gmail.com
- 44. • Curricula and academia Steve Hage 201 5 10 25 Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design Awareness • Movement enthusiasts Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud steve.strategies@gmail.com
- 45. • Integrated into all products and buildings • Better design Cynthia Liebrock 1 5 10 25 Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design I don't think universal design as we know it has much of a future Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud healthaccess@yahoo.com
- 46. In the future every home will be designed and built for everyone at every age and ability Matt Thornhill 1 5 10 25 Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 47. Decisions to adopt UD on both the supply and demand sides, are influenced by communications • consumer demand is critical • Mass media – demand • Trade Associations - supply Edward Steinfeld 1 5 10 25 Corporate advertising campaigns • usability, • social sustainability, • choice and personalization Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud ap-idea@buffalo.edu
- 48. Mary Jo Peterson 1 5 10 25 Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design Good Design Automatic incorporation of UD plus the ability to handle unique needs Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud maryjo@mjpdesign.com
- 49. Normalizing UD as an Essential element of good design Roger Coleman 1 5 10 25 Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design • Holistic solutions causing a step-change in quality. Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 50. Universal design is known as Socially Sustainable Design Elaine Ostroff 1 5 10 25 Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design One of the "three legs of sustainable design – • Environmental • Economic • Social Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud Universal Design will not be casually used as a synonym for the ADA Standards elaine@ostroff.org
- 51. Paradox: If it becomes mainstream it will disappear. To maintain its identity, it must differentiate itself from good design. Jim S. Sandhu 1 5 10 25 Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design Terms like UD, Inclusive Design and Design for All will totally disappear Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud jimsandu@onetel.com
- 52. 5 Areas to Watch 1. Information and Communication Technologies 2. Inclusive, Healthy and Safe Lifestyles and Communities 3. Design Process 4. Consumer Products 5. Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design 1 5 10 25 Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 53. John’s Vision 1 5 10 25
- 54. Exponential Growth 1 5 10 25 George Moore Moore’s Law: Every two years computing power doubles for half the price. Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 55. Exponential Growth 1 5 10 25 Ray Kurzweil Law of Accelerating Returns: As order increases, the time interval between salient events grows shorter. Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud http://www.kurzweilai.net/newsletters/daily/2013-05-03.html
- 56. My Vision $$ Consumer interest will reach a critical mass 1 5 10 25 Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 57. My Vision 5 years - Flourishing UD industry 1.Consumer Understanding 2.Product marketing 3.Professional Certification, 4.Range of Standards 1.Residential Construction Standards 2.Commercial Construction Standards 3.Rural Community Standards 4.Natural/Historic Standards 1 5 10 25 Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
- 58. Future of Join the discussion at: www.universaldesign.com/future-of-ud
Editor's Notes
- Dick Duncan to provide introduction after 58 second musical fanfare.
- First I have to thank Dick and Colleen and the entire UDS5 team, for this magnificent event that celebrates all we have done and how far we have come. And I have to thank my team at UniversalDesign.comSusan Roca, Daria Rogers, Brittany Ruffin and Erin Bolt who worked tirelessly to produce the three presentations we have made here, and the special UDS 5 edition of Universal Design Newsletter.
- All my life, I’ve read what people think the future will be like. Science Fiction lets you safely consider the unknown from different viewpoints, exploring the possibilities in vivid stories and movies. Some of those futures are beautiful and some are terrible.
- I’m sort of futurist by profession in that as an architect, I imagine how buildings are going to bebefore they are constructed. As part of my training at the University of Minnesota to become an architect, I took a class in 1974 from an urban planner named Omar Iskandar. Urban planning projects have much longer time frames than do most architecture projectsand to prepare us for that, He often repeated an idea about the difficulty and uncertainty of urban planning that I have come to appreciate.Intention is the only hold we have on the future!By having strong intentions for something to happen, and sharing those visions with others in a way that lets them make it their own vision, we can affect the future.By sharing ideas about what we want the future of UD to be, we can make the future we imagine come true.But its those shared ideas that are the real key, because – Nobody Knows it All.
- Not even this guy from StartrekRemember him he could make people’s dreams and fantasies seem real.So, like the song goes, I got a” little help from my Friends”, many of whom are here with us today. actually a lot of help I sent out an e-mail to a wide variety of thoughtful people from around the world, who have been working on UD. I asked them to "to give me any thoughts they might have about the future of UD, and/or what it will look like in 1, 5 or 25 years!". I got 61 visions from 23 people that fell into 5 general areas.So your probably saying to yourself, Why didn’t he ask me? Well, I actually am asking you. The visions of these UD leaders are just the beginning. Priming the pump so to speak. They kick off an ongoing discussion about the future on UniversalDesign.com. If we all share our visions, we may be able to guide the development in ways that will make the world better.I’m inviting you to visit the website at the bottom of this screen and share your views of the Future of UD.For instance, you may think that the 5 areas I suggest are all wrong! Great, I’d love to read your take on how things should be.
- As I read the amazing array of responses they seemed tome to fit into 5 broad areas: ICT - Information and Communication TechnologiesInclusive, Healthy, and Safe Lifestyles and CommunitiesDesign ProcessConsumer Products andMainstreaming of UD into Good DesignThis presentation is only able to give some of the highlightsof all the wonderful material that I received. We are working on getting permission to upload all the comments, photos, links and references onto the discussion page at UniversalDesign.com/Future-of-UD.
- So the first area we’ll examine is Information and Communication Technologies, ICTNow some of these contributors may be familiar to you and others may not. Unfortunately, I don’t have time here today to give you everyone’s bio, background and accomplishments, but you can find that on UniversalDeisgn.com, andJust know that I respect the opinions of these folks.
- Jim Sandhu from Great Britain says “The pressure to change will increase over the next five years. driven by ICT developments, easy access to contextual human factors information, feedback from Big data, etc.3D printing we will be able to ‘print’ physical objects. In the West such tools will become perfect partners both for advanced manufacturing and to match products to individual users. In the majority world communal 3D printers will enable people to make a wide range of tools or products from open source templates.Mobile phones are transforming how citizens of the majority world access and use information. In Africa and Asia mobile phones have easily replaced the lack of telecommunications infrastructure. As the costs of data services decline the smartphone revolution will profoundly benefit all citizens of these countries and have a major knock-on effect on the quality of the built environment.
- "UD will become an out-of-date concept when genetic engineering, stem cell manipulation, and other ideas yet to be expressed make rebuilding people the better market strategy. there will come a day when individuals will seek out new selves. He continues to send me alerts from those wild and crazy guys at the National Intelligence Councilabout how personal anti-gravity will finesse the need for accessible routes,telekinesis the need for reach range restrictions, or exoskeletons the need for ramps. The question is not 'if' rather it is 'when'.
- BLINDNESS Gene therapy converts cells into photoreceptors, restoring eyesight. Millions of people lose their eyesight when disease damages the photoreceptor cells in their retinas. These cells, called rods and cones, play a pivotal role in vision: They convert incoming light into electrical impulses that the brain interprets as an image. In recent years, a handful of companies have developed electrode-array implants that bypass the damaged cells. "
- More and more devices incorporate customizable controls/interfaces by connecting to smartphone/tablet technology. We will see smart phones/tablets taking on even more of the functions that used to be met with expensive, specialized assistive technology. These designs can better benefit all users. Just like curb cuts have corollary benefits (for strollers, luggage, bikes) accessible interfaces can make technology more user friendly for everybody. For instance, Fleksy is an app designed to allow people who are blind to type on a touch screen. As a sighted individual I can type faster and with fewer mistakes using Fleksy than the standard keyboard on my iPhone.
- Last June, Betty gave a presentation on her vision of the Future of UD. Her presentationmostly talked to the use of technology. We are already on our way as building control systems control our environment and smart phones and devices can customize and adapt the environment to personal needs. The prevalence of mobile phones around the world has revolutionized economies and opened opportunities for persons with disabilities. Football stadiums that provide wayfinding information on accessible websites and audio descriptions to the audience......need I go on.
- This is the biggest pot-pouri category, Because its all kind of things related to inclusive and holistic lifestyles
- I do not expect any major developments within the next year. UD is still too focused on disability and the ADA when, in fact, it was meant to be universalized and become mainstream. While not advocating the ‘one size fits all’ paradigm, the principles were generally meant to apply to every citizen, in any country, irrespective of their financial or economic circumstances, literacy, etc. That is what ‘universal’ should mean. We are very far from that stage as evidenced by my recent visit to South India.
- Theres an important difference between the first and the latest versions of the definition of Universal Design.“The design of products and environments to be usable by all people, to the greatest extent possible, without the need for adaptation or specialized design.” (Mace, 1985)“….design for human diversity, social inclusion, and equality.” (Design for All Europe, 2008)The concept of universal design was originally focused on usability. Today, the emphasis has expanded to social inclusion in response to the increasing diversity of societies and the expansion of human rights movements. "Everyone puts a high value on health. Yet, health outcomes are generally neglected in current conceptions of universal design. By emphasizing health and wellness, its relevance to the entire population will become more obvious and its social value will be increased. Universal Design As Process Expected publication is middle of September 2013
- Technology will allow better and more coordinated case management on one hand and on the other, greater and greater ways for people to create "caring communities" where people help each other via bartering and trading services.
- "Ours isn't an issue of design; it's an issue of prejudice, but you can't confront able-bodied people with pictures of suffering cripples and get any response other than disgust. the whole of the village must be accessible/visitable to minimize the burden and maximize the productivity of every family/household.We are moving from the population distribution shown here where nearly 66% of the populace are working age adults, supporting a relatively small population of elderly and disabled adults.To a future where able-bodied working adults are only 40% of the populace while the elderly population swells to at least twice its current level. This will put a premium value on every capable body and mind which will cause us to recognize the value of people with disabilities.
- Universal design will become more proactive, Many of the features I have installed in my home prevent disability and premature aging – they don't just accommodate it. For example, our exercise room is in the most beautiful part of the house with a hot tub to reward you if you exercise, our kitchen appliances make healthy cooking fun, our greenhouses encourage us to eat more fruits and vegetables because we grow them ourselves, we used slip resistant finishes, handrails on both sides with extensions, lighting in the stairs, etcMarketing safety, health and longevity is easier than trying to market universal design.
- “We will continue the slow process of getting people with all abilities out into our communities and fully engaged - in school, in work, in social activities, in commerce. The creation of our communities with no architectural and landscape barriers is only part of the solution. An accessible playground isn't a fun place to go for a family with a child who is ridiculed because of their difference in looks or behavior
- Folks are thinking about issues like Multiple ChemicalSensitivities (MCS) and Environmental Sensitivities.These are increasingly important issues as we look at the developing technologies and new materials for modern design and going green. These are both problems and opportunities.
- I see UD going forward as “extreme convenience,” This process begins at the high end- in the kitchen, column and drawer refrigerators or induction cooktops, as the concepts are embraced and demand grows, the cost comes down and the options grow. Not a separate line of “UD cabinets” what we really need are cabinet lines that offer UD concepts throughout the line, or 6 model homes plus a seventh to be the “UD home,” we need UD in every home, product, and space as it fits and can be accomplished with beauty and benefit.
- I believe UD makes us question old design ideas and ways of doing architecture, not just physical accessibility. The question is not should the old folks housing be accessible/ and Universally Designed, but should we be designing old folks housing at all. This is where it (UD) goes from “the building” to the broader community, urban design and planning scale.
- Despite the long-standing challenge of making a really strong business case, … there have been big gains made in user involvementThere has been increasing interest in co-design as a way of tackling broader social problems, and there is a growing impetus of social design as a credible subject area. Add patient safety to that and we start to see how the methodologies we have been developing really do and can have a far wider impact than in the narrower field of accessibility.
- Many of the UD leaders have experience with the design process and building codes.
- UD has no borders – it is the difference between a Corral and a horizon. Both are limits, but you can never reach to the horizon.Regulations are the start. That is a blessing and a curse. Accessibility is quantifiable (written into standards) and doesn’t require belief. UD has no standards and depends on people to be true believers. Ed Steinfelds anthropometric work is exactly what UD needs to be quantifiable and understandable. That type of information must be integrated into the design process.
- Within 10 years UD basics will become code, promoted as a standard of Sustainable Housing.. UD in housing will be full-blown, built and accepted by 2020 as the wise and affordable way for the Federal and State Governments to save billions of dollars in healthcare costs.
- "To ensure that universal design is valued, practitioners have to respect the context in which their design is implemented. The Principles of Universal Design and the leading definitions are strikingly silent about contextual differences, such as . topography, economic development levels, cultural norms, local values. Attempts to enhance accessibility, often conflict with historic buildings and nature. Stainless steel grab bars are not that important without safe toilet facilities. UD is a process rather than a product. We like to say that universal design is more appropriate when stated as a verb – universal designing. Diffusion of an idea is slowed when there are “Gatekeepers”. UD should not be additionally burdened by a regulatory approach because that increases the number of gatekeepers. It is important not to limit models of practice to a “one best way”each sector of industry and professional practice must have a selection of practices that fits its needs. Successful innovation requires compatibility with the many existing contexts of practice.
- Increasing mandated visitability where feasible and possible in new construction and major renovations needs greater consumer and education approaches. This will eliminate so many of the major initial barriers to community living that have existed in our history and still are being created today.
- Sustainable homes must be accessible. The social sustainability factors also need to be considered.
- Ever since a conversation with Graham Pullin, and sharing his book with students and instructors, I've been looking forward to the time that people with disabilities become not only designers themselves, but also design instructors,in order to bring that wider, more creative perspective to the next generation. I believe this will truly open a new age of design, beyond universal design in ways that those of us limited by non-disability can hardly imagine.
- Some jurisdictions will incentivize UD features with a permit discount or speedy approval process or allow more density in new development and those types of things. A little later some places will set an actual standard for some things.
- One of the things I really value about Japanese culture, is the ability to see disparate things together and appreciate the tensions and attractions between them, be it two stones on the Go board or the inside and outside of a building. It seems to me that the western gaze is isolating and reductionist, it tends to deal with things as separate entities, whereas the Eastern gaze is more integrating and holistic. If we see UD through western eyes, we tend to think of age and disability as affecting individuals rather than a community, rather than seeing age and disability as part of a continuum –‘with’ youth and ability, as enriching aspects of a social collective.The big challenge for the UD movement is to find effective ways of integrating responses to these issues and thereby 'normalizing' UD as an essential element of good design. We have to make design exclusion as unacceptable as smoking in the workplace has now become in so many countries."
- Intellectual connection, we need to build a body of knowledge and theory that will advance the field thoughBuilding theory and pedagogy. All the literature is currently more practical. – The field hasn’t attracted theory builders.Global connection, - There can be a range of interpretations of UD that evolve over time. In India 70 percent of the population lives in villages and 30% live in cities US style UD may be appropriate for the cities, but in villages it must be different. Both may exist. UD must allow interpretation to occur in a Global Context. In western societies UD has a lot to do with personal empowerment. The same is not necessarily true in other cultures. Interdependence is the more appropriate in family based cultures. One design of wheelchairs is self propelled and fast. Another wheelchair design is made for pushing – that is an example of interdependence. We don’t have many examples of interdependent UD yet. social connection – because of its origin, in the disability community, it has had an accessibility basis. Support for the concept is strong because of the disability community, but that group is so strong that it dominates the conversation, leaving out other social issues, such as poverty, and gender. UD is not currently serving all interest groups.
- All of these areas work together.As consumer products are more universally designed, they become more mainstream.Many Information and communication Technology features come out in consumer products.None-the –less many of the respondents identified this area as one to watch.
- "The era of people making custom-built products to suit their needs, or modifying an existing one, is fast approaching. Within the last few years 3D printers have gone from expensive specialty devices to nearly turnkey tools for consumers. Modeling software and 3D scanners have followed a similar trajectory. Here is an example of a high-end consumer 3D printer. They recently announced a 3D scanner that will be released later this year."
- As a medical and assistive technology professional, the changes in home automation that I have seen and the affordability of once very specialized and expensive products in this arena are profound.With the advent of a technology proficient older populations, services like Telehealth, home automation, and community assisted technologies for visually impaired and hearing impaired people will become commonplace.By marketing these products as "easy living" or barrier free" or age span design we will make them marketable to wider population
- It is not too farfetched to argue that a major factor contributing to the rapid adoption of mobile telephones was the poor accessibility and usability of the public telephone system as a whole. The availability of mobile phones that can be customized for individual needs and also provide many other information and communication services as well as voice communication, has made the conventional public telephone almost obsolete. The demise of the public telephone and rapid adoption of mobile phones is actually a good demonstration that universal design works. Beyond that, it also demonstrates the need to think beyond incremental change.
- The flexibility of smartphone interfaces can make connected devices more accessible. The U-verse Easy Remote App from AT&T, which lets people use their tablet as a TV remote. customized to different accessibility needs (high contrast, large type, text-to-speech, voice controlled etc.)The cloud has the potential to apply this same flexibility to every device that you interact with. GPII (Global Public Inclusive Infrastructure) is a project in development that would allow users to save their personalized preferred interface settings (i.e. text-to-voice, high contrast, voice controlled, etc.) in the cloud. Once their personal profile is stored, devices like appliances, ATMs, ticket machines and library/school computers will be able to access the profile and automatically change the device's settings to match.New technology will increase options for these flexible interfaces, including gesture control eye-movement, and brainwave sensors
- A growing number of concepts originated as universal design and are becoming mainstream- touch faucets, no-threshold showers, double ovens placed at comfortable heights instead of the old stacked installation. There is a convergence of UD and general good design because of the universal appeal and benefit,isn’t that what Ron Mace was trying to say over all the past years!
- Which leads us into the final section Mainstreaming of UD into Good Design
- Popular media and consumer demand There will be some people who just start to ask for it because popular media will carry the issues to boomers.CommonIn 15 years UD will become more common incentives will be eliminatedJust Good DesignBy fifteen years out I think the discussion will be more like what we think it should be...just good design.
- Ten years from now, I envision that we will no longer need to talk about UD. People will embrace the principles for which UD was founded and incorporate these features into new home design as a standard course of action. Good design will catch on.
- In 10 years time, we will no longer need to promote and explain the concept of Universal Design"... all education from the primary college will include and explain the concept of designing for the diversity of humankind.One of the slides from my presentation on the Future of UD that I presented in Norway addressed the hope and desire that one day there would be an audience of students that understood Universal Design, that were enthusiastic and dedicated proponents of UD and, much to my great surprise, that was exactly the audience that I was speaking to in Norway. Hundreds and thousands of students and participants already committed. It was amazing.
- "In five to twenty years, I expect some of the components of UD – mostly in the context of “Accessibility” – to be in the common language. Wider doors and hallways, more usable bathrooms. There might even be a tipping point, UD will continue to make inroads into curricula in academia and among design and other interested professionals. While we “movement enthusiasts” may never be satisfied with the public perception of UD we will see wider understanding.
- It will be integrated into all products and buildings as the quality of design improves. Universal products are also better designed. Gaggenauappliances are a great example. Because Gaggenau is so well designed, it is inherently universal. The products aren't marketed for use by disabled and elderly people, but they have expanded their market to include these people. As an added benefit, good design is easier to sell than universal design.
- In the future every home will be designed and built for everyone at every age and ability.
- Corporate advertising campaigns featuring universal design ideas, are evidence that the broad spectrum of society is thinking about similar ideas, although they might not be using the same terms to describe it. Decisions to adopt universal design, on both the supply and demand side, will be heavily influenced by communications – information in media and face-to-face contact. We must all be advocates.Consumer demand is critical or production of products with universal design features will be limited.We need to make the public at large more aware of universal design through widely used media, such as television and the Internet. To reach professionals, continuing education and the development of communities of practice, is a priority. His ideas come from a paper developed with funding from The National Institute on Disability and Rehabilitation Research (NIDRR)
- “The cost of UD is continuing to come down and the options are growing, I’m not sure where this relationship will go- sort of an “automatic incorporation of UD without it being called out, plus specific access for individual/unique needs as a custom addition.” "
- "The big challenge for the UD movement is 'normalizing' UD as an essential element of good design. Through elegant, innovative and above all thoughtful and well-researched design features, brought together in holistic solutions, we see a real step-change in quality. And it is interesting to see how the designers and researchers talk about ‘good design’ ‘better design’ and ‘responsible design.’ To my mind these are the characteristics that need to be carried forward if we are to see Universal Design achieve escape velocity, transcend its past and become a real, world-changing force."
- Universal design will be known as Socially Sustainable Design. The concept of Socially Sustainable Design will be incorporated into Sustainable design guidelines and taught in schools of design as one of the "three legs of sustainable design - environmental, economic and social." the terminology will be better understood; universal design, universally accessible design, will not be casually used as a synonym for the ADA Standards. Universal design as a term will have been replaced by socially sustainable design. There will be career ladders in socially sustainable design.
- UD will seriously have to differentiate itself from mainstream design activity, failing which it will disappear completely as a concept, slogan, etc. As a measure of its value terms like UD, Inclusive Design, Design for All will totally disappear. We will either revert back to design as a concept or invent a new term to cover evolving design philosophies.
- So there you have visions of the Future of UD in 5 developing AreasI’ve learned a lot from this project, Now I’d like to share my summation.
- But first I have to set the stage. There are some very scary things going on around us, if you haven’t noticed.Things are changing, more rapidly and in ways we never imagined. Several of the UD Leaders spoke of Disruptive Technology, but in my crystal ball, I begin to see a pattern, something swirling and rising – ah it looks like, it looks like…an exponential curve!
- "Moore’s Law _ in 1965 George Moore, inventor of the integrated circuit and then chairman of Intel noted that every two years you can get twice as much computing power, running at twice the speed for the same price. - exponential growth. Computer systems have continued along this line since that time.
- Taking the exponential curve further, Ray Kurzweil's 1999 Book The Age of Spiritual Machines presents a more general Law of Accelerating Returns: As order increases, (within a system or process) the time interval between salient events grows shorter. (Salient events affect the nature or future of a process). When there is a lot of chaos in a system, it takes more time for significant events to occur. Conversely, as order increases the time periods between salient events decrease. Change happens faster.He predicts a nexus around the middle of this CenturyWhere humans and machines merge.UniversalDesign.com is an attempt to bring more order to the field of Universal Design and in so doing accelerate the development fo the field. When people know about something, they improve on it.
- So my vision is that in 1 year product and service advertisers will recognize the value of Universal Design, bringing enough advertising revenue to Universal Design.com to make it break even for the first time – ever!
- In 5 years we’ll see a flourishing UD community withall these established systems.Due to the thriving UD economy, events like this will be free for all of us,thanks to grants, generated from advertising revenue on Universal Design.com - the philanthropic UD Blog.”At 25 Years out the exponential growth becomes almost unbelievable.UD will become integral to the idea of Sustainability of a Wildly Divergent SocietyThere will be a huge range in the reality of what is possible and appropriate. Some people will devour technology, moving into Transhumanism. Some people will shun it choosing (or being unable to do anything more than) to remain pure and natural.In some realities, aging and the human condition will be like pre-industrial times.The evolution of nano-technology, smart ICT systems and bio engineering will allow us to reconfigure ourselves and our environments at the molecular level - supporting the diversity of human interest and ability. This human augmentation will make the concept of disability irrelevantNano swarm environments that reconfigure themselves to your every thought and whim.
- I urge you to help create the future of UD by participating in the discussion on UnviersalDesign.com and promoting UD to consumers wherever you can.Thanks for your attention and ongoing practice of Universal Design.