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NONPROFIT INVESTOR
INDEPENDENT RESEARCH FOR PHILANTHROPY

KICKSTART INTERNATIONAL                              SUMMARY
                                                     KickStart International Inc. (KSI) provides technology to enable
INC.                                                 entrepreneurial individuals to lift themselves out of poverty. Its key
                                                     product is a human powered mechanical pump that allows crops to
Nonprofit Investor Rating:
                                                     be irrigated consistently and grown throughout the year. The end
NEUTRAL                                              result is higher farm productivity for subsistence farmers in Africa.

Mission Statement                                    STRENGTHS
KickStart’s mission is to help millions of people    ▲ Potentially self-sustainable model. KSI sells each pump above its
out of poverty. KSI promotes sustainable             cost, generating positive gross margin. The business model has the
economic growth and employment creation by           potential to become self-sustaining if enough units are sold.
developing and promoting technologies that
can be used by dynamic entrepreneurs to              ▲ High return on investment for farmers buying KSI pumps. KSI’s
establish and run profitable small scale             studies show an average increase of $738 in farmer income within 24
enterprises.                                         months of purchasing a pump and accessories that cost $39-144.

Financial Overview                                   CAUTIONS
$ in MM, Fiscal Year Ended June 30th
                                                     ●   Barriers to technology adoption limit scalability. KSI’s target
$MM                        2009        2010   2011
                                                     customers, subsistence farmers, often lack the education, business
Revenue and Support         6.8         7.2    9.5   skill, and capital needed to make such a large investment. Difficulty
Operating Expenses          9.3         8.6   10.5   of reaching farmers is a key roadblock to increasing pump sales.

% of Total:
                                                     ●  Overhead cost per pump remains high. To reach farmers, KSI
 Program Expenses          92%         89%    90%    supports a large sales and demonstration staff that travel to villages.
 G&A                        4%          6%     7%    This results in high operating costs (~$300/pump).
 Fundraising                3%          5%     3%
                                                     ● Precariously low cash balance. KSI has operated at a deficit in the
                                                     last three fiscal years. It ended FY2011 with $213k of cash and $19k
Year Founded: 1991                                   of unrestricted net assets against annual expenditure of $10.5m.
                                                     Cost overruns and thin cash cushion pose a risk to KSI’s operations.
Contact Details
KickStart International - USA
2435 Polk Street, Suite 21
                                                     RECOMMENDATION: NEUTRAL
San Francisco, CA 94109-1600
USA                                                  KSI’s programs have exhibited the ability to significantly increase
                                                     farmer income. However, difficulty in reaching farmers is a challenge
http://www.kickstart.org/                            to widespread adoption of the pump. Operating expenses per pump
EIN: 06-1613235                                      remains high due to operating subscale. KSI has run an operating
                                                     deficit since 2009 and ended FY2011 with $213k of cash, leaving the
                                                     organization in a precarious financial position. NPI advises donors to
Analyst: Arthur Xu
                                                     seek clarity on management’s budget and plan to achieve
Peer Review: Kent Chao, RJ Price                     sustainability.

Publication Date
July 19, 2012                                                          Nonprofit Investor Research | nonprofitinvestor.org
OVERVIEW OF KICKSTART’S ACTIVITIES
KickStart International Inc. (KSI) sells human powered water pumps to subsistence farmers in Africa. The charity
facilitates the production, marketing, and distribution of three types of pumps, the MoneyMakerMax (MMM), Super
MoneyMaker (SMM), and the Hip Pump (HP). KSI establishes the supply chain, buys from factories, supplies to local
distributors, and markets to farmers. The non-profit currently operates in Kenya, Tanzania, and Mali.

Price Points of Different Pump Models:
 Model                                      Price to Farmer                 Price to dealer

 MoneyMakerMax (MMM)                        $144                            $129

 Super MoneyMaker (SMM)                     $100                            $87

 Hip Pump (HP)                              $39                             $33

Price to Dealer: What KSI receives when supplying pump to local retailers
Price to Farmer: Sales price that local retailers charge when selling to end users
Source: KSI


Product
KSI pumps draw water a lower elevation source to irrigate farmland. They are designed to endure heavy use with a
lifespan of three to four years. KSI has shown that 70% of pumps lasted more than 3 years in Mali and Tanzania, and 72%
lasted more than 5 years in Kenya. As for ongoing maintenance costs, the piston cups are the components that require
the most frequent replacements (every nine to twelve months). Each cup costs $1.50 and four are required.




Target Customers
KSI’s target customers are families in Africa whose main source of income is subsistence farming. According to KSI, the
typical target farmer earns $300-400 a year, or less than $2 a day. Around $100 of this is directly from farming activity.

KSI estimates that around 4% of farmland in Africa is irrigated. Farmers grow mainly drought resistant crops, such as
potatoes and onions, and receive one to two harvests a year. Because farmers tend to plant the same crops, production
is highly cyclical. In periods of good weather, oversupply results in approximately 30% of the produce becoming spoiled.

Irrigation dramatically boosts farmland productivity for several reasons. It gives farmers the ability to grow during dry
season, increasing harvest to three to four crops a year. Irrigation also allows farmers to grow a greater variety of crops
and supply them at different times based on market need, thereby selling them for a higher price. In addition, it frees up
time for families to pursue other productive activities.




                                                                               KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research   2
Reaching the Customer
For KSI’s target customers, purchasing a pump is a huge investment. There are three versions of the pump. In addition to
purchasing a pump for $40-$110, farmers also need to purchase hoses, which typically cost ~$30.

For a subsistence farmer making $300-400 a year, the total upfront cost of a pump and hoses is more than a quarter of a
typical household’s annual income. With most of a farmer’s income used to pay for necessities, farmers need about 8-12
months to save up enough to afford a pump and hoses.

In addition to financial barriers, KSI has pointed out that the key constraint to demand for pumps is a lack of awareness
and trust among farmers for the technology. Despite the strong economic case for installing a pump, many farmers need
to be educated about the value of the technology. Much of donor funding is used to educate farmers about the pump,
often going farm by farm. Overcoming this is critical to scaling up.

The Path to Scale
There is a possibility that the awareness and trust problem will be solved as KSI sells more pumps. KSI points to the
adoption curves of bicycles and sewing machines in Africa as examples of how technology gain widespread acceptance.
These technologies had a slow start, but when their penetration reached a certain level, word of mouth started to
generate more demand. The hope is that once enough farmers in an area are using irrigation pumps, the benefits would
be so obvious that demand would take off. KSI estimates that this may happen after 15-20% penetration is achieved. If
KSI pumps reach that point, operating cost per pump would drop and the operation could become self sustained. In
certain areas of Kenya, KSI’s first market, penetration rates are 11-12%. KSI believes a “tipping point” may be reached in
2014.

Over the last two and a half years, KSI has experimented in a small region of Western Kenya to test the “tipping point”
hypothesis. The experiment drove local pump ownership to 13% compared to 1% for the rest of Kenya. KSI reported that
cost per sale in the experiment zone was 42% lower than the rest of Kenya. KSI is applying marketing and sales lessons
from this experiment to the rest of its markets. Key marketing initiatives include:

    • Mobile Layaway: A micro-savings program that enables farmers to make mobile payments toward the purchase of
      a pump. Results of a pilot indicate that it is increasing sales and reaching poorer farmers and more women.
    • Farmer 2 Farmer Referral Program: A program that increases word-of-mouth, marketing, recognition and rewards.
    • Partnerships with microloan institutions: Provide access credit to purchase MM pumps.
    • After-sales service: A 12-month guarantee availability of spares and a hotline phone number to build confidence
      in the products.
    • Live demos pumping water at the retail shops
    • On Farm Demonstrations, Field Days and Farm to Farm sales


Why Nonprofit?
Existing market forces have failed to address the need for pumps among subsistence farmers. This market failure exists
because of the difficulty of reaching customers who are risk-averse, cash constrained, and uninformed. It takes
enormous resources to cultivate trust and awareness before farmers are ready to commit to an investment in an
irrigation pump. KSI has been in Kenya since the late 90’s. For-profit companies have not been able to justify the cost
and time necessary to cultivate this market.

While KSI is a nonprofit, the organization makes a gross margin on each pump sold. In addition to creating a more
sustainable model than handing out pumps for free, a KSI buyer exhibits readiness by saving for many months to make
the purchase. As a result, the individual is more educated on the benefit of the pump and more motivated to make full
use of the technology.

Even if KSI’s operations become self-sustained in a certain market, KSI will likely continue to rely on donor funding to
expand to new markets where for-profit approaches are not viable.

                                                        KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research   3
PROGRAM RESULTS AND EFFECTIVENESS

After an 18% decrease in number of pumps sold in FY2010, KSI’s unit sales recovered in FY 2011. Pump accessories
account for 30-65% of product revenue each year.

                       Units of Pump Sold                                                           Breakdown of Product Sales
Pumps sold per year       Units of pumps sold                             $ in '000

    30000                         27,277                 27,326
                                                                               2500

    25000                                       22,412
                       22,625                                                  2000                                                                   528
                                                                                                                         724
    20000                                                                                                                             829
                                                                                                           547
              15,069                                                           1500
    15000
                                                                                            405
                                                                               1000
    10000                                                                                                                                         1,777
                                                                                                                        1,566
                                                                                                          1,336                      1,276
                                                                                500         990
     5000

         0                                                                            0
              FY2007   FY2008      FY2009       FY2010   FY2011                            FY2007      FY2008          FY2009       FY2010        FY2011

                                                                                                  Pumps          Other Products (Hoses, Parts, Etc)
Source: KSI Annual Report and Form 990

Measuring Impact
KSI has conducted internal studies showing an average increase in income of $738 within 24 months for buyers after
purchase. This data is collected from surveys conducted by visiting the buyers. At the point of sale, KSI offers farmers the
option to register for a one-year warranty program for free. KSI estimates 90% of buyers are registered. KSI staff then
visits a random sample of buyers two times: within three months after the purchase (to establish a baseline) and again
around 18 months later. The surveyors attempt to triangulate the change in household income by looking at assets, crop
sales, and purchases.

Average Change in Household Income Between Surveys:
                                Country                     Zero Age     Follow Up        Duration (Mo)       Delta (USD)
                                Kenya                            Jan-00        Jul-01                 18                1,100
                                Kenya                           Nov-04        Jun-06                  19                  810
                                Kenya                           Feb-06       Sep-07                   19                  540
                                Kenya                           May-06       Mar-07                   10                  340
                                Kenya                           Nov-04       Dec-09                   62                  530
                                Tanzania                          Jul-01      Jun-03                  23                  770
                                Tanzania                        Sep-05       Mar-06                    6                  830
                                Tanzania                        Sep-05        Jun-08                  33                  950
                                Mali                                                                                      770
                                Average of all studies                                                24                  738
                                Average of all studies excluding pumps that are not in use                                870

                                Farmer Annual Income:      300-400 USD
                                Source: KSI


The table above shows aggregate results from several studies that measured changes in household income. Each study
selects 50-70 farmers from a random pool. The baseline is established at “zero age” and the delta is measured at “follow
up”. The delta is the change in income between the first and second visit. KSI notes that the average increase in income
per pump in use is greater (when excluding pumps not in use which generate zero income).




                                                                   KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research                                    4
Third Party Study Pending
The analysis in this report relies upon KSI’s annual reports, Form 990s, and discussions with management. For the
purpose of receiving third party verification of its results, KSI has contracted International Food Policy Research Institute
(IFPRI) to conduct a three year longitudinal randomized study of 3,900 pump users in Kenya and Tanzania. In addition to
poverty, the study will cover impact on health, education, and gender equality. IFPRI has the rights to publish their
findings independent of KSI. The study began two years ago and is expected to be completed in 2013.




                                                         KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research    5
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
From FY2008 to FY2011, overall expenses have consistently exceeded overall revenue, leading to a drain on net assets.
Net assets have fallen from $8.4m to $3.7m over the last 4 years. KSI ended FY2011 with $213k of cash and $19k of
unrestricted net assets. In light of annual operating expenses of $10.5m, KSI is precariously close to running out of cash.
Expenses have exceeded revenue since FY2009. Given the current state of the balance sheet, it will be critical to see how
management addresses this issue going forward.

                       Revenue Breakdown                                                                          Expense Breakdown
$ in '000

 $12,000                                                                                 $12,000                                                                 95%




                                                                                                                                                                       Program Expense % of Total
                                                              $9,531
 $10,000      $8,715
                                                                                         $10,000
                                                                                                                                                    $2,216       90%
                              $6,756            $7,202                                                                 $2,142
  $8,000                                                                                  $8,000                                    $1,645
                                                                                                       $1,454                                                    85%




                                                                              Expenses
  $6,000                                                                                  $6,000
                                                                                                                                                                 80%
                                                                                          $4,000
  $4,000                                                                                                               $6,566                       $7,279
                                                                                                       $5,799                       $6,055
                                                                                                                                                                 75%
                                                                                          $2,000
  $2,000
                                                                                             $0                                                                  70%
       $0                                                                                              FY2008           FY2009      FY2010           FY2011
               FY2008          FY2009          FY2010         FY2011                                Other Program Services               Fund-Raising
       Contributions and Grants           Product Sales        Other                                Management and General               Cost of Products Sold
                                                                                                    Program Expense % of Total




KSI makes a small gross margin on product sales, which includes pump and accessories. Fluctuations in gross margin
(which ranged between 2% and 15% over the last five years) are primarily driven by product mix shifts between different
models of pumps and accessories. In each of the past five years, KSI has demonstrated its ability to generate a positive
gross margin, despite shifts in product mix.


                                                   Cost per Pump and Revenue per Pump Sold
                              $ per pump sold


                                    100
                                     90
                                     80
                                     70
                                     60
                                     50
                                     40
                                     30
                                     20
                                     10
                                      0
                                                FY2007        FY2008            FY2009                  FY2010           FY2011

                                                          Total product costs per pump             Total product revenue per pump


                              Source: KSI Annual Report and Form 990




                                                                         KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research                               6
In addition to product costs, it costs KSI $303 of operating costs per pump. The number spiked up dramatically in FY2010
due to a decrease number of pumps sold that year. However, while pump units sold recovered in FY2011, cost per unit
remained elevated, suggesting that overhead costs growth far outpaced pump sales between FY2009 and FY2011.
Conversations with KSI suggest that the organization is investing heavily to build scale. If KSI’s strategy is successful, this
number should decline over time.

                         Total Operating Expenditures per Pump (Program & Support Services)
                         $ per pump sold


                                     320
                                                                                   309
                                     310                                                            303

                                     300       296

                                     290
                                                              279         263
                                     280

                                     270

                                     260

                                     250

                                     240

                                     230
                                              FY2007        FY2008       FY2009   FY2010          FY2011


                         Source: KSI Annual Report and Form 990


45% of KSI’s total expenses are related to employee compensation. While Awareness and Outreach account for only 7%
of expenses, that figure only includes the direct costs of print, radio, and other media advertising. Through discussions
with KSI, NPI learned that KSI has a sales staff of 160 employees, who travel to the farms to educate and demonstrate
the pump. To do their jobs, demonstration staff must travel deep into rural Africa. The traveling and staffing expenses
are incurred to develop the market for pumps.

                                     Breakdown of Total Expenses (FY2011: $10.5 million)

                                                                                             Salaries, Benefits,
                                                                                                   Other
                                                                                               Compensation
                                                                                                    45%


                                                 Other
                                                  8%

                                      Motor Vehicle
                                       Expenses
                                          4%

                                     Awareness and
                                       Outreach
                                          7%

                                            Occupancy
                                               3%
                                     Professional
                                       Services
                                         1%
                                            Office Expenses Travel                         Tools for
                                                   1%        10%                         Beneficiaries
                                                                                             21%



                           Source: Form 990


                                                                     KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research   7
KSI sold 27.3 thousand pumps in FY2011 with a sales staff of 160, or approximately 170 pumps per salesperson per year.
Total salaries, benefits, and other compensation were $4.7 million in FY2011. Dividing this by a sales force 160 people
(ignoring all other staff such as management, design, administrative) means expenses of $29k per employee per year.
Considering the challenges of reaching farmers, these expenses seem reasonable.

 Detailed Financial Information
 $000’s


            Fiscal Year Ended June 30                                       FY2008     FY2009      FY2010      FY2011
            Revenue and Expenses (Tax Accounting Basis)
               Support:
                 Contributions and Grants                                      6,615      4,301       5,054       7,158
               Revenue
                 Product Sales                                                 2,018      2,290       2,105       2,305
                 Investment Income                                                60         10           8           3
                 Other Revenues                                                   22        156          35          64
               Total Support and Revenues                                     $8,715     $6,756      $7,202      $9,531
                 % Growth                                                                -22.5%        6.6%       32.3%

                Expenses:
                  Tools for Beneficiaries                                      1,454      2,142       1,645       2,216
                  Other Program Services                                       5,538      6,450       5,959       7,279
                  Support Services                                               780        715         964       1,011
                Program & Support Services Expenses                            7,772      9,307       8,568      10,506
                  Net Foreign Exchange                                           261        116          96           0
                Total Operating Expenses                                       8,033      9,423       8,664      10,506

                Revenue Less Expenses                                           $682    ($2,666)    ($1,462)      ($975)

                   Program Costs as a % of Total Expenses                      87.0%      91.2%       87.8%       90.4%
                   Support Services as a % of Total Expenses                    9.7%       7.6%       11.1%        9.6%

            Per Pump Sold
                Number of Pumps Sold                                          22,625     27,277      22,412      27,326
                Pump COGS                                                        $43        $48         $43         $62
                Other Products COGS (Hoses, Repairs, Etc)                        $21        $31         $31         $20
                Total COGS per Pump                                              $64        $79         $73         $81
                Other Program and Support Services                              $279       $263        $309        $303
                Total Cost per Pump                                             $344       $341        $382        $384
                Total Product Sales per Pump                                     $89        $84         $94         $84
                Net Cost per Pump                                               $254       $257        $288        $300

            Assets and Liabilities (Year End)
                  Cash                                                           938        874       1,074         213
                  Pledges and Grants Receivable                                5,822      3,635       2,572       2,412
                  Accounts Receivable                                          1,185        969         663         523
                  Inventories                                                    473        681         679         773
                  Loans Receivable                                                 0        231         292         264
                  Other Assets                                                   602        474         302         347
                  Total Assets                                                 9,020      6,863       5,581       4,532

                 Accounts Payable and Accrued Expenses                           440        445         305         763
                 Other Liabilities                                               137        125         135          57
                 Total Liabilities                                               577        570         439         820
                Net Assets                                                     8,443      6,293       5,142       3,711
                Unrestricted Net Assets                                        2,351      1,650       1,777          19

Source: IRS Form 990 for FY2008-FY2011




                                                               KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research       8
In summary, KSI’s operating costs have grown significantly and remain high on a per unit level. This reflects the difficulty
of reaching farmers and operating subscale. A bigger concern is the drain on cash and net assets seen over the last three
years. While operating at a deficit is not inherently a problem for a non-profit, doing so for many years may reflect poor
cost control. Finally, a low cash balance exposes KSI’s operations to a greater risk of disruption. Cash constraints may
limit KSI’s ability to provide after purchase support to its customers or pay its employees and suppliers. Thus, NPI
recommends donors to seek clarity on management’s budget and plan to achieve sustainability.

THIRD PARTY RATINGS
KSI holds a four-star rating from Charity Navigator. KSI has received a single user review on GreatNonprofits (four stars).
KSI applied for a grant from GiveWell in 2007 but did not meet their criteria for further evaluation. KSI is not currently
rated on Philanthropedia.

DISCLOSURES
Arthur Xu certifies that he does not have any affiliation with KSI and has never made a donation to the organization.
Additionally, Arthur has not supported directly competing organizations in a greater capacity than a nominal donation.
NPI analysts and NPI as an organization do not receive any form of compensation from reviewed charities.
This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a solicitation for donations. While the reliability of
information contained in this report has been assessed by NPI, NPI makes no representation as to its accuracy or
completeness, except with respect to the Disclosure Section of the report. Any opinions expressed herein reflect our
judgment as of the date of the materials and are subject to change without notice. NPI has no obligation to update,
modify or amend any report or to otherwise notify a reader thereof in the event that any matter stated herein, or any
opinion, projection, forecast or estimate set forth herein, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate, or if research on
the subject organization is withdrawn.
Opinions and recommendations in our reports do not take into account specific reader circumstances, objectives, or
needs. The recipients of our reports must make their own independent decisions regarding any organization mentioned
by NPI.




                                                         KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research    9

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NPI Evaluation of KickStart

  • 1. NONPROFIT INVESTOR INDEPENDENT RESEARCH FOR PHILANTHROPY KICKSTART INTERNATIONAL SUMMARY KickStart International Inc. (KSI) provides technology to enable INC. entrepreneurial individuals to lift themselves out of poverty. Its key product is a human powered mechanical pump that allows crops to Nonprofit Investor Rating: be irrigated consistently and grown throughout the year. The end NEUTRAL result is higher farm productivity for subsistence farmers in Africa. Mission Statement STRENGTHS KickStart’s mission is to help millions of people ▲ Potentially self-sustainable model. KSI sells each pump above its out of poverty. KSI promotes sustainable cost, generating positive gross margin. The business model has the economic growth and employment creation by potential to become self-sustaining if enough units are sold. developing and promoting technologies that can be used by dynamic entrepreneurs to ▲ High return on investment for farmers buying KSI pumps. KSI’s establish and run profitable small scale studies show an average increase of $738 in farmer income within 24 enterprises. months of purchasing a pump and accessories that cost $39-144. Financial Overview CAUTIONS $ in MM, Fiscal Year Ended June 30th ● Barriers to technology adoption limit scalability. KSI’s target $MM 2009 2010 2011 customers, subsistence farmers, often lack the education, business Revenue and Support 6.8 7.2 9.5 skill, and capital needed to make such a large investment. Difficulty Operating Expenses 9.3 8.6 10.5 of reaching farmers is a key roadblock to increasing pump sales. % of Total: ● Overhead cost per pump remains high. To reach farmers, KSI Program Expenses 92% 89% 90% supports a large sales and demonstration staff that travel to villages. G&A 4% 6% 7% This results in high operating costs (~$300/pump). Fundraising 3% 5% 3% ● Precariously low cash balance. KSI has operated at a deficit in the last three fiscal years. It ended FY2011 with $213k of cash and $19k Year Founded: 1991 of unrestricted net assets against annual expenditure of $10.5m. Cost overruns and thin cash cushion pose a risk to KSI’s operations. Contact Details KickStart International - USA 2435 Polk Street, Suite 21 RECOMMENDATION: NEUTRAL San Francisco, CA 94109-1600 USA KSI’s programs have exhibited the ability to significantly increase farmer income. However, difficulty in reaching farmers is a challenge http://www.kickstart.org/ to widespread adoption of the pump. Operating expenses per pump EIN: 06-1613235 remains high due to operating subscale. KSI has run an operating deficit since 2009 and ended FY2011 with $213k of cash, leaving the organization in a precarious financial position. NPI advises donors to Analyst: Arthur Xu seek clarity on management’s budget and plan to achieve Peer Review: Kent Chao, RJ Price sustainability. Publication Date July 19, 2012 Nonprofit Investor Research | nonprofitinvestor.org
  • 2. OVERVIEW OF KICKSTART’S ACTIVITIES KickStart International Inc. (KSI) sells human powered water pumps to subsistence farmers in Africa. The charity facilitates the production, marketing, and distribution of three types of pumps, the MoneyMakerMax (MMM), Super MoneyMaker (SMM), and the Hip Pump (HP). KSI establishes the supply chain, buys from factories, supplies to local distributors, and markets to farmers. The non-profit currently operates in Kenya, Tanzania, and Mali. Price Points of Different Pump Models: Model Price to Farmer Price to dealer MoneyMakerMax (MMM) $144 $129 Super MoneyMaker (SMM) $100 $87 Hip Pump (HP) $39 $33 Price to Dealer: What KSI receives when supplying pump to local retailers Price to Farmer: Sales price that local retailers charge when selling to end users Source: KSI Product KSI pumps draw water a lower elevation source to irrigate farmland. They are designed to endure heavy use with a lifespan of three to four years. KSI has shown that 70% of pumps lasted more than 3 years in Mali and Tanzania, and 72% lasted more than 5 years in Kenya. As for ongoing maintenance costs, the piston cups are the components that require the most frequent replacements (every nine to twelve months). Each cup costs $1.50 and four are required. Target Customers KSI’s target customers are families in Africa whose main source of income is subsistence farming. According to KSI, the typical target farmer earns $300-400 a year, or less than $2 a day. Around $100 of this is directly from farming activity. KSI estimates that around 4% of farmland in Africa is irrigated. Farmers grow mainly drought resistant crops, such as potatoes and onions, and receive one to two harvests a year. Because farmers tend to plant the same crops, production is highly cyclical. In periods of good weather, oversupply results in approximately 30% of the produce becoming spoiled. Irrigation dramatically boosts farmland productivity for several reasons. It gives farmers the ability to grow during dry season, increasing harvest to three to four crops a year. Irrigation also allows farmers to grow a greater variety of crops and supply them at different times based on market need, thereby selling them for a higher price. In addition, it frees up time for families to pursue other productive activities. KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research 2
  • 3. Reaching the Customer For KSI’s target customers, purchasing a pump is a huge investment. There are three versions of the pump. In addition to purchasing a pump for $40-$110, farmers also need to purchase hoses, which typically cost ~$30. For a subsistence farmer making $300-400 a year, the total upfront cost of a pump and hoses is more than a quarter of a typical household’s annual income. With most of a farmer’s income used to pay for necessities, farmers need about 8-12 months to save up enough to afford a pump and hoses. In addition to financial barriers, KSI has pointed out that the key constraint to demand for pumps is a lack of awareness and trust among farmers for the technology. Despite the strong economic case for installing a pump, many farmers need to be educated about the value of the technology. Much of donor funding is used to educate farmers about the pump, often going farm by farm. Overcoming this is critical to scaling up. The Path to Scale There is a possibility that the awareness and trust problem will be solved as KSI sells more pumps. KSI points to the adoption curves of bicycles and sewing machines in Africa as examples of how technology gain widespread acceptance. These technologies had a slow start, but when their penetration reached a certain level, word of mouth started to generate more demand. The hope is that once enough farmers in an area are using irrigation pumps, the benefits would be so obvious that demand would take off. KSI estimates that this may happen after 15-20% penetration is achieved. If KSI pumps reach that point, operating cost per pump would drop and the operation could become self sustained. In certain areas of Kenya, KSI’s first market, penetration rates are 11-12%. KSI believes a “tipping point” may be reached in 2014. Over the last two and a half years, KSI has experimented in a small region of Western Kenya to test the “tipping point” hypothesis. The experiment drove local pump ownership to 13% compared to 1% for the rest of Kenya. KSI reported that cost per sale in the experiment zone was 42% lower than the rest of Kenya. KSI is applying marketing and sales lessons from this experiment to the rest of its markets. Key marketing initiatives include: • Mobile Layaway: A micro-savings program that enables farmers to make mobile payments toward the purchase of a pump. Results of a pilot indicate that it is increasing sales and reaching poorer farmers and more women. • Farmer 2 Farmer Referral Program: A program that increases word-of-mouth, marketing, recognition and rewards. • Partnerships with microloan institutions: Provide access credit to purchase MM pumps. • After-sales service: A 12-month guarantee availability of spares and a hotline phone number to build confidence in the products. • Live demos pumping water at the retail shops • On Farm Demonstrations, Field Days and Farm to Farm sales Why Nonprofit? Existing market forces have failed to address the need for pumps among subsistence farmers. This market failure exists because of the difficulty of reaching customers who are risk-averse, cash constrained, and uninformed. It takes enormous resources to cultivate trust and awareness before farmers are ready to commit to an investment in an irrigation pump. KSI has been in Kenya since the late 90’s. For-profit companies have not been able to justify the cost and time necessary to cultivate this market. While KSI is a nonprofit, the organization makes a gross margin on each pump sold. In addition to creating a more sustainable model than handing out pumps for free, a KSI buyer exhibits readiness by saving for many months to make the purchase. As a result, the individual is more educated on the benefit of the pump and more motivated to make full use of the technology. Even if KSI’s operations become self-sustained in a certain market, KSI will likely continue to rely on donor funding to expand to new markets where for-profit approaches are not viable. KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research 3
  • 4. PROGRAM RESULTS AND EFFECTIVENESS After an 18% decrease in number of pumps sold in FY2010, KSI’s unit sales recovered in FY 2011. Pump accessories account for 30-65% of product revenue each year. Units of Pump Sold Breakdown of Product Sales Pumps sold per year Units of pumps sold $ in '000 30000 27,277 27,326 2500 25000 22,412 22,625 2000 528 724 20000 829 547 15,069 1500 15000 405 1000 10000 1,777 1,566 1,336 1,276 500 990 5000 0 0 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 Pumps Other Products (Hoses, Parts, Etc) Source: KSI Annual Report and Form 990 Measuring Impact KSI has conducted internal studies showing an average increase in income of $738 within 24 months for buyers after purchase. This data is collected from surveys conducted by visiting the buyers. At the point of sale, KSI offers farmers the option to register for a one-year warranty program for free. KSI estimates 90% of buyers are registered. KSI staff then visits a random sample of buyers two times: within three months after the purchase (to establish a baseline) and again around 18 months later. The surveyors attempt to triangulate the change in household income by looking at assets, crop sales, and purchases. Average Change in Household Income Between Surveys: Country Zero Age Follow Up Duration (Mo) Delta (USD) Kenya Jan-00 Jul-01 18 1,100 Kenya Nov-04 Jun-06 19 810 Kenya Feb-06 Sep-07 19 540 Kenya May-06 Mar-07 10 340 Kenya Nov-04 Dec-09 62 530 Tanzania Jul-01 Jun-03 23 770 Tanzania Sep-05 Mar-06 6 830 Tanzania Sep-05 Jun-08 33 950 Mali 770 Average of all studies 24 738 Average of all studies excluding pumps that are not in use 870 Farmer Annual Income: 300-400 USD Source: KSI The table above shows aggregate results from several studies that measured changes in household income. Each study selects 50-70 farmers from a random pool. The baseline is established at “zero age” and the delta is measured at “follow up”. The delta is the change in income between the first and second visit. KSI notes that the average increase in income per pump in use is greater (when excluding pumps not in use which generate zero income). KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research 4
  • 5. Third Party Study Pending The analysis in this report relies upon KSI’s annual reports, Form 990s, and discussions with management. For the purpose of receiving third party verification of its results, KSI has contracted International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) to conduct a three year longitudinal randomized study of 3,900 pump users in Kenya and Tanzania. In addition to poverty, the study will cover impact on health, education, and gender equality. IFPRI has the rights to publish their findings independent of KSI. The study began two years ago and is expected to be completed in 2013. KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research 5
  • 6. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW From FY2008 to FY2011, overall expenses have consistently exceeded overall revenue, leading to a drain on net assets. Net assets have fallen from $8.4m to $3.7m over the last 4 years. KSI ended FY2011 with $213k of cash and $19k of unrestricted net assets. In light of annual operating expenses of $10.5m, KSI is precariously close to running out of cash. Expenses have exceeded revenue since FY2009. Given the current state of the balance sheet, it will be critical to see how management addresses this issue going forward. Revenue Breakdown Expense Breakdown $ in '000 $12,000 $12,000 95% Program Expense % of Total $9,531 $10,000 $8,715 $10,000 $2,216 90% $6,756 $7,202 $2,142 $8,000 $8,000 $1,645 $1,454 85% Expenses $6,000 $6,000 80% $4,000 $4,000 $6,566 $7,279 $5,799 $6,055 75% $2,000 $2,000 $0 70% $0 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 Other Program Services Fund-Raising Contributions and Grants Product Sales Other Management and General Cost of Products Sold Program Expense % of Total KSI makes a small gross margin on product sales, which includes pump and accessories. Fluctuations in gross margin (which ranged between 2% and 15% over the last five years) are primarily driven by product mix shifts between different models of pumps and accessories. In each of the past five years, KSI has demonstrated its ability to generate a positive gross margin, despite shifts in product mix. Cost per Pump and Revenue per Pump Sold $ per pump sold 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 Total product costs per pump Total product revenue per pump Source: KSI Annual Report and Form 990 KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research 6
  • 7. In addition to product costs, it costs KSI $303 of operating costs per pump. The number spiked up dramatically in FY2010 due to a decrease number of pumps sold that year. However, while pump units sold recovered in FY2011, cost per unit remained elevated, suggesting that overhead costs growth far outpaced pump sales between FY2009 and FY2011. Conversations with KSI suggest that the organization is investing heavily to build scale. If KSI’s strategy is successful, this number should decline over time. Total Operating Expenditures per Pump (Program & Support Services) $ per pump sold 320 309 310 303 300 296 290 279 263 280 270 260 250 240 230 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 Source: KSI Annual Report and Form 990 45% of KSI’s total expenses are related to employee compensation. While Awareness and Outreach account for only 7% of expenses, that figure only includes the direct costs of print, radio, and other media advertising. Through discussions with KSI, NPI learned that KSI has a sales staff of 160 employees, who travel to the farms to educate and demonstrate the pump. To do their jobs, demonstration staff must travel deep into rural Africa. The traveling and staffing expenses are incurred to develop the market for pumps. Breakdown of Total Expenses (FY2011: $10.5 million) Salaries, Benefits, Other Compensation 45% Other 8% Motor Vehicle Expenses 4% Awareness and Outreach 7% Occupancy 3% Professional Services 1% Office Expenses Travel Tools for 1% 10% Beneficiaries 21% Source: Form 990 KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research 7
  • 8. KSI sold 27.3 thousand pumps in FY2011 with a sales staff of 160, or approximately 170 pumps per salesperson per year. Total salaries, benefits, and other compensation were $4.7 million in FY2011. Dividing this by a sales force 160 people (ignoring all other staff such as management, design, administrative) means expenses of $29k per employee per year. Considering the challenges of reaching farmers, these expenses seem reasonable. Detailed Financial Information $000’s Fiscal Year Ended June 30 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 Revenue and Expenses (Tax Accounting Basis) Support: Contributions and Grants 6,615 4,301 5,054 7,158 Revenue Product Sales 2,018 2,290 2,105 2,305 Investment Income 60 10 8 3 Other Revenues 22 156 35 64 Total Support and Revenues $8,715 $6,756 $7,202 $9,531 % Growth -22.5% 6.6% 32.3% Expenses: Tools for Beneficiaries 1,454 2,142 1,645 2,216 Other Program Services 5,538 6,450 5,959 7,279 Support Services 780 715 964 1,011 Program & Support Services Expenses 7,772 9,307 8,568 10,506 Net Foreign Exchange 261 116 96 0 Total Operating Expenses 8,033 9,423 8,664 10,506 Revenue Less Expenses $682 ($2,666) ($1,462) ($975) Program Costs as a % of Total Expenses 87.0% 91.2% 87.8% 90.4% Support Services as a % of Total Expenses 9.7% 7.6% 11.1% 9.6% Per Pump Sold Number of Pumps Sold 22,625 27,277 22,412 27,326 Pump COGS $43 $48 $43 $62 Other Products COGS (Hoses, Repairs, Etc) $21 $31 $31 $20 Total COGS per Pump $64 $79 $73 $81 Other Program and Support Services $279 $263 $309 $303 Total Cost per Pump $344 $341 $382 $384 Total Product Sales per Pump $89 $84 $94 $84 Net Cost per Pump $254 $257 $288 $300 Assets and Liabilities (Year End) Cash 938 874 1,074 213 Pledges and Grants Receivable 5,822 3,635 2,572 2,412 Accounts Receivable 1,185 969 663 523 Inventories 473 681 679 773 Loans Receivable 0 231 292 264 Other Assets 602 474 302 347 Total Assets 9,020 6,863 5,581 4,532 Accounts Payable and Accrued Expenses 440 445 305 763 Other Liabilities 137 125 135 57 Total Liabilities 577 570 439 820 Net Assets 8,443 6,293 5,142 3,711 Unrestricted Net Assets 2,351 1,650 1,777 19 Source: IRS Form 990 for FY2008-FY2011 KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research 8
  • 9. In summary, KSI’s operating costs have grown significantly and remain high on a per unit level. This reflects the difficulty of reaching farmers and operating subscale. A bigger concern is the drain on cash and net assets seen over the last three years. While operating at a deficit is not inherently a problem for a non-profit, doing so for many years may reflect poor cost control. Finally, a low cash balance exposes KSI’s operations to a greater risk of disruption. Cash constraints may limit KSI’s ability to provide after purchase support to its customers or pay its employees and suppliers. Thus, NPI recommends donors to seek clarity on management’s budget and plan to achieve sustainability. THIRD PARTY RATINGS KSI holds a four-star rating from Charity Navigator. KSI has received a single user review on GreatNonprofits (four stars). KSI applied for a grant from GiveWell in 2007 but did not meet their criteria for further evaluation. KSI is not currently rated on Philanthropedia. DISCLOSURES Arthur Xu certifies that he does not have any affiliation with KSI and has never made a donation to the organization. Additionally, Arthur has not supported directly competing organizations in a greater capacity than a nominal donation. NPI analysts and NPI as an organization do not receive any form of compensation from reviewed charities. This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a solicitation for donations. While the reliability of information contained in this report has been assessed by NPI, NPI makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness, except with respect to the Disclosure Section of the report. Any opinions expressed herein reflect our judgment as of the date of the materials and are subject to change without notice. NPI has no obligation to update, modify or amend any report or to otherwise notify a reader thereof in the event that any matter stated herein, or any opinion, projection, forecast or estimate set forth herein, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate, or if research on the subject organization is withdrawn. Opinions and recommendations in our reports do not take into account specific reader circumstances, objectives, or needs. The recipients of our reports must make their own independent decisions regarding any organization mentioned by NPI. KickStart International | Nonprofit Investor Research 9