Your SlideShare is downloading. ×
Alameda County Budget Workgroup Forum (February 2011)
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5
×

Thanks for flagging this SlideShare!

Oops! An error has occurred.

×
Saving this for later? Get the SlideShare app to save on your phone or tablet. Read anywhere, anytime – even offline.
Text the download link to your phone
Standard text messaging rates apply

Alameda County Budget Workgroup Forum (February 2011)

696

Published on

Presentation from the 2/15 & 2/16 Alameda County Workgroup Economic and Budget Forum. …

Presentation from the 2/15 & 2/16 Alameda County Workgroup Economic and Budget Forum.

For updates on the Alameda County budget, visit
http://acgov.org/budget.htm.

-Office of Supervisor Keith Carson
Alameda County Board of Supervisors, District 5

0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total Views
696
On Slideshare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
0
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
2
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

Report content
Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
No notes for slide

Transcript

  • 1. County Administrator’s OfficeALAMEDA COUNTYEconomic and Budget ForumThe Worst Is Yet to ComeFebruary 2011Supervisor Keith Carson,Chair,Budget WorkgroupSupervisorS per isor Wilma ChanSupervisor Scott HaggertySusan S Muranishi County Administrator S. Muranishi,
  • 2. County Administrator’s Office OverviewEconomic UpdateFY 10‐11 Final Budget gState and Federal Budgets 2
  • 3. County Administrator’s OfficeUnemployment Rate Unemployment Rate – 1990 to Present(not seasonally adjusted)
  • 4. County Administrator’s OfficeUnemployment Rate Unemployment Rate – 1990 to Present(not seasonally adjusted)
  • 5. County Administrator’s OfficeUnemployment Rate Unemployment Rate – 1990 to Present (not seasonally adjusted)
  • 6. County Administrator’s Office Alameda County Unemployment  y p y by City/ Unincorporated Area18% 16.3%16% 15.6%14%12%10% 7.8%8%6% 4.7%4% 6
  • 7. County Administrator’s Office Alameda County Median Home Values July 2007 – Dec. 2010 650,000 650 000 619,000 600,000 550,000 500,000 450,000 400,000 400 000350,000  347,000 300,000  280,000 250,000 200,000  7
  • 8. County Administrator’s Office Alameda County Property Foreclosures 9,000 , 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 4 000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 8Source: Alameda County Clerk/Recorder’s Office
  • 9. County Administrator’s Office Assessment Roll—Percent Change Assessment Roll Percent Change Alameda County18%16%14%12%10%8%6%4%2%0%‐2%‐4% 9
  • 10. County Administrator’s Office Sales Tax Revenues15,000,00014,000,00013,000,00012,000,00011,000,00010,000,000 10 2004‐05 2005‐06 2006‐07 2007‐08 2008‐09 2009‐10 2010‐11
  • 11. County Administrator’s Office Prop. 172 Sales Tax Revenues$125,000,000$125 000 000$120,000,000$115,000,000$110,000,000$105,000,000$100,000,000 $95,000,000 11 2002‐03 2003‐04 2004‐05 2005‐06 2006‐07 2007‐08 2008‐09 2009‐10 2010‐11
  • 12. County Administrator’s Office Measure A Revenues—County Share$30,000,000$30 000 000$28,000,000$26,000,000$24,000,000$22,000,000 12 2005‐2006 2006‐2007 2007‐2008 2008‐2009 2009‐2010 2010‐2011
  • 13. County Administrator’s Office Realignment Revenues210,000,000200,000,000190,000,000180,000,000170,000,000160,000,000 2003‐04 2004‐05 2005‐06 2006‐07 2007‐08 2008‐09 2009‐10 2010‐11 13
  • 14. County Administrator’s Office Quarterly Interest Rate for  Investment Pool6% 5.0%5%4%3%2%1% 0.5%0% 14
  • 15. County Administrator’s Office Increased Demand for ServicesDramatic increase in caseloads for assistance programs, including: CalWORKs Food Stamps Medi‐Cal IHSS 15
  • 16. County Administrator’s Office CalWORKS21,00021 000 20,49420,50020,00019,50019,00018,50018,00017,50017,00016,500 16,52016,000 16
  • 17. County Administrator’s Office Medi-Cal85,000 80,62580,00075,00070,00065,000 60,96860,000 17
  • 18. County Administrator’s Office Food Stamps43,500 , 40,43538,50033,50028,50023,50018,50013,500 8,569 8,500 18
  • 19. County Administrator’s Office General Assistance11,00011 00010,000 9,000 9 000 8,000 7,000 , 6,240 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,622 3,000 19
  • 20. County Administrator’s Office In­Home Support Services19,000 18,45018,00017,00016,00015,00014,00013,00012,00012 000 12,23711,00010,000 20
  • 21. County Administrator’s Office Economic OutlookVery slow recoveryUnemployment still highUnemployment still highHome values way off peakDemand for services highDemand for services highRevenues down 21
  • 22. County Administrator’s OfficeFY 2010‐2011 Final BudgetFY 2010 2011 Fi l B d 22
  • 23. County Administrator’s Office ERAF Losses by Year (in millions) ERAF Losses by Year (in millions) Cumulative loss: $4 Billion$350 $350 $335 $320 $326 $320 $297$300  $273 $263$250  $236 $220 $206$200  $187 $170 $158$150  $140 $147 $129 $130 $135$100  $50  $30 $0  24
  • 24. County Administrator’s OfficeFunding Gaps Since ERAF Intercept F di  G  Si  ERAF I t t (in millions) 25
  • 25. County Administrator’s OfficeAlameda CAl d County P Property T Di ib i Tax DistributionOf Each Dollar of Property Tax Collected: 26
  • 26. County Administrator’s Office FY 2010‐11 Final Budget Appropriation/  F.T.E.  Revenue Positions* All Funds $2.4 Billion 9,103 General/Grants/ $2.1 Billion 7,287 Measure A Fund*Full‐time equivalent positions  27
  • 27. County Administrator’s Office FY 2010 11 Final Budget  FY 2010‐11 Final Budget General/Grant/Measure A Funds Appropriation by Program General  Health Care  Government Capital Projects Services 10% 1% 27%Non Program Expenditures Public Assistance 3% 32% Public Protection Contingency &  25% Reserves 2% Total Appropriation: $2.1 billion 28
  • 28. County Administrator’s Office FY 2010 11 Final Budget FY 2010‐11 Final Budget General/Grant/Measure A Funds Appropriation by Major Object Other  Salaries &  Financing Uses BenefitsOther Charges 4% 39% 21%Fixed Assets 1% Services &  Supplies 35% Total Appropriation: $2.1 billion 29
  • 29. County Administrator’s Office FY 2010 11 Final Budget FY 2010‐11 Final Budget General/Grant/Measure A Funds Total Financing by Source Other Financing Current Property Tax Sources 14% 6% Other Taxes 8%Other Revenue State/Federal/Local  3% Govt. Aid Charges for Services 54% 15% Total Financing: $2.1 billion 30
  • 30. County Administrator’s Office FY 2010‐11 Discretionary Revenue  Share of Total General Fund EPSDT  Capital  Discretionary  Designation Designation Revenue 1% 0% 26% Use of FMR U f FMR 3% Debt Service  RevenueProgram Revenue 2% 68% Total General Fund:  $1.9 billion 31
  • 31. County Administrator’s Office FY 2010‐11 Discretionary Revenue by Source Vehicle License Fee  (ERAF)Other Revenue 30% 8% Interest on  Investments 1% Sales & Use Tax Property Tax Sales & Use Tax  2% 58% (ERAF) 1% Discretionary Revenue:  $502.7 million 32
  • 32. County Administrator’s Office FY 2010‐11 Use of Discretionary Revenue by Program Capital Projects General  1% Government 10% Debt ServicePublic Assistance 5% 13% Health Care Public Protection 17% 45% Contingency &  Contingency & Reserve Increase 9% Discretionary Revenue:  $502.7 million 33
  • 33. County Administrator’s Office FY 2010 11 Balancing Strategies FY 2010‐11 Balancing Strategies (in millions) Countywide  Fiscal Mgmt.  Strategies Reward 11% 40% Program  / Reductions/  EPSDT  EPSDT Revenue Designation 41% 8% Funding Gap:  $152.4 million 34EPSDT = Early Periodic Screening, Diagnosis and Treatment Program
  • 34. County Administrator’s OfficeFY 2010 11  Closing the GapFY 2010‐11 ‐ Closing the GapOngoing vs. One‐Time Strategies 35
  • 35. County Administrator’s Office Closing the Gap  General/Grant/Measure A Funds ($ in millions) Net County  Cost  FTE  Reduction ReductionsGeneral Government $22.7  16.9Health Care Services $ $40.4 6.8Public Assistance $30.1 +2.0Public ProtectionPublic Protection $42.8 83.9Programs $136.0 105.6Countywide StrategiesCountywide Strategies $16.4  $16.4 0.0Grand Total $152.4 105.6
  • 36. County Administrator’s OfficeFederal Budget UpdateF d lB d U d 37
  • 37. County Administrator’s Office President’s FY 2011 and 2012 BudgetsFY 2011 $3.8 trillion plan proposed, not approved House Cmte proposes $100 billion cuts, largest in history H C $100 billi l i hiFY 2012 FY 2012 $3.7 trillion budget proposed $ $1.1 trillion discretionary spending y p g Over 200 programs to be cut or eliminated 38
  • 38. County Administrator’s Office Federal Budget UpdateAnnual Deficits 2009: $1.4 trillion 2010: $1.3 trillion  2010 $1 3 t illi 2011: $1.6 trillion 2012: $1.1 trillion 2012: $1 1 trillionNational Debt % GDP 2008: $6 trillion 40% 2010: $9 trillion 62% 2021: $18 trillion (est.) 2021 $18 illi ( ) 77% 39
  • 39. County Administrator’s OfficeState Budget UpdateS B d U d 40
  • 40. County Administrator’s Office Governor’s Budget$26.4 billion in solutions through 2011‐12 Cuts  $12.5 billion Revenues $12 billion Borrowing/transfers g/ $1.9 billion Realignment of services g Special election to extend tax increases 41
  • 41. County Administrator’s Office Governor s Budget  Governor’s Budget  Impact to AC Social Services ProgramsCalWORKS (20,500 AC recipients)  13% grant reduction ($18M cut to AC clients) 48‐month time limit ($24M impact to 4,000 families) 48 h l ($24  i    4 000 f ili ) Maintain block grant cut (ongoing AC loss $15M) Single Allocation reduction  (AC impact: $8M)Child Care Eliminate child care for 11 12 yr. olds (approx. 370 children) Eliminate child care for 11‐12 yr. olds (approx. 370 children) Decrease eligibility standards from 75% to 60% State median income Subsidies cut ($40M impact to AC clients) 42
  • 42. County Administrator’s Office Governor s Budget  Governor’s Budget  Impact to AC Social Services Programs (cont.)In Home Support Services (18,000 in AC) Cut provider hours 8.4% Cut domestic services in shared living environments (14,400 cases) C d h dl (14 400  ) AC Impact: Hours of service reduced 28% (6 million hours), wage loss  to IHSS providers: $71 million.SSI/SSP Grants (39,000 AC recipients; $7M impact)THP+ reduced allocation  (AC: $1.6M; 70 beds)Seriously, Emotionally Disturbed funding restoredS i l E i ll Di b d f di dSuspend County Share of Child Support collections (AC: $0.6M) 43
  • 43. County Administrator’s Office Governor s Budget  Governor’s Budget  Impact to AC Health Programs Medi‐Cal (up to 100,000 AC recipients affected) Caps on doctor visits, prescriptions, other services Co‐payments Caps on supplies, equipment, hearing aids, OTC drugs Eliminate Adult Day Health Care (880 people in AC) y ( p p ) 10% reduction in provider payments Use First Five funds for children svcs (7,200 AC children impacted)Healthy Families (est. 20,400 AC families) Increase premiums, co‐payments, cut vision benefit 44
  • 44. County Administrator’s Office Governor s Budget  Governor’s Budget  OtherEliminate redevelopment agencies  AC impact: $18M/yearReenactment of gas tax swap to fund transportation Suspend, defer, repeal state mandates AC impact: $11M 45
  • 45. County Administrator’s Office Governor s Budget Governor’s Budget Realignment Phase 1Transfer low‐level offenders, parole violatorsTransfer Adult paroleTransfer remaining juvenile justice programsTransfer Court security to County sheriffsVLF‐funded programs: f d d COPS, JJCPA, Juvenile Probation, Booking Fees, CalMMEt, otherTransfer fire protection and medical response in wildlandTransfer fire protection and medical response in wildlandareas 46
  • 46. County Administrator’s Office Governor’s Budget G ’  B d Realignment Phase 1 (cont.)Mental health services, using Prop. 63 fundsSubstance abuse programsChild Welfare Services/Foster CareChild W lf S i /F CAdult Protective Services 47
  • 47. County Administrator’s Office Governor’s Budget – G ’  B d   Realignment Phase 2IHSS StateCA Children’s Services  StateCalWORKs CountiesChild Care CountiesFood StampsFood Stamps Counties 48
  • 48. County Administrator’s Office Realignment Alameda County General PrinciplesConstitutional protection that realigned programs will come with adequate funding to cover costsNeed all or some combination of the following: Guaranteed funding source Guaranteed funding source General Fund “backstop” Maximum local control/flexibility Ability to suspend, curtail or eliminate programs if funding is  insufficient 49
  • 49. County Administrator’s Office State BudgetWhat if ballot initiatives fail?What if ballot initiati es fail? 50
  • 50. County Administrator’s Office Legislative Analyst: Possible Cuts If Voters Reject TaxesSchools Eliminate K-3 class size reduction Kindergarteners must be 5 years oldCommunity Colleges 90-unit cap on subsidized credits Increase fees from $26/unit to $66/unit Cut State subsidy for athleticsUniversities Tuition: +7% UC, +10% CSU Personnel costs: -10% UC, -5% CSU 51
  • 51. County Administrator’s Office Legislative Analyst: Possible Cuts If Voters Reject TaxesHealth/Human Services Reduce IHSS wage to minimum $300M Cut food and aid for noncitizens $190M Stricter income eligibility for welfare-to-work recipients $180MPublic Safety Require 2nd, 3rd strikes be serious or violent $50M Eliminate public safety grants $506M Automated speed enforcement cameras $ p $150M Two furloughs/month for court employees $130M 52
  • 52. County Administrator’s Office Legislative Analyst: Possible Cuts If Voters Reject TaxesGeneral Government Reduce State employee pay 9.4% $700M Reduce State employee health care 30% $330MTransportation Another accounting swap $400M Oil drilling at Tranquillon Ridge $100M New fee on residential property owners in wildlands $300M 53
  • 53. County Administrator’s Office Alameda County Ongoing Budget PoliciesContinue to monitor expenditures and revenuesRestrict spending p gPursue revenue enhancementsAgencies & Departments directed to fill onlycritical (life/safety, mandated, cost effective)ppositions 54
  • 54. County Administrator’s Office Pending FactorsEconomyRetirement/medical costsFederal budget and debtState Budget and June electionPropositions 55
  • 55. County Administrator’s Office Key datesBudget Requests Due February 18, 2011Early Budget Work Sessions April 5, 2011Funding Gap identified Late March/early AprilReduction plans May 2011Proposed Budget Submitted d d S b d Early June 2011 l 2011Final Budget Adopted Late June 2011 56
  • 56. County Administrator’s Office Alameda County Budget Information on the Webwww.acgov.org/budget.htmwww acgov org/budget htm 57
  • 57. County Administrator’s OfficeALAMEDA COUNTYEconomic and Budget ForumThe Worst Is Yet to ComeFebruary 2011Supervisor Keith Carson, Chair,Budget WorkgroupSupervisorS per isor Wilma ChanSupervisor Scott HaggertySusan S Muranishi County Administrator S. Muranishi,

×