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Healthy Aging Summit - World Population Aging
 

Healthy Aging Summit - World Population Aging

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    Healthy Aging Summit - World Population Aging Healthy Aging Summit - World Population Aging Presentation Transcript

    • World Population Aging
      Eileen M.Crimmins
      AARP Professor of Gerontology
      University of Southern California
      Keiro Senior HealthCare’s Healthy Aging Summit
      April 12, 2011
    • Young vs. Old – trends in global ageing
      World Trends in the Old and the Young
      Source: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision. New York: United Nations, 2005.
    • Projected Increases in Global Population by Age
      ge
      Source: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision. New York: United Nations, 2005.
    • The World’s 15 Oldest Countries
      Source: UN 2004
    • Percent Aged 65 and over
    • Population Aging Represents the Greatest Triumph of Science in the 20th Century
    • Trends in Life Expectancy at Birth in Japan 1950-2008
    • Trend in Total Fertility Rate in Japan: 1950-2007
    • Life Expectancy at Age 50 in 2006
    • Trends in Life Expectancy at Age 50, Females
    • Prevalence of Heart Disease: Age 65+
       
       
      Males
      Females
    • Prevalence of Diabetes: Age 65+
      Males
      Females
      Chapter 3: Are International Differences in Health Similar to International Differences in Life Expectancy? Eileen M. Crimmins, et al.
    • Prevalence of Stroke: Age 65+
      Males
      Females
    • Prostate CancerIncidence and Mortality Rates, 2002
      Incidence
      Mortality
      Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; htpp://www-dep.iarc.fr/
    • Breast Cancer Incidence and Mortality Rates, 2002
      Incidence
      Mortality
      Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; htpp://www-dep.iarc.fr/
    • ColorectalCancer Incidence and Mortality Rates, Males, 2002
      Incidence
      Mortality
      Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; http://www-dep.iarc.fr/ Age-standardized to world standard
    • Prevalence of obesity (BMI > 30): Age 50+
      Females
    • Estimated Probability of Being Obese at Specific Ages for Specific Cohorts for Males
      Source: Reynolds, S., Himes, C. Cohort differences in adult obesity in the United States:
      1982 2002. J Aging Health 2007;19;844
    • Prevalence of measured high blood pressure
      (in last few years) (>140/90mmHg): Males 65+
      Measured High BP(>140/90mmHg)
      Or Using Medication
      Measured High BP (>140/90mmHg)
    • Use of Anti Hypertensive Drugs : Ages 50+
    • Use of Lipid Lowering Drugs: Age 50+
    • Lung Cancer Incidence Rates, 2002
      Males
      Females
      Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; http://www-dep.iarc.fr/ Age-standardized to world standard
    • Gains to female life expectancy at age 50 from eliminating smoking
    • Percentage of adult population smoking daily, 2005
    • Percentage of females and males smoking daily, 2005
    • Alcohol consumption in litres per capita, population 15 years and over, 2005
    • Other Differences Between the US and Japan
      Equality is greater in Japan – social differences are not as great
      Health Care Insurance is provided for all
    • Sum
      Aging has come about because of success
      Some countries may be better adapted to the new world of plentiful food
      To some extent -Japan has “gotten away” with smoking – but past behavior will have consequences
      The US has poor health relative to other countries and this needs to be a focus of policy