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Healthy Aging Summit - World Population Aging

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  • 1. World Population Aging
    Eileen M.Crimmins
    AARP Professor of Gerontology
    University of Southern California
    Keiro Senior HealthCare’s Healthy Aging Summit
    April 12, 2011
  • 2. Young vs. Old – trends in global ageing
    World Trends in the Old and the Young
    Source: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision. New York: United Nations, 2005.
  • 3. Projected Increases in Global Population by Age
    ge
    Source: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision. New York: United Nations, 2005.
  • 4. The World’s 15 Oldest Countries
    Source: UN 2004
  • 5. Percent Aged 65 and over
  • 6. Population Aging Represents the Greatest Triumph of Science in the 20th Century
  • 7. Trends in Life Expectancy at Birth in Japan 1950-2008
  • 8. Trend in Total Fertility Rate in Japan: 1950-2007
  • 9. Life Expectancy at Age 50 in 2006
  • 10. Trends in Life Expectancy at Age 50, Females
  • 11. Prevalence of Heart Disease: Age 65+
     
     
    Males
    Females
  • 12. Prevalence of Diabetes: Age 65+
    Males
    Females
    Chapter 3: Are International Differences in Health Similar to International Differences in Life Expectancy? Eileen M. Crimmins, et al.
  • 13. Prevalence of Stroke: Age 65+
    Males
    Females
  • 14. Prostate CancerIncidence and Mortality Rates, 2002
    Incidence
    Mortality
    Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; htpp://www-dep.iarc.fr/
  • 15. Breast Cancer Incidence and Mortality Rates, 2002
    Incidence
    Mortality
    Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; htpp://www-dep.iarc.fr/
  • 16. ColorectalCancer Incidence and Mortality Rates, Males, 2002
    Incidence
    Mortality
    Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; http://www-dep.iarc.fr/ Age-standardized to world standard
  • 17. Prevalence of obesity (BMI > 30): Age 50+
    Females
  • 18. Estimated Probability of Being Obese at Specific Ages for Specific Cohorts for Males
    Source: Reynolds, S., Himes, C. Cohort differences in adult obesity in the United States:
    1982 2002. J Aging Health 2007;19;844
  • 19. Prevalence of measured high blood pressure
    (in last few years) (>140/90mmHg): Males 65+
    Measured High BP(>140/90mmHg)
    Or Using Medication
    Measured High BP (>140/90mmHg)
  • 20. Use of Anti Hypertensive Drugs : Ages 50+
  • 21. Use of Lipid Lowering Drugs: Age 50+
  • 22. Lung Cancer Incidence Rates, 2002
    Males
    Females
    Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; http://www-dep.iarc.fr/ Age-standardized to world standard
  • 23. Gains to female life expectancy at age 50 from eliminating smoking
  • 24. Percentage of adult population smoking daily, 2005
  • 25. Percentage of females and males smoking daily, 2005
  • 26. Alcohol consumption in litres per capita, population 15 years and over, 2005
  • 27. Other Differences Between the US and Japan
    Equality is greater in Japan – social differences are not as great
    Health Care Insurance is provided for all
  • 28. Sum
    Aging has come about because of success
    Some countries may be better adapted to the new world of plentiful food
    To some extent -Japan has “gotten away” with smoking – but past behavior will have consequences
    The US has poor health relative to other countries and this needs to be a focus of policy

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