Healthy Aging Summit - World Population Aging

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Healthy Aging Summit - World Population Aging

  1. 1. World Population Aging<br />Eileen M.Crimmins<br />AARP Professor of Gerontology<br />University of Southern California<br />Keiro Senior HealthCare’s Healthy Aging Summit<br />April 12, 2011<br />
  2. 2. Young vs. Old – trends in global ageing<br />World Trends in the Old and the Young<br />Source: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision. New York: United Nations, 2005.<br />
  3. 3. Projected Increases in Global Population by Age<br />ge<br />Source: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision. New York: United Nations, 2005.<br />
  4. 4. The World’s 15 Oldest Countries<br />Source: UN 2004<br />
  5. 5. Percent Aged 65 and over<br />
  6. 6. Population Aging Represents the Greatest Triumph of Science in the 20th Century <br />
  7. 7. Trends in Life Expectancy at Birth in Japan 1950-2008<br />
  8. 8. Trend in Total Fertility Rate in Japan: 1950-2007<br />
  9. 9. Life Expectancy at Age 50 in 2006<br />
  10. 10. Trends in Life Expectancy at Age 50, Females <br />
  11. 11. Prevalence of Heart Disease: Age 65+<br /> <br /> <br />Males<br />Females<br />
  12. 12. Prevalence of Diabetes: Age 65+<br />Males<br />Females<br />Chapter 3: Are International Differences in Health Similar to International Differences in Life Expectancy? Eileen M. Crimmins, et al.<br />
  13. 13. Prevalence of Stroke: Age 65+ <br />Males<br />Females<br />
  14. 14. Prostate CancerIncidence and Mortality Rates, 2002<br /> Incidence<br /> Mortality<br />Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; htpp://www-dep.iarc.fr/<br />
  15. 15. Breast Cancer Incidence and Mortality Rates, 2002<br /> Incidence<br /> Mortality<br />Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; htpp://www-dep.iarc.fr/<br />
  16. 16. ColorectalCancer Incidence and Mortality Rates, Males, 2002<br />Incidence<br />Mortality<br />Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; http://www-dep.iarc.fr/ Age-standardized to world standard <br />
  17. 17. Prevalence of obesity (BMI > 30): Age 50+<br />Females<br />
  18. 18. Estimated Probability of Being Obese at Specific Ages for Specific Cohorts for Males<br />Source: Reynolds, S., Himes, C. Cohort differences in adult obesity in the United States: <br />1982 2002. J Aging Health 2007;19;844<br />
  19. 19. Prevalence of measured high blood pressure<br />(in last few years) (>140/90mmHg): Males 65+<br />Measured High BP(>140/90mmHg)<br />Or Using Medication<br />Measured High BP (>140/90mmHg)<br />
  20. 20. Use of Anti Hypertensive Drugs : Ages 50+<br />
  21. 21. Use of Lipid Lowering Drugs: Age 50+<br />
  22. 22. Lung Cancer Incidence Rates, 2002<br />Males<br />Females<br />Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; http://www-dep.iarc.fr/ Age-standardized to world standard <br />
  23. 23. Gains to female life expectancy at age 50 from eliminating smoking<br />
  24. 24. Percentage of adult population smoking daily, 2005<br />
  25. 25. Percentage of females and males smoking daily, 2005<br />
  26. 26. Alcohol consumption in litres per capita, population 15 years and over, 2005<br />
  27. 27. Other Differences Between the US and Japan<br />Equality is greater in Japan – social differences are not as great<br />Health Care Insurance is provided for all <br />
  28. 28. Sum<br />Aging has come about because of success<br />Some countries may be better adapted to the new world of plentiful food<br />To some extent -Japan has “gotten away” with smoking – but past behavior will have consequences<br />The US has poor health relative to other countries and this needs to be a focus of policy<br />

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