World Population Aging Eileen M.Crimmins AARP Professor of Gerontology University of Southern California Keiro Senior HealthCare’s Healthy Aging Summit April 12, 2011
Young vs. Old – trends in global ageing World Trends in the Old and the Young Source: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision. New York: United Nations, 2005.
Projected Increases in Global Population by Age ge Source: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision. New York: United Nations, 2005.
The World’s 15 Oldest Countries Source: UN 2004
Breast Cancer Incidence and Mortality Rates, 2002 Incidence Mortality Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; htpp://www-dep.iarc.fr/
ColorectalCancer Incidence and Mortality Rates, Males, 2002 Incidence Mortality Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; http://www-dep.iarc.fr/ Age-standardized to world standard
Prevalence of obesity (BMI > 30): Age 50+ Females
Estimated Probability of Being Obese at Specific Ages for Specific Cohorts for Males Source: Reynolds, S., Himes, C. Cohort differences in adult obesity in the United States: 1982 2002. J Aging Health 2007;19;844
Prevalence of measured high blood pressure (in last few years) (>140/90mmHg): Males 65+ Measured High BP(>140/90mmHg) Or Using Medication Measured High BP (>140/90mmHg)
Lung Cancer Incidence Rates, 2002 Males Females Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; http://www-dep.iarc.fr/ Age-standardized to world standard
Gains to female life expectancy at age 50 from eliminating smoking
Percentage of adult population smoking daily, 2005
Percentage of females and males smoking daily, 2005
Alcohol consumption in litres per capita, population 15 years and over, 2005
Other Differences Between the US and Japan Equality is greater in Japan – social differences are not as great Health Care Insurance is provided for all
Sum Aging has come about because of success Some countries may be better adapted to the new world of plentiful food To some extent -Japan has “gotten away” with smoking – but past behavior will have consequences The US has poor health relative to other countries and this needs to be a focus of policy