White Paper Soft Culture Hard Economy Part 3

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    White Paper Soft Culture Hard Economy Part 3 - Presentation Transcript

    1. PART THREE Identifying Opportunities for Investments in China’s Creative Industry “China's creative history goes back centuries. Dance in China entered into a period of unprecedented brilliance during the Tang dynasty (618-907 A.D.) as culture flourished. The imperial court founded the Pear Garden Academy, the Imperial Academy, and the T'ai-ch'ang Temple and gathered the top dancing talent of the country to perform the magnificent incomparably lavish "Ten Movement Music" dance. Version 2.5 August 09 by China Creative Capital 1
    2. PART THREE “Content”+”Consumption”= ‘Hard’” Economics Traditional + New Media + Cultural & Entertainment/Leisure Products Location-based Entertainment New Media Technology • X-media consum er gadgets/widget • Cinema/3-D theatres • X-media content creation apps • interactive media devices • Them ed res taurants/Regional Cuisines • X-media accessibility apps chains • Them ed parks • Mus ic Festivals aka Ibiza Publishing • Live concerts & perform ances • Magazines - youth, fem ale, sports • Live theatre/ perform ing arts Content Creation • News paper • TV/Radio/mus ic production/syndication • School educational text • Film /video production • Digital books /e--book Cultural Entertainment •Licens ing (brands, merchandise, content) • Cultural tourism • Animation/ 3-D • Cultural perform ances • Mobile content Services • Sports entertainment • sports broadcas t • Media buying agencies •Online game • Ad agents • Bus ines s & financial news/info •Marketing/ database services •Training & Education (Online + Offline) • Production services Specialty Retail/Brands •Outdoor/alternative advertis ing • Lifes tyle focused • Multimedia design • Beauty care • Wedding service Distribution • Healthfood • Digital TV channels Services • Handcrafted/Designer accessories • TV/radio channels • Designer fas hionwear • Wedding services • Online video/IPTV • Traditonal Beauty spa and wellness •Outdoor/alternative advertis ing •Sports agency • Fashion Design While China’s Creative market is not matured..the good “Content” and “Service” will have a huge potential market due to growing consumer demand ….the industry extends beyond media, encompassing cultural, entertainment & leisure 2
    3. Few companies are engaged /dominate Differences in regional consumer culture, throughout the entire value chain dialect, consumption behaviour Origination Production Distribution Consumers Animation Companies TV Channels Magazine Editorial co. Beijing/ Film Cinemas Tianjin production Chains - houses Shanghai/ Printing Jiangsu TV drama Houses producers Book retailers Guangzhou/ Guangdong Overall industry while large still has a non-matured, dispersive structure with no clear National Market Leaders for many segments- except for the online media where open competition has seen emergence of clear leaders like Tencent & Shanda.. 3
    4. Continuing Investments in Content & Channels Past IPOs Largest internet video advertising platform (HKSE: 082) Largest digital TV system provider (NYSE: STV) Emerging China cable operator 4
    5. WHERE ARE OPPORTUNISTIC SECTORS?? WHAT WILL BE IMPACT OF DE-REGULATION? WHAT ARE POSSIBLE OBSTACLES? HOW TO IDENTIFY INVESTMENT IDEAS? 5
    6. 6
    7. Sector Market Shifts Investment Opportunity Attractive Size in 2009 (USD) Industry Regulatio Technology n Print & 20 bn -Fragm ented market -top 20 com panies have only Opportunity to consolidate market Medium- High Publishing 20% market share (cpr to US where is 80%). share, leverage digitization to - De-regulation will drive consolidation (>10 large capture online book & digital news publis hing groups have been form ed)+ acquisition of market. (9 bn) other parts of value-chain e.g. Content hous e, digital (Digital media providers (digital publishing valued at RMB53bn in 2008) Magazine market has significant Publishing) opportunity for growth TV 207 bn -TV has deep and broad penetration across China -SAFRT has plans to drive us er Medium- High hence great market potential but currently lacks high- convers ion from analogue to (Digital TV) (DT+IPTV) quality content digital - Cons olidation and leveraging on cros s-media and -Partnership with foreign content also strategic partners hips will see overall sector producers to produce niche growth continue channels (education, healthcare, wedding,,etc) Radio 430m -Industry slowly recovering in revenues. Smaller Growing consum ption as car Medium stations will be consolidated as part of major cros s- population increased media groups Film/Cinema 6 bn - Chines e cinem a revenue increased >30% in 2008, Gap in content production- Medium reaching over RMB4bn and looks to continue strong opportunity to build creative growth content Interactive Media -- -Already open market hence highly competitive. - Leverage on technology like High -Cons olidation in eg. Outdoor media advertis em ent interactive media to im prove (Interactive com panies already seeing consolidation advertis em ent effectives Media) CCC Analysis 7
    8. CCC Analysis 8
    9. CCC Analysis 9
    10. Cable & Digital •Channel networks are TV/IPTV •No clear national leader all State or domestic- although recent success of •Foreign investors can take part in owned Hunan TV gaining them china’s digital TV space through • Over 1000 production national market investing in a number of listed entities in companies • Dominance in regions eg. the space • Current regulations SMG in Shanghai restrict foreign Barriers Industry ownership to entry Competitiveness Co-production •Current market •SMG signing a co-production dominated by agreement with Mexico’s Televisa to Potential Industry •Lack of content co-produce telenovela’s successful terrestrial TV; with producers – restrictions cable and digital Substitutes Gaps “Dumb Girls’s Don’t go to Heaven on foreign content expected to gain broadcast market share • Consumer switch to Content • IPTV increasingly “pay-TV” slow gaining market share with current numbers •Format licensing of foreign content- ay 1m viewers Deal between Hunan TV and Granada’s internationally popular • Video-sharing sites Saturday Night Takeaway format • 400m Households reaching over 97% • Top viewer ratings for factual • 2008 population programming with 13% watching TV for • Revenues for broadcast USD21bn • 163m households on cable +45m news • Revenues for cable TV USD5,.09m homes on digital net • TV Dramas comprised 36% of all TV • Digital pay-TV at USD203m • Over 2000 TV Channels + 320 content and 48% of ratings • TV accounted for 76% of USD64 bn Broadcast • Variety/Entertainment content total ad spend in China increasingly poular Key Stats Ratings Revenues 10
    11. Upon penetration – other value-added services like on games and targeted content, healthcare will create new DTV ‘s forecast revenues growth is in line with SARFT’s target to complete conversion by 2012 Gross revenues of leading digital Tv Operators Growth of IPTV would see close to 20m subscribers by 2013 China will have one of the world’s largest DTV and IPTV market; DTV will be focused in urban areas - 11
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    13.              Book Retail (Online/Offline) •Foreign investors can invest and be • All print & publishing • Already restructured into houses are state- wholly-owned or with JV partners in 40 groups book retailing owned •Industry is highly • In Apr09, new fragmented with market directive called for leaders having usually divestment of non core asset by 2010 Barriers Industry <10% share to entry Competitiveness • Proliferation in no. E-Books of book titles, • Piracy remains a magazines Potential Industry problem •Over 2500 joint production deals • e- books and Substitutes Gaps digitization is occuring E-Books • Number of publishing houses at 573 • World’s largest print news market with • 2008 • Variety if newspapers close to 2,000 close to 37 billion papers sold annually • Revenues for industry at USD 20bn • Books variety at 230,000 • 5th largest magazine market with close • Distribution is fragmented at over to 10,000 sold annually 80,000 • Online retailers (top 2 70% market share) Key Stats Ratings Revenues 12
    14. Number of Cinema per capita Annual Cinema Visits / per household Ci nema infrastructure is still low in China as is the annual visit rate US France UK China France UK US Japan China China Cinema Revenues (RMB x0,000) Comparison of Domestic vs Foreign Film Revenues (RMBx0,000) Cinema Ticket Revenues in China As consumers increasingly view “going to the movies” as a unique leisure experience, the growth potential is strong coupled with growing choice of domestic films vs foreign… 13
    15. C to C transactions USD 15 Bn Designer Jewellery USD20 Bn Online Gaming USD 3.9 Bn Wedding Online Services USD200+Bn 14
    16. WHERE ARE OPPORTUNISTIC SECTORS?? WHAT WILL BE IMPACT OF DE-REGULATION? WHAT ARE POSSIBLE OBSTACLES? HOW TO IDENTIFY INVESTMENT IDEAS? 15
    17. Currently all publishers have to be affiliated Foreign ownership of publishing is currently with an upper-level authority- usually not allowed except through cooperation with Current- government agencies, political parties or Chinese publishers through copyright trading academic institutions and public cooperation “…by the end of 2010 all book, audio-visual and electronic publishing by ministries of the central Directive- government shall be separated from Government agencies and transformed into independent market players..GAPP is encouraging publishers to accept private and foreign capital, including that raised through public listing…” Apr 2009 Top 20 Publishing House only control 20% of the market- Transformation of USD 20bn fragmented market gives Publishing Market between opportunities 2009 and 2010 Continued Strong Growth 2009 onwards 2007 will see formation Successful IPO of large Chinese of 1st publishing media Publication groups, planning for company - IPO after M&A; Liaoning Press printers are buying (Shanghai Stk) content houses & Incorporated private and entrepreneurial companies key components of into the group under a se parate umbrella the value-chain This ne w entity he lped to drive new growth and profitability Company value now at RMB5.7B over 2X on IPO and one of the largest chinese media conglomerates 16
    18. “Shanghai Media Group, China’s second-largest broadcaster, is planning to spin off several units and list them over the coming two years, in an ambitious push for further reform of the country’s state-owned media. Li Ruigang, SMG president, said the group, which is control led by the Shanghai municipal government and had revenues of Rmb6bn ($875m) last year, was now seeking to introduce private equity investors in several of its businesses and tak e some public later. …Mr Li said it needed to raise capital to buy newspapers and new media assets in other parts of China, a plan he hopes will help SMG expand beyond its focus on Shanghai.“The group will be transformed into a holding company, and the affiliates will be independent,” he said in an interview. Potential Spin-off of Several Attractive Business Segments Potential Future Plans (Only first 2 have been publicly announced) Leading Fashion & Re-branded under new affiliate 1 Lifestyle Channel – “Enjoyoung Media”- seeking Youth TV Channel + Shanghai’s funds for M&A across China leading magazine “OK” Leading Re-position aka “Bloomberg” of Undergoing re-organisation & China- offer financial re-structuring of various 2 China Business News Service information to corporate clients leading business units into - Financial TV and newspaper through terminal service new entities with a clear customer centric or service Regional Internet TV for Chinese- Already world’s largest internet centric focus as part of the re- speaking audience- Expected to TV- plans to go regional to 3 positioning strategy to reach 2m households by end 2009 capture wider audience develop market leadership across China (either through Leading TV Home Shopping Extend TV shopping to online M&A or partnerships) Network- JV with Korean home and offline retail, building a 4 shopping leader, revenues over strong “retail mall brand”? USD150m and profitable Regional Children’s Channel – Strategic partnership with 5 Children’s education and animation Global children’s channels? channels Acquire publishing assets ? 17
    19. WHERE ARE OPPORTUNISTIC SECTORS?? WHAT WILL BE IMPACT OF DE-REGULATION? WHAT ARE POSSIBLE OBSTACLES? HOW TO IDENTIFY INVESTMENT IDEAS? 18
    20. Weak Brand Building- Inability to develop a strong brand concept so that the identified creative product/service can be replicated and contains the same essence as the original Lack of a Platform - Creative industries thrive on being part of an eco- system or platform where ideas, talent and resources can be shared; this platform extends within domestically or even across internationally to tap on needed resources Lack of a Industry Alliance – Similar to the above, the clustering of players along the same industry value chain create a critical mass of knowledge and demands that will naturally cause inflows of supply and new exchange of knowledge.. Inadequate Financial Support- Typically Creative & knowledge industries do not create/trade in physical assets- hence would not be able to secure normal financial loans backed by assets and often will require venture financing... Version 2.0 22 Jul09 by KCYoon 19
    21.            WHERE ARE OPPORTUNISTIC SECTORS?? WHAT WILL BE IMPACT OF DE-REGULATION? WHAT ARE POSSIBLE OBSTACLES? HOW TO IDENTIFY INVESTMENT IDEAS? 20
    22.    
    23.              Consumer Industry Regulatory Technology Track spin-offs as result if regulatory changes from State-Owned Media seeking business expansion/foreign partnerships Watch potential partnerships/ M&A/ extension between online + offline / new +traditional media, brands/services that will increase overall value Seek opportunities in combinations where identified consumer demand can increase significantly in collaboration with media Find opportunities where market leader is created from a combination of the consumer/ industry/ regulatory/ technology shifts Other sectors of particular focus are in Education, Healthcare, Beauty Care, Female-focused fashion, Animation content, Sports related 21 entertainment (some of these could be undervalued listed equities)
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    25.              Potential Opportunity Industry Entity Exit Remarks Sector Option Investment into youth-focused spin-off of TV, magazine Shanghai Expansion Attractive Segment for SMG’s Young TV Channel & “OK” Media brands magazine to fund national expansion Group Leading SNS site undergoing M&A with Web, WY Strategic Entertainment sector leading offline entertainment service Entertainment Investor provider to create a new Entertainment Sale social site for fans-stars to interact Best TV the leading SMG IPTV in china New media TV Shanghai Expansion Large opportunity seeking expansion funding to grow; MG current ly 2m subscribers Bundle business news x-media channels TV, radio, news Shanghai IPO Top business news provider + 100 year old CBN business newspaper print, business Media in China to create China’s “wall street journal” information Group Pre-IPO investment into leading Music Music Ocean IPO Strong artists in team Talent agency in China Butterfly Wedding digital TV Channel – high-quality Digital TV, Wedding TV Strategic Strong projected growth with niche targeted program at one of the cultural services Investor government support to drive biggest segments of consumer spending Sale market We have a ready pipeline of propriety opportunities that could see the Fund’s USD30-50m fully invested within the next 6 -12 months. Our intention will be to raise a subsequent Fund of USD100-150m. 22
    26.    
    27.              Huge Market Opportunity Number of Weddings in China Wedding &related Expenditure – Reached (M) USD265bn in 2007 Factors driving growth - “’One-child fam ily” policy - Traditional living arrangem ents to live-out after marriage Digital TV consumers are young, urban, working adults- the right target - Increasing affluence for wedding content and brand advertisers Digital TV strong media channel for Winning partnerships with foreign- content targeted services like partner + domestic retail chain holiday packages or product placement Partne rship with domestic ÜK’’s “Wedding Channel’’ wedding photo service to leverage for creative chains to bring offline ideas + content customer reach 23
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    29.              Huge Market Opportunity China sees strong IPTV subscriber growth with forecast to generate USD900M revenues in 2010 Sustainable business model and large potential base of 400m TV Factors driving households and 120m broadband subscribers growth IPTV gives SMG a true IPTV offers potential revenues from multiple - Deep desire and pride to nation-wide “TV drive domestic IPTV services- finance, games, news, etc equivalent” platform to standards now led by BEST reach across China TV, IPTV arm of SMG - Supported by domestiic technology players - China Telecoms as partner can tap on existing large subscriber base - Strong value perception by consumers - Nationwide events like Olympics & soon Shanghai World Expo2010 24
    30.    
    31.              Well-Positioned Platform for Expansion Acquire content producers to strengthen value- chain + distributors to build national platform Media Channels- Fashion TV, Web and leading Partnership with ecommerce sites to monetize gossip magazine OK content and create addn revenue streams Partnership with social network sites to create captive community Potential strategic partnership with leading online SNS service plus offline entertainment event organizer with close relationship to stars Community Platform for social interaction between stars and fans i.e. foundation to form online fan club Consolidate Strategy of expanding distribution of entertainment content to allow better brand and content across China management and eventual monetization 25
    32.    
    33.              Opportunity to leverage on these prime assets and seek strategic partner to build China/ asia’s best business news service Best Asia/China information service May consider building a full-suite of business Best Asia/China business news services and become the “Bloomberg” of Asia Best Asia/China delivered multi-channels Winning partnership with complementary partner –ie. Channel News - Business news Asia to build Asia-wide leader through various media Business News Leader in Asia TV Radio Web - Financial information service 26
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    35.              Potential Opportunity Sector Remark “content’ + “distribution” •Number 1 broadcaster of sports content in China. Secured NBA (300M fans) and Sports Undervalued seeking English league (500m fans) to of China’s most loved sports Content on NASDAQ • distribute through 2 free channels, 4 digital pay channels+ mobile/internet (Xsel) • close relationship with major brands– 70% ad rev from chinese brands; 30% foreign Currently • EBITDA 2008 USD20m..Low P/E valued USD110-130m China’s ESPN Potential Opportunity Sector Remark Under-focused “high growth +margin” • Leader in Radio Ad around BJ/TJ- sector fragmented giving opportunity to Radio MktCap establish market leadership Ad USD33m • radio ad space underfocused – Ad spend in China 2,7% vs 11% in US of total spend; radio potential for growth as well-positioned for emerging segment- 55m Undervalued car owners in BJ/TJ area because of potential growth + margins 27

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