KAUA`I COUNTY                       Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                             A S...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                       Management Training                             Applied Sustainability...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                     Management Training                              Applied Sustainability ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                 Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        HAWAI`I EMISSI...
KAUA`I COUNTY                      Management Training    Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        EMISSION...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                   Management Training                       Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i...
KAUA`I COUNTY                   Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        KIUC EMISSIO...
KAUA`I COUNTY              Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                           ISLAND        ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                          Management Training            Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i    ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                  Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        POPULATION FU...
KAUA`I COUNTY                  Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        LOOMING DEPEN...
KAUA`I COUNTY                   Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        ISLANDER COM...
KAUA`I COUNTY                  Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                    POPULATION DISTRI...
KAUA`I COUNTY                      Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        POPULATIO...
KAUA`I COUNTY                   Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                    KAUA`I’S RECENT ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                  Management Training                        Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                    Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        KAUA`I’S SU...
KAUA`I COUNTY                  Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        EQUITY IN HOU...
KAUA`I COUNTY                 Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        HOUSING FOR WH...
KAUA`I COUNTY                 Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        GROWTH FOR WHO...
KAUA`I COUNTY                  Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        FUTURE ENERGY...
KAUA`I COUNTY              Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                          ISLAND         ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                 Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        HOW’S THE WATE...
KAUA`I COUNTY                   Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        FRIENDLY TRA...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                            Management Training                                  Applied Sust...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                         Management Training                                 Applied Sustaina...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                                      Management Training                                    ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                    Management Training        Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i              ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                    Management Training                    Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                  ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                                               Management Training                           ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                           Management Training                                  Applied Susta...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                                          Management Training                                ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                   Management Training              Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i      "Ha...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                                           Management Training                               ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                Management Training               Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i           ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                        Management Training               Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                   ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                       Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                             CON...
KAUA`I COUNTY               Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                          TOWARD        ...
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ASOK 3

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Intro to Kauai's sustainability challenges
Seminar slides by Ken Stokes

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ASOK 3

  1. 1. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i A SYNOPSIS OF SUSTAINABILITY RESEARCH IN HAWAI`I AND ON KAUA`I • GLOBAL WARMING • RESOURCE LIMITS • SOCIAL INEQUITYThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  2. 2. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i Measuring Global CO2 From Hawai`i INCREASING EXPONENTIALLY Source: Mauna Loa Observatory: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  3. 3. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i CO2 Growth Rates What  Exponentiality  Looks  Like Source: Mauna Loa Observatory: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  4. 4. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i HAWAI`I EMISSIONSThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  5. 5. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i EMISSIONS TRENDS BY SECTOR MMTCO2eThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  6. 6. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i ISLAND EMISSIONS 17.8 16.1 13.2 6.0 TONS PER CAPITA Source: HI Climate Change Task Force, Emissions Inventory, 2008The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  7. 7. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i KIUC EMISSIONS TRENDThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  8. 8. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i ISLAND PERFORMANCE MEASURESThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  9. 9. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i RESOURCE USE PER CAPITA ON KAUA`I Still going up? CARS WATER POWER WASTEVehicles (per 10 people) Power (kWh per person)Water (Mgd per 100 people) Waste (Klbs per person)The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  10. 10. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i POPULATION FUTURESThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  11. 11. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i LOOMING DEPENDENCYThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  12. 12. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i ISLANDER COMPOSITIONThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  13. 13. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i POPULATION DISTRIBUTION NOWThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  14. 14. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i POPULATION REDISTRIBUTION?The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  15. 15. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i KAUA`I’S RECENT TRACK RECORDThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  16. 16. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i ECONOMIC OVERSHOOT? SPENDING   WAGES  The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  17. 17. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i KAUA`I’S SUPPLY “CHAIN”The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  18. 18. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i EQUITY IN HOUSING?The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  19. 19. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i HOUSING FOR WHOM?The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  20. 20. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i GROWTH FOR WHOM?The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  21. 21. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i FUTURE ENERGY SITES?The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  22. 22. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i ISLAND ECOSYSTEMS CONDITIONS & PROSPECTSThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  23. 23. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i HOW’S THE WATER?The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  24. 24. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i FRIENDLY TRADEWINDS?The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  25. 25. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i Hawai`i Is Downwind Of America NORTH PACIFIC CYCLE Source: NASA JPL, http://www-airs.jpl.nasa.gov/News/Features/Features20060403/The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  26. 26. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i Hawai`i Is Also Downwind Of Asia DIRECT FROM WEST PACIFIC Source: NASA JPL, http://www-airs.jpl.nasa.gov/News/Features/Features20060403/The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  27. 27. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i FUTURE SHORELINE? Source: TKI mapping, based on Chip Fletcher, http://www.soest.hawaii.edu/coasts/sealevel/ChipsTalk.htmlThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  28. 28. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i HAWAI`I’S “COLD WALL”; Stephen Miller on A Hurricane Diverter Hawaii’s “Cold Wall” 1:30 – 3:15 Storm Tracks: East & Central Pacific, 1965 - 2006The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  29. 29. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i KAUA`I RAINFALL by 2100: 34 – 79% decrease Reduced Mountain Area Producing Rain Elevated Cloud BaseThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  30. 30. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i RAINFALL OUTLOOK BY ISLAND Stephen Miller, FWS ecologist at HCA conference ‘07, predicted that a temperature increase of 1.5 degrees C would push the cloud base up to about 831 meters (2726’), a 2.3 degree C increase would cause it to rise to 943 meters (3093’), and a 3.7 degree C increase would result in a cloud base at 1,169 meters (3835’).The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  31. 31. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i Kauai’s Mesic Forest: Then & Now NOW THEN Source: Hawaii Biodiversity & Mapping Program, http://hbmp.hawaii.edu/projects.htmThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  32. 32. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i Alakai Native Bird Habitat: 85% loss with 2°C warming FUTURE CURREN T Source: Modeling the fate of endemic birds, Benning/LaPointe/Atkinson/Vitousek http://www.pnas.org/cgi/reprint/99/22/14246.pdfThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  33. 33. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i "Hawaii needs way s to transition a wet forest to a mesic forest in a spiral of continually mov ing conservation targets." Stephen M iller , E cologist , USFWS HCA Annual Conference July 25, 2007, http://kauaian.net/blog/?p=880The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  34. 34. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i THERE’S MORE … Source: http://yosemite.epa.gov/oar/globalwarming.nsf/content/ResourceCenterPublicationsSLRPotentialUSEffects.htmlThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  35. 35. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i IMMINENT THREATS TO KAUA`I ECOSYSTEMS • H O T T E R (faster increase mauka * ) • D R I E R (more extreme rain events) • L O W E R (faster sea level rise) • R I S K I E R (m ore hurricanes) • S I C K E R (multiple disease vectors) • D I R T I E R (more polluted air) Tom Giambelluca, Honolulu Advertiser, 25 Mar 08The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  36. 36. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i SYMPTOMs of unsustainability • Emissions growth ( ipcc) • Ecosystem loss ( MEA) • Inequity ( Hawken, blessed unrest)The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  37. 37. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i CONCLUSION: Sustainability begets conservation, Not the other w ay around We cannot “save” habitats without saving humans MISSION: Plan for kaua`I adaptation to climate change B uild resilience as we migrate our towns and ecosystems ma uka & trim our footprintThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  38. 38. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i TOWARD Sustainability thinking: Hawai`i cannot RE solve any ONE of our CHALLENGES without RE solving ALL of them togetherThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

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