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KAUA`I COUNTY                       Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        SUSTAINA...
KAUA`I COUNTY           Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`iWHAT A DIFFERENCE TWO DECADES MAKES!        ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                      Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i           SUSTAINABILITY...BY TH...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                            Management Training                      Applied Sustainability o...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                  Management Training     Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                   ...
KAUA`I COUNTY             Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        TWO PATHSThe Kauai...
KAUA`I COUNTY              Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        FIVE THEMESThe Ka...
KAUA`I COUNTY                       Management Training       Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        SEVE...
KAUA`I COUNTY                    Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                            THREE S...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                               Management Training                                 Applied Su...
KAUA`I COUNTY                 Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                             OTHER    ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                                       Management Training                                   ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                   Management Training                        Applied Sustainability on Kaua`...
KAUA`I COUNTY                 Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                              SO...   ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                        Management Training     Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        THE “...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                   Management Training        Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i               ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                                   Management Training                                     Ap...
KAUA`I COUNTY                     Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        US EMISSIO...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                           Management Training                          Applied Sustainabilit...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                                    Management Training                                      ...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                                Management Training                               Applied Sus...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                                           Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Ka...
KAUA`I COUNTY                    Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        CASCADING C...
KAUA`I COUNTY                 Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        FINAL THOUGHTS...
KAUA`I COUNTY                   Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i                        TOWARD SUSTA...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                     Management Training                            Applied Sustainability on...
KAUA`I COUNTY                                              Management Training                     Applied Sustainability ...
KAUA`I COUNTY           Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i  SUSTAINABILITY IS NOT WHAT WE THINK,      ...
KAUA`I COUNTY           Management Training   Applied Sustainability on Kaua`iThe Kauaian Institute       Ken Stokes      ...
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Applied Sustainability on Kauai - ASOK 1

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Overview of sustainability

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Transcript of "Applied Sustainability on Kauai - ASOK 1"

  1. 1. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i SUSTAINABILITY WAS BORN IN 1987 • BRUNDTLAND COMMISSION (3 spheres) • TRIPLE BOTTOM LINE (John Elkington)The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  2. 2. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`iWHAT A DIFFERENCE TWO DECADES MAKES! 1989 2011The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  3. 3. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i SUSTAINABILITY...BY THE NUMBERS One vision emergent property Two paths mitigate & adapt Three spheres economy/community/ecology Four conditions natural steps Five themes consensus mission Six challenges footprint reduction Seven generations self - reinforcing systemsThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  4. 4. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i ONE VISION Preferred Definition “Sustainability is the possibility that human and other life will flourish on the planet forever.” “It is an emergent property which only appears when the whole system is functioning properly.” “ U n - s u s t a i n a b i l i t y is an unintended consequence of our ‘ s y s t e m b l i n d n e s s ’ . • We fail to understand the systems at play in the world. • We rely on technological quick fixes that ignore underlying causes.” John R. Ehrenfeld author of “sustainability by design” interviewed in MIT Sloan review, july 14, 2009 Executive Director of the International Society for Industrial Ecology; former Director of the MIT Program on Technology, Business, and Environment.The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  5. 5. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i FOUR CONDITIONS From The Natural StepTM In a sustainable society, nature is not subject to systematically increasing: 1: Concentrations of substances extracted from the earths crust. 2: Concentrations of substances produced by society. 3: Degradation by physical means. AND... people are not subject to conditions that systematically: 4: Undermine their capacity to meet their needs. These four basic principles for sustainability are deeply rooted in science and in systems thinking. And it also follows that these four basic principles are something that everyone can agree about.The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  6. 6. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i TWO PATHSThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  7. 7. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i FIVE THEMESThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  8. 8. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i SEVEN GENERATIONS Self-Reinforcing Systems Cycles turning within cycles…the secret of sustainabilityThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  9. 9. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i THREE SPHERES SUSTAINABILITY THINKINGThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  10. 10. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i SIX CHALLENGES America’s Ecological Footprint Share of total U.S. Ecological Footprint by category, derived from Cool Climate Calculator.The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  11. 11. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i OTHER CONSIDERATIONS...The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  12. 12. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i FOUR POSSIBILITIES EARLY ACTION ON GLOBAL WARMING? (Illustrating the Precautionary Principle) ACT NOW? VERDICT? The precautionary principle, crudely summarized, states that where the potential impact is significant and we have insufficient confidence to choose between two future scenarios, prudence demands that we plan for the more pessimistic.The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net Source: Greg Craven, "Whats the Worst That Could Happen? A Rational Response to the Climate Change Debate", gregcraven.com
  13. 13. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i FOUR DIMENSIONS INTEGRAL FRAMEWORK FOR SUSTAINABILITY Adapted from The Four Worlds of Sustainability, by Barrett BrownThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  14. 14. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i SO... HOW UNSUSTAINABLE ARE WE?The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  15. 15. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i THE “HOCKEY STICKS” ON EXPONENTIALITY & TIPPING POINTSThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  16. 16. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i WHAT HAPPENED TO EROI? Energy-Return-On-Investment Source: Crash Course, www.chrismartenson.comThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  17. 17. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i PEAK OIL? 70% DECLINE US oil supply is likely to begin its terminal decline sometime between 2011 and 2020, from a peak of 7.5 to 7.7 billion barrels annually, at an average annual rate of between 2% and 3%. By 2030. Our available supply of oil will probably range between 4.2 and 6.3 billion barrels. Source: The Oil Drum, “On American Sustainability - Anatomy of Societal CollapseThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  18. 18. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i US EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS?The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  19. 19. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i Emissions REDUCTIONS Quickly? Scenarios from the climate interactive model climateinteractive.org Business-As-Usual Modest Decrease 95% Reduction 2 degree threshhold * * * Only 10-year delay Must do in 10 yearsThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  20. 20. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i Source: Post-Carbon Institute, Daniel Lerch presentation, 8 May 2009 • Gaining Ground Summit, CalgaryThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  21. 21. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i CLASS WARFARE? "The money derived from productivity improvements over the last decades was shunted to capital markets under the ideological assumption (seen in Greenspans thinking) that these markets would make better investments in future prosperity than individuals. That assumption has been proven false. The money was gambled away.” John Robb in Global Guerillas blog on "Parasitic Predation" Mar 09 Chart Source: Damon Silvers, "How a Low Wage Economy with Weak Labor Laws Brought Us the Mortgage Credit Crisis", Feller Memorial Labor Law Lecture, April 2, 2008, UC BerkeleyThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  22. 22. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i IMPENDING CRISES? Brent  Crude  Oil  Spot  $/barrel  The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  23. 23. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i CASCADING CATASTROPHES?The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  24. 24. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i FINAL THOUGHTS...The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  25. 25. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i TOWARD SUSTAINABILITYThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  26. 26. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i Dominant model Sustainable model infinite competitive growth life cycle of the organism MAXIMUM ENTROPY ZERO ENTROPY bigger fish swallowing the smaller self-similar fractal structure laying waste to everything in its path cycles turning within cycles like a hurricane the secret of sustainability no closed cycle to hold resources within dynamically closed cycle or to build up stable organized structures enables stable organized structures to build up and in a balanced way from “Dream Farm” by physicist Mae-Wan HoThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  27. 27. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i THE SUSTAINABILITY IMPERATIVE “In designing pathways for the future, we need to make them: • AT SCALE Interesting new tech may be hard to bring to scale • IN TIME Things that are very far out, will be helpful far out, but right now we need some good things • FOR ALL Between the rich and poor, an equilibrium, particularly in terms of the environment David Hunter Marks David Hunter Marks MIT Professor Coordinator of the Alliance for Global Sustainability (AGS) At the Annual AGS Conference, Feb ‘08The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  28. 28. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i SUSTAINABILITY IS NOT WHAT WE THINK, IT’S HOWThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
  29. 29. KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`iThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
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