Changing Technology Judy Brown WTCS Boards Association July 19, 1996

Students today can’t prepare bark to calculate their problems. They depend on their slates which are more expensive. What will they do when the slate is dropped and it breaks? They will be unable to write! Teacher’s Conference, 1703

Students today can’t prepare bark to calculate their problems. They depend on their slates which are more expensive. What will they do when the slate is dropped and it breaks? They will be unable to write!

Teacher’s Conference, 1703

Students today depend on paper too much. They don’t know how to write on a slate without getting chalk dust all over themselves. They can’t clean a slate properly. What will they do when they run out of paper? Principal’s Association, 1815

Students today depend on paper too much. They don’t know how to write on a slate without getting chalk dust all over themselves. They can’t clean a slate properly. What will they do when they run out of paper?

Principal’s Association, 1815

Students today depend too much upon ink. They don’t know how to use a pen knife to sharpen a pencil. Pen and ink will never replace the pencil. National Association of Teachers, 1907

Students today depend too much upon ink. They don’t know how to use a pen knife to sharpen a pencil. Pen and ink will never replace the pencil.

National Association of Teachers, 1907

Students today depend upon store bought ink. They don’t know how to make their own. When they run out of ink they will be unable to write words or ciphers until their next trip to the settlement. This is a sad commentary on modern education. The Rural American Teacher, 1928

Students today depend upon store bought ink. They don’t know how to make their own. When they run out of ink they will be unable to write words or ciphers until their next trip to the settlement. This is a sad commentary on modern education.

The Rural American Teacher, 1928

Students today depend on these expensive fountain pens. They can no longer write with a straight pen and nib. We parents must not allow them to wallow in such luxury to the detriment of learning how to cope in the real business world which is not so extravagant. PTA Gazette, 1941

Students today depend on these expensive fountain pens. They can no longer write with a straight pen and nib. We parents must not allow them to wallow in such luxury to the detriment of learning how to cope in the real business world which is not so extravagant.

PTA Gazette, 1941

Ballpoint pens will be the ruin of education in our country. Students use these devices and then throw them away. The American values of thrift and frugality are being discarded. Business and banks will never allow such expensive luxuries. Federal Teachers, 1950

Ballpoint pens will be the ruin of education in our country. Students use these devices and then throw them away. The American values of thrift and frugality are being discarded. Business and banks will never allow such expensive luxuries.

Federal Teachers, 1950

Agenda New Technologies The Pace of Change Educational Challenges

New Technologies

The Pace of Change

Educational Challenges

New Technologies Chips Connections Software

Chips

Connections

Software

Processing Power In 1982, the original IBM PC processed 1/4 MIPS In 1990, PC processed 25 MIPS In 1993, PC were capable of processing 100 MIPS In 2000, PCs will process 10,000 MIPS

In 1982, the original IBM PC processed 1/4 MIPS

In 1990, PC processed 25 MIPS

In 1993, PC were capable of processing 100 MIPS

In 2000, PCs will process 10,000 MIPS

New Technologies Chips Connections Software

Chips

Connections

Software

Connected World “ We're just a step away from the point when every computer is connected to every other computer...." Andy Grove, CEO Intel

“ We're just a step away from the point when every computer is connected to every other computer...."

Andy Grove, CEO Intel

New Technologies Chips Connections Software

Chips

Connections

Software

Software “ Any piece of software is inadequate two years later.” Bill Gates, CEO Microsoft

“ Any piece of software is inadequate two years later.”

Bill Gates, CEO Microsoft

What's Happening Today? Faster / Cheaper / Better Improved Functionality Mergers / Takeovers / Acquisitions Convergence / Positioning

Faster / Cheaper / Better

Improved Functionality

Mergers / Takeovers / Acquisitions

Convergence / Positioning

What's Hot? Internet Interactive Multimedia / 3D Wireless / Mobile Java Video DVD Intercast

Internet

Interactive Multimedia / 3D

Wireless / Mobile

Java

Video

DVD

Intercast

What's Hot (Continued) Electronic Commerce Wallet PC Speech / Voice Recognition Mobile Communications Video Conferencing / Video Phone

Electronic Commerce

Wallet PC

Speech / Voice Recognition

Mobile Communications

Video Conferencing / Video Phone

Technology Innovation Faster processors Smart cards Larger storage Voice/ handwriting input High-quality video and graphics Flat, high- resolution screens

Technological Reality For four years, US. Industry has been spending more on computers and communications equipment than on all other capital equipment combined – all machinery for services, manufacturing, mining, agriculture, construction, whatever.

For four years, US. Industry has been spending more on computers and communications equipment than on all other capital equipment combined – all machinery for services, manufacturing, mining, agriculture, construction, whatever.

The Pace of Change Moore’s Law Exponential Growth Information Age Gold Rush “Fever” Web Years

Moore’s Law

Exponential Growth

Information Age

Gold Rush “Fever”

Web Years

Moore’s Law Each new chip contains roughly twice as much capacity as its predecessor, and each chip was released within 18-24 months of the previous chip. Gordon E. Moore, 1965

Each new chip contains roughly twice as much capacity as its predecessor, and each chip was released within 18-24 months of the previous chip.

Gordon E. Moore, 1965

The Pace of Change Moore’s Law Exponential Growth Information Age Gold Rush “Fever” Web Years

Moore’s Law

Exponential Growth

Information Age

Gold Rush “Fever”

Web Years

Industry Directions

Wide Area Bandwidth Generation Speed Technology Application 14.4 28.8 Modem, SVD Text great, Pictures OK Narrowband (Today) 100-400 ISDN, PC cable modem Pictures great, Video OK Midband (1-2 years) Broadband (2+ years) 1500+ ATM Video great (k-baud/sec.)

Business Changes Home-based Workers Worldwide Market Electronic Funds Communications Collaboration New Tools

Home-based Workers

Worldwide Market

Electronic Funds

Communications

Collaboration

New Tools

The Future Workforce “ 25% of all jobs today will disappear within 10 years” Wall Street Journal “ 85% of children in year 5 will enter the workforce where the positions have not yet been designed and the technologies not yet created”

“ 25% of all jobs today will disappear within 10 years” Wall Street Journal

“ 85% of children in year 5 will enter the workforce where the positions have not yet been designed and the technologies not yet created”

Job Opportunities 101110010010001 Software distribution Finance and accounting Information delivery Customer support Human Resources

Educational Challenges Students born “Cable Ready” Instructor access and training Business looking to technical colleges to stay current Individualization

Students born “Cable Ready”

Instructor access and training

Business looking to technical colleges to stay current

Individualization

The Future of the University “ Many of the physical mega universities are not sustainable, at least not in their present duplicative variations. Ten years from now a significant share of conventional mass education will be offered commercially and electronically.” Eli Noam, Columbia University

“ Many of the physical mega universities are not sustainable, at least not in their present duplicative variations. Ten years from now a significant share of conventional mass education will be offered commercially and electronically.”

Eli Noam, Columbia University

Educational Changes Industrial Revolution Model Teaching Organization for Learning Pen and Paper Subject Centered Isolation Classroom Instruction Low Order Question Hours Open Knowledge Age Learning Learning Organization Computing Tools Action Learning Open Learning World Wide Web Construction High Order Learning Open all Hours

Industrial Revolution Model

Teaching

Organization for Learning

Pen and Paper

Subject Centered

Isolation

Classroom

Instruction

Low Order Question

Hours Open

Knowledge Age

Learning

Learning Organization

Computing Tools

Action Learning

Open Learning

World Wide Web

Construction

High Order Learning

Open all Hours

Where to Go for Information Online (Edupage) Training Sessions Books, Articles, Electronic Sources Professional Associations

Online (Edupage)

Training Sessions

Books, Articles, Electronic Sources

Professional Associations

Questions ?