Changing Technology from 1996

Changing Technology Judy Brown WTCS Boards Association July 19, 1996

Students today can’t prepare bark to calculate their problems. They depend on their slates which are more expensive. What will they do when the slate is dropped and it breaks? They will be unable to write!
Teacher’s Conference, 1703

Students today depend on paper too much. They don’t know how to write on a slate without getting chalk dust all over themselves. They can’t clean a slate properly. What will they do when they run out of paper?
Principal’s Association, 1815

Students today depend too much upon ink. They don’t know how to use a pen knife to sharpen a pencil. Pen and ink will never replace the pencil.
National Association of Teachers, 1907

Students today depend upon store bought ink. They don’t know how to make their own. When they run out of ink they will be unable to write words or ciphers until their next trip to the settlement. This is a sad commentary on modern education.
The Rural American Teacher, 1928

Students today depend on these expensive fountain pens. They can no longer write with a straight pen and nib. We parents must not allow them to wallow in such luxury to the detriment of learning how to cope in the real business world which is not so extravagant.
PTA Gazette, 1941

Ballpoint pens will be the ruin of education in our country. Students use these devices and then throw them away. The American values of thrift and frugality are being discarded. Business and banks will never allow such expensive luxuries.
Federal Teachers, 1950

Agenda
New Technologies
The Pace of Change
Educational Challenges

New Technologies
Chips
Connections
Software

Processing Power
In 1982, the original IBM PC processed 1/4 MIPS
In 1990, PC processed 25 MIPS
In 1993, PC were capable of processing 100 MIPS
In 2000, PCs will process 10,000 MIPS

New Technologies
Chips
Connections
Software

Connected World
“ We're just a step away from the point when every computer is connected to every other computer...."
Andy Grove, CEO Intel

New Technologies
Chips
Connections
Software

Software
“ Any piece of software is inadequate two years later.”
Bill Gates, CEO Microsoft

What's Happening Today?
Faster / Cheaper / Better
Improved Functionality
Mergers / Takeovers / Acquisitions
Convergence / Positioning

What's Hot?
Internet
Interactive Multimedia / 3D
Wireless / Mobile
Java
Video
DVD
Intercast

What's Hot (Continued)
Electronic Commerce
Wallet PC
Speech / Voice Recognition
Mobile Communications
Video Conferencing / Video Phone

Technology Innovation Faster processors Smart cards Larger storage Voice/ handwriting input High-quality video and graphics Flat, high- resolution screens

Technological Reality
For four years, US. Industry has been spending more on computers and communications equipment than on all other capital equipment combined – all machinery for services, manufacturing, mining, agriculture, construction, whatever.

The Pace of Change
Moore’s Law
Exponential Growth
Information Age
Gold Rush “Fever”
Web Years

Moore’s Law
Each new chip contains roughly twice as much capacity as its predecessor, and each chip was released within 18-24 months of the previous chip.
Gordon E. Moore, 1965

The Pace of Change
Moore’s Law
Exponential Growth
Information Age
Gold Rush “Fever”
Web Years

Industry Directions

Wide Area Bandwidth Generation Speed Technology Application 14.4 28.8 Modem, SVD Text great, Pictures OK Narrowband (Today) 100-400 ISDN, PC cable modem Pictures great, Video OK Midband (1-2 years) Broadband (2+ years) 1500+ ATM Video great (k-baud/sec.)

Business Changes
Home-based Workers
Worldwide Market
Electronic Funds
Communications
Collaboration
New Tools

The Future Workforce
“ 25% of all jobs today will disappear within 10 years” Wall Street Journal
“ 85% of children in year 5 will enter the workforce where the positions have not yet been designed and the technologies not yet created”

Job Opportunities 101110010010001 Software distribution Finance and accounting Information delivery Customer support Human Resources

Educational Challenges
Students born “Cable Ready”
Instructor access and training
Business looking to technical colleges to stay current
Individualization

The Future of the University
“ Many of the physical mega universities are not sustainable, at least not in their present duplicative variations. Ten years from now a significant share of conventional mass education will be offered commercially and electronically.”
Eli Noam, Columbia University

Educational Changes
Industrial Revolution Model
Teaching
Organization for Learning
Pen and Paper
Subject Centered
Isolation
Classroom
Instruction
Low Order Question
Hours Open
Knowledge Age
Learning
Learning Organization
Computing Tools
Action Learning
Open Learning
World Wide Web
Construction
High Order Learning
Open all Hours

Where to Go for Information
Online (Edupage)
Training Sessions
Books, Articles, Electronic Sources
Professional Associations

Questions ?

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Changing Technology from 1996

by Judy Brown on Oct 18, 2006

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