2013 05- ims-mw_en (2)

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J’son & Partners Consulting presents the results of the research “Equipment market and prospects of the implementation of new services based on the technology of transmitting multimedia content on the basis of the IP protocol (IP Multimedia Subsystem, IMS)”
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2013 05- ims-mw_en (2)

  1. 1. Copyright © 2013, J’son & Partners Consulting. Copying or distribution in a hard copy or electronic form without written permission of the J’son & Partners Company is prohibited. Media can use any diagrams, data or forecasts contained in this market review only with giving credit to the source of information – J’son & Partners Consulting. ™ J’son & Partners [registered trade mark]. 1 J’son & Partners Consulting presents the results of the research “Equipment market and prospects of the implementation of new services based on the technology of transmitting multimedia content on the basis of the IP protocol (IP Multimedia Subsystem, IMS)” Definition and Advantages of IMS IMS is a hardware and software system that constitutes the key component of almost every next generation IP network (NGN) supporting SIP applications and is intended for the standardization of multimedia services on all interconnected networks. Owing to its universal architecture, the same IMS platform may be used for applications and services on mobile networks of every generation (2G, 3G, 4G), as well as fixed networks. Besides, it was on the fixed communications networks that the concept of IMS originally occurred, meant as an instrument for reducing the number of major operators’ networks (and, consequently, their expenses) through migration to IP (British Telecom’s major project in the middle 2000s). Later, with the dashing start of LTE, the main interest in IMS shifted toward the voice (VoLTE) and rich communication (RCS) services. The IMS network enables to create several key mechanisms of networks interconnection instead of creating a separate agreement for each service. This helps to avoid function doubling and to decrease operators’ expenses. One of the most important drivers of IMS implementation is the necessity of supporting voice services in LTE networks (VoLTE). Main advantages of IMS:  Ensuring interaction between networks of different types  Possibility of development and fast implementation of new services, including VoLTE  Ensuring quality of service (QoS)  Accurate billing  Reducing operation costs  Scalability of solutions
  2. 2. Copyright © 2013, J’son & Partners Consulting. Copying or distribution in a hard copy or electronic form without written permission of the J’son & Partners Company is prohibited. Media can use any diagrams, data or forecasts contained in this market review only with giving credit to the source of information – J’son & Partners Consulting. ™ J’son & Partners [registered trade mark]. 2 Prerequisites for IMS Implementation:  Operators’ consolidation and possibility of providing convergent services The competition between existing mobile operators is still very high; there are active processes of merger and acquisition (M&A) on the market. It is not infrequent that the consolidating companies prove to be providers of different services (fixed and mobile communications, mobile telephony and cable television, etc.). IMS helps them join all network types into one network, realize a complex of services combining the abilities of mobile and fixed communications based on a single platform (convergent services), and bring the growth of ARPU and the increase of revenues to the operators.  OTT services threats Third-party suppliers of text, voice and video applications (OTT providers)1 cannibalize mobile operators’ traditional services (voice and SMS), on which the major part of the latters’ profits depends. With the progress of technology (transfer to 4G), OTT providers try to enhance appeal of their services, for example, provide the support of voice and high definition video (HD), which adds to the problem.  The need in operators’ expenses reduction An apparent trend of the world telecommunications market is the increase of operators’ capital expenses. In is deemed that IMS in medium-term and long-term prospects will allow the operators to reduce their capital (CAPEX) and operational (OPEX) expenses using a unified IP network and an open IMS architecture. Besides, the operators will be able to market new services quickly and with low expenses. However, it is obvious that at the initial stage of IMS implementation by the operators, they will have to increase expenses.  LTE networks occurrence and development The soaring of the use of data mobile traffic, severe competition and high demand for broadband access services require the implementation of the high-priced LTE and LTE Advanced technologies. In its turn, the development of 4G networks creates an incentive for operators to implement the IMS technology, as it gives the opportunity of implementing voice services on LTE networks (VoLTE), and some other services. IMS architecture is commonly divided into three horizontal levels:  Transport (level of subscriber devices and gateways)  Call and session control (Call session control function (CSCF) and subscriber data server);  Applications level. 1 The examples of the most popular OTT providers: Skype, Google Voice, WhatsApp, Viber, communications applications embedded in popular social networks, etc.
  3. 3. Copyright © 2013, J’son & Partners Consulting. Copying or distribution in a hard copy or electronic form without written permission of the J’son & Partners Company is prohibited. Media can use any diagrams, data or forecasts contained in this market review only with giving credit to the source of information – J’son & Partners Consulting. ™ J’son & Partners [registered trade mark]. 3 Figure 1. Architecture of a standard IMS system Source: J’son & Partners Consulting The transport level organizes a communication session through the signalization of a session initializing protocol and ensures transport services with voice converging from analogous or digital signal into IP packets by using the RTP protocol. The call and session control level controls communication sessions. The service level contains a set of application servers which may already not be IMS components, and includes both SIP-based IP multimedia applications and the applications realized on mobile networks on the base of a virtual home environment. IMS Extension in Russia In 2004 – 2005, the first demonstrations of abilities of IMS were conducted in Russia (Siemens and Ericsson companies). In 2006, Siemens opened an IMS demo center in St. Petersburg, where demonstration of various services (Call&Share, Push-to-Talk over Cellular, Mobile Presence Manager, Group Management, Instant Messages Center, etc.) took place. In 2009, the MGTS Company (the Moscow City Telephone Network) planned to implement IMS and complete the project in the analogous segment in 20112 , but due to the crisis the project was realized only in part. Specifically, in 2010, merely a part of the analogous telephone exchanges was transferred to digital format, and the network’s core was installed. Early 2012, the MGTS put the first INS-based corporate service into test operation; it was planned to start the commercial operation of the service in March, 2012. The first service was a scalable IP Centrex service.3 Earlier, in 2011, the “South” Macroregional Branch of “Rostelecom” OJSC used the Alcatel-Lucent IMS solution to transfer the existing fixed network to the IP architecture with the support of VoIP and other modern services.4 In addition to this, in August, 2012, the “Ural” Macroregional Branch of “Rostelecom” OJSC requested for quotas for gaining the right of concluding an agreement on the project “Development of the platform for the development and delivery of services and IMS core components.” 2 http://www.russianelectronics.ru/leader-r/news/company/2114/doc/22141/ 3 http://www.tdaily.ru/news/top-novosti/23843 4 http://technodrive.ru/rostov.php?15543 Content and applications of third-party suppliers Service level Transport level Control level Access networks Access networks Access networks Individual subscribers Business Public access areas
  4. 4. Copyright © 2013, J’son & Partners Consulting. Copying or distribution in a hard copy or electronic form without written permission of the J’son & Partners Company is prohibited. Media can use any diagrams, data or forecasts contained in this market review only with giving credit to the source of information – J’son & Partners Consulting. ™ J’son & Partners [registered trade mark]. 4 The World Market if IMS Equipment: Main Trends and Forecasts There are 7 major vendors on the market of turnkey IMS systems: Acme Packet, Alcatel Lucent, Ericsson, Genband, Huawei, Nokia Siemens Network (NSN), and ZTE. According to the results of 2012, the positions of the main manufacturers of equipment for IMS networks slightly changed. For example, Alcatel-Lucent managed to edge out Genband and get the second place. Huawei remains the market leader. Figure 3. Market shares of the world major IMS equipment providers 2011 2012 Source: Infonetics Research (Quarterly Market Share report) According to Infonetics Research, the sales of the equipment for IMS networks grew by 50% in 2011. A half of the growth was on the account of North America: the driver of the process was the startup of LTE networks by the American operator Verizon Wireless, which used the IMS platform by NSN. Other companies Other companies
  5. 5. Copyright © 2013, J’son & Partners Consulting. Copying or distribution in a hard copy or electronic form without written permission of the J’son & Partners Company is prohibited. Media can use any diagrams, data or forecasts contained in this market review only with giving credit to the source of information – J’son & Partners Consulting. ™ J’son & Partners [registered trade mark]. 5 Main Drivers and Constraints The ‘2012 survey of service providers conducted by Infonetics Research shows that the key drivers of IMS implementation were: deployment of LTE networks, the possibility of providing convergent IMS services and the creation of a unified standard. Figure 2. Main drivers of IMS implementation Source: Infonetics Research, 2012 Constraints of the development:  development of OTT services;  high cost and long period of the network’s deployment;  technological issues with the network’s deployment;  difficulties with the development of FMC, related to the legislative regulation of mobile and fixed operators’ activities;  fragmentation of the frequency spectrum of LTE networks. Forecasts are Prospects Alan Quayle forecasts that nearly 50% of cellular operators will have implemented the IMS solution by 2015. Mobile operators will prove the most eager companies deploying the IMS network: by 2017 their share among the companies implementing IMS will grow from 15% up to 50% Deployment of LTE networks Possibility of providing convergent services Creation of a unified standard for the network infrastructure and services Share of respondents, %
  6. 6. Copyright © 2013, J’son & Partners Consulting. Copying or distribution in a hard copy or electronic form without written permission of the J’son & Partners Company is prohibited. Media can use any diagrams, data or forecasts contained in this market review only with giving credit to the source of information – J’son & Partners Consulting. ™ J’son & Partners [registered trade mark]. 6 Figure 3. Telecommunications operators having implemented/implementing IMS, breakdown by types of the services provided, 2011 – 2017 Source: ABI Research The key factor of stimulating the demand for additional services is the simplicity of use and quality of connection. According to the survey performed by Cisco in the end of 2011, the most popular services among subscribers are as follows: speech recognition, media content transmission, translation of voice messages in real time, etc. Mobile Convergent Fixed
  7. 7. Copyright © 2013, J’son & Partners Consulting. Copying or distribution in a hard copy or electronic form without written permission of the J’son & Partners Company is prohibited. Media can use any diagrams, data or forecasts contained in this market review only with giving credit to the source of information – J’son & Partners Consulting. ™ J’son & Partners [registered trade mark]. 7 List of contents of the Full Version of the Report “Equipment Market and Prospects of the Implementation of New Services Based on the Technology of Transmitting Multimedia Content on the Basis of the IP protocol (IP Multimedia Subsystem, IMS)” List of contents of the Report Vocabulary of terms and abbreviations Summary 1. Brief history of IMS development and spread 1.1. Brief description of the technology 1.2. History of development 2. Main prerequisites of IMS implementation Ошибка! Закладка не определена. 2.1. Operators’ consolidation, occurrence of large universal operators 2.2. Possibility of convergent services provision 2.3. OTT services threats 2.4. The need in operators' expenses reduction 2.5. LTE networks occurrence and development 3. IMS and used equipment description 3.1. IMS architecture 3.1.1. Access network level 3.1.2. Core network level 3.2. Used equipment 4. IMS extension in Russia and in the world 4.1. IMS equipment manufacturers and their solutions 4.1.1. Acme Packet 4.1.2. Alcatel-Lucent 4.1.3. Ericsson 4.1.4. Genband 4.1.5. Huawei 4.1.6. Nokia Siemens Networks (NSN) 4.1.7. ZTE 4.2. Other manufacturers 4.2.1. Aricent Group 4.2.2. Ecrio 4.2.3. Dialogic 4.2.4. Metaswitch Networks
  8. 8. Copyright © 2013, J’son & Partners Consulting. Copying or distribution in a hard copy or electronic form without written permission of the J’son & Partners Company is prohibited. Media can use any diagrams, data or forecasts contained in this market review only with giving credit to the source of information – J’son & Partners Consulting. ™ J’son & Partners [registered trade mark]. 8 4.2.5. Sonus Networks 4.2.6. Tekelec 4.2.7. Specialized vendors 4.3. Basic projects 4.3.1. In Russia 4.3.2. In the world 5. The world market of IMS equipment: basic trends and forecasts 5.1. Brief description of the market situation 5.2. Basic trends, drivers and constraints of IMS market development 5.2.1. SBC 5.3. Basic drivers and constraints of the development of IMS-based technologies Ошибка! Закладка не определена. 5.4. Forecasts and prospects 6. New IMS-based services implementation prospects 6.1. IMS and implementation of voice services over LTE networks (VoLTE) 6.2. IMS and rich communication services (RCS) 6.3. IMS and VaaS (Video-as-a-Service) 6.4. Other services: Web RTC List of Figures Figure 1. Correlation of the dynamics of the growth rates of mobile devices and IP traffic, 2013-2016 Figure 2. Diagrams of IMS (on the right) and non-IMS (on the left) systems Figure 3. Mobile communications penetration level in 2012 and 2017, % Figure 4. History of IMS development Figure 5. Dynamics of telecommunications operators’ capital expenses (СAPEX) in the world, 2007-2015 Figure 6. IMS as a means of increasing operators’ revenues Figure 7. Major LTE operators’ subscriber base as for October, 2012 Figure 8. Architecture of a standard IMS system Figure 9. CSCF structure diagram Figure 10. Operators’ preferences for selecting an IMS equipment vendor Figure 11. SMX solution – IMS Core integrated node Figure 12. PEC solution – diameter routing agent Figure 13. Market shares of the world major providers of IMS equipment Figure 14. Market shares of SBC manufacturers, 2012 Figure 15. Matrix of SBC manufacturers’ comparative advantages
  9. 9. Copyright © 2013, J’son & Partners Consulting. Copying or distribution in a hard copy or electronic form without written permission of the J’son & Partners Company is prohibited. Media can use any diagrams, data or forecasts contained in this market review only with giving credit to the source of information – J’son & Partners Consulting. ™ J’son & Partners [registered trade mark]. 9 Figure 16. Main drivers of IMS implementation in 2012 Figure 17. Main drivers of IMS implementation in 2010 (% of respondents) Figure 18. Share of telecommnications operators having implemented IMS, cumulative Figure 19. Telecommunications operators having implemented/implementing IMS, breakdown by types of the services provided, 2011–2017, % Figure 20. Reduction of expenses when transferring from a fixed network to IMS Figure 21. Volume of the world market of IMS network equipment, 2008-2015 Figure 22. Number of the users of mVoIP VoLTE and OTT services, 2012-2016 Figure 23. Dynamics of the operating revenue from voice services and data communication services on mobile networks in the world, 2009-2015 Figure 24. Subscribers’ interest in new services of mobile operators, % from the number of respondents Figure 25. Main causes of IMS networks deployment, % from respondents Figure 26. VoLTE basic structure based IMS network Figure 27. Geographical structure of RCS service consumers in 2013 List of Tables Table 1. 3GPP releases related to IMS Table 2. Share of iPhone users utilizing MIM monthly, 2012 Table 3. Additional services on mobile networks Table 4. Product line of IMS equipment by Huawei Table 5. Main M&A transactions in 2010-2012 Table 6. Certified operators working in the RCS Alliance The newsletter was prepared by the J'son & Partners Consulting Company. We exert every effort to provide actual and forecasting data representing the situation in full and available at the time of the publication of the material. J'son & Partners Consulting reserves the right of revising the data after publication of some new official information by individual players. CONTACT FOR MORE INFORMATION: Pavel Yermolich Commercial Director Pavel@json.ru www.json.ru

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