ARRA Integrated Fuel Prioritization Project Overview

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This two-year project creates about 50 jobs to work on the watershed-level prioritization of fuel treatments in Oregon, Washington, New Mexico and Arizona.

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ARRA Integrated Fuel Prioritization Project Overview

  1. 1. ARRA Integrated Fuels Prioritization Project <br />IMAP User Group Presentation<br />February 17, 2010<br />Janine Salwasser, INR project coordinator<br />
  2. 2. Project intent<br /> To create/retain ~ 50 jobs<br /> To support watershed-level prioritization of fuel treatments by estimating restoration potential and understanding treatment effects throughout Oregon, Washington, New Mexico and Arizona by December 2011<br />
  3. 3. Targeted users<br />Primary users are: planners, analysts, and land managers at regional, state, and watershed levels<br />Secondary users are: scientists, policymakers, and large-area land owners<br />Our intent is that the tools, data, and information from this project <br />can be used well beyond its two-year scope.<br />
  4. 4. Questions to be addressed<br />What are the conditions and trends of forest fuels?<br />What are the conditions and trends of key habitats?<br />Will management activities have economic benefits?<br />Which watersheds should managers prioritize for restoration to reduce critical fuels, improve wildlife habitats, generate revenues, and provide community benefits? <br />How may climate changes impact watershed prioritizations?<br />
  5. 5. ARRA Integrated Fuels Prioritization Project Overview<br />Oversight Team<br />Hemstrom(lead), Barbour, Gaines, Tesch, Kagan, McComb, Triepke, Weisz<br />IMAP User Group OR/WA<br />Project intent: to create/retain jobs and support watershed-level prioritization of fuel treatments by estimating restoration potential and understanding treatment effects throughout Oregon, Washington, New Mexico and Arizona by December 2011.<br />Washington Office contacts group <br />Project Advisors:<br />NM/AZ advisors <br />Project Coordinator<br />Janine Salwasser<br />Science Delivery Modules<br />Jimmy Kagan<br />Knowledge Discovery Modules<br />Brenda McComb<br />Using Existing Knowledge<br />Developing New Knowledge<br />Wildlife Habitat – Anita Morzillo<br />Fire & Fuel Characterizations – Jessica Halofsky<br />Fuel Treatment Finances – Xiaoping Zhou<br />Spatial Data - Jimmy Kagan (lead) Joe Bernert (coordinator)<br />Community Economics – Claire Montgomery<br />Climate Change – Jessica Halofsky<br />Fire Probabilities & Climate Change – Rebecca Kennedy<br />Watershed – Gordie Reeves<br />VDDT Modeling – Josh Halofsky (lead) Emilie Grossmann (coordinator)<br />EMDS System – Sean Gordon<br />Optimized Decision Support System- Michael Wing<br />Deliverables<br />Data and models: new statewide spatial data, new VDDT models, Knowledge Discovery module outputs<br />Integrated analysis: maps, tables, graphs, and other decision support system outputs<br />Reports and publications: General Technical Reports, white papers, journal articles, theses and dissertations <br />Web tools: Decision support tools, project website, data/models/documents archive<br />2/15/09<br />
  6. 6. Project products<br />Science Delivery Module Products<br />Knowledge Discovery Module Products<br />New analyses, maps, reports, data for current and future conditions based on different management scenarios:<br /><ul><li>Wildlife habitats across OR, WA, AZ, NM
  7. 7. Fire and fuel characteristics across OR, WA, AZ, NM
  8. 8. Fuel treatment financials across OR, WA, AZ, NM
  9. 9. Community economics across OR, WA
  10. 10. Climate change in OR, AZ prototype areas
  11. 11. Aquatic conditions in OR, WA mixed ownership watersheds</li></ul>Spatial data sets for OR, WA , AZ, NM:<br /><ul><li>Potential Natural Vegetation (PAG)
  12. 12. Current Vegetation (GNN)
  13. 13. Standardized Management/Ownership Allocations</li></ul>Developing New Knowledge<br />Using Existing Knowledge<br />New state & transition models (VDDT):<br /><ul><li>Western Washington forest lands
  14. 14. AZ and NM non-federal forest lands
  15. 15. OR, WA, AZ, NM shrublands and grasslands
  16. 16. Integrated analysis (maps, tables, graphs):EMDS outputs, integrated and optimized decision support system outputs, NetMap outputs
  17. 17. Reports and publications: General Technical Reports, white papers, journal articles, theses and dissertations
  18. 18. Web tools:Accessible decision support tools, project website, data/models/document archive</li></ul>2/15/09<br />
  19. 19. Project prototype areas<br />Central Washington Landscape Area<br />Modules: wildlife habitat, community economics,<br />fire &fuels, treatment finances, watersheds<br />Central Oregon Landscape Area<br />Modules: climate change, fire probabilities & climate change, community economics<br />Apache-Sitgreaves Natl. Forest<br />Modules: wildlife habitat,<br />fire &fuels, treatment finances<br />
  20. 20. Examples of VDDT outputs<br />Comparing the percentage of different structures across the entire landscape under A) current management, and B) no-management other than fire suppression.<br />Average available biomass by ownership in selected watersheds<br />
  21. 21. Example of EMDS output<br />Improved Wildlife Habitats<br />Community Economics<br />(+) Treatment Revenues<br />Fuel Reductions<br />Increased Water Supply<br />Priority watersheds for fuel treatments<br />
  22. 22. 2010<br />2011<br />1st Q<br />2nd Q<br />3rd Q<br />4th Q<br />1st Q<br />2nd Q<br />3rd Q<br />4th Q<br />Agreements in Place<br />Prototype Data<br />All Spatial Data Ready<br />VDDT Models Ready<br />Scenario Results Available<br />Knowledge Discovery Module Methods Finished & Tested<br />Knowledge Discovery Module Results Finished<br />Decision Support Modules Results Finished – Integrated Analyses<br />Project Reporting Finished<br />Start-up<br />Model development<br />Run models<br />Connect interpretations<br />Integrate findings<br />Final reporting<br />Rev. 2/9/10<br />
  23. 23. Expected project outcomes<br /><ul><li>Inform watershed restoration decision-making
  24. 24. Support Forest Plan revisions
  25. 25. Support statewide assessments and bioregional plans
  26. 26. Promote other collaborative landscape assessments
  27. 27. Demonstrate value of annual vegetation updates
  28. 28. Create capacity to address priority public agency issues over large landscapes, such as
  29. 29. Evaluating future water supply
  30. 30. Quantifying climate change
  31. 31. Supporting carbon markets and biomass opportunities
  32. 32. Identifying rural economic development opportunities
  33. 33. Demonstrate value of a collaborative Center for Landscape Analysis</li></ul>Short-term<br />Long-term<br />
  34. 34. Role of project advisors<br /><ul><li>Advise on project design and development, for example
  35. 35. Scenarios
  36. 36. Geographies for reporting results
  37. 37. Feedback on module products
  38. 38. Advise on need and use of decision-support products
  39. 39. Identify project end-users
  40. 40. Help us to investigate how decision makers and analysts integrate new information into their work and decisions</li>

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