The document discusses the future of interaction between people and technology. It predicts that in the future, materials will be able to sense users and the environment cheaply. Computing power will continue to increase dramatically, allowing for real-time, interactive media streaming. Display and networking technologies will drop in price by orders of magnitude. This will result in physical environments that are modeled and controlled through virtual environments, with light, video, sound and sensors integrated throughout spaces and surfaces. Different generations will have different visions for how people and machines interact as technology platforms evolve over decades.

2. The Future

3. The Future
of
Interaction

4. Different Life Cycles
Require a Different Kind of Programming
- Users
- Content
- Display
- Furniture
- Interior
- Sensors
- Shell

5. Drivers
Fantasy
Technology Practicality

6. Fantasy
Media Shape Our Vision

7. Fantasy
But They Shape a Different Vision
for Each Generation

8. Machine as
Point Solution

9. Man vs. Machine

10. Man Orchestrates
immersive Computation

11. Man and Machine Are One

12. It takes 10-20 years to build
a new technology platform
- Boomers build telecom backbone
and invests in platforms.
- Gen X builds WWW on top
- Gen Y Builds Social Computing

13. Each Generation
has a different vision
of the Future

14. Here is How 40 Year olds at Microsoft
Sees 2019 Today

15. Aweful Cool,
But They’re Stuck
on the Holodeck.

16. In the future,
there isn’t a difference between
the user and the system.
The people building it grew up in the Matrix.

17. It’s Minority Report
vs.
Avatar

18. Drivers
Fantasy
Technology Practicality

19. Technology
Materials and Distribution
Shape What’s Possible

20. Trigger Sensor Network Processing Network Display

22. Now 2-5 Years
- Mobile Computing - Intenet TV
- Location Aware Apps - Social Software
- Tablet PCs - Video Telepresence
- Online Video
- Public Virtual Worlds
- Cloud Computing
- SOA

23. 5-10 Years
- 3D Flat-Panel Displays
- Context Delivery Architecture
- Video Search
- Surface Computers
- Augmented Reality
- Personal Monitoring

24. Always On the Horizon
- Wireless Power
- Case-level RFID
- Speech Recognition
- Mesh/Ad Hoc Networks

25. Sensing
Trigger Sensor Network Processing Network Display

27. 1 MP Digital Camera
Era Cost
1994-95 $10,000
2010 $1-3
2020 ?

28. Types of Sensing
3D
Vision
Motion
Sound
RF
Capacitance/Resistance

29. What This Means
It will cost very little for materials to be
aware.

30. Key Trade Off
Installation vs. Security vs. Lifespan

31. Processing
Trigger Sensor Network Processing Network Display

33. Rendering Toystory
Era Computer Hours Cost
1994-95 800,000 $20,000,000
2010 12.5 $4
2020 5 Seconds $.02

34. What This Means
We can compute really fast
or really energy efficiently.

35. Key Trade Off
Speed vs. Heat

37. Network
Trigger Sensor Network Processing Network Display

38. Display
42” Display
Era Cost
1994-95 $10,000
2010 $450
2020 ?

39. Types of Display
ASS
Plasma
LCD
LED
OLED
Bistable
Roll to Roll
Emissive Materials

40. Types of Display
Autostereoscopic

41. Types of Display
Roll to Roll

42. What This Means
Order of magnitude price drop
in electronics and lighting cost.

43. Key Trade Off
electronics vs. light vs. mechanical

45. Network
Trigger Sensor Network Processing Network Display

46. Network
Era Speed
1994-95 56k
2010 1.5 Mbps
2020 2.5 GBps

47. Types of Network
Wired vs. Wireless

48. What This Means
Streaming Realtime Media

49. Key Trade Off
Wired
cost/time of install/upgrade vs. speed
Wireless
Speed vs. Concrete

50. The Future
is Here

51. It Just Isn’t
Evenly Distributed

52. Today system is aware of actions.
Interface still exists
in frames

53. Tomorrow, the system is aware of users
Technology isn’t on the walls.
It is the walls.

54. It’s Minority Report
vs.
Avatar

55. Drivers
Fantasy
Technology Practicality

56. The Future of Interaction
It will cost very little for materials to be aware.
We can compute really fast
or really energy efficiently.
Order of magnitude price drop
in video electronics and lighting cost.
Streaming Realtime, interactive Media

57. Different Life Cycles
Require a Different Kind of Programming
- Users
- Content
- Display
- Furniture
- Interior
- Sensors
- Shell

58. This Makes Strange Things Happen
Physical Environment Modelled
in Virtual Environment
Light = Video
Video = Surface Finish
Sound = Partitions
Sensors = User-centered Environments

59. So, What Do We Need to Invent for You?
Physical Environment Modelled
in Virtual Environment
Light = Video
Video = Surface Finish
Sound = Partitions
Sensors = User-centered Environments