Harvard presentation

The Future

The Future ofInteraction

Different Life CyclesRequire a Different Kind of Programming - Users - Content - Display - Furniture - Interior - Sensors - Shell

Drivers FantasyTechnology Practicality

FantasyMedia Shape Our Vision

FantasyBut They Shape a Different Vision for Each Generation

Machine asPoint Solution

Man vs. Machine

Man Orchestratesimmersive Computation

Man and Machine Are One

It takes 10-20 years to builda new technology platform - Boomers build telecom backbone and invests in platforms. - Gen X builds WWW on top - Gen Y Builds Social Computing

Each Generationhas a different vision of the Future

Here is How 40 Year olds at Microsoft Sees 2019 Today

Aweful Cool,But They’re Stuckon the Holodeck.

In the future, there isn’t a difference between the user and the system.The people building it grew up in the Matrix.

It’s Minority Report vs. Avatar

TechnologyMaterials and Distribution Shape What’s Possible

Trigger Sensor Network Processing Network Display

Now 2-5 Years- Mobile Computing - Intenet TV- Location Aware Apps - Social Software- Tablet PCs - Video Telepresence - Online Video - Public Virtual Worlds - Cloud Computing - SOA

5-10 Years- 3D Flat-Panel Displays- Context Delivery Architecture- Video Search- Surface Computers- Augmented Reality- Personal Monitoring

Always On the Horizon- Wireless Power- Case-level RFID- Speech Recognition- Mesh/Ad Hoc Networks

SensingTrigger Sensor Network Processing Network Display

1 MP Digital Camera Era Cost1994-95 $10,0002010 $1-32020 ?

Types of Sensing 3D Vision Motion Sound RFCapacitance/Resistance

What This MeansIt will cost very little for materials to be aware.

Key Trade OffInstallation vs. Security vs. Lifespan

ProcessingTrigger Sensor Network Processing Network Display

Rendering Toystory Era Computer Hours Cost1994-95 800,000 $20,000,0002010 12.5 $42020 5 Seconds $.02

What This MeansWe can compute really fastor really energy efficiently.

Key Trade OffSpeed vs. Heat

NetworkTrigger Sensor Network Processing Network Display

Display 42” Display Era Cost1994-95 $10,0002010 $4502020 ?

Types of Display ASS Plasma LCD LED OLED Bistable Roll to RollEmissive Materials

Types of Display Autostereoscopic

Types of Display Roll to Roll

What This MeansOrder of magnitude price dropin electronics and lighting cost.

Key Trade Offelectronics vs. light vs. mechanical

NetworkTrigger Sensor Network Processing Network Display

Network Era Speed1994-95 56k2010 1.5 Mbps2020 2.5 GBps

Types of Network Wired vs. Wireless

What This MeansStreaming Realtime Media

Key Trade Off Wiredcost/time of install/upgrade vs. speed Wireless Speed vs. Concrete

The Future is Here

It Just Isn’tEvenly Distributed

Today system is aware of actions. Interface still exists in frames

Tomorrow, the system is aware of users Technology isn’t on the walls. It is the walls.

It’s Minority Report vs. Avatar

The Future of InteractionIt will cost very little for materials to be aware. We can compute really fast or really energy efficiently. Order of magnitude price drop in video electronics and lighting cost. Streaming Realtime, interactive Media

Different Life CyclesRequire a Different Kind of Programming - Users - Content - Display - Furniture - Interior - Sensors - Shell

This Makes Strange Things Happen Physical Environment Modelled in Virtual Environment Light = Video Video = Surface Finish Sound = PartitionsSensors = User-centered Environments

So, What Do We Need to Invent for You? Physical Environment Modelled in Virtual Environment Light = Video Video = Surface Finish Sound = Partitions Sensors = User-centered Environments

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Harvard presentation

by Jonathan Brill on Dec 07, 2010

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