Market Validation Analysis

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    Market Validation Analysis - Presentation Transcript

    1. MARKET VALIDATION ANALYSIS A confidential comprehensive analysis of TRUE company market value. For owners and shareholders, an MVA is a critical value audit prior to entering the mergers & acquisitions marketplace.
    2. MVA vs. BUSINESS APPRAISAL
      • A is generally a financial evaluation driven by historical performance, using existing financial and organizational resources.
      • An is a market-based valuation driven by potential future performance, with new (likely greater) financial and organizational resources coming from a premium strategic buyer.
      Avalon Advisors, Inc. Business Appraisal MVA
    3. VALUATION DIFFERENCES
      • “Seven offers ranged from financial evaluation  1.5 times cash flow to market valuation  7.6 times cash flow.
      • The spread is quite pronounced.”
      • Business Week
      Avalon Advisors, Inc.
    4. IRS R.R. 59-60
      • “No formula can be devised that will be generally applicable to the multitude of different valuation issues… Valuation… is, in essence, a prophecy as to the future.”
      • Formulas can express value, but cannot determine value.
      Avalon Advisors, Inc.
    5. VALUATION ISSUES
      • DRIVERS
        • Growing Company
        • Growth Industry/Market
        • Experienced Management Team
        • Experienced Workforce in Place
        • Reliable Financial Reporting
        • Broad and Transferable Customer Base
        • Proprietary Products and Services
      Avalon Advisors, Inc.
    6. VALUATION ISSUES
      • DETRACTORS
        • Customer Concentration
        • Product/Supplier Concentration
        • Declining Industry/Market
        • Management Exit
        • Pending Litigation/Liabilities
        • 100% Cash Purchase Terms
        • Talking to Only One Buyer
      Avalon Advisors, Inc.
    7. FOCUS Economic & Industry Outlook
      • US/International Economic Outlook
        • Industry Dynamics/Trends
        • Competitive Environment
          • Porter’s Five Forces
          • Existing Rivalries
          • Barriers to Entry for New Competitors
          • Potential for Substitute Products/Technologies
          • Bargaining Power - Suppliers
          • Bargaining Power - Customers
      Avalon Advisors, Inc.
    8. FOCUS M & A Environment
      • Financial/Capital Markets
      • Cross Border Trends
        • “ The World is Flat”
      • Identify Potential Strategic Buyers
        • U.S. and International Research
          • Operating Companies
          • Private Investment Groups
      Avalon Advisors, Inc.
    9. FOCUS Company Analysis
      • FINANCIAL
        • Recast Historical Statements
        • Revenue Trends Analysis
        • Pro Forma/Forecast Statements
        • Financial Fitness
          • Growth Rate
          • Financial Strength
          • Management Effectiveness
          • Efficiency Ratios
      Avalon Advisors, Inc.
    10. FOCUS Company Analysis [cont.]
      • Products and Services
        • Markets and Customers
        • Sales and Marketing Strategy
        • Suppliers
      • Facilities
      • Ownership/Succession Plan
      • Operations
      Avalon Advisors, Inc.
    11. FOCUS Company Analysis [cont.]
      • SWOT Analysis
        • Internal Strengths
        • Internal Weaknesses
        • External Opportunities
        • External Threats
      Avalon Advisors, Inc.
    12. FOCUS Value Analysis
      • Income Approach
        • Discounted Future Earnings
        • Capitalization of Earnings
      • Market Approach
        • Comparable Transaction Analysis
        • Guideline Transactions (Public)
      • Asset Approach
        • Duplication Cost Analysis
        • Intangible Asset Analysis
      Avalon Advisors, Inc.
    13. CONCLUSION
      • Range of Values and Reconciliation
        • Fair Market Value/Strategic Investment Value
      • Making the Decision
        • Personal Financial and Tax Planning
        • Sale of Stock to the Public (IPO)
        • Outright Sale of the Company
        • Legal Issues Advisory
      • Develop Appropriate Exit Strategy
      Avalon Advisors, Inc.
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