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Cross Border Gas Trading
  26-27 November, 2012, Amsterdam




           Course Leader
  Jeroen Koster, Mercurious
Cross Border Gas Trading
OURS
   This course is designed to provide


   participants, gas products, pricing,
   trading, storage, cross-border
   trading, cross-border connections,
                                        Who should attend?
   participants with a strong overview Thiscommodity community including these key roles:
   of Gas Trading, particularly market
                                        and
                                            course is particularly suited to the compliant energy

                                         ▶ Gas traders, energy traders and commodity traders
                                         ▶ Gas executives
                                         ▶ Gas asset and portfolio managers
                                         ▶ Risk managers
                                         ▶ Back office staff
   cross-border transport capacity and ▶ ICT experts and project managers
   capacity auctioning.                  ▶ Legal staff and compliance officers
                                                                   ▶ Employees within the Finance and Control departments

   Introduction
   The training is based on a strong interactive approach          Learning objectives
   in which the contribution of participants is of utmost          ▶ The workings of local, regional and international gas
   importance. The workings of gas markets, relevant                 markets
   developments therein, risks and other relevant issues are       ▶ Transportation of gas: Shipping, pipelines and hubs
   shown during the training sessions by means of questions,
                                                                   ▶ TSOs and Balancing regimes
   theory and theses.
                                                                   ▶ Products traded in the gas markets
   This course covers two full days. In dealing with               ▶ The workings and applications of those products
   each subject, we focus our attention on the various             ▶ Cross-border gas trading and business reasons
   characteristics, aspects, opportunities and risks attached        underpinning it
   to that particular subject.                                     ▶ Customary cross-border gas trading techniques and
                                                                     methods
   This course is designed to be extremely practical and
   hands-on. Participants will play trading simulations and will   ▶ Cross-border gas trading
   have to solve various exercises. The course has a steep         ▶ Currency risk and FX trading
   learning curve and a marked increase of both knowledge          ▶ Proxy hedging (dirty hedge)
   and skills in the area of Cross Border Gas Trading will be      ▶ Correlation coefficients and correlation trading
   the end result.
                                                                   ▶ Arbitrage and statistical arbitrage
AGENDA
                                                                                                                      AGENDA
                                                                                                                      AGENDA
Program
DAY 1
Session 1:                                              ▪ Base load vs. peak load
Gas markets                                          ▶ Contract specifications & structuring
▶ Working of the gas markets                          ▷ Physical delivery vs. Financially settled products
 ▷ Hubs                                              ▶ Forward curves
   ▪ Physical vs. Virtual hubs                        ▷ Backwardation
   ▪ Henry Hub, NBP, TTF, Zeebrugge, Baumgarten       ▷ Contango
▶ Market participants                                 ▷ Convenience yield
▶ Features of gas                                    ▶ OTC markets vs. Exchange trade
 ▷ Quality                                            ▷ The role of brokers
   ▪ High calorific                                  ▶ ICE, APX-Endex, EEX
   ▪ Low calorific                                    ▷ Clearing
   ▪ Wobbe-index                                        ▪ Margining & Collateralization
   ▪ Quality conversion (capacity)                   ▶ Spread trading
▶ Transport
 ▷ Pipelines vs. LNG
 ▷ Regassification vs. liquefaction capacity
                                                     Session 3 + 4:
 ▷ The effect of LNG on gas pricing                   Auctioning gas transport capacity
 ▷ Transmission System Operators (TSOs)              ▶ Preferred auction of cross-border transport capacity
   ▪ National Grid, Fluxys, Gas Transport Services     ▷ ENTSOG
   ▪ Balancing regimes                                 ▷ Programme responsible parties (PRPs)
▶ Pricing                                              ▷ Interconnection points (IPs)
 ▷ Fundamental price drivers                           ▷ Strategies
 ▷ Non-fundamental price drivers                        ▪ Each PRP has to decide how to purchase the
 ▷ Gaspec                                                   requested units of capacity.
 ▷ o Price formulas                                      ▪ Optimization of bids, taken into account the capacity
 ▷ o Correlation with oil price                            of the IPs, the different prices and the restraint of the
 ▷ o Benchmarks & indices Session 2:                       budget.
                                                         ▪ Forecast behaviour of competitors and what the
                                                           consequences will be.
Session 2:
Gas trading                                          Simulation:
▶ Physical markets vs. Financial markets             Auction of (cross-border) gas transport capacity
▶ Spot products (Intraday, Day ahead, BOW, BOM,      Participants will be allocated a budget and will be
  BOY, WKND, WDNW)                                   assigned a target. Based on these two ingredients they
▶ Forward products (Months, Quarters, Seasons, Cal   have to participate in an auction and fulfill their tasks in
  products)                                          the best way
 ▷ Consumption curve; seasonality
   ▪ Daily pattern (day-night)
   ▪ Weekly patterns (working days vs. weekend)
   ▪ Yearly patterns (winter-summer)
 ▷ Definitions
   ▪ Peak vs. off-peak
Program
   DAY 2



OURS
   Session 5:
   Cross-border gas trading
   ▶ The reasons for it explained
    ▷ Sourcing
    ▷ Hedging
    ▷ Arbitrage
    ▷ Speculation
   ▶ Solutions to avoid delivery at the wrong place
    ▷ Gas swap
    ▷ Physical
    ▷ Financial
    ▷ Liquidating position
    ▷ Spot markets
   ▶ Currency risk
    ▷ FX trading
                                                        Session 7:
                                                        Hedging
                                                        ▶ Proxy hedging
                                                         ▷ Dirty hedge
                                                         ▷ The impact of a proxy hedge
                                                         ▷ How to effectuate proxy hedging in practice?
                                                         ▷ Disadvantages of correlation trading
                                                          ▪ Normality
                                                          ▪ Linearity

                                                        Session 8:
                                                        The real option approach
                                                        ▶
                                                        ▶
                                                            The real option approach explained
                                                            Asset optimization
                                                                                                             L
    ▷ Treasury mgt. department vs. Trading department   ▶   Optimization of allocation of assets
                                                        ▶   Dynamic hedging
   Exercise:
   Cross-border gas trading                             ▶   Delta hedging

                                                        Simulation:
   Session 6:                                           Cross-border gas trading
   Risk management
                                                        ▶ NBP-TTF
   ▶ Value at Risk
    ▷ VaR                                               ▶ Physical & virtual trading
     ▪ Time horizon                                     ▶ Optimization of cross-border transport capacity
     ▪ Confidence level
   ▶ VaR of a combined gas portfolio                    Participants will be allocated physical transport
    ▷ Various commodities                               capacity and have to optimize the value by hedging
     ▪ NBP gas & TTF gas                                dynamically.
     ▪ How to implement correlation coefficients?
   ▶ Dirty hedge
     ▪ Cross-margining
     ▪ Interpretation of exposures

   Exercise:
   Calculate the VaR of a cross-border gas position
LEADER
COURSE LEADER
Jeroen Koster
Trainer-Consultant Mercurious

                         Jeroen Koster is the co-author of         Jeroen has also worked as a Corporate Trainer at the
                         the book entitled “Refacing Risk,         international derivatives trading firm All Options, in which position
                         building a fortune”.                      he was responsible for training staff for the roles of Derivatives
                                                                   Trader, (senior) Traders and Back Office employees. The training
                       After finishing high school, Jeroen         centered onto several subjects including corporate actions, risk
                       Koster studied Applied Mathematicsat        management, compliance, volatility and trading strategies.
                       the Technical University (TU) of
                       Twente. In 1996 he became a                 With over two decades worth of experience in the energy sector,
                       professional Options Trader (Market         Jeroen Koster is highly skilled and formally schooled in the
                       Maker) on the trading-floor of the           nuances of this exciting industry. His experience and passion for
European Option Exchange (EOE) in Amsterdam.                       passing on knowledge really make him an excellent tutor.

For a number of years thereafter Jeroen traded in various option
classes, both single stocks and indices and FX. Subsequently he
became responsible for the education of new hires and trainees
at the European Option Exchange. Following the new millennium
and the technical improvements and challenges it brought
along, including the migration from open-outcry to screen-based
trading on electronic platforms, Jeroen became the Head of
Trading at the trading firm and specialist Van der Moolen.
LANGUAGE
                                                               The workshop will be delivered in English.

                                                               DATE
                                                               26-27 November 2012, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

                                                               SCHEDULE
                                                               Each day starts at 09.00 and finishes at 17.00hrs.

                                                               REGISTRATION
                                                               http://www.energy-expert-network.com/courses
                                                               E-mail: Johanna.oberg@energy-expert-network.com
                                                               Phone:+46 (0) 85 333 2599

                                                               FEES

ABOUT THE ORGANIZERS
                                                               Early Bird 1990€ (register before 12 October)
                                                               + Dutch VAT
                                                               Standard price 2490€ + Dutch VAT

                                                               MULTIPLE REGISTRATION DISCOUNT
ENERGY EXPERT NETWORK                                          Register two or more people from the same company
                                                               and get a 10% discount per person.
The Energy Expert Network is a network of experts
and hands-on energy market participants that provides          FOOD AND BEVERAGE
                                                               Food and beverages will be provided to the
companies with tailored courses.                               participants during the day. Specific wishes can be
                                                               submitted to the organization.
The Energy Expert Network consists of the ‘best of the
best’ industry experts, well known for their knowledge and     DOCUMENTATION
                                                               Participants receive documentation, calculations and
experience in teaching energy industry professionals. Energy   exercises in a manual.
Expert Network also provide open courses on fixed dates in
co-operation with external experts.

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Cross Border Gas Trading

  • 1. Cross Border Gas Trading 26-27 November, 2012, Amsterdam Course Leader Jeroen Koster, Mercurious
  • 2. Cross Border Gas Trading OURS This course is designed to provide participants, gas products, pricing, trading, storage, cross-border trading, cross-border connections, Who should attend? participants with a strong overview Thiscommodity community including these key roles: of Gas Trading, particularly market and course is particularly suited to the compliant energy ▶ Gas traders, energy traders and commodity traders ▶ Gas executives ▶ Gas asset and portfolio managers ▶ Risk managers ▶ Back office staff cross-border transport capacity and ▶ ICT experts and project managers capacity auctioning. ▶ Legal staff and compliance officers ▶ Employees within the Finance and Control departments Introduction The training is based on a strong interactive approach Learning objectives in which the contribution of participants is of utmost ▶ The workings of local, regional and international gas importance. The workings of gas markets, relevant markets developments therein, risks and other relevant issues are ▶ Transportation of gas: Shipping, pipelines and hubs shown during the training sessions by means of questions, ▶ TSOs and Balancing regimes theory and theses. ▶ Products traded in the gas markets This course covers two full days. In dealing with ▶ The workings and applications of those products each subject, we focus our attention on the various ▶ Cross-border gas trading and business reasons characteristics, aspects, opportunities and risks attached underpinning it to that particular subject. ▶ Customary cross-border gas trading techniques and methods This course is designed to be extremely practical and hands-on. Participants will play trading simulations and will ▶ Cross-border gas trading have to solve various exercises. The course has a steep ▶ Currency risk and FX trading learning curve and a marked increase of both knowledge ▶ Proxy hedging (dirty hedge) and skills in the area of Cross Border Gas Trading will be ▶ Correlation coefficients and correlation trading the end result. ▶ Arbitrage and statistical arbitrage
  • 3. AGENDA AGENDA AGENDA Program DAY 1 Session 1: ▪ Base load vs. peak load Gas markets ▶ Contract specifications & structuring ▶ Working of the gas markets ▷ Physical delivery vs. Financially settled products ▷ Hubs ▶ Forward curves ▪ Physical vs. Virtual hubs ▷ Backwardation ▪ Henry Hub, NBP, TTF, Zeebrugge, Baumgarten ▷ Contango ▶ Market participants ▷ Convenience yield ▶ Features of gas ▶ OTC markets vs. Exchange trade ▷ Quality ▷ The role of brokers ▪ High calorific ▶ ICE, APX-Endex, EEX ▪ Low calorific ▷ Clearing ▪ Wobbe-index ▪ Margining & Collateralization ▪ Quality conversion (capacity) ▶ Spread trading ▶ Transport ▷ Pipelines vs. LNG ▷ Regassification vs. liquefaction capacity Session 3 + 4: ▷ The effect of LNG on gas pricing Auctioning gas transport capacity ▷ Transmission System Operators (TSOs) ▶ Preferred auction of cross-border transport capacity ▪ National Grid, Fluxys, Gas Transport Services ▷ ENTSOG ▪ Balancing regimes ▷ Programme responsible parties (PRPs) ▶ Pricing ▷ Interconnection points (IPs) ▷ Fundamental price drivers ▷ Strategies ▷ Non-fundamental price drivers ▪ Each PRP has to decide how to purchase the ▷ Gaspec requested units of capacity. ▷ o Price formulas ▪ Optimization of bids, taken into account the capacity ▷ o Correlation with oil price of the IPs, the different prices and the restraint of the ▷ o Benchmarks & indices Session 2: budget. ▪ Forecast behaviour of competitors and what the consequences will be. Session 2: Gas trading Simulation: ▶ Physical markets vs. Financial markets Auction of (cross-border) gas transport capacity ▶ Spot products (Intraday, Day ahead, BOW, BOM, Participants will be allocated a budget and will be BOY, WKND, WDNW) assigned a target. Based on these two ingredients they ▶ Forward products (Months, Quarters, Seasons, Cal have to participate in an auction and fulfill their tasks in products) the best way ▷ Consumption curve; seasonality ▪ Daily pattern (day-night) ▪ Weekly patterns (working days vs. weekend) ▪ Yearly patterns (winter-summer) ▷ Definitions ▪ Peak vs. off-peak
  • 4. Program DAY 2 OURS Session 5: Cross-border gas trading ▶ The reasons for it explained ▷ Sourcing ▷ Hedging ▷ Arbitrage ▷ Speculation ▶ Solutions to avoid delivery at the wrong place ▷ Gas swap ▷ Physical ▷ Financial ▷ Liquidating position ▷ Spot markets ▶ Currency risk ▷ FX trading Session 7: Hedging ▶ Proxy hedging ▷ Dirty hedge ▷ The impact of a proxy hedge ▷ How to effectuate proxy hedging in practice? ▷ Disadvantages of correlation trading ▪ Normality ▪ Linearity Session 8: The real option approach ▶ ▶ The real option approach explained Asset optimization L ▷ Treasury mgt. department vs. Trading department ▶ Optimization of allocation of assets ▶ Dynamic hedging Exercise: Cross-border gas trading ▶ Delta hedging Simulation: Session 6: Cross-border gas trading Risk management ▶ NBP-TTF ▶ Value at Risk ▷ VaR ▶ Physical & virtual trading ▪ Time horizon ▶ Optimization of cross-border transport capacity ▪ Confidence level ▶ VaR of a combined gas portfolio Participants will be allocated physical transport ▷ Various commodities capacity and have to optimize the value by hedging ▪ NBP gas & TTF gas dynamically. ▪ How to implement correlation coefficients? ▶ Dirty hedge ▪ Cross-margining ▪ Interpretation of exposures Exercise: Calculate the VaR of a cross-border gas position
  • 5. LEADER COURSE LEADER Jeroen Koster Trainer-Consultant Mercurious Jeroen Koster is the co-author of Jeroen has also worked as a Corporate Trainer at the the book entitled “Refacing Risk, international derivatives trading firm All Options, in which position building a fortune”. he was responsible for training staff for the roles of Derivatives Trader, (senior) Traders and Back Office employees. The training After finishing high school, Jeroen centered onto several subjects including corporate actions, risk Koster studied Applied Mathematicsat management, compliance, volatility and trading strategies. the Technical University (TU) of Twente. In 1996 he became a With over two decades worth of experience in the energy sector, professional Options Trader (Market Jeroen Koster is highly skilled and formally schooled in the Maker) on the trading-floor of the nuances of this exciting industry. His experience and passion for European Option Exchange (EOE) in Amsterdam. passing on knowledge really make him an excellent tutor. For a number of years thereafter Jeroen traded in various option classes, both single stocks and indices and FX. Subsequently he became responsible for the education of new hires and trainees at the European Option Exchange. Following the new millennium and the technical improvements and challenges it brought along, including the migration from open-outcry to screen-based trading on electronic platforms, Jeroen became the Head of Trading at the trading firm and specialist Van der Moolen.
  • 6. LANGUAGE The workshop will be delivered in English. DATE 26-27 November 2012, Amsterdam, The Netherlands SCHEDULE Each day starts at 09.00 and finishes at 17.00hrs. REGISTRATION http://www.energy-expert-network.com/courses E-mail: Johanna.oberg@energy-expert-network.com Phone:+46 (0) 85 333 2599 FEES ABOUT THE ORGANIZERS Early Bird 1990€ (register before 12 October) + Dutch VAT Standard price 2490€ + Dutch VAT MULTIPLE REGISTRATION DISCOUNT ENERGY EXPERT NETWORK Register two or more people from the same company and get a 10% discount per person. The Energy Expert Network is a network of experts and hands-on energy market participants that provides FOOD AND BEVERAGE Food and beverages will be provided to the companies with tailored courses. participants during the day. Specific wishes can be submitted to the organization. The Energy Expert Network consists of the ‘best of the best’ industry experts, well known for their knowledge and DOCUMENTATION Participants receive documentation, calculations and experience in teaching energy industry professionals. Energy exercises in a manual. Expert Network also provide open courses on fixed dates in co-operation with external experts.