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  • 1. Analyst: James E. GallagherClassification: Unclassified9/18/2009-895350-914400Washington, D.C. Uniformed Crime Report Analysis32105607426960Law Enforcement IntelligenceTable of ContentsTasking…………………………………………………………………………………………….2Washington, D.C.: Crime in the District…………...……………………………………...………3 Part I: Murder……………………………………………………………………………………...4 Part II: Rape……………………………………………………………………………………….5 Part III: Larceny-Theft…………………………………………………………………………….6 Part IV: Robbery…………………………………………………………………………………..7 Part V: Burglary……………………………………………………………...……………………8 Part VI: Aggravated Assault………………………………………………………………………9 <br />Part VII: Vehicle Theft…………………………………………………………………….…….10 <br />Part VIII: 2006-2007 Crime Analysis……………………………………………………………11 <br />Part IX: Current Crime Problem: Murder…………………………………………………….12-14 <br />Part X: Index Crimes…………………………………………………………………………….15 <br />Part XI: Sources………………………………………………………………………………….16 <br />Part XII: Contact information……………………………………………………………………17<br />Cover Graphics: http://www.newamerica.net/blog/files/US%20Capitol.jpg<br />Tasking<br />6457951082040Tasking: To collect and analyze crime statistics from Washington, D.C. utilizing data from the Uniformed Crime Report (UCR) involving a five year period. Furthermore, the analyst will utilize Microsoft excel formulas and charts to further refine the data into actionable intelligence. Lastly, the analyst will report on homicides in Washington, D.C. and the cities changing strategic planning and direction to more effectively combat and deter homicides. <br />Map of D.C. WardsSource: mpdc.dc.gov<br />Washington. D.C.: Crime in the District<br />Executive Summary: As demonstrated by the data captured in Microsoft excel, it is likely that rape, larceny-theft, robbery and burglary will increase, due to rapidly changing demographics in the District. Murder, aggravated assault and vehicle theft will decrease. MPDCs reorganization of policing districts in 2004 has improved law enforcement capabilities, however, MPDC remains relatively inefficient in crime prevention. <br />Washington D.C Uniform Crime Report (2003-2007)Crime20032004200520062007Total Crimes1 Yr Difference 2006-2007% Change 2006-20075 Yr Difference 2003 & 2007% Change 2003-20075 Yr average 2003-2007Murder249198195169181992-12-7%-6838%992Rape2742221661851921039-7-4%-8243%1039Robbery3,9413,2023,7003,8294,26118933-432-10%320-8%18933Agg. Assault4,5973,9683,9714,5893,6862081190324%-91125%20811Burglary4,6713,9463,5773,8353,92619955-91-2%-74519%19955Larcenry18,11914,54214,83615,90717,38280786-1475-8%-7374%80786Auto Theft9,9068,4087,7207,3217,60040955-279-4%-230630%40,955Total 41,75734,48634,16535,83537,228183471-1,393-1%-4,52919%26,210<br />781050274320Source: Microsoft Excel<br />Part I Murder<br />Crime2003% Change2004% Change2005% Change2006% Change2007% ChangeMurder2490%198-20%195-2%169-13%1817%<br />Initial Microsoft excel charts indicate that it is likely that murders will decrease in the District. The analyst has come to this conclusion by entering UCR data into an excel spreadsheet and formatting the data into the chart. From 2004 to 2006, murders decreased by an average of -12%. In 2007, murders increased 7%. This spike in murders is attributed to the sudden increase of illegal immigrants in historically African American neighborhoods, resulting in “turf wars” and an increase in illicit activities leading to an increase in violence and murders. <br />Source: Microsoft Excel624840884555<br />Source: Wikimedia<br />-47625038100323850038735<br />Source: Google image<br />Part II Rape <br />Initial Microsoft excel charts indicate that rapes are likely to increase in the District. The analyst has come to this conclusion by entering UCR data into an excel spreadsheet and formatting the data into the chart. From 2004 to 2005, rapes decreased by an average of -22%. From 2006 to 2007, rapes increased by an average of 8%. The reason for this increase is unknown. <br />Crime2003% Change2004% Change2005% Change2006% Change2007% ChangeRape2740%222-19%166-25%18511%1924%<br />Source: Microsoft Excel<br />914400161925<br />Part III Larceny-Theft<br />Initial Microsoft excel charts indicate that larceny-thefts are likely to increase in the District. The analyst has come to this conclusion by entering UCR data into an excel spreadsheet and formatting the data into the chart. In 2004, larceny-thefts decreased -20%. From 2005 to 2007, larceny-thefts increased by an average of 6%.<br />Crime2003% Change2004% Change2005% Change2006% Change2007% ChangeLarceny18,1190%14,542-20%14,8362%15,9077%17,3829%<br />Source: Microsoft Excel<br />628650253365<br />Part IV Robbery<br />Crime2003% Change2004% Change2005% Change2006% Change2007% ChangeRobbery3,9410%3,202-19%3,70016%3,8293%4,26111%<br />Initial Microsoft excel charts indicate that robberies are likely to increase in the District. The analyst has come to this conclusion by entering UCR data into an excel spreadsheet and formatting the data into the chart. In 2004, robberies decreased -19%. However, robberies increased by an average of 10% from 2005 to 2007.<br />361950850900<br />385762588900Source: Microsoft Excel<br />Source: washingtonpost.com<br />Part V Burglary<br />Crime2003% Change2004% Change2005% Change2006% Change2007% ChangeBurglary4,6710%3,946-16%3,577-9%3,8357%3,9262%<br />Initial Microsoft excel charts indicate that burglaries are likely to increase in the District. The analyst has come to this conclusion by entering UCR data into an excel spreadsheet and formatting the data into the chart. Burglaries have decreased by an average -13% from 2004 to 2005. However, burglaries increased by an average of 5% from 2006 to 2007. MPDC states that the increase in burglaries is directly related to the economic slump.<br />Source: Microsoft Excel342900141605<br />37338005080<br />Source: Google images<br />Part VI Aggravated Assault<br />Initial Microsoft excel charts indicate that it is likely that aggravated assaults will decrease in the District. The analyst has come to this conclusion by entering UCR data into an excel spreadsheet and formatting the data into the chart. Aggravated Assaults decreased by -14% in 2004. Furthermore, aggravated assaults changed 0% the following year. However, aggravated assaults increased by 16% in 2006. The following year, aggravated assaults decreased -20%.<br />Crime2003% Change2004% Change2005% Change2006% Change2007% ChangeAgg. Assault4,5970%3,968-14%3,9710%4,58916%3,686-20%<br />Source: Microsoft Excel<br />59055022860<br />Part VII Vehicle Theft<br />Initial Microsoft excel charts indicate that it is likely that vehicle theft will decrease in the District. The analyst has come to this conclusion by entering UCR data into an excel spreadsheet and formatting the data into the chart. Aggravated assaults decreased by an average of -9% from 2004 to 2006. However, aggravated assaults increased 4% in 2007.<br />Crime2003% Change2004% Change2005% Change2006% Change2007% ChangeAuto Theft9,9060%8,408-15%7,720-8%7,321-5%7,6004%<br />209550120015Source: Microsoft Excel<br />Part VIII 2006-2007 analysis <br />Source: Microsoft ExcelInitial Microsoft excel charts indicate that murders, rape, robberies, burglaries, larceny and auto thefts increased in the District from 2006 to 2007. Overall crime in the District increased 6%. However, aggravated assaults decreased -20%. <br />37528597790<br />Crime20062007% changeMurder1691817%Rape1851924%Robbery3,8294,26111%Agg. Assault4,5893,686-20%Burglary3,8353,9262%Larceny15,90717,3829%Auto Theft7,3217,6004%<br />Part IX Current Crime Problem: Murder <br />Type of Crime: Murder<br />FBI UCR Crime Definition: The willful non-negligent killing of a person.<br />D.C Code Index Offense Definition: Killing of another purposely, in perpetrating or attempting to perpetrate an offense punishable by imprisonment, or otherwise with malice aforethought.<br />Suspect(s): The majority of Homicide offenders in the District are African Americans. Hispanics come in a distant second. Most homicides reported in the District are black against black or black against Hispanic. Youth violence among African Americans is severe. MPD predicts that homicides will continue to increase as the economy continues in free fall. As the economy worsens, there will be a drastic increase in younger youths joining gangs. Gangs are an outlet for youths that provide an opportunity to have unity in a group. As gang numbers swell with youths, gang rivalry will inevitably rise, bringing an increase in violence and homicide.<br />Victim(s): The majority of homicide victims are male and female African Americans. 78% of homicide victims are African American males. Furthermore, African American females make up 11% of homicide victims. Hispanic males account for 4% of homicide victims. Hispanic females account for 1% of homicide victims. Lastly, white males and females each account for 2% of homicide victims.<br />Source: http://mpdc.dc.gov-491490227330<br />3134360488950Location(s): The majority of homicides occur in central and south east D.C, as demonstrated by the image below. Furthermore, homicides occur most often in predominantly African American and Hispanic neighborhoods. Homicides intensify in gang territories and gang borders. North West D.C has the least reported homicide cases. <br />Source: usdoj.gov<br />Impact on the Community and Response to the problem: For the fifth year in a row, the District recorded less than 200 homicides. According to mpd.dc.gov, “The MPD is dedicated to reconnecting the community and police through numerous initiatives that focus on enhanced police visibility, improved outreach and collaboration, and new crime solving efforts.” Furthermore, MPD has increased police visibility and collaboration within the community. <br />Police Response to the Problem: The rate of closure for homicides is over 15% higher than the national average. Furthermore, MPD has attained a 65% closure of cold case. MPD has created the “Homicide Task Force” to further combat homicides by analyzing key factors in homicide cases, recording trends, and utilizing the information to increase policing presence where it is needed most. <br />325120072390-22606072390<br />Source: mpdc.dc.gov<br />-2895602806700-396240-106680<br />Source: mpdc.dc.gov-23622095250<br /> Part X Index Crimes <br />Criminal homicide: the willful (not negligent) killing of one human being by another. Deaths caused by negligence, attempts to kill, assaults to kill, suicides, and accidental deaths are excluded.<br />Forcible rape: The carnal knowledge of a female forcibly and against her will. Rapes by force and attempts or assaults to rape, regardless of the age of the victim, are included<br />Robbery: The taking or attempting to take anything of value from the care, custody, or control of a person or persons by force or threat of force or violence and/or by putting the victim in fear.<br />Aggravated assault: An unlawful attack by one person upon another for the purpose of inflicting severe or aggravated bodily injury. This type of assault usually is accompanied by the use of a weapon or by means likely to produce death or great bodily harm.<br />Burglary: The unlawful entry of a structure to commit a felony or a theft. Attempted forcible entry is included.<br />Larceny-theft: he unlawful taking, carrying, leading, or riding away of property from the possession or constructive possession of another.<br />Motor vehicle theft: The theft or attempted theft of a motor vehicle. A motor vehicle is self-propelled and runs on land surface and not on rails.<br />Source: fbi.gov/ucr<br />Part XI Sources<br />" District of Columbia Crime Rates 1960 - 2008." Disaster Center. Web. 16 Sep 2009. <http://www.disastercenter.com/crime/dccrime.htm>.<br />" Metropolitan Police Department." Metropolitan Police Department: Annual Report 2008. Web. 16 Sep 2009. <http://mpdc.dc.gov/mpdc/frames.asp?doc=/mpdc/lib/mpdc/publications/ar_2008_web.pdf>.<br />" The Examiner." Homicide rate for black D.C. teens surged since ’01, mirrors U.S. trend. Web. 16 Sep 2009. <http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/local/123008-Homicide_rate_for_black_DC_teens_surged_since_01_mirrors_US_trend.html>.<br />" Uniformed Crime Report." FBI Uniformed Crime Report. Web. 16 Sep 2009. <http://www.fbi.gov/ucr/cius2007/data/table_06.html#w>.<br />Part XII Contact Information<br />James E. Gallagher119 Driscoll WayGaithersburg, MD 20878240-432-3489MCIIS class of 2012-752475428625<br />

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