The FutureImage: ﬂickr/Johan Larsson of the Internet
We are currently in the midst of the ﬁfth major technology cycle of the past half a century. - Mary Meeker source: http://gigaom.com/2010/04/12/mary-meeker-mobile-internet-will-soon-overtake-ﬁxed-internet/Image: ﬂickr/Xurble
Image: ﬂickr/ajmexico1980s: Personal computing era
Image: ﬂickr/Mobilus In Mobili1990s: Desktop internet era
Present: Mobile internet eraImage: ﬂickr/Jorge Quiteros
But where is mobile internet headed? What is to come?Image: ﬂickr/Xurble
One thing is certain... Mobile internet is here to stay and it will be BIG.Image: ﬂickr/miss karen
Image: ﬂickr/Strandell 5th era adoption of technology such as the iPhone is far out-pacing 4th era adoption of technology such as Netscape and AOLsource: http://gigaom.com/2010/04/12/mary-meeker-mobile-internet-will-soon-overtake-ﬁxed-internet/
Data has now overtaken voice communication on mobile phones. Most of this data is coming from social media sites such as Facebook and Twitter. Source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/7528153/Data-bigger-than-voice-on-mobile-networks.htmlImage: ﬂickr/velkr0
For example... In January 2010, Facebook was accessed over 25,000,000 times on mobile devices. Source: http://www.pamorama.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/how-are-mobile-phones-changing-social-media.pngImage: ﬂickr/Johan Larsson
Image: ﬂickr/Jaako With mobile data trafﬁc expected to increase byalmost 4000 percent by 2014 mobile carriers will be underincredible pressure to deliver.source: http://gigaom.com/2010/04/12/mary-meeker-mobile-internet-will-soon-overtake-ﬁxed-internet/ Many user are already frustrated by slow speeds and small screens. Source: http://www.emarketer.com/Article.aspx?R=1008264
Image: ﬂickr/eiouaThe solution could lie in the upcoming 4G technology, which promises averagedownload speeds 10x faster than the current 3G and is designed speciﬁcally for mobile internet usage. source: http://www.networkworld.com/news/2010/030810-4g-2010.html
Image: ﬂickr/evheadHowever, providers have been slow in updating the cellular infrastructure for 4G.
Apps are also going to play a major role in the future of mobile internet, estimated to be a market of about $30 million (USD) by 2013. Source: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/rob-magazine/the-age-of-the-app/article1510836/Image: ﬂickr/Christiano Betta
Image: ﬂickr/epSos.deMobile commerce is going to beanother large factor in the future of mobile internet, predicted toreach $119 billion (USD) globally by 2016.Source: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/rob-magazine/the-age-of-the-app/article1510836/
For example, the Chinese social network Tencent earned $2.2 billion in online sales in 2009. Source: http://gigaom.com/2010/04/12/mary-meeker-mobile-internet-will-soon-overtake-ﬁxed-internet/Image: ﬂickr/Marc van der Chijs
Users are more willing to pay for mobile content because of: • Easy-to-use/secure payment systems • Small price tags (most under $5) • Reduced piracy • Established storefronts • Greater personalization Source: http://gigaom.com/2010/04/12/mary-meeker-mobile-internet-will-soon-overtake-ﬁxed-internet/Image: ﬂickr/Johan Larsson
What’s next, what will the internet look like in 5, 10, 20 years? Will one company (Facebook, Google, etc...) take over? Who will capitalize?Image: ﬂickr/Johan Larsson
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