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PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION

                                                                                                                                      April 2011


OVERVIEW

                                          The objective of this Research Note is to analyze Private Equity (PE) activity in the MENA
                                          region during 2005-2010 with a special emphasis on 2010. The note discusses fundraising
                                          and PE investments by geography, sector and size during 2005-2010. Studying the trend of
                                          the past 5 years and the key challenges in light of the global economic downturn, the note
                                          presents key conclusions for PE investments in 2011 and beyond in the MENA region.

                                           • In 2010, Private Equity fundraising in the MENA further declined to reach close to the
                                             levels seen in 2004. During the year, General Partners (GPs) managed fundraisings
                                             worth USD448.1mn against USD1.07bn in 2009 according to Emerging Markets Private
                                             Equity Association (EMPEA).

                                           • PE deals/transactions worth USD1.07bn were announced in the MENA region in 2010.
                                             This depicts an increase of approximately 67% over the USD0.64bn recorded in 2009,
                                             but a decline of 47% over the 2005–2009 average.

Junaid Jafar                               • Between 2005 and 2009, Egypt and the UAE attracted the largest number of PE deals.
+973 1710 3412                               In 2010, maximum deals (number/value) were seen in the UAE. The two most active
jjafar@tadhamoncapital.com
                                             sectors during 2005–2009 were industrial manufacturing and financial services. Data
                                             for 2010 indicates that information technology is an area of growing interest.
Osman Mian
+973 1710 3405            • PE sector faces key challenges of raising capital, limited openness of family groups for
omian@tadhamoncapital.com   PE investments, lack of experienced PE professionals and incentive structures in PE
                            firms, and limited corporate governance and information transparency in investment
                            targets.

                                           • PE in the MENA region seems to be moving towards the traditional model of adding
TADHAMON CAPITAL                             value to investee companies before exit rather than selling down shortly after closing
12 th Floor GBCorp Tower                     the transaction to generate returns. There will be a continued focus on smaller deals
Bahrain Financial Harbour
                                             and a growing trend of joint deals between PE institutions.
P.O. Box 75511
Manama
Kingdom of Bahrain                         • In the last few months the region has gone through unprecedented political change and
www.tadhamoncapital.com                      upheaval. Due to the resulting uncertainty, investment plans have either been deferred
                                             or delayed. Although North Africa is a region with investment potential, it will take some
                                             time in attracting PE investments. We might also now see capital increasingly being
                                             deployed outside the region.

 Private equity deals in MENA – Volume (Nos)                            Private equity deals in MENA – Value (USD bn)
                                                                               5.0                                                    200%
          120                                                  60%
          100                                                  40%             4.0                                                    150%

           80                                                  20%                                                                    100%
                                                                               3.0
           60                                                  0%                                                                     50%
                                                                               2.0
           40                                                  -20%                                                                   0%
           20                                                  -40%            1.0                                                    -50%
            0                                                  -60%            0.0                                                    -100%
                 2006     2007      2008      2009      2010
                                                                                      2006      2007      2008      2009      2010
                            No of deals    % change (YoY)
                                                                                             Value of deals (USD bn) % change (YoY)

 Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker               Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker
PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION




DEVELOPMENTS IN 2010

Fundraising activity
Private equity fundraising for MENA dropped below USD500mn-mark in 2010 - such level of fundraising was last seen in
2004. Data available from the Emerging Markets Private Equity Association (EMPEA) suggests that funds dedicated to the
MENA region raised a total of USD448.1mn in 2010, depicting a decline of 58.1% YoY. Annual average fundraisings in
2005–2009 stood at USD3.83bn.

As per the latest annual report from the Gulf Venture Capital Association (GVCA), about 84% of the total funds raised in the
last decade, were secured during 2005–2008. The report further suggests that the average fund size declined below the
USD200mn level in 2009, reflecting a shift in trend towards smaller funds and increased risk-aversion of Limited Partners
(LPs). Average fund size was USD227mn in 2007 and USD317mn in 2008.

                Private equity fundraising for MENA – 2005 to 2010 (USD mn)

                       8,000

                       7,000

                       6,000

                       5,000

                       4,000
                                                                              6,875
                       3,000
                                                               5,333
                       2,000
                                                 3,207
                                   2,669
                       1,000
                                                                                      1,070
                                                                                              448
                           0
                                   2005          2006          2007           2008    2009    2010


                Source: Emerging Markets Private Equity Association (EMPEA)



Notable MENA-focused private equity funds closed in 2010 include:

    •   Abraaj-Riyada Enterprise Development Growth Capital Fund (Abraaj Capital),

    •   ARC Real Estate Income Fund (Al Rajhi Capital and Arcapita Bank), and

    •   DB Masdar Clean Tech Fund (Swicorp)
PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION




DEVELOPMENTS IN 2010

Value of deals/investments
Private equity investments in MENA are exhibiting signs of a turnaround. At USD1.07bn, the total known investments in the
region in 2010 rose more than 67% YoY from USD0.64bn in 2009. Private equity investments averaged USD2.02bn over
2005–2009.

Abraaj Capital and Ithmar Capital concluded the two largest PE transactions (worth USD544.5mn and USD272.0mn,
respectively) in 2010. Average transaction size, however, has been small. At USD24mn in 2010, the average transaction
size is still half of the levels achieved in 2007.

MENA-based PE firms predominantly focus on the capital growth model, taking a small or large minority stake. This trend
can be attributed to the infancy of the private sector, nascent capital market regulations, and prevalence of family-owned
businesses.

Majority (56%) of the PE investments in MENA since 2005 were less than USD20mn in size, while 36% were in the
USD20mn–USD100mn range.

                Private equity investments in MENA – 2005 to 2010 (USD mn)

                     5,000                                                                                  120

                                                                                                            100
                     4,000

                                                                                                            80
                     3,000
                                                                                                            60
                                                           4,278
                     2,000
                                                                                                            40
                                                                           2,433
                     1,000                    2,027
                                                                                                            20
                                                                                                    1,067
                                  707                                                    639
                          0                                                                                 0
                                 2005         2006         2007            2008          2009       2010

                                         Size of deals (USD mn, LHS)               Number of deals (RHS)

                Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker
PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION




DEVELOPMENTS IN 2010

Investment by geography
Between 2005 and 2009, Egypt and the UAE attracted the largest share of all private equity deals. Egypt received
USD4.23bn (41.9%), while the UAE attracted USD2.54bn (25.2%) of PE investments (based on deal value reported).
However, in terms of number of deals, the UAE with 112 transactions stands above Egypt that recorded 82 deals. Key
private equity deals concluded in Egypt and the UAE over 2005–2009 include Abraaj Capital’s USD1,900mn investment in
Egyptian Fertilizers Company; Actis Capital’s USD244mn investment in Commercial International Bank; DIFC’s USD817mn
investment in Dubai Pearl Project; and ADCB Macquarie Infrastructure Fund’s USD188mn investment in ZonesCorp.

                                                                               Value of private equity deals by country – 2005-09 (USD
 No of private equity deals by country – 2005-09 (No’s)
                                                                               mn)

     100%                                                                          100%

       80%                                                           Others          80%                                                            Others

                                                                     Jordan                                                                         Jordan
       60%                                                                           60%                                                            Kuwait
                                                                     Kuwait
       40%                                                           KSA             40%                                                            KSA

                                                                     Egypt                                                                          Egypt
       20%                                                                           20%                                                            UAE
                                                                     UAE
        0%                                                                            0%
               2005      2006     2007      2008       2009                                  2005          2006   2007    2008      2009


 Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker                      Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker
 Note: Others include countries like Algeria, Bahrain, Iraq, Lebanon, Libya,   Note: Others include countries like Algeria, Bahrain, Iraq, Lebanon, Libya,
 Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Syria, Tunisia and Yemen                                Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Syria, Tunisia and Yemen



During 2010, the UAE accounted for approximately 81% (USD863.5mn) of all private equity investments in the MENA
region. Even in terms of number of deals, the country was by far the favorite destination. Other countries recording large
private equity activities were Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Lebanon. Some of the notable deals included Abraaj Capital’s
USD545mn investment in Network International, a payment solutions provider; Ithmar Capital’s USD272mn investment in Al
Noor Medical Company, a healthcare operator; ARC Real Estate Income Fund’s USD80mn investment in a logistics and
distribution center in Riyadh; Actis Capital’s undisclosed investment in Mediterranean Smart Cards Company; and Intel
Capital’s undisclosed investment in VoIP service provider, Nymgo.

 No of private equity deals by country – 2010 (No’s)                           Value of private equity deals by country – 2010 (USD mn)
                                                                                                            1%     1%
                                                                                                      2%
               16%                               21%                                             2%
                                                               UAE                                                                            UAE
                                                                                           13%
                                                               Egypt                                                                          KSA
          9%                                                   Lebanon                                                                        Bahrain

                                                               KSA                                                                            Kuwait

                                                    18%        Jordan                                                                         Egypt

                                                               Others                                                                         Others
             18%
                                                                                                                            81%
                                           18%
PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION




DEVELOPMENTS IN 2010

Investment by sector
The two most active sectors in terms of private equity capital raising/number of deals during 2005–2009 were:

(1) Industrial manufacturing – A total of 38 deals totaling USD2,357mn were reported during 2005–09 in this sector. PE
deal activity reached its peak in 2007, primarily due to the USD1,900mn investment by Abraaj Capital in Egyptian Fertilizers
Company and Intaj Capital’s USD100m investment in Lebanon-based Uniceramic.

(2) Financial Services – As many as 57 deals worth USD1,638mn were reported during 2005–09; most transactions were
executed between 2006 and 2008. Abraaj Capital’s USD501mn investment in EFG-Hermes; Swicorp’s USD64mn
investment in Amlak and Unicorn Investment Bank’s acquisition of Bahrain Financing Company were the prominent
transactions.

 No of private equity deals by sector – 2005-09 (No’s)                   Value of private equity deals by sector – 2005-09 (USD mn)

      100%                                                                    100%

       80%                                           Others                    80%                                           Others
                                                     Industrial Mfg.                                                         Industrial Mfg.
       60%                                                                     60%
                                                     Real Estate                                                             Real Estate

       40%                                           Information Tech.         40%                                           Information Tech.
                                                     Fin. Services                                                           Fin. Services
       20%                                           Services                  20%                                           Services

        0%                                                                      0%
              2005   2006   2007    2008   2009                                       2005   2006   2007    2008   2009


 Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker                Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker



A large number of private equity deals (nine deals totaling USD568mn) were recorded in the Information Technology sector
in 2010. The biggest transaction – Abraaj Capital’s USD545mn investment in Dubai-based Network International
contributed more than 95% to the total deal value of the Information Technology sector. Actis Capital’s investment in
Mediterranean Smart Cards Company was unreported. Three of the nine deals in the sector involved Lebanon-based
companies.

The services sector is the mainstay of the Lebanese economy, accounting for nearly 60% of the country’s GDP. According to
the World Bank, Lebanon receives massive overseas financial transfers and capital inflows—net foreign inflows of services,
capital, income and remittances contributed 60% to the country’s GDP in 2009.

Yet, basic industries like healthcare, education, and retail continue to attract private equity interest. As many as five deals
worth USD284mn were reported in the Healthcare sector in 2010.
PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION




DEVELOPMENTS IN 2010


 No of private equity deals by sector – 2010 (No’s)                         Value of private equity deals by sector – 2010 (USD mn)

                                                                                         2%   5%
           18%
                                                    Services                        6%                                        Information Tech.
                                         31%
                                                    Information Tech.             7%                                          Healthcare
    9%                                                                                                                        Real Estate
                                                    Financial Services

                                                    Healthcare                                                                Services
                                                                                                                       53%
                                                    Food                                                                      Financial Services
     11%
                                                    Others                                                                    Others
                                      20%                                           27%
            11%


 Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker                   Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker


Investments by deal size
Private equity firms in the MENA region usually seek a minority stake. Based on our findings, as much as 56% of all PE
investments in MENA since 2005 were less than USD20mn in size. Deals worth USD20mn or less accounted for 75% of all
deals (excluding unreported transactions) in 2005. This share fell below 50% in the boom period of 2007–2008, but
recouped to 53% in 2009. However, the number of deals between USD20mn–USD100mn has increased. In terms of the
overall share, such deals comprised of 30–35% of all deals in the last two years. In 2005, deals sized between USD20mn–
USD100mn accounted for just about 25% of overall deals.

                   Size of private equity deals in MENA – 2005 to 2010


                             100%

                               80%
                                                                                                      More than 1 bn
                               60%                                                                    500 to 1 bn
                                                                                                      100 to 500 mn
                               40%                                                                    20 to 100 mn
                                                                                                      Less than 20 mn
                               20%

                                0%
                                       2005      2006        2007        2008   2009      2010


                   Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker
PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION




CHALLENGES FOR MENA PRIVATE EQUITY INDUSTRY



Smaller funds/institutions struggle to raise money
Private equity firms in MENA have a substantial amount of dry powder (uncalled capital/uncommitted capital), led by
extensive fundraising over 2006–08. Of the estimated USD21.8bn fundraising between 2001 and 2010, nearly USD11.7bn
has been invested. However the dry powder in the MENA region is concentrated in selected large funds. Institutions which
had undertaken the majority of the PE investments during 2005-2009 are struggling to raise capital and execute
investments.

Limited openness by family groups
Most businesses in the MENA region are either family or government-owned. The former often treat their businesses as
prized assets that need to stay within the family, moving from one generation to the next. These family-owned business
enterprises in the region are not yet receptive to PE investors. Even if they accept the funding from a PE firm, most of them
offer minority ownership and are highly reluctant to share management control. Thus PE investors are unable to extend the
benefits of active management to an investee company.

In addition, the standard protective rights for PE investors in the West are also not offered making robust PE investments an
even more challenging endeavor. While reluctance to share the management control is a constraint with the funding to the
family owned businesses, government-owned institutions rarely seek private equity investors.

Small average deal size
As stakes sought are usually minor, the average size of private equity investments in the MENA region is small. Based on our
findings, as much as 56% of all PE investments in the MENA region since 2005 were less than USD20mn in size. Average
deal size in MENA reached a high of USD49mn in 2007 – about one-fourteenth of the average global deal size of
USD700mn during the same year.

The smaller deal size presents a significant challenge as PE funds/institutions need to execute and manage a larger number
of deals for the deployment of a smaller pool of capital as compared to their western counterparts.

Lack of expereinced PE professionals and appropriate incentive structures
Private equity professionals in MENA are comparatively new, and in many cases lack appropriate skill-sets. According to a
Bain & Company report, PE firms need to improve their due diligence processes—disciplines that are especially important in
the MENA region where a high proportion of potential target companies are small, private and lack transparency.
Furthermore, there is also a dearth of industry expertise within the PE firms as most organizations rely on finance
professionals who are more experienced in structuring transactions rather than managing companies in the post-acquisition
phase.

Lack of appropriate incentive structures similar to those practiced in the West have also not been formalized by most PE
institutions. Though the concept of carry programs has been introduced, the payout of incentives is still undertaken on a
discretionary basis. This leads to PE managers having short-term views of PE investments which was very evident during the
2005-2009 period. Most of the PE investments during this period were undertaken with a view to selling-down in a very
short timeframe rather than adding value to the investee companies.

PE institutions need to align, formalize and execute the incentive structures for the managers along the traditional PE
models.
PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION




CHALLENGES FOR MENA PRIVATE EQUITY INDUSTRY

Unrealistic expectations of limited partners (LPs)
The boom period of 2005-2008 saw many PE firms in the region generating returns through sell-downs and structuring to
generate fees upfront. The primary sectors for such investments, real estate and financial services, have suffered due to the
recent global economic crisis and the sell-down model has limited viability in the current environment. LPs expectations for
the timeframe of returns are yet to be aligned to the current market conditions and longer timeframe for profitable exits for
PE investments.

Lack of corporate governance/transparency
It has been argued that MENA-based companies score poorly in terms of levels of disclosure. Issues such as filing of annual
reports on time or/and in English as well as absence of an investor relations officer or a strong independent board to protect
minority shareholders’ rights continue to arise year after year. In addition, Boards are generally composed of key investors
and/or shareholders, rather than individuals with the necessary vision and experience to grow and develop the business.
PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION




The private equity industry has shown recovery in 2010, with investments in the MENA region rising about 67% to
USD1.07bn as against USD0.64bn in 2009. However fundraising activity remains subdued. After falling steeply in 2009, PE
fundraisings in the MENA fell 58.1% YoY to USD0.45bn in 2010. Yet, resurgence in funds deployment can be termed
healthy as it reflects the turnaround in the industry which had been trying to recover from the global financial crisis.

Move towards traditional PE deals
As mentioned previously, majority of the PE institutions in the MENA region simply focused on investments which could be
sold down to generate up-front revenues. Investing in companies and adding value through professional expertise has
received limited attention. However, as the PE space continues to evolve in the region, we expect the focus to shift towards
the PE players identifying assets where they can add considerable value post-acquisition through their expertise and reaping
the benefits of the growth upon a profitable exit. Skilled PE professionals who understand the operational dynamics of their
sectors are likely to see more demand for their expertise.

Focus on defensive sectors
Sectors such as real estate and financial services have been the focus areas for the PE funds during 2005-2009. However,
these two sectors were the worst hit by the global financial crisis, losing their sheen from the PE investment perspective. We
believe this has brought renewed focus on defensive sectors such as healthcare, food (production, processing and retail),
education and light manufacturing. The food sector has recently seen considerable interest from PE institutions both from
procuring food security and the increase in prices. Education and healthcare sectors are still in the early stages of
development in many of the MENA countries, but they hold significant growth potential.

Continued focus on small deals
As mentioned earlier, the average deal size has been declining since 2005. We expect this trend to continue in 2011 as
well. Over 50% of all private equity investments in the MENA region since 2005 were less than USD20mn in size. While the
average investment size was approximately USD10mn in 2005, it peaked at USD49mn in 2007. However, the global
financial meltdown seems to have reduced the appetite for large deals among the PE players, as seen, by the average deal
size of USD12mn in 2009. While 2010 saw a slight increase in the average deal size (USD23mn), we expect the trend of
small sized investments to continue for the foreseeable future.

Joint deal-making
Joint or club deals are likely to increase in the region. This will primarily be driven by two factors – (1) Shortage of
capital/investable money and, (2) Lack of expertise. Several small PE firms in the region, having invested most of the funds
raised previously, are still finding it hard to raise large sums. Hence, investing in a large transaction could encourage many
of them to consider joint-deals. In addition, lack of human capital makes it difficult for the firms to have GPs who have
expertise in different sectors. This could also be a driving factor for joint-deals, in our view.

Political Uncertainty
In a region known for its stability, political uncertainty and risk have over the last few months become key considerations.
Whereas Egypt may have passed the abyss and positive developments are emerging on the political front, Libya, Syria and
Yemen continue to confront issues of leadership and political change. As a result of this uncertainty, investors not already
committed to funds or transactions will tend to hold back and those already committed may even try and renegotiate their
commitments. PE funds and investors may also hold back on deploying new capital, until things start to look a bit clearer.
Although we will see diminished activity across the region, we believe that the trends identified above will however still apply
going forward.
PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION




OTHERS

Appendix 1: About Tadhamon Capital
Tadhamon Capital BSC (c) (Tadhamon) is a Shariah compliant investment company established in the Kingdom of Bahrain.
Tadhamon’s objective is to manage assets and deliver superior returns in Private Equity, Asset Management and Real
Estate.

Private Equity at Tadhamon Capital (PE) is focused on value creation through active collaboration with management in the
post-acquisition phase. Tadhamon aims to provide support to its portfolio companies to achieve growth and operational
excellence through active involvement at the Board and management levels. PE will acquire controlling ownership in the
investee companies with the objective of enhancing value-creation, guiding and defining financial and operational strategy
and managing the exit processes. Minority ownership opportunities will also be considered, however, with strong minority
protection and rights. Generally, PE will not invest in greenfield projects or companies.

PE has a defined selection criteria and each investment will have one or more of the characteristics set forth below:

    •   Leading companies within their markets or segments

    •   Clear growth potential and significant market opportunity

    •   Strong and established management team

    •   Identified value-add from partnership with Tadhamon

    •   Profitable history

    •   Clear exit opportunities

PE will target investment opportunities in the MENA region, with a specific focus on GCC countries, and a wider focus on
Malaysia, Indonesia, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Singapore. On an opportunistic basis, PE will also consider potential
investments in other geographic regions.

PE focuses mainly on investment opportunities in the following sectors, but will also evaluate potential investments in other
sectors on an opportunistic basis.

    •   Consumer and Retail

    •   Food and Agribusiness

    •   Logistics

    •   Services

Since inception PE has invested over USD40mn in key transactions. It is currently reviewing a number of opportunities in its
target sectors and is also working on a private equity fund initiative.
PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION




OTHERS

Appendix 2: Research methodology
We commenced this study by extracting data related to private equity deals in MENA from Zawya Private Equity Monitor and
Thomson ONE Banker. The data was then filtered for:

   •    MENA, in this report, refers to Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Oman, Qatar,
        Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, the UAE and Yemen.

   •    Deals involving government agencies, particularly Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs), were excluded.

   •    All companies involved in the private equity transactions were segregated under 12 sectors: Construction,
        Consumer Goods, Financial Services, Food, Healthcare, Industrial Manufacturing, Information Technology, Oil and
        Gas, Real Estate, Services, transport, and Others.

   •    Investment in MENA based companies by all funds (MENA based and funds based outside of MENA) were
        considered for the purpose of analysis.

   •    “Value of the transactions” refers to the disclosed value of the transactions. Transaction values were not disclosed
        in many cases.

Emerging Markets Private Equity Association, Gulf Venture Capital Association, and Zawya Private Equity Monitor were the
main sources for compilation of private equity fundraising related data.
PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION




OTHERS

References
   •   The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania

   •   Emerging Markets Private Equity Association (EMPEA)

   •   Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC)

   •   Gulf Venture Capital Association (GVCA)

   •   The Boston Consulting Group

   •   Global Investment House

   •   Harvard Business School

   •   Deloitte & Touche

   •   Booz & Company

   •   Bain & Company

   •   Ernst & Young

   •   PEI Research

   •   World Bank

   •   INSEAD

   •   Zawya

   •   KPMG

   •   Preqin

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Private equity deals in MENA rise 67

  • 1. PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION April 2011 OVERVIEW The objective of this Research Note is to analyze Private Equity (PE) activity in the MENA region during 2005-2010 with a special emphasis on 2010. The note discusses fundraising and PE investments by geography, sector and size during 2005-2010. Studying the trend of the past 5 years and the key challenges in light of the global economic downturn, the note presents key conclusions for PE investments in 2011 and beyond in the MENA region. • In 2010, Private Equity fundraising in the MENA further declined to reach close to the levels seen in 2004. During the year, General Partners (GPs) managed fundraisings worth USD448.1mn against USD1.07bn in 2009 according to Emerging Markets Private Equity Association (EMPEA). • PE deals/transactions worth USD1.07bn were announced in the MENA region in 2010. This depicts an increase of approximately 67% over the USD0.64bn recorded in 2009, but a decline of 47% over the 2005–2009 average. Junaid Jafar • Between 2005 and 2009, Egypt and the UAE attracted the largest number of PE deals. +973 1710 3412 In 2010, maximum deals (number/value) were seen in the UAE. The two most active jjafar@tadhamoncapital.com sectors during 2005–2009 were industrial manufacturing and financial services. Data for 2010 indicates that information technology is an area of growing interest. Osman Mian +973 1710 3405 • PE sector faces key challenges of raising capital, limited openness of family groups for omian@tadhamoncapital.com PE investments, lack of experienced PE professionals and incentive structures in PE firms, and limited corporate governance and information transparency in investment targets. • PE in the MENA region seems to be moving towards the traditional model of adding TADHAMON CAPITAL value to investee companies before exit rather than selling down shortly after closing 12 th Floor GBCorp Tower the transaction to generate returns. There will be a continued focus on smaller deals Bahrain Financial Harbour and a growing trend of joint deals between PE institutions. P.O. Box 75511 Manama Kingdom of Bahrain • In the last few months the region has gone through unprecedented political change and www.tadhamoncapital.com upheaval. Due to the resulting uncertainty, investment plans have either been deferred or delayed. Although North Africa is a region with investment potential, it will take some time in attracting PE investments. We might also now see capital increasingly being deployed outside the region. Private equity deals in MENA – Volume (Nos) Private equity deals in MENA – Value (USD bn) 5.0 200% 120 60% 100 40% 4.0 150% 80 20% 100% 3.0 60 0% 50% 2.0 40 -20% 0% 20 -40% 1.0 -50% 0 -60% 0.0 -100% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 No of deals % change (YoY) Value of deals (USD bn) % change (YoY) Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker
  • 2. PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION DEVELOPMENTS IN 2010 Fundraising activity Private equity fundraising for MENA dropped below USD500mn-mark in 2010 - such level of fundraising was last seen in 2004. Data available from the Emerging Markets Private Equity Association (EMPEA) suggests that funds dedicated to the MENA region raised a total of USD448.1mn in 2010, depicting a decline of 58.1% YoY. Annual average fundraisings in 2005–2009 stood at USD3.83bn. As per the latest annual report from the Gulf Venture Capital Association (GVCA), about 84% of the total funds raised in the last decade, were secured during 2005–2008. The report further suggests that the average fund size declined below the USD200mn level in 2009, reflecting a shift in trend towards smaller funds and increased risk-aversion of Limited Partners (LPs). Average fund size was USD227mn in 2007 and USD317mn in 2008. Private equity fundraising for MENA – 2005 to 2010 (USD mn) 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 6,875 3,000 5,333 2,000 3,207 2,669 1,000 1,070 448 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Emerging Markets Private Equity Association (EMPEA) Notable MENA-focused private equity funds closed in 2010 include: • Abraaj-Riyada Enterprise Development Growth Capital Fund (Abraaj Capital), • ARC Real Estate Income Fund (Al Rajhi Capital and Arcapita Bank), and • DB Masdar Clean Tech Fund (Swicorp)
  • 3. PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION DEVELOPMENTS IN 2010 Value of deals/investments Private equity investments in MENA are exhibiting signs of a turnaround. At USD1.07bn, the total known investments in the region in 2010 rose more than 67% YoY from USD0.64bn in 2009. Private equity investments averaged USD2.02bn over 2005–2009. Abraaj Capital and Ithmar Capital concluded the two largest PE transactions (worth USD544.5mn and USD272.0mn, respectively) in 2010. Average transaction size, however, has been small. At USD24mn in 2010, the average transaction size is still half of the levels achieved in 2007. MENA-based PE firms predominantly focus on the capital growth model, taking a small or large minority stake. This trend can be attributed to the infancy of the private sector, nascent capital market regulations, and prevalence of family-owned businesses. Majority (56%) of the PE investments in MENA since 2005 were less than USD20mn in size, while 36% were in the USD20mn–USD100mn range. Private equity investments in MENA – 2005 to 2010 (USD mn) 5,000 120 100 4,000 80 3,000 60 4,278 2,000 40 2,433 1,000 2,027 20 1,067 707 639 0 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Size of deals (USD mn, LHS) Number of deals (RHS) Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker
  • 4. PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION DEVELOPMENTS IN 2010 Investment by geography Between 2005 and 2009, Egypt and the UAE attracted the largest share of all private equity deals. Egypt received USD4.23bn (41.9%), while the UAE attracted USD2.54bn (25.2%) of PE investments (based on deal value reported). However, in terms of number of deals, the UAE with 112 transactions stands above Egypt that recorded 82 deals. Key private equity deals concluded in Egypt and the UAE over 2005–2009 include Abraaj Capital’s USD1,900mn investment in Egyptian Fertilizers Company; Actis Capital’s USD244mn investment in Commercial International Bank; DIFC’s USD817mn investment in Dubai Pearl Project; and ADCB Macquarie Infrastructure Fund’s USD188mn investment in ZonesCorp. Value of private equity deals by country – 2005-09 (USD No of private equity deals by country – 2005-09 (No’s) mn) 100% 100% 80% Others 80% Others Jordan Jordan 60% 60% Kuwait Kuwait 40% KSA 40% KSA Egypt Egypt 20% 20% UAE UAE 0% 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker Note: Others include countries like Algeria, Bahrain, Iraq, Lebanon, Libya, Note: Others include countries like Algeria, Bahrain, Iraq, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Syria, Tunisia and Yemen Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Syria, Tunisia and Yemen During 2010, the UAE accounted for approximately 81% (USD863.5mn) of all private equity investments in the MENA region. Even in terms of number of deals, the country was by far the favorite destination. Other countries recording large private equity activities were Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Lebanon. Some of the notable deals included Abraaj Capital’s USD545mn investment in Network International, a payment solutions provider; Ithmar Capital’s USD272mn investment in Al Noor Medical Company, a healthcare operator; ARC Real Estate Income Fund’s USD80mn investment in a logistics and distribution center in Riyadh; Actis Capital’s undisclosed investment in Mediterranean Smart Cards Company; and Intel Capital’s undisclosed investment in VoIP service provider, Nymgo. No of private equity deals by country – 2010 (No’s) Value of private equity deals by country – 2010 (USD mn) 1% 1% 2% 16% 21% 2% UAE UAE 13% Egypt KSA 9% Lebanon Bahrain KSA Kuwait 18% Jordan Egypt Others Others 18% 81% 18%
  • 5. PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION DEVELOPMENTS IN 2010 Investment by sector The two most active sectors in terms of private equity capital raising/number of deals during 2005–2009 were: (1) Industrial manufacturing – A total of 38 deals totaling USD2,357mn were reported during 2005–09 in this sector. PE deal activity reached its peak in 2007, primarily due to the USD1,900mn investment by Abraaj Capital in Egyptian Fertilizers Company and Intaj Capital’s USD100m investment in Lebanon-based Uniceramic. (2) Financial Services – As many as 57 deals worth USD1,638mn were reported during 2005–09; most transactions were executed between 2006 and 2008. Abraaj Capital’s USD501mn investment in EFG-Hermes; Swicorp’s USD64mn investment in Amlak and Unicorn Investment Bank’s acquisition of Bahrain Financing Company were the prominent transactions. No of private equity deals by sector – 2005-09 (No’s) Value of private equity deals by sector – 2005-09 (USD mn) 100% 100% 80% Others 80% Others Industrial Mfg. Industrial Mfg. 60% 60% Real Estate Real Estate 40% Information Tech. 40% Information Tech. Fin. Services Fin. Services 20% Services 20% Services 0% 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker A large number of private equity deals (nine deals totaling USD568mn) were recorded in the Information Technology sector in 2010. The biggest transaction – Abraaj Capital’s USD545mn investment in Dubai-based Network International contributed more than 95% to the total deal value of the Information Technology sector. Actis Capital’s investment in Mediterranean Smart Cards Company was unreported. Three of the nine deals in the sector involved Lebanon-based companies. The services sector is the mainstay of the Lebanese economy, accounting for nearly 60% of the country’s GDP. According to the World Bank, Lebanon receives massive overseas financial transfers and capital inflows—net foreign inflows of services, capital, income and remittances contributed 60% to the country’s GDP in 2009. Yet, basic industries like healthcare, education, and retail continue to attract private equity interest. As many as five deals worth USD284mn were reported in the Healthcare sector in 2010.
  • 6. PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION DEVELOPMENTS IN 2010 No of private equity deals by sector – 2010 (No’s) Value of private equity deals by sector – 2010 (USD mn) 2% 5% 18% Services 6% Information Tech. 31% Information Tech. 7% Healthcare 9% Real Estate Financial Services Healthcare Services 53% Food Financial Services 11% Others Others 20% 27% 11% Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker Investments by deal size Private equity firms in the MENA region usually seek a minority stake. Based on our findings, as much as 56% of all PE investments in MENA since 2005 were less than USD20mn in size. Deals worth USD20mn or less accounted for 75% of all deals (excluding unreported transactions) in 2005. This share fell below 50% in the boom period of 2007–2008, but recouped to 53% in 2009. However, the number of deals between USD20mn–USD100mn has increased. In terms of the overall share, such deals comprised of 30–35% of all deals in the last two years. In 2005, deals sized between USD20mn– USD100mn accounted for just about 25% of overall deals. Size of private equity deals in MENA – 2005 to 2010 100% 80% More than 1 bn 60% 500 to 1 bn 100 to 500 mn 40% 20 to 100 mn Less than 20 mn 20% 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Zawya Private Equity Monitor, Thomson ONE Banker
  • 7. PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION CHALLENGES FOR MENA PRIVATE EQUITY INDUSTRY Smaller funds/institutions struggle to raise money Private equity firms in MENA have a substantial amount of dry powder (uncalled capital/uncommitted capital), led by extensive fundraising over 2006–08. Of the estimated USD21.8bn fundraising between 2001 and 2010, nearly USD11.7bn has been invested. However the dry powder in the MENA region is concentrated in selected large funds. Institutions which had undertaken the majority of the PE investments during 2005-2009 are struggling to raise capital and execute investments. Limited openness by family groups Most businesses in the MENA region are either family or government-owned. The former often treat their businesses as prized assets that need to stay within the family, moving from one generation to the next. These family-owned business enterprises in the region are not yet receptive to PE investors. Even if they accept the funding from a PE firm, most of them offer minority ownership and are highly reluctant to share management control. Thus PE investors are unable to extend the benefits of active management to an investee company. In addition, the standard protective rights for PE investors in the West are also not offered making robust PE investments an even more challenging endeavor. While reluctance to share the management control is a constraint with the funding to the family owned businesses, government-owned institutions rarely seek private equity investors. Small average deal size As stakes sought are usually minor, the average size of private equity investments in the MENA region is small. Based on our findings, as much as 56% of all PE investments in the MENA region since 2005 were less than USD20mn in size. Average deal size in MENA reached a high of USD49mn in 2007 – about one-fourteenth of the average global deal size of USD700mn during the same year. The smaller deal size presents a significant challenge as PE funds/institutions need to execute and manage a larger number of deals for the deployment of a smaller pool of capital as compared to their western counterparts. Lack of expereinced PE professionals and appropriate incentive structures Private equity professionals in MENA are comparatively new, and in many cases lack appropriate skill-sets. According to a Bain & Company report, PE firms need to improve their due diligence processes—disciplines that are especially important in the MENA region where a high proportion of potential target companies are small, private and lack transparency. Furthermore, there is also a dearth of industry expertise within the PE firms as most organizations rely on finance professionals who are more experienced in structuring transactions rather than managing companies in the post-acquisition phase. Lack of appropriate incentive structures similar to those practiced in the West have also not been formalized by most PE institutions. Though the concept of carry programs has been introduced, the payout of incentives is still undertaken on a discretionary basis. This leads to PE managers having short-term views of PE investments which was very evident during the 2005-2009 period. Most of the PE investments during this period were undertaken with a view to selling-down in a very short timeframe rather than adding value to the investee companies. PE institutions need to align, formalize and execute the incentive structures for the managers along the traditional PE models.
  • 8. PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION CHALLENGES FOR MENA PRIVATE EQUITY INDUSTRY Unrealistic expectations of limited partners (LPs) The boom period of 2005-2008 saw many PE firms in the region generating returns through sell-downs and structuring to generate fees upfront. The primary sectors for such investments, real estate and financial services, have suffered due to the recent global economic crisis and the sell-down model has limited viability in the current environment. LPs expectations for the timeframe of returns are yet to be aligned to the current market conditions and longer timeframe for profitable exits for PE investments. Lack of corporate governance/transparency It has been argued that MENA-based companies score poorly in terms of levels of disclosure. Issues such as filing of annual reports on time or/and in English as well as absence of an investor relations officer or a strong independent board to protect minority shareholders’ rights continue to arise year after year. In addition, Boards are generally composed of key investors and/or shareholders, rather than individuals with the necessary vision and experience to grow and develop the business.
  • 9. PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION The private equity industry has shown recovery in 2010, with investments in the MENA region rising about 67% to USD1.07bn as against USD0.64bn in 2009. However fundraising activity remains subdued. After falling steeply in 2009, PE fundraisings in the MENA fell 58.1% YoY to USD0.45bn in 2010. Yet, resurgence in funds deployment can be termed healthy as it reflects the turnaround in the industry which had been trying to recover from the global financial crisis. Move towards traditional PE deals As mentioned previously, majority of the PE institutions in the MENA region simply focused on investments which could be sold down to generate up-front revenues. Investing in companies and adding value through professional expertise has received limited attention. However, as the PE space continues to evolve in the region, we expect the focus to shift towards the PE players identifying assets where they can add considerable value post-acquisition through their expertise and reaping the benefits of the growth upon a profitable exit. Skilled PE professionals who understand the operational dynamics of their sectors are likely to see more demand for their expertise. Focus on defensive sectors Sectors such as real estate and financial services have been the focus areas for the PE funds during 2005-2009. However, these two sectors were the worst hit by the global financial crisis, losing their sheen from the PE investment perspective. We believe this has brought renewed focus on defensive sectors such as healthcare, food (production, processing and retail), education and light manufacturing. The food sector has recently seen considerable interest from PE institutions both from procuring food security and the increase in prices. Education and healthcare sectors are still in the early stages of development in many of the MENA countries, but they hold significant growth potential. Continued focus on small deals As mentioned earlier, the average deal size has been declining since 2005. We expect this trend to continue in 2011 as well. Over 50% of all private equity investments in the MENA region since 2005 were less than USD20mn in size. While the average investment size was approximately USD10mn in 2005, it peaked at USD49mn in 2007. However, the global financial meltdown seems to have reduced the appetite for large deals among the PE players, as seen, by the average deal size of USD12mn in 2009. While 2010 saw a slight increase in the average deal size (USD23mn), we expect the trend of small sized investments to continue for the foreseeable future. Joint deal-making Joint or club deals are likely to increase in the region. This will primarily be driven by two factors – (1) Shortage of capital/investable money and, (2) Lack of expertise. Several small PE firms in the region, having invested most of the funds raised previously, are still finding it hard to raise large sums. Hence, investing in a large transaction could encourage many of them to consider joint-deals. In addition, lack of human capital makes it difficult for the firms to have GPs who have expertise in different sectors. This could also be a driving factor for joint-deals, in our view. Political Uncertainty In a region known for its stability, political uncertainty and risk have over the last few months become key considerations. Whereas Egypt may have passed the abyss and positive developments are emerging on the political front, Libya, Syria and Yemen continue to confront issues of leadership and political change. As a result of this uncertainty, investors not already committed to funds or transactions will tend to hold back and those already committed may even try and renegotiate their commitments. PE funds and investors may also hold back on deploying new capital, until things start to look a bit clearer. Although we will see diminished activity across the region, we believe that the trends identified above will however still apply going forward.
  • 10. PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION OTHERS Appendix 1: About Tadhamon Capital Tadhamon Capital BSC (c) (Tadhamon) is a Shariah compliant investment company established in the Kingdom of Bahrain. Tadhamon’s objective is to manage assets and deliver superior returns in Private Equity, Asset Management and Real Estate. Private Equity at Tadhamon Capital (PE) is focused on value creation through active collaboration with management in the post-acquisition phase. Tadhamon aims to provide support to its portfolio companies to achieve growth and operational excellence through active involvement at the Board and management levels. PE will acquire controlling ownership in the investee companies with the objective of enhancing value-creation, guiding and defining financial and operational strategy and managing the exit processes. Minority ownership opportunities will also be considered, however, with strong minority protection and rights. Generally, PE will not invest in greenfield projects or companies. PE has a defined selection criteria and each investment will have one or more of the characteristics set forth below: • Leading companies within their markets or segments • Clear growth potential and significant market opportunity • Strong and established management team • Identified value-add from partnership with Tadhamon • Profitable history • Clear exit opportunities PE will target investment opportunities in the MENA region, with a specific focus on GCC countries, and a wider focus on Malaysia, Indonesia, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Singapore. On an opportunistic basis, PE will also consider potential investments in other geographic regions. PE focuses mainly on investment opportunities in the following sectors, but will also evaluate potential investments in other sectors on an opportunistic basis. • Consumer and Retail • Food and Agribusiness • Logistics • Services Since inception PE has invested over USD40mn in key transactions. It is currently reviewing a number of opportunities in its target sectors and is also working on a private equity fund initiative.
  • 11. PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION OTHERS Appendix 2: Research methodology We commenced this study by extracting data related to private equity deals in MENA from Zawya Private Equity Monitor and Thomson ONE Banker. The data was then filtered for: • MENA, in this report, refers to Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, the UAE and Yemen. • Deals involving government agencies, particularly Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs), were excluded. • All companies involved in the private equity transactions were segregated under 12 sectors: Construction, Consumer Goods, Financial Services, Food, Healthcare, Industrial Manufacturing, Information Technology, Oil and Gas, Real Estate, Services, transport, and Others. • Investment in MENA based companies by all funds (MENA based and funds based outside of MENA) were considered for the purpose of analysis. • “Value of the transactions” refers to the disclosed value of the transactions. Transaction values were not disclosed in many cases. Emerging Markets Private Equity Association, Gulf Venture Capital Association, and Zawya Private Equity Monitor were the main sources for compilation of private equity fundraising related data.
  • 12. PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE MENA REGION OTHERS References • The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania • Emerging Markets Private Equity Association (EMPEA) • Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) • Gulf Venture Capital Association (GVCA) • The Boston Consulting Group • Global Investment House • Harvard Business School • Deloitte & Touche • Booz & Company • Bain & Company • Ernst & Young • PEI Research • World Bank • INSEAD • Zawya • KPMG • Preqin