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The 10th annual CIO Bootcamp January 2010 in Cesarea

The 10th annual CIO Bootcamp January 2010 in Cesarea

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  • The U.S. and the global economies are coming to a crossroads that no one could have anticipated just a few years ago. Globalization and technology together are creating the potential for startling changes in how we do our jobs and the offices we do them in. Offshoring, for one, means work can be broken into smaller tasks and redistributed around the world. And the rapid growth of broader, richer channels of communication—including virtual worlds—is transforming what it means to be "at work." the impact of technology on the workplace, ranging from improved telecommuting to new techniques that help sleep-deprived workers, a serious problem in many occupations. In the future, advances in communication could enable new forms of workplace organization and mass collaboration of an unprecedented sort.

STKI 10th Annual 2010 CIO Bootcamp STKI 10th Annual 2010 CIO Bootcamp Presentation Transcript

  • 2010 CIO BOOTCAMP
    WHAT A YEAR IT WILL BE:
    CAN WE FIND THE RIGHT BALANCE
    Dr. Jimmy Schwarzkopf
    Research Fellow
    jimmy@stki.info
  • 2
  • www.stki.info
    3
  • 4
  • Digital Disruption: Mother of all Disruptions
    Internet Revolution
    Computer Revolution
    Industrial Revolution
    1 – 2010 AD
    “Industrial Information Economy”
    Source: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/31/World_GDP_Capita_1-2003_A.D.png
    5
  • Globalization and Technology
    “Globalization and technology together are creating the potential for startling changes in how we do our jobs and the offices we do them in.
    …the rapid growth of broader, richer channels of communication – including virtual worlds – is transforming what it means to be at work.”
    Business Week “The Future of Work”
    “Wealth in the new economy flows directly from innovation, not optimization”
    Kevin Kelly
    Wired Magazine
    6
  • Is this innovation ????
    7
  • 8
  • -"The fact of the matter is, this is not a downturn, this is a bit of a reset”-
    9
    Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer : CES keynote speech 6/1/2010
  • 10
  • Virtually free and unlimited:bandwidth and storage
    Storage and bandwidth, already fairly substantial, are improving performance and cost efficiency even faster than processor speed is . 
    The marginal cost is falling to practically zero.
    Abundance Economy
    11
  • “Waste Transistors”
    12
  • “Waste Storage”
    “Over 2775.261837 megabytes (and counting) of free storage so you'll never need to delete another message”
    (Remember “Your mailbox is full”? What was that about?)
    13
  • “Waste Bandwidth”
    14
  • Scarcity
    Abundance
    15
  • The Abundance of Choice
    16
  • The Market Has Changed
    We
    Have
    everything
    we
    NEED
    So now,
    we buy only
    what
    we
    WANT
    17
  • Scarcity
    Abundance
    18
  • Scarcity
    Abundance
    19
  • Scarcity
    Abundance
    20
  • The way we market and our products and services
    Biggest change of all
    21
  • “Businesses can no longer rely on traditional forms of "interruption marketing" in magazines, mailings, telemarketing, radio or television”.
    “Permission Marketing”
    22
  • “Permission Marketing” is the opposite of “Interruption” Marketing
    It doesn’t interrupt people’s time, space or peace of mind
    23
  • What is our first question?
    New relationship
    marketing
    24
  • So only the people who are genuinely interested in what you’re selling, hear from you...
    ...you're on your way to establishing a long-term relationship with them and making a sale
    25
  • 26
    What is happening today?
  • Disruptive Innovations
    27
    disruptive innovation
  • We may be at one of those moments now:Industrial Information Technologies
    r
    SPEED
    Infinite bandwidth and going for real-time data
    SCALE
    Unprecedented processing power and storage sizes
    SENSORS
    New kinds of data and data analysis
    28
  • When will have Industrial Revolution Machines ?
    The Austin 7 was produced
    from 1922 through to 1939
     by the Austin Motor Company. 
    33 years
    The Karl Benz Patent Motorwagen (or motorcar), built in 1885, is widely regarded as the first automobile, that is, a vehicle designed to be propelled by a motor.
    29
  • 30
  • 31
  • Winners and losers: who now?
    32
  • Innovation: Forgetting Assumptions
    Trends that will Shape the Digital World over the Next Decade
  • CIO Agenda?
    34
  • Technology adoption life cycle
    Industrial Information Technologies:
    Business Event Processing
    Data Center Management
    Cloud Computing
    Industry in a Box
    Mobile
    Web 3
    MassMarket
    Adoption
    LateAdopters
    Early Adopters
    The Chasm
    Technology Enthusiasts
    Pragmatists
    Conservatives
    Sceptics
    Visionaries
    Adapted from Geoffrey Moore’s “Crossing the Chasm”
  • Business Event Processing
    Every 20 years a new disruptive innovation changes the way we do IT
    2010s
    1990s
    1970s
  • Business Event Processing
  • Business Event Processing
    38
  • Business Event Processing:when and what
  • The IT ecosystem:
  • Balancing Act
    42
  • Risk related to “cost cutting”
    43
  • 2009: one of the worst years in history
    45
    100s different
    Software products
    Energy waste
    25% utilization x86 servers
    30% max in
    Storage Utilization
    Ala-carte
    telecomm services
    Hundreds of Enterprise Processes
    24X7
    complexity
    unstable
  • Standardized Equipment Economies Of Scale
    46
    * From SYMANTEC
  • What do we expect by 2011
    Service Delivery
    Operational
    Service Mgmt
    Financial Mgmt
    Service Support
    Governance and
    Risk Mgmt
    Resource Mgmt
    IT Prjct & Prtf Mgmt
    IT Asset Mgmt
    Service Automation
    CMBD
    Governance
    • IT alignment
    • Cost transparency
    • Cost mgmt
    • Risk mgmt
    • Supplier mgmt
    • Contract mgmt
    • HR mgmt
  • Computing Platform Lifecycle
  • 1980 -2010 Platform Lifecycle
    2010s ?
  • Industry in a Box Companies
    50
  • Virtual Connectvirtualized LAN and SANconnections
    Insight SoftwareCapacity PlanningOrchestrationDisaster Recovery
    StorageWorks EVA SAN
    (Note: Matrix supports any c-Class certified FC SAN target)
    Integrity andProLiant blade servers
    All-in-One Services, plus ProLiant iCAP and pay as you grow financing
    What’s under the hood
    51
  • 52
    What’s under the hood 2
  • A huge paradigm shift is underway
    53
  • 54
  • Cloud Service Layers
    Service
    Providers
    Service Users
    Cloud End-User Services (SaaS)
    Cloud Platform Services (PaaS)
    Cloud Providers
    Cloud Infrastructure Services (IaaS)
    Physical Infrastructure
  • Example: Desktop Cloud
    56
  • Cloud Computing: Application Models
    On Demand
    CPUs
    Printing
    Service
    CRM
    Service
    User
    Office
    Apps
    Data
    Storage
    Service
    Cloud
    Provider #1
    Enterprise
    Cloud
    Provider #2
    Backup
    Service
    Service
    Employee
    Service
    ILM
    Service
    Service
    Service 3
    Business
    Apps/Service
    Internal Cloud

    The
    Internet


  • Delegating the Power to the Cloud
    58
  • 59
  • 60
  • If looks could kill
    Examples of
    “new decade”
    innovation
    61
  • What is Amazon ?
    “Man is the creator of change in this world.
    As such he should be above systems and
    structures, and not subordinate to them.”
    62
  • 63
  • Downloads works in Israel
    and also
    Hebrew pdf s
    64
  • “Wealth in the new economy flows directly from innovation, not optimization”
    Kevin Kelly
    Wired Magazine
    3 trends that will Shape the Digital World over the Next Decade
    65
  • 66
  • Platform vs. Open vs. Reliable
    Obama staffers could not  work: a  "generation" gap in technology
    Looks like the Bush administration, like many organizations worldwide,  used old reliable Microsoft
    67
  • WiMax
    64-128 GB
    68
  • iSlate:
    69
  • 70
  • 71
  • iPhone Israeli Ecosystem: 1+ million devices and 100,000 applications
    2 billion downloads
  • 73
  • Example of applications
    74
  • Starbucks iPhone app
  • Finance Applications
    76
  • Other ecosystems: blackberry
    77
  • 78
  • 79
  • 80
  • Google Wave
    81
  • Google into other things?
    Crome OS
    Nexus 1 Android
    82
  • 83
  • 84
  • Three models for mass behavior
    1841 2004 1984
    Mass folly:
    • Real opportunity
    • Excitement
    • Greed
    • Speculation
    • Corruption
    • Fear/panic
    • Collapse
    • Restoration
    Emergent:
    • Complex systems
    • Maths, physics
    • Cellular automata
    • Biology, evolution
    • Organizational dynamics
    • Social systems
    • Network dynamics
    • Adaptation, robustness
    Collective judgment:
    • Cooperative space
    • Diverse participants
    • Honest participation
    • Opinion independence
    • Equality of opinion
    • Clear tasks
    • Accepted rules
    • System confidence
    85
  • Croudsourcing: Markets 2.0
    • Traditional market 1.0 model: central organization serving many individuals
    • Large-scale impersonal markets
    • Low preference expression
    • Market 2.0 model: flexible dynamic capital allocation systems that provide democratic, more immediate, low-cost, affinity-directed capital
    • Benefits to individuals: freedom, convenience, preferences articulation
    • Benefits to groups: virtual aggregation of group power to conduct transactions
    Traditional Market 1.0 Model
    Market 2.0 Models
    Many: One
    Peer finance
    One: Many
    Affinity purchasing
    Many: Many
    Prediction markets
    Peer philanthropy
    86
  • WEB 1.0: Media companies put content in the web and push it to users
    .
    Low content variety
    Content production is slow and expensive
    Professional authors
    Create content based on what they think people want
    Managers
    Hand-manage publishing businesses
    Push!
    Push!
    Users = consumers
    Users consume professionally produced content
    87
  • WEB 2.0: New platforms allow users to generate content themselves
    High content variety
    dramatically increases, while technical quality goes down.
    User generated content
    Blogs, videos, photos, music etc.
    Authoring platforms
    enable everyone to publish!
    Web2.0 managers
    are hand-managing the platforms
    Professional authors
    can still publish, but are competing with – everyone!
    Users = authors
    users generate content
    88
  • METAweb (web 3): Business platforms empower everyone to become a (media) entrepreneur
    Business tools
    Full scale media management tools for everyone
    User generated content
    Blogs, videos, photos, music etc.
    User generated business
    Premium content, advertising, e-commerce
    Business platforms
    Everyone can manage
    Authoring platforms
    enable everyone to publish!
    Build business
    Publish
    Users = entrepreneurs
    users generate business!
    89
  • web1.0
    web2.0
    METAweb
    Management
    Delivery
    Creation
    So what are the differences ?
    90
  • 91
  • Tribes: a group of people connected to one another, connected to a leader, and connected to an idea.
    Discussion:
    What builds tribes?
    What kills tribes?
    What sustains tribes?
    92
  • Study by Prof. Granovetter shows that weak links are better than strong
    • Strong Links: More motivation to help you, since they know you better
    • Weak Links : Likely less overlap with leads you can easily get elsewhere
    Most job referrals come through those who we see rarely: old school friends, former co-workers, etc.
    93
  • 94
  • Enterprise social software is growing…
    95
    blogs
    forums
    microblogging
    wikis
    video
    social bookmarking
    photos
    podcasts
  • …but we’re creating a new set of silos.
    96
    Book-marks
    Microblogs
    Blogs
    Photos
    Podcasts
    Wikis
    Video
    Forums
  • Video
    Wikis
    Forums
    Microblogs
    Podcasts
    Blogs
    Bookmarks
    Photos
    New “family”
    of products
    Tying together enterprise social software
    97
  • What do I use ????
    • Blogs:
    • IT related
    • Economics
    • Musical taste:
    • ITunes
    • Books and others:
    • Amazon
    • Social Capital
    • LinkedIn
    • groups
    • Xing
    • Facebook
    • No longer need a memory
    • Google
    • Yahoo
    • Wikipedia
    • Twitter
    • Personal Information
    • Smartphone tells me about birthdays, phones, addresses
    98
    98
  • 99
  • What do you use ?
    Social Technographics™ Josh Bernoff, co-author of Groundswell
    100
  • 101
  • 010
    Thank you
    Dr. Jimmy Schwarzkopf
    102