Slideshow transcript
Slide 1: © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 1
Slide 2: Agenda 1. Methodology 3. Trends 5. Architectures 7. Vendor-User relations 9. New views 11. Israeli Market 13. Vendor Tiers © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 2
Slide 3: METHODOLOGY • Surveys: • 98 IT departments • 40 providers of IT products and services • Interviews: • 60 CIOs personally • over 150 second level by STKI analysts • Over 20 round tables (users-only meetings at STKI) done during the last 6 months © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 3
Slide 4: HISTORY In 1986 I did the first ISRAELI IT MARKET study for Digital Equipment. Since then I have made a complete study every year. That makes this one my © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 4
Slide 5: People ask me if in 2007 : © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 5
Slide 6: or Innovation War driven by: 6.Cheap basic technologies 7.New disruptive technologies © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 6
Slide 7: Cheap Technology: The Ultimate Driver... Jimmy ’s Law: Memory, bandwidth and computing power continue to decrease in cost.. exponentially 1,000,000 100,000 10,000 Bandwidth Cost of sending 1 trillion bits Logarithmic 1,000 Storage Cost of 1 megabyte storage Scale 100 (3) 10 US $ - Computing Cost of 1 MHz processor speed 1 75 85 95 07 0.1 10 Source : Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 7
Slide 8: ...and the effect on networks When the network is as fast as the computer’s internal links, the machine disintegrates across the net into a set of special purpose appliances © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 8
Slide 9: … and the effect on people as seen in New Maslow’s hierarchy of needs © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 9
Slide 10: and the effect on IT……. © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info
Slide 11: Israeli Technology Adoption Trends for disruptive technologies RFID A Sa ED aS ge n o ra atio Wi St lid r so E- eles on A 64 bit C SO ma s il Server UX Technology LIN Server wir IP-TEL ele ss EAI Consolidation Adoption VoIP PORTAL Thin Office Trends ITIL BC/DRP XML Clients CIO g DW-BI agin Mess CRM Unif ied ERP Business ms D Solutions ste Mi ata Sy n i on atio ni ng BP (applications) at id M plic nsol Adoption Ap Co Trends Real Time Data Analytics Management © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 11
Slide 12: The most important trends for 2007 (a) BUSINESS – IT TRENDS CIOs become strategic Innovation life cycle enabled by IT Engaging web sites (Web 2.0) Customer service (internal and external) Data finally goes to work Real Time Decision Systems (active BI) IT risk management Risk to clients from IT Risk to company from IT Companies invest in IT leadership Security…. (no HACKERS; now organized CRIME) 12 © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info
Slide 13: The most important trends for 2007 (b) INTERNAL IT TRENDS Dissatisfaction with vendors is on the rise MEGA-vendors get “good” fight from other vendors Project responsibilities are a fantasy ERP loses luster and core business needs become number one More and more budgets are allocated to smaller but strategic projects Architectures: Service oriented, event driven and legacy architectures Business, applications, data and infrastructure architectures Outsourcing changes IT management Hard to find business savvy technologists Security ….. Security…. Security 13 © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info
Slide 14: defined by the Information Architecture Institute 1. The structural design of shared information environments. 2. The art and science of designing software and hardware systems in INFORMATION order to support business needs. 3. An emerging community of practice SYSTEM focused on bringing principles of ARCHITECTURE design and architecture to the digital landscape. 4. Information systems are dynamic and should adapt to specific users’ actions. © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 14
Slide 15: FATHER OF ENTERPRISE ARCHITECTURE: John Zachman DATA Number 1 priority for 2007 zifa@zifa.com © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 15
Slide 16: What is a Business Architecture Model? “A business architecture model is what a business does and how it makes money.” Source: Bernard Boar in T art o f strate g ic p lanning fo r info rmatio n te chno lo g y he © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 16
Slide 17: ARCHITECTURE: THE PROCESS © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 17
Slide 18: 2007 STKI IT ARCHITECTURE MODEL © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 18
Slide 19: A mixed operational architecture (for all) © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 19
Slide 20: Architectures Service Oriented Architecture tem L eg a cy Sys ure itectur e Arc hitect riv en Arch Event D © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 20
Slide 21: VENDOR-USER RELATIONS Worst year in vendor-user relations The current process for buying products and projects is the MAIN problem Users expect more than what they are willing to pay Vendors expect the user to understand that the price paid at the signing of the agreement does not reflect the real cost. Fierce competition between vendors makes them take any project (they then subcontract it to another vendor, sometimes at a loss). © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 21
Slide 22: STKI IT project contract expectation metrics USER VENDOR relationships should be based on an APPROVED rule of engagement (expectation metrics). 3.Who takes responsibility 4.Who takes the risk 5.What premium should be paid 6.What profit should the vendor expect USERS that buy “cheap” are usually those that: 2.Do not understand project management 3.Expect not to be responsible for IT in the long run 4.Never worked as an IT professional © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 22
Slide 23: "The cynic knows the price of everything and the value of nothing" Oscar Wilde © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 23
Slide 24: There is NO free lunch © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 24
Slide 25: How the RFP starts and how the project finishes is up to the CIO © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 25
Slide 26: Innovation War © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 26
Slide 27: The Innovation Lifecycle © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info
Slide 28: But remember: “ if you keep doing what you have always done, you will get what you have always got” “ if you act on what you already know, you will do what you have always done and get what you have always got” © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 28
Slide 29: The future is a innovation problem How do we find the future we prefer? Innovation is the ability to move from the existing to the preferred © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 29
Slide 30: Innovation versus Creativity Vision Desired Future Innovation is the engine that drives transformation.. Present Default Future © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 30
Slide 31: CIOs do matter: IT of Competitor Value Business 1 ERP captured by verticals Process 1 Market Best Business No Real difference in value Innovation Competitive Differentiation Sales Prospect IT of Competitor Practices Value war Business ERP captured by verticals Process 2 2 © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 31
Slide 32: Innovation Management? It is called ENTERPRISE 2.0 ? © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 32
Slide 33: Enterprise 2.0 ? Only if we could…………………… Enterprise 2.0: Partnering Business Enterprise 1.0: with Technology Aligning (Innovation Technology with Business Cycle) Strategy (Alignment Cycle) © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 33
Slide 34: Enterprise 2.0: INFORMATION BUSINESS innovation © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 34
Slide 35: Enterprise 2.0: The new CIO and “custom” solutions © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 35
Slide 36: Enterprise 2.0: what we need…….. information © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 36
Slide 37: Enterprise 2.0: what we need…….. information © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 37
Slide 38: Enterprise 2.0 @2007: IT extracts the data and Creation of shared business analyzes it. applications Knowledge worker platform Business Processes Instant information retrieving – Management – Improvement Real Time Analytics Business services Composite Applications Creation of DATA ARCHITECTURE Source: Dion Hinchcliffe © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 38
Slide 39: 1. Knowledge worker platform Information Collaboration, Access & Discussion & Content, Productivity, Search Interaction Knowledge & Sharing & History Configurability Enterprise Internal External Spreadsheets Notes Taskl.ico Apps Microsoft Word Web Reports Microsoft Office Postl.ico Document Tasks & Reports Excel Worksheet Email Portals / Mtgs Dashboards 39 © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info Source: attunity
Slide 40: 2. Instant Retriever Platform Web admin Application interface Server glossaries Glossary local builder Custom glossaries extract Corporate Data Base Source: babylon © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 40
Slide 41: 3. WEB 2.0 Harnessing Collective Intelligence: architectures of participation or CROWDSOURCING Data is the Next "Intel Inside": information has become as important, or more important, than software Innovation in Assembly: unintended uses of systems and information. Rich User Experiences: enable interaction and immersion in innovative new ways. Perpetual Beta: continuous change Leveraging the Long Tail: mass servicing of micro markets cost effectively Source: Dion Hinchcliffe © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 41
Slide 42: 4.- DATA ARCHITECTURE MASTER DATA MANAGER © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info
Slide 43: 5.- “Business Services” “Transfer Funds” “Execute trade” “Get Portfolio Balance” “Etc., etc.” Business Business Business Business Logic Logic Logic Logic LEGACY ERP CRM FINANCE © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 43
Slide 44: 6.- Composite Applications Process Get Order Churn Optimize Rate Plan figure nd-con Drop-a Get Get Value Customer Composite Applications © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 44
Slide 45: STKI Software Application Platform Model STKI SOFTWARE APPLICATION PLATFORM MODEL © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 45
Slide 46: Israeli IT market 2006-2007 © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 46
Slide 47: Israel IT Market In the following slides forecast 2007 and 2008 differences between the forecasted and real 2006 © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 47
Slide 48: Growth (world) in budgets for 2007 AMR Research forecasts U.S. companies will increase their budgets by 11.3% in 2007. Forrester forecasts U.S. companies will increase their spending by 9% in 2007. Computer Economics forecasts European companies will increase their spending by 5% in 2007. Datamonitor forecasts US and European companies will increase their budgets by 8% in 2007. Society for Information Management forecasts US companies will increase their IT budgets by 10% in 2007. © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 48
Slide 49: The Israeli market © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 49
Slide 50: User costs and effort to control them © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 50
Slide 51: USER BUDGETS FOR 2007 The booklet has errors in calculations © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 51
Slide 52: The users ……. by industry © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 52
Slide 53: Finding the right DATA for “real” sales VENDOR.CO.IL © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 53
Slide 54: Why you cannot look at financial reports For many reasons, different companies use different accounting principles. Very hard to find consistency (between companies): when and what do they recognize as expenses and revenues on sales of multi-year software license’s contracts, hardware, outsourcing services, multi-year projects and other services. How do they recognize projects that they subcontract to their competitors (double booking), etc. WE LOOK AT WHAT WAS SOLD IN ISRAEL DURING THE YEAR AND SERVICES GIVEN DURING THAT PERIOD © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 54
Slide 55: Sometimes you compare and realize it is not FAIR but…… All numbers on MILLIONS of US Dollars © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 55
Slide 56: VENDOR CLASSIFICATION © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 56
Slide 57: © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 57
Slide 58: During the last couple of years a new IT vendor has grown in the market. These vendors service clients in all types of services and products. They came to be after a series of M&As during the last six years. © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 58
Slide 59: This are big vendors with a variety of services and products. Usually this vendors tend to specialize in a couple of areas or markets © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 59
Slide 60: This vendors are highly specialized in their fields © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 60
Slide 61: This vendors offer basic services or products in their areas : B. moving boxes C. telecomm services D. contracted work without central technical support. © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 61
Slide 62: Hardware Vendors © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 62
Slide 63: Unix and Proprietary Servers UNIX Servers Factors affecting low UNIX sales 64 bit X86 Linux and Microsoft This was the year of the Mainframe PROPRIETARY All other proprietary systems are in MIGRATION roadmaps © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 63
Slide 64: Servers - Industry Standard Consolidation and virtualization will drive this market 64 bit X86 will become the standard architecture with either or both Windows and Linux installed © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 64
Slide 65: PC Clients DESKTOP Some users have been buying used PCs VISTA and Thin Client Architecture will drive this market ( its speed…. slow now) Notebooks will have a slowdown in businesses during LAPTOPS the next 24 months (VISTA effect) Companies like laptops because they extend the workday © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 65
Slide 66: Storage (disks, tapes and software) Storage is growing by over 30% a year (capacity) Buying more and more of cheaper storage All storage is becoming cheaper : 30-40% a year © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 66
Slide 67: Data Networking “dealers” plus suppliers © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 67
Slide 68: Printers and extras for equipment We will see new vendors offering printing solutions and printing as a service in the next 12 months This will change the buying habits of most of the users needing printing services STKI has not “tiered” companies in this area for 2007 © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 68
Slide 69: Software Cycles © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 69
Slide 70: Software: system and tools © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 70
Slide 71: Software: applications (local & imported) © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 71
Slide 72: Value added vendors © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 72
Slide 73: Consulting There is a big confusion in the consulting market: 2.Consultants are not body shops/ temps 3.Consultant’s employees do not implement or compete with integrators. 4.Because of the need for transparency : all consultants should show their clients notarized statements about their income from vendors or other connections. © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 73
Slide 74: Analysts The analyst Analysts market has gone through a big change during the last four years: 2.The market has consolidated 3.The internet has competed strongly with report only services given by some analyst firms 4. Because of transparency analysts should be able to give a notarized statement about not competing for consulting or implementation work (in the market). Analysts are not consultants and consultants are not analysts DIFFERENT RULES AND ETHICS APPLY TO EACH © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 74
Slide 75: Application / Integration Projects © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 75
Slide 76: Infrastructure / Integration / DRP Projects Service oriented infrastructures, new 64 bit standard servers, new networking and storage technologies require intense infrastructure integration projects. © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 76
Slide 77: Computer room and other “environment” integration projects STKI has not “tiered” companies in this area for 2006 or 2007 New technologies require rooms similar to those of the 1980s because of: very heavy need of cooling, electricity and weight requirements of new servers and storage equipment © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 77
Slide 78: Risk / Integration This is a growth area and much of the monies spend in RISK/SECURITY are in other markets 2.Security is one of the biggest problems for 2007-8 3.Regulation will force enterprises to invest heavily 4.New products in RISK management will help clients control costs © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 78
Slide 79: Testing / QA Projects Testing is growing but to many companies are buying only temps and not projects DATA cleansing and profiling in order to create the data architecture will be the main area here for the next couple of years (example DBQ’s offering) © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 79
Slide 80: IT education and Implementation Training Training of employees in project management (AGILE), SOA and other new technologies will boom. On average an employee should get ONE week advanced training a year. Implementation of new application involves training users of applications and new ones as they are hired or transferred (years). Also yearly refresh courses should be mandatory. © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 80
Slide 81: Specialized Hosting Services Business continuity needs regulations and the need for expensive “environmental support” is pushing clients to this Also outsourcing players vendors (infrastructure) Senior business executives, AND the board of directors often has oversight responsibility. © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 81
Slide 82: SaaS - ASP - Renting Software Usage Users in Israel have been slow in accepting this offering in the past Very few vendors are offering but those like salesforce.com are being very successful 82 © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info
Slide 83: Hardware Maintenance Contracts © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 83
Slide 84: Outsourcing (SLA) and BPO The “partial” outsourcing market is growing faster than we expected. But the total outsourcing is not growing at all. 2.Application outsourcing like ERP or other back office applications is catching fast 3.Infrastructure and security outsourcing will be the main growth areas. 4.Development outsourcing © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 84
Slide 85: Temps / contracted experts © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 85
Slide 86: Thank you and I hope this study helps you © 2007 STKI moshav bnei zion 60910 tel 09 74 444 74 www.stki.info 86



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