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  • 1. Rapid-Cycle Scenario Planning Peter O’Donnell, Healthy Futures Group James C. Galvin, Galvin & Associates, Inc. November 13, 2006
  • 2. Nonprofits face increasing uncertainty and lack appropriate tools
  • 3. People committed to a cause expect their organizations to be effective
  • 4. Nonprofits often miss or ignore changing realities
  • 5. Nonprofits can increase their preparedness for the future
  • 6. Use rapid-cycle scenario planning to create a sustainable future
  • 7. What are some significant unknowns for a nonprofit that you care about?
  • 8. Goodwill Industries
  • 9. Goodwill rediscovers its mission High Responsiveness Low Responsiveness Community Employment Alliance Helping Hands Coalition High Connectedness Work Training Inc. Limited Legacy Low Connectedness
  • 10. Rapid-cycle scenario planning is a high-yield six-step process
  • 11. 1: Determine your focus
  • 12. 2: Identify driving forces
  • 13. 3: Surface questions that matter
  • 14. 4: Explore plausible scenarios
  • 15. 5: Identify strategic priorities
  • 16. 6: Develop your action plan
  • 17. The Griffin Centre Healthy Change Change-aholism A Valued Partner Dancing as Fast as We Can Partnerships Specialist SWOT Team Back to Basics Isolation
  • 18. Association of Christian Schools Int’l. Adequate School Choice Limited School Choice Charter Schools Mandatory Public Education Government Hostile Vouchers Same Old Same Old Government Neutral
  • 19. Orchestras Canada Banding Together Playing Solo Community Driven Market Driven Focus on Art Network Driven Funder Driven Focus on Finances
  • 20. Nonprofits will honestly explore a variety of futures and perspectives
  • 21. Nonprofits will be able to recognize and discuss critical issues
  • 22. Nonprofits will identify priorities for capacity-building and direct action
  • 23. Nonprofits will use scenario thinking without objecting to time or cost
  • 24. Nonprofits will be better prepared for a range of futures
  • 25. What would a useful grid look like for your nonprofit organization?
  • 26. How might this change how your nonprofit thinks about the future?
  • 27. Involve the right people
  • 28. Use stakeholder interviews
  • 29. Don’t skip steps in the process
  • 30. Be willing to ask the tough questions
  • 31. Honor the stories
  • 32. Invest in capacity-building
  • 33. Build robust action plans
  • 34. Is your nonprofit ready to challenge its “official future”?
  • 35. Your nonprofit may be compromising its effectiveness and sustainability
  • 36. Use rapid-cycle scenario planning to create a sustainable future
  • 37. Nonprofits can navigate through uncertainty to achieve their mission
  • 38. Rapid-cycle scenario planning for a rapidly changing world