Rapid Cycle Scenario Planning

Rapid-Cycle Scenario Planning Peter O’Donnell, Healthy Futures Group James C. Galvin, Galvin & Associates, Inc. November 13, 2006

Nonprofits face increasing uncertainty and lack appropriate tools

People committed to a cause expect their organizations to be effective

Nonprofits often miss or ignore changing realities

Nonprofits can increase their preparedness for the future

Use rapid-cycle scenario planning to create a sustainable future

What are some significant unknowns for a nonprofit that you care about?

Goodwill Industries

Goodwill rediscovers its mission High Responsiveness Low Responsiveness Community Employment Alliance Helping Hands Coalition High Connectedness Work Training Inc. Limited Legacy Low Connectedness

Rapid-cycle scenario planning is a high-yield six-step process

1: Determine your focus

2: Identify driving forces

3: Surface questions that matter

4: Explore plausible scenarios

5: Identify strategic priorities

6: Develop your action plan

The Griffin Centre Healthy Change Change-aholism A Valued Partner Dancing as Fast as We Can Partnerships Specialist SWOT Team Back to Basics Isolation

Association of Christian Schools Int’l. Adequate School Choice Limited School Choice Charter Schools Mandatory Public Education Government Hostile Vouchers Same Old Same Old Government Neutral

Orchestras Canada Banding Together Playing Solo Community Driven Market Driven Focus on Art Network Driven Funder Driven Focus on Finances

Nonprofits will honestly explore a variety of futures and perspectives

Nonprofits will be able to recognize and discuss critical issues

Nonprofits will identify priorities for capacity-building and direct action

Nonprofits will use scenario thinking without objecting to time or cost

Nonprofits will be better prepared for a range of futures

What would a useful grid look like for your nonprofit organization?

How might this change how your nonprofit thinks about the future?

Involve the right people

Use stakeholder interviews

Don’t skip steps in the process

Be willing to ask the tough questions

Honor the stories

Invest in capacity-building

Build robust action plans

Is your nonprofit ready to challenge its “official future”?

Your nonprofit may be compromising its effectiveness and sustainability

Use rapid-cycle scenario planning to create a sustainable future

Nonprofits can navigate through uncertainty to achieve their mission

Rapid-cycle scenario planning for a rapidly changing world

Rapid Cycle Scenario Planning

by Galvin & Associates, Inc. on Nov 23, 2010

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