Township of Langley population forecast

Forecast of Population by Age Cohort for the Langley Local Health Area (City of Langley + Township of Langley) FROM THE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CO-ORDINATOR’S DESK February 2008

Highlights Year Persons As % of Persons As % of Total Aged <20 Total Aged 60+ Total Population Population Population 1986 23,868 32.8% 9,827 13.5% 72,863 1996 31,571 29.5% 15,808 14.7% 107,178 2006 31,363 25.5% 21,425 17.4% 122,817 2016 33,848 21.7% 33,287 21.3% 156,128 2026 39,566 20.6% 48,979 25.5% 191,716 2036 43,988 19.5% 62,723 27.8% 225,957 For the period 1986 to 2036, the total population within the Langley Local Health Area (City of Langley plus Township of Langley) is expected to grow by 210% (an additional 153,000 people). During the same period, the population aged less than 20 is forecast to increase by 85% while the population aged 60+ is forecast to increase by 538%. In 1986 approximately 1 out of every 3 residents in the Langley Local Health Area was aged less than 20. (2nd highest proportion of youngsters for a Local Health Area in Metro Vancouver) By 2036, approximately 1 out of every 5 residents in the Langley Local Health Area will be aged less than 20. (2nd highest proportion of youngsters for a Local Health Area in Metro Vancouver) In 1986 approximately 1 out of every 7 residents in the Langley Local Health Area was aged 60 or more. (6th lowest proportion of seniors for a Local Health Area in Metro Vancouver) By 2036, approximately 1 out of every 4 residents in the Langley Local Health Area will be aged 60 or more. (Lowest proportion of seniors for a Local Health Area in Metro Vancouver) SOURCE: Population projections by BC STATS, Ministry of Management Services, Government of BC Analysis and graphs by Township of Langley’s Economic Development Co-ordinator

Population Forecast for Langleys (City + Township): 2007 to 2036 240,000 225,957 220,000 200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 125,382 120,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 SOURCE: Population Section, BC Stats, Ministry of Management Services, P.E.O.P.L.E. Run 32 (July 2007) The Province is forecasting an additional 100,000 people will choose to live in the Langleys within the next 30 years. This is 30,000 more than the Province forecasted 2 years earlier. The additional population amounts to a compounded growth rate of 2.05% per year.

% of Total Population Aged Less Than 20 in Langley Local Health Area: 1986 to 2036 35% 32.8% 30% 29.5% 25% 25.5% 21.7% 20% 20.6% 19.5% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1986 1996 2006 2016 2026 2036 SOURCE: BC Ministry of Management Services Despite the declining proportion of youngsters as a percent of total population, those aged less than 20 in the Langleys will actually increase by 20,000 during the next 30 years.

% of Population Aged Less Than 20 by Local Health Area in Metro Vancouver: 2036 Vancouver New Westminster Richmond Burnaby North Vancouver West Vancouver White Rock/South Surrey Coquitlam Delta Maple Ridge Langley 19.5% Surrey (excl. South Surrey) 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 21% SOURCE: BC Ministry of Management Services The Langleys’ rank of second highest proportion of youngsters in 2006 remains unchanged 30 years later.

% of Total Population Aged 60+ in Langley Local Health Area: 1986 to 2036 30% 27.8% 25% 25.5% 21.3% 20% 17.4% 15% 14.7% 13.5% 10% 5% 0% 1986 1996 2006 2016 2026 2036 SOURCE: BC Ministry of Management Services Currently (2006) there are 21,400 residents aged 60 or more years old in the Langleys, and by the year 2036, this number will have tripled to 62,700.

% of Population Aged 60+ by Local Health Area in Metro Vancouver: 2036 Langley 27.8% Surrey (excl. South Surrey) Maple Ridge New Westminster Burnaby Coquitlam Vancouver North Vancouver Richmond Delta West Vancouver White Rock/South Surrey 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% SOURCE: BC Ministry of Management Services Whereas the Langleys currently have the second lowest proportion of seniors in 2006, this is forecast to become the absolute lowest of all Local Health Areas in Metro Vancouver 30 years later.

Population by Gender & Age Cohorts in Langley Local Health Area: 2006 90 + 80-84 70-74 60-64 50-54 Age 40-44 30-34 20-24 10-14 00-04 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 Population SOURCE: B.C. Stats - August, 2007 P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Male Female

Population by Gender & Age Cohorts in Langley Local Health Area: 2036 90 + 80-84 70-74 60-64 50-54 Age 40-44 30-34 20-24 10-14 00-04 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 Population SOURCE: B.C. Stats - August, 2007 P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Male Female

Population by Age Cohort for Langley Local Health Area: 2006 and 2036 18,000 2006 2036 15,000 12,000 9,000 6,000 3,000 0 00-04 05-09 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90 + SOURCE: BC Ministry of Management Services

Township of Langley population forecast

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