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A Suite of Tools for Technology Assessment James W. Bilbro JB Consulting International Huntsville, Alabama AFRL Technology Maturity Conference Virginia Beach, VA Sept. 11-13, 2007
What is Technology? “ Technology is defined as the practical application of knowledge to create the capability to do something entirely new or in an entirely new way.  This can be contrasted to scientific research, which encompasses the discovery of new knowledge from which new technology is derived, and engineering which uses technology derived from this knowledge to solve specific technical problems.” - NASA Technology Plan
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[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],* The Lenox Globe   (ca. 1503-07),
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Werner Gruel, 1981/82?
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Pratt-Whitney Rocketdyne
Lessons Learned- Hubble ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lessons Learned- Chandra ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lessons Learned- X-33 ,[object Object]
Lessons Learned- SLI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Development of the Radio  Frequency Countermeasures System GAO Studies F-15 and B-1 requirements added Customer’s expectations Developer’s resources Developer proposes additional resources Customer  says no Program start Developer reports 197% cost increase & 15-month delay Match achieved
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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TRL Descriptions
TRL Descriptions - continued
TRL Descriptions - continued
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[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],When do you do a Technology Assessment (TA)?
Example Pre Phase A Product: James Webb Telescope  “ TALL TENT POLES” IN BOLD Optical Telescope Assembly -  Ultralightweight Mirrors -   Cryogenic Actuators -  Cryogenic Deformable Mirror -  Deployable Structures  - Wavefront Sensing & Optical Control Mission Operations -  Flight Software Methodologies -  Autonomous On-board  Schedule Execution - Data Compression - Control Executive - Autonomous Fault Management - User Interaction Tools Science Instrument Module -   Low Noise NIR Detectors - High Q.E. TIR detectors - Large Format Arrays - Digital mirror - Vibrationless Cryo-Coolers Spacecraft Support Module -  Inflatable or Deployable Sunshade -  Vibration Isolation -   Advanced Startracker -   Low Temperature Materials  Property Characterization Systems -  Integrated Modeling - Mission Simulator
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How often do you do a Technology Assessment (TA) ?
[object Object],[object Object]
Form Fit & Function Definitions * Brassboard * * Prototype 100% Form Fit Function 100% Wind Tunnel Model Mass Model Breadboard Flight Unit Proto-flight Unit Qualification Unit * * * S ubscale  unit Su * * * Engineering Model  * Proof of concept
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Definitions
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Definitions - continued
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Start the Process Assign TRL to  subsystems based on  lowest TRL of  components + TRL  state of integration Assess  systems, subsystems  and components per the hierarchical product  breakdown of the  WBS Assign TRL to all  components based on assessment of  maturity Assign TRL to  Systems based on  lowest TRL of  subsystems + TRL  state of integration Identify all components,  subsystems and systems  that are at lower TRL’s than  required by the program Baseline Technological Maturity Assessment for SRR Technology Readiness Assessment Report for PDR Perform AD 2 on all identified  components, subsystems and  systems that are below  requisite maturity level. Technology Development Plan Cost Plan Schedule Plan Risk Assessment
Architectural Study & Technology Assessment Interaction Requirements Concepts TRL/AD 2  Assessment Architecture Studies System Design Technology Maturation
Helpful Tools ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Summary
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[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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A Suite Of Tools For Technology Assessment

  • 1. A Suite of Tools for Technology Assessment James W. Bilbro JB Consulting International Huntsville, Alabama AFRL Technology Maturity Conference Virginia Beach, VA Sept. 11-13, 2007
  • 2. What is Technology? “ Technology is defined as the practical application of knowledge to create the capability to do something entirely new or in an entirely new way. This can be contrasted to scientific research, which encompasses the discovery of new knowledge from which new technology is derived, and engineering which uses technology derived from this knowledge to solve specific technical problems.” - NASA Technology Plan
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 7.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Development of the Radio Frequency Countermeasures System GAO Studies F-15 and B-1 requirements added Customer’s expectations Developer’s resources Developer proposes additional resources Customer says no Program start Developer reports 197% cost increase & 15-month delay Match achieved
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 20. TRL Descriptions - continued
  • 21. TRL Descriptions - continued
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. Example Pre Phase A Product: James Webb Telescope “ TALL TENT POLES” IN BOLD Optical Telescope Assembly - Ultralightweight Mirrors - Cryogenic Actuators - Cryogenic Deformable Mirror - Deployable Structures - Wavefront Sensing & Optical Control Mission Operations - Flight Software Methodologies - Autonomous On-board Schedule Execution - Data Compression - Control Executive - Autonomous Fault Management - User Interaction Tools Science Instrument Module - Low Noise NIR Detectors - High Q.E. TIR detectors - Large Format Arrays - Digital mirror - Vibrationless Cryo-Coolers Spacecraft Support Module - Inflatable or Deployable Sunshade - Vibration Isolation - Advanced Startracker - Low Temperature Materials Property Characterization Systems - Integrated Modeling - Mission Simulator
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Form Fit & Function Definitions * Brassboard * * Prototype 100% Form Fit Function 100% Wind Tunnel Model Mass Model Breadboard Flight Unit Proto-flight Unit Qualification Unit * * * S ubscale unit Su * * * Engineering Model * Proof of concept
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33. Start the Process Assign TRL to subsystems based on lowest TRL of components + TRL state of integration Assess systems, subsystems and components per the hierarchical product breakdown of the WBS Assign TRL to all components based on assessment of maturity Assign TRL to Systems based on lowest TRL of subsystems + TRL state of integration Identify all components, subsystems and systems that are at lower TRL’s than required by the program Baseline Technological Maturity Assessment for SRR Technology Readiness Assessment Report for PDR Perform AD 2 on all identified components, subsystems and systems that are below requisite maturity level. Technology Development Plan Cost Plan Schedule Plan Risk Assessment
  • 34. Architectural Study & Technology Assessment Interaction Requirements Concepts TRL/AD 2 Assessment Architecture Studies System Design Technology Maturation
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.