Leap of faith to unknown territory   estonian ev programme
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Leap of faith to unknown territory estonian ev programme Presentation Transcript

  • 1. Introduction of EV’s
    to Estonian market
    Leap of faith to unknown?
    Jarmo Tuisk
    A leap of faith, in its most commonly used meaning, is the act of believing in or accepting something intangible or unprovable
    Wikipedia
  • 2. Can we predict the future? I mean really?
  • 3. Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible
    Lord Kelvin The President of the Royal Society
    1895
  • 4. „I think there is a world market for maybe five computers“
    Thomas J. WatsonCEO, IBM
  • 5. Future is puzzle ...
  • 6. Consumers point of view
  • 7. The future belongs to (PH)EVs
    Data: Accenture consumer survey 2011
  • 8. 95% of Chinese would buy (PH)EV as next car
    Data: Accenture consumer survey 2011
  • 9. But the future should look like today!
    Data: Accenture consumer survey 2011
  • 10. Although the actual needs are different
    ~110-120km per charge in Estonia
    Data: Accenture consumer survey 2011
  • 11. and the cost of tranportation is rising
    Share of transportation costs in househould monthly expenditures, %
    Data: Estonian statistics
  • 12. and the cost of tranportation is rising
    Do you really need to
    engage polar bears
    to explain the
    necessity of
    change?
  • 13. Preconditions for change:
    infrastructure + cars
  • 14. Planning of the Estonian EV infrastructure
  • 15. Planning steps
  • 16. EV charging use cases
    Public/shared charger
    Routine shared
    charging
    Emergency
    charging
    Travel
    charging
    Routine/planned
    charging
    Extraordinary
    charging
    Daily office charging
    Daily home charging
    Dedicated charger
  • 17. Use cases and technology options
    AC Normal
    6-8h
    AC Medium
    1-2h
    DC fast
    20-30min
    Daily office charging
    OK
    Maybe
    Not OK
    OK
    Daily home charging
    Maybe
    Not OK
    Routine shared
    charging
    Maybe
    Maybe
    OK
    Emergency
    charging
    Not OK
    Maybe
    OK
    Travel
    charging
    Not ok
    OK
    OK
  • 18. DC quick charging: best match for public chargers
    Public/shared charger
    Routine shared
    charging - OK
    Emergency
    charging - OK
    Travel
    charging - OK
    Routine
    charging
    Extraordinary
    charging
    Daily office charging
    Daily home charging
    Dedicated charger
  • 19. 3 main use-cases for Estonian public charging network
  • 20. Initial layout of chargers
  • 21. Effect of one quick charger in Tokyo
    After
    Before
  • 22. Quick charging standards
    EURELECTRIC’s position:
    CHAdeMO should be the first DC charging standard for Europe and all new standards should preserve backward compatibility.
  • 23. electric cars
  • 24. Myths about...
    Electric cars
    Too small to be the real cars
    You can’t use them because there is no infrastructure
    You can’t drive them, because they don’t drive more than 120km per charge
    They are too expensive!
    Smart phones
    They are too big to be convenient
    You can’t use them, because they don’t have buttons
    They are unreliable, because the battery last only for 24h hours
    They are too expensive!
    And you know the story...
  • 25.
  • 26. Let’s race!
    Electric vehicle, car of the year 2011
    My current car
  • 27. EVs are small! Really?
    4445mm
  • 28. Where can I fill up the tank?
    Now:
    At homeAt summerhouse
    In future:
    At home/summerhouse
    At office
    At parking house
    At supermarket
    Now:
    At gas station
    In future:
    At gas station
  • 29. Range test: how far can I drive with 1EUR?
    13km
    13km
    13km
    4km
    13km
  • 30. Price test
    Price for me: 18 000 EUR
    Government pays 18 000 EUR
    Price for me: 18 000 EUR
    Elegance 1.4TSI
  • 31. What should I do?
  • 32. Somewhere here is my future...
    Thank you!