Leap of faith to unknown territory estonian ev programme


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Leap of faith to unknown territory estonian ev programme

  1. 1. Introduction of EV’s <br />to Estonian market<br />Leap of faith to unknown?<br />Jarmo Tuisk<br />A leap of faith, in its most commonly used meaning, is the act of believing in or accepting something intangible or unprovable<br />Wikipedia<br />
  2. 2. Can we predict the future? I mean really?<br />
  3. 3. Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible<br />Lord Kelvin The President of the Royal Society<br />1895<br />
  4. 4. „I think there is a world market for maybe five computers“<br />Thomas J. WatsonCEO, IBM<br />
  5. 5. Future is puzzle ...<br />
  6. 6. Consumers point of view<br />
  7. 7. The future belongs to (PH)EVs<br />Data: Accenture consumer survey 2011<br />
  8. 8. 95% of Chinese would buy (PH)EV as next car<br />Data: Accenture consumer survey 2011<br />
  9. 9. But the future should look like today!<br />Data: Accenture consumer survey 2011<br />
  10. 10. Although the actual needs are different<br />~110-120km per charge in Estonia<br />Data: Accenture consumer survey 2011<br />
  11. 11. and the cost of tranportation is rising<br />Share of transportation costs in househould monthly expenditures, %<br />Data: Estonian statistics<br />
  12. 12. and the cost of tranportation is rising<br />Do you really need to<br />engage polar bears<br />to explain the<br />necessity of <br />change?<br />
  13. 13. Preconditions for change: <br />infrastructure + cars<br />
  14. 14. Planning of the Estonian EV infrastructure<br />
  15. 15. Planning steps<br />
  16. 16. EV charging use cases<br />Public/shared charger<br />Routine shared<br />charging<br />Emergency<br />charging<br />Travel<br />charging<br />Routine/planned<br />charging<br />Extraordinary<br />charging<br />Daily office charging<br />Daily home charging<br />Dedicated charger<br />
  17. 17. Use cases and technology options<br />AC Normal<br />6-8h<br />AC Medium<br />1-2h<br />DC fast<br />20-30min<br />Daily office charging<br />OK<br />Maybe<br />Not OK<br />OK<br />Daily home charging<br />Maybe<br />Not OK<br />Routine shared<br />charging<br />Maybe<br />Maybe<br />OK<br />Emergency<br />charging<br />Not OK<br />Maybe<br />OK<br />Travel<br />charging<br />Not ok<br />OK<br />OK<br />
  18. 18. DC quick charging: best match for public chargers<br />Public/shared charger<br />Routine shared<br />charging - OK<br />Emergency<br />charging - OK<br />Travel<br />charging - OK<br />Routine<br />charging<br />Extraordinary<br />charging<br />Daily office charging<br />Daily home charging<br />Dedicated charger<br />
  19. 19. 3 main use-cases for Estonian public charging network<br />
  20. 20. Initial layout of chargers<br />
  21. 21. Effect of one quick charger in Tokyo<br />After<br />Before<br />
  22. 22. Quick charging standards<br />EURELECTRIC’s position:<br />CHAdeMO should be the first DC charging standard for Europe and all new standards should preserve backward compatibility.<br />
  23. 23. electric cars<br />
  24. 24. Myths about...<br />Electric cars<br />Too small to be the real cars<br />You can’t use them because there is no infrastructure<br />You can’t drive them, because they don’t drive more than 120km per charge<br />They are too expensive!<br />Smart phones<br />They are too big to be convenient<br />You can’t use them, because they don’t have buttons<br />They are unreliable, because the battery last only for 24h hours<br />They are too expensive!<br />And you know the story...<br />
  25. 25.
  26. 26. Let’s race!<br />Electric vehicle, car of the year 2011<br />My current car<br />
  27. 27. EVs are small! Really?<br />4445mm<br />
  28. 28. Where can I fill up the tank?<br />Now:<br />At homeAt summerhouse<br />In future:<br />At home/summerhouse<br />At office<br />At parking house<br />At supermarket<br />Now:<br />At gas station<br />In future:<br />At gas station<br />
  29. 29. Range test: how far can I drive with 1EUR?<br />13km<br />13km<br />13km<br />4km<br />13km<br />
  30. 30. Price test<br />Price for me: 18 000 EUR<br />Government pays 18 000 EUR<br />Price for me: 18 000 EUR<br />Elegance 1.4TSI<br />
  31. 31. What should I do?<br />
  32. 32. Somewhere here is my future...<br />Thank you!<br />