IREC's Annual Solar Market Trends Report

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The solar market, although relatively young, is an increasingly important and vital part of the American economy. What are the trends in this market, and what forces are at work? Which sectors of the market are strongest, and why? What are the prospects for solar energy in the near future? This session presented the results from the recently published IREC Report, U.S. Solar Market Trends 2012.

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IREC's Annual Solar Market Trends Report

  1. 1. U.S. Solar Market Trends Larry Sherwood IREC IREC 3iForum at SPI October 2013
  2. 2. Federal Tax Policy
  3. 3. U.S. Distributed PV Cost Trends $9 $8 $7 $6 $5 Residential $4 Non-residential $3 $2 $1 $2009 2010 2011 2012
  4. 4. R enew able P ortfolio Standard P olicies w ith Solar / Distributed Generation P rovisions. www.dsireusa.org / March 2013. 16 states,+ Washington DC have Renewable Portfolio Standards with Solar and/or Distributed Generation provisions
  5. 5. Capacity of Annual U.S. Grid-Tied PV Installations 4000 3500 Capacity (MWDC) 3000 2500 Utility 2000 Non-Residential Residential 1500 1000 500 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
  6. 6. 2012 New U.S. Electricity Generation Wind Natural Gas PV Coal Other
  7. 7. Times have Changed 2006 2008 2012 35% 7% 16% 25% 65% 53% 68% 31% Residential NonResidential Utility
  8. 8. Large systems are almost half of the capacity installed in 2012 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 > 5 MW - 61 installs < 5 MW - 94,500 installs
  9. 9. 2012 PV Installations by State U.S. Territories 300 – 1000 MW 100 – 300 MW 10 – 100 MW 1 – 10 MW < 1 MW
  10. 10. Utility Sector MWDC By State By State & PG&E Utility Annual Installed Capacity 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Other Other AZ NJ NJ NC NC PG&E NV NV AZ CA 2008 2009 CA 2010 2011 2012
  11. 11. Non-residential By State 1200 1000 Other 800 600 HI NY 400 CA OH AZ 200 NJ MA 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Non-Residential Sector 2012
  12. 12. Residential Sector Residential Average Size Other MWDC 600 90,000 7.0 80,000 500 6.0 70,000 400 60,000 5.0 50,000 300 4.0 40,000 3.0 200 30,000 2.0 20,000 100 1.0 10,000 0 0 0.0 Residential Installed Capacity Residential Annual Number of Installations By State kW-dc MA CA NY CO NJ AZ 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 HI 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012
  13. 13. Cumulative U.S. Grid-tied Solar Electric Installations 9,000 8,000 7,000 MW-dc 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
  14. 14. irecusa.org/publications
  15. 15. THANKS to our generous sponsors for the 2013 3iForum and 3iAwards
  16. 16. Thank you Larry Sherwood Larry@irecusa.org

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