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29/10/07

16:23

Page 1

Updated and expanded

Ethanol
Production Costs
A Worldwide Survey
A Special Study from

In conjunction with

This essential study contains
over 220 pages of data and
analysis on bioethanol policy,
markets, market drivers and
costs of production. It provides
policymakers and producers
across the world market with
an invaluable resource

Includes over 130 tables and charts
G

Breakdown of ethanol production
costs in major producing countries

G

Use of different feedstocks

G

Ethanol price information

G

Policy and regulatory framework

G

Outlook for the ethanol sector

G

Trade and trade policies

G

Market prospects

G

Ethanol balances - imports,
production, consumption and exports

G

World market drivers

G

Transport and distribution systems

G

Development of by-product values

G

Full report
on CD and
in print

Ethanol plants and projects

www.agra-net.com/ethanolcosts
SR147ToPrint29-10-07

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Page 2

Ethanol Production Costs
A Worldwide Survey
ully updated and expanded, this study from F.O. Licht and
Agra CEAS presents a comprehensive review of ethanol
production costs worldwide, with particular emphasis on eight
major producing countries.The study also examines and analyses
the policies and regulatory frameworks in individual countries
which impact on ethanol production programmes and costs.

F

Political and Regulatory Framework
Fuel ethanol is often more expensive to produce than gasoline, and
therefore political incentives are essential for fuel ethanol to be
competitive, and such incentives can have a considerable influence on
the price of ethanol.This unique market study examines and analyses
the policy and regulatory framework for ethanol in over 20 countries,
including leading producers Brazil and USA.

Ethanol Production
Many countries have introduced ethanol programmes over the
last 25 years, the main reasons being:
G rising oil prices
G concern about fuel emissions
G the requirements of the Kyoto Protocol on carbon emissions
G the provision of alternative outlets for agricultural producers.
The second part of the study focuses on the major ethanol producing
countries in the Americas, Asia and Europe.The study outlines the
feedstocks and production processes used and shows the different
ways in which ethanol is used.

World Ethanol Trade
Government programs have generated a substantial increase in
production capacities worldwide using a range of feedstocks.The
study provides ethanol supply and demand balances for the major
producers worldwide and analyses the key trade flows and trade
agreements which influence these, in particular Brazil's role as the
leading driver of world markets.

Price Formation and Production Costs
The core of the study consists of a detailed analysis of ethanol
production costs by country and by type of feedstock.The total cost
of producing ethanol is broken down into three elements:
G Capital-related or fixed costs
G Variable operating costs
G Feedstock costs
The study presents cost calculations for ten countries and a broad
range of existing and potential feedstocks (sugar, molasses, maize wet and dry milling, cellulose, maize stover, etc).The study also details
by-product prices which may help offset the cost of production from
the comparatively high priced feedstocks used in Europe.

Ethanol Plants and Projects Worldwide
Current and planned ethanol production capacities are listed in the
study by country and company.
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Page 3

Contents
Contents
Executive summary
Political and regulatory
framework
Brazil
• The launch of Proálcool
• The Proálcool crisis
• Liberalisation of the alcohol sector
• Flex-fuel vehicles
• Indirect alcohol subsidies
• Outlook for the alcohol sector in Brazil

The United States
• The Clean Air Act Amendments
• Ethanol impetus from MTBE bans
• The New Energy Bill and the Renewable
Fuels Standard (RFS)
• The outlook for fuel ethanol in the US

The European Union
• The "Promotional" Directive (Directive
2003/30/EC)
• The proposal on a new fuel quality
Directive
• The Directive on the Taxation of Energy
Products
• The Community's blending target for
2020
• Feedstock availability for ethanol
production
• Area requirement
• The Reform of the Sugar Market Regime
and ethanol
• Spain
• France
• Sweden
• Germany
• Italy
• Poland
• United Kingdom
• The Netherlands
• Other EU

Russia
Ukraine
Kazakhstan
Canada
Colombia

Mexico
Central America
China
India
Indonesia
Pakistan
Australia
The Philippines
Thailand
South Africa
Other Africa

Ethanol production
Feedstocks and production processes
World ethanol production for fuel,
beverage and industrial use
Ethanol production in Brazil
Ethanol production in the US
- Fuel ethanol production in the US
- Trends in plant size

Ethanol
Ethanol
Ethanol
Ethanol
Ethanol
Ethanol
Ethanol

production
production
production
production
production
production
production

in the EU
in Colombia
in Guatemala
in India
in Pakistan
in Thailand
in Australia

World ethanol trade
The Americas
Europe
Asia-Pacific
Outlook

Ethanol production costs
• Ethanol production costs in Brazil
• Ethanol production costs in the US
- Production costs for ethanol from dry-milled
maize in the US
- Production costs for ethanol from wet-milled
maize in the US

• Ethanol production costs in the EU
• Ethanol production costs in Colombia
• Ethanol production costs in Central America
• Ethanol production costs in India
• Ethanol production costs in Pakistan
• Ethanol production costs in Thailand
• Ethanol production costs in Australia
• Ethanol production costs in China
• Summary of ethanol production costs

Outlook
Prices of by-products from ethanol production
• Prices of by-products from ethanol production
in the EU
• Prices of by-products from ethanol production
in the US

Price formation
Process of price formation
• Feedstock costs
• Investment costs
• Operating costs
• Policy impact
• Impact of the gasoline price
• Ethanol prices

Annex 1 - Ethanol plants and
projects worldwide as of August 2007
Annex 2 - Tax advantages for fuel
ethanol production in the US

Over 130 tables, graphs and charts including
The Brazilian national alcohol policy
The fuel ethanol policy of the European Union
India - Evolution of biofuels policy
Shares in the Otto engine fuel market in Brazil
Fuel ethanol production in the EU 2000-2006
Evolution of the ethanol market in the EU 1995-2015
Comparison of wheat prices Russia and EU Jul 2006 - Aug 2007
Canada's Kyoto target
World ethanol production by continent (2006)
World ethanol production by feedstock (2006)
World ethanol consumption by user group (2006)
Shares of fuel, industrial and beverage ethanol 1975-2015
Fuel ethanol production in the US
Ethanol plant sizes in the US
Brazilian undenatured ethanol exports by country
EU undenatured ethanol imports/exports by country
Anhydrous and hydrous fuel ethanol prices in Brazil
Ethanol and gasoline prices in the US
Ethanol prices in the European Union

The Alternative Fuel Standard in the US
Targeted fuel ethanol consumption in the EU (Directive 2003/30/EC)
Tax advantages for fuel ethanol in the EU
Biofuel quotas in Germany 2007-2015
Ethanol production in Italy by feedstock
Ethanol and fuel ethanol production in Poland
Change in tax incentives for bioethanol in Poland
Fuel ethanol production costs in Ukraine
Estimated and projected fuel ethanol demand in Canada for 2000-2025
The Brazilian ethanol balance
The US ethanol balance
The EU ethanol balance
World ethanol imports 2002-2006
World ethanol exports 2002-2006
Investment costs for ethanol production
Investment costs for an ethanol plant in Europe
Summary of ethanol production costs
By-products of ethanol production
Ethanol and by-product output of wet and dry milling
SR147ToPrint29-10-07

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Page 4

F.O. Licht is the leading soft commodity analyst with
over 140 years' experience and produces a range of
regular market reports which include:
• World Ethanol and Biofuels Report
• European Ethanol Price Report
• World Biodiesel Price Report
• World Grain Markets Report
• International Sugar & Sweetener Report
• World Molasses & Feed Ingredients Report
• International Coffee Report
Licht Interactive Data gives you access to
F.O. Licht's unique database of world commodity
statistics online. This easy-to-use interactive format
allows you to locate, interrogate and retrieve data on
import, export, production and consumption.

Agra CEAS Consulting is a long-established and respected international
agrifood consultancy based in the UK and Brussels, Belgium. We carry out a
broad range of economic, policy and market consultancy to help both public
and commercial sector clients throughout the world monitor, analyse, assess,
evaluate and implement policies and business strategies in agriculture, food,
environment, trade and, more recently, biofuels and ethanol.
We work extensively with our sister company F.O. Licht, the leading
international commodity analyst and information provider in the biofuels and
ethanol sector, to provide independent advice and analysis for the global
biofuels and ethanol industry. Our unrivalled understanding of the
international biofuels and ethanol industry spans the entire length and
breadth of the biofuels and ethanol value chain, from feedstock to fuel.We are
uniquely placed to offer a wide range of consulting services, including:

Each year F.O. Licht organises a series of major
international conferences in Europe, Asia, Latin America
and USA.They include World Ethanol, the premier event
for the ethanol industry, World Biofuels, Biofuels
Finance & Investment, Sugar and Ethanol Asia, Sugar &
Ethanol Brazil, Biodiesel Brazil and many more.

• Biofuel and ethanol global and regional supply, demand
and price forecasting
• Biofuels and agricultural policy analysis and business
impact assessments
• Due diligence market, economic and financial reports and support
• Plant feasibility studies and support
• Scenario planning/sensitivity analysis
• Global market information and sector reviews
• Agriculture/feedstock analysis

For more information go to www.agra-net.com
or e-mail marketing@agra-net.com
or phone +44 (0) 20 7017 7500.

For more information on Agra CEAS research and consultancy
services please go to www.ceasc.com or e-mail info@ceasc.com
or phone +44 (0) 1233 812181.

Yes!

Please send me one copy of Ethanol Production Costs
Price includes the full study on CD, one printed copy and postage
First copy*
UK £975
Europe €1650
*For multiple copy rate please contact us

Rest of World US$2050

Complete the order form below or order online at www.agra-net.com/ethanolcosts
or phone +44 (0) 20 7017 7499 or email cs@agra-net.com
Name

Cheque enclosed, made payable to Agra Informa Ltd.
Visa

Position
Business Email
Company

Mastercard

American Express

Card no
Expiry Date
Signature

Date

Name of Cardholder
Address

Post Code/Zip
Country

If you are paying by credit card the payment will be deducted in UK£
Bank Transfer to: Barclays Bank plc, P.O.Box 15161
London SW1A 1QA, UK.
Account: Agra Informa Ltd
Sort Code: 20-65-82
BIC (SWIFT): BARCGB22
GBP Acc. No: 3068 2578
IBAN No: GB82 BARC 2065 8230 6825 78
Euro Acc. No: 6647 8300
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US$ Acc. No: 8530 7711
IBAN No: GB89 BARC 2065 8285 3077 11
Please quote reference SR147 on the Bank Transfer and send us a
photocopy of the Bank Transfer with your order form.

Website

Subscribers in EU countries: please state your VAT (TVA) number on the
subscription order form.

Phone

Please invoice me
Please return to: Agra Informa Ltd
80 Calverley Road,Tunbridge Wells, Kent,TN1 2UN, UK
Phone: +44 (0)20 7017 7500
Fax: +44 (0)20 7017 7599
Email: marketing@agra-net.com
www.agra-net.com
10/07
an informa business

Fax
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The personal details shown on this brochure or provided by you will be held on a database and shared within Informa plc.They may be used to keep you up to date with developments in your
industry. Sometimes your details may be obtained from or made available to external companies for marketing purposes.We believe that you are the correct person to receive details of products
connected with this subject. If this is not the case or if you do not wish to receive details please write to the Database Manager, 80 Calverley Road,Tunbridge Wells, Kent,TN1 2UN, England.

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Ethanol production costs

  • 1. SR147ToPrint29-10-07 29/10/07 16:23 Page 1 Updated and expanded Ethanol Production Costs A Worldwide Survey A Special Study from In conjunction with This essential study contains over 220 pages of data and analysis on bioethanol policy, markets, market drivers and costs of production. It provides policymakers and producers across the world market with an invaluable resource Includes over 130 tables and charts G Breakdown of ethanol production costs in major producing countries G Use of different feedstocks G Ethanol price information G Policy and regulatory framework G Outlook for the ethanol sector G Trade and trade policies G Market prospects G Ethanol balances - imports, production, consumption and exports G World market drivers G Transport and distribution systems G Development of by-product values G Full report on CD and in print Ethanol plants and projects www.agra-net.com/ethanolcosts
  • 2. SR147ToPrint29-10-07 29/10/07 16:23 Page 2 Ethanol Production Costs A Worldwide Survey ully updated and expanded, this study from F.O. Licht and Agra CEAS presents a comprehensive review of ethanol production costs worldwide, with particular emphasis on eight major producing countries.The study also examines and analyses the policies and regulatory frameworks in individual countries which impact on ethanol production programmes and costs. F Political and Regulatory Framework Fuel ethanol is often more expensive to produce than gasoline, and therefore political incentives are essential for fuel ethanol to be competitive, and such incentives can have a considerable influence on the price of ethanol.This unique market study examines and analyses the policy and regulatory framework for ethanol in over 20 countries, including leading producers Brazil and USA. Ethanol Production Many countries have introduced ethanol programmes over the last 25 years, the main reasons being: G rising oil prices G concern about fuel emissions G the requirements of the Kyoto Protocol on carbon emissions G the provision of alternative outlets for agricultural producers. The second part of the study focuses on the major ethanol producing countries in the Americas, Asia and Europe.The study outlines the feedstocks and production processes used and shows the different ways in which ethanol is used. World Ethanol Trade Government programs have generated a substantial increase in production capacities worldwide using a range of feedstocks.The study provides ethanol supply and demand balances for the major producers worldwide and analyses the key trade flows and trade agreements which influence these, in particular Brazil's role as the leading driver of world markets. Price Formation and Production Costs The core of the study consists of a detailed analysis of ethanol production costs by country and by type of feedstock.The total cost of producing ethanol is broken down into three elements: G Capital-related or fixed costs G Variable operating costs G Feedstock costs The study presents cost calculations for ten countries and a broad range of existing and potential feedstocks (sugar, molasses, maize wet and dry milling, cellulose, maize stover, etc).The study also details by-product prices which may help offset the cost of production from the comparatively high priced feedstocks used in Europe. Ethanol Plants and Projects Worldwide Current and planned ethanol production capacities are listed in the study by country and company.
  • 3. SR147ToPrint29-10-07 29/10/07 16:23 Page 3 Contents Contents Executive summary Political and regulatory framework Brazil • The launch of Proálcool • The Proálcool crisis • Liberalisation of the alcohol sector • Flex-fuel vehicles • Indirect alcohol subsidies • Outlook for the alcohol sector in Brazil The United States • The Clean Air Act Amendments • Ethanol impetus from MTBE bans • The New Energy Bill and the Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS) • The outlook for fuel ethanol in the US The European Union • The "Promotional" Directive (Directive 2003/30/EC) • The proposal on a new fuel quality Directive • The Directive on the Taxation of Energy Products • The Community's blending target for 2020 • Feedstock availability for ethanol production • Area requirement • The Reform of the Sugar Market Regime and ethanol • Spain • France • Sweden • Germany • Italy • Poland • United Kingdom • The Netherlands • Other EU Russia Ukraine Kazakhstan Canada Colombia Mexico Central America China India Indonesia Pakistan Australia The Philippines Thailand South Africa Other Africa Ethanol production Feedstocks and production processes World ethanol production for fuel, beverage and industrial use Ethanol production in Brazil Ethanol production in the US - Fuel ethanol production in the US - Trends in plant size Ethanol Ethanol Ethanol Ethanol Ethanol Ethanol Ethanol production production production production production production production in the EU in Colombia in Guatemala in India in Pakistan in Thailand in Australia World ethanol trade The Americas Europe Asia-Pacific Outlook Ethanol production costs • Ethanol production costs in Brazil • Ethanol production costs in the US - Production costs for ethanol from dry-milled maize in the US - Production costs for ethanol from wet-milled maize in the US • Ethanol production costs in the EU • Ethanol production costs in Colombia • Ethanol production costs in Central America • Ethanol production costs in India • Ethanol production costs in Pakistan • Ethanol production costs in Thailand • Ethanol production costs in Australia • Ethanol production costs in China • Summary of ethanol production costs Outlook Prices of by-products from ethanol production • Prices of by-products from ethanol production in the EU • Prices of by-products from ethanol production in the US Price formation Process of price formation • Feedstock costs • Investment costs • Operating costs • Policy impact • Impact of the gasoline price • Ethanol prices Annex 1 - Ethanol plants and projects worldwide as of August 2007 Annex 2 - Tax advantages for fuel ethanol production in the US Over 130 tables, graphs and charts including The Brazilian national alcohol policy The fuel ethanol policy of the European Union India - Evolution of biofuels policy Shares in the Otto engine fuel market in Brazil Fuel ethanol production in the EU 2000-2006 Evolution of the ethanol market in the EU 1995-2015 Comparison of wheat prices Russia and EU Jul 2006 - Aug 2007 Canada's Kyoto target World ethanol production by continent (2006) World ethanol production by feedstock (2006) World ethanol consumption by user group (2006) Shares of fuel, industrial and beverage ethanol 1975-2015 Fuel ethanol production in the US Ethanol plant sizes in the US Brazilian undenatured ethanol exports by country EU undenatured ethanol imports/exports by country Anhydrous and hydrous fuel ethanol prices in Brazil Ethanol and gasoline prices in the US Ethanol prices in the European Union The Alternative Fuel Standard in the US Targeted fuel ethanol consumption in the EU (Directive 2003/30/EC) Tax advantages for fuel ethanol in the EU Biofuel quotas in Germany 2007-2015 Ethanol production in Italy by feedstock Ethanol and fuel ethanol production in Poland Change in tax incentives for bioethanol in Poland Fuel ethanol production costs in Ukraine Estimated and projected fuel ethanol demand in Canada for 2000-2025 The Brazilian ethanol balance The US ethanol balance The EU ethanol balance World ethanol imports 2002-2006 World ethanol exports 2002-2006 Investment costs for ethanol production Investment costs for an ethanol plant in Europe Summary of ethanol production costs By-products of ethanol production Ethanol and by-product output of wet and dry milling
  • 4. SR147ToPrint29-10-07 29/10/07 16:23 Page 4 F.O. Licht is the leading soft commodity analyst with over 140 years' experience and produces a range of regular market reports which include: • World Ethanol and Biofuels Report • European Ethanol Price Report • World Biodiesel Price Report • World Grain Markets Report • International Sugar & Sweetener Report • World Molasses & Feed Ingredients Report • International Coffee Report Licht Interactive Data gives you access to F.O. Licht's unique database of world commodity statistics online. This easy-to-use interactive format allows you to locate, interrogate and retrieve data on import, export, production and consumption. Agra CEAS Consulting is a long-established and respected international agrifood consultancy based in the UK and Brussels, Belgium. We carry out a broad range of economic, policy and market consultancy to help both public and commercial sector clients throughout the world monitor, analyse, assess, evaluate and implement policies and business strategies in agriculture, food, environment, trade and, more recently, biofuels and ethanol. We work extensively with our sister company F.O. Licht, the leading international commodity analyst and information provider in the biofuels and ethanol sector, to provide independent advice and analysis for the global biofuels and ethanol industry. Our unrivalled understanding of the international biofuels and ethanol industry spans the entire length and breadth of the biofuels and ethanol value chain, from feedstock to fuel.We are uniquely placed to offer a wide range of consulting services, including: Each year F.O. Licht organises a series of major international conferences in Europe, Asia, Latin America and USA.They include World Ethanol, the premier event for the ethanol industry, World Biofuels, Biofuels Finance & Investment, Sugar and Ethanol Asia, Sugar & Ethanol Brazil, Biodiesel Brazil and many more. • Biofuel and ethanol global and regional supply, demand and price forecasting • Biofuels and agricultural policy analysis and business impact assessments • Due diligence market, economic and financial reports and support • Plant feasibility studies and support • Scenario planning/sensitivity analysis • Global market information and sector reviews • Agriculture/feedstock analysis For more information go to www.agra-net.com or e-mail marketing@agra-net.com or phone +44 (0) 20 7017 7500. For more information on Agra CEAS research and consultancy services please go to www.ceasc.com or e-mail info@ceasc.com or phone +44 (0) 1233 812181. Yes! Please send me one copy of Ethanol Production Costs Price includes the full study on CD, one printed copy and postage First copy* UK £975 Europe €1650 *For multiple copy rate please contact us Rest of World US$2050 Complete the order form below or order online at www.agra-net.com/ethanolcosts or phone +44 (0) 20 7017 7499 or email cs@agra-net.com Name Cheque enclosed, made payable to Agra Informa Ltd. Visa Position Business Email Company Mastercard American Express Card no Expiry Date Signature Date Name of Cardholder Address Post Code/Zip Country If you are paying by credit card the payment will be deducted in UK£ Bank Transfer to: Barclays Bank plc, P.O.Box 15161 London SW1A 1QA, UK. Account: Agra Informa Ltd Sort Code: 20-65-82 BIC (SWIFT): BARCGB22 GBP Acc. No: 3068 2578 IBAN No: GB82 BARC 2065 8230 6825 78 Euro Acc. No: 6647 8300 IBAN No: GB17 BARC 2065 8266 4783 00 US$ Acc. No: 8530 7711 IBAN No: GB89 BARC 2065 8285 3077 11 Please quote reference SR147 on the Bank Transfer and send us a photocopy of the Bank Transfer with your order form. Website Subscribers in EU countries: please state your VAT (TVA) number on the subscription order form. Phone Please invoice me Please return to: Agra Informa Ltd 80 Calverley Road,Tunbridge Wells, Kent,TN1 2UN, UK Phone: +44 (0)20 7017 7500 Fax: +44 (0)20 7017 7599 Email: marketing@agra-net.com www.agra-net.com 10/07 an informa business Fax Nature of Business VAT (TVA) No The personal details shown on this brochure or provided by you will be held on a database and shared within Informa plc.They may be used to keep you up to date with developments in your industry. Sometimes your details may be obtained from or made available to external companies for marketing purposes.We believe that you are the correct person to receive details of products connected with this subject. If this is not the case or if you do not wish to receive details please write to the Database Manager, 80 Calverley Road,Tunbridge Wells, Kent,TN1 2UN, England.