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Innovating from a Legacy Platform, Micro Focus Developers Conference Keynote by Jack Shaw, Visionary Technology Marketer, Dallas, April 17, 2012
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Innovating from a Legacy Platform, Micro Focus Developers Conference Keynote by Jack Shaw, Visionary Technology Marketer, Dallas, April 17, 2012

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This is the Keynote Speech from the Micro Focus Developers Conference delivered April 17, 2012, by Jack Shaw, President of Breakthrough Business Technologies, and Business Technology Futurist.

You're a large organization with tens, maybe hundreds, of millions invested in mission critical applications. You've been customizing and enhancing these applications for many years.

The intellectual property they embody lies at the heart of your business. You would no more be able to tear them out and replace them than to tear down your buildings, fire all your people, and start your business from scratch.

The problem is – your legacy applications do not leverage the latest technologies. They may have been written in mature languages like COBOL; they may use older databases like ISAM or DB2. As originally implemented, these systems did not support such recently emerging, and strategically significant, technologies as mobile computing, data analytics, or Cloud Computing.

This presents a conundrum. Do you simply ignore these emerging trends and the new business models they enable? Do you spend many millions rewriting or replacing your legacy pplications? Alternatively, is there a third, better way?

In this revealing presentation Jack Shaw shows that you can have the best of both worlds. He pulls back the curtain on the world of application modernization technology.

By applying the right tools and techniques, businesses can integrate their existing, legacy applications with the latest 21st Century Technologies -- including mobile computing, data analytics, or Cloud Computing and others. In addition, they can do so for a fraction of the cost or risk of replacing or rewriting those legacy applications.

Discover the potential of application modernization technology for your organization, and expand the range of options available for your business to compete in the 21st Century marketplace!

Published in Technology , Business
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  • 1. Innovating from aI ti f Legacy PlatformJack Shaw (@jackshaw) (@j ) April 17, 2012
  • 2. A View of the Future© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 3. The Queen Elizabeth© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 4. Boeing 707© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 5. A Valuable Legacy, but…© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 6. An Extinct Species? Homo COBOLProgrammerensis as spotted on a System 390 in 1999.© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 7. The First Four Waves of Business Technology gyMainframe PC Client/Server Internet 2000s60s – 70s 80s 90s© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 8. Each Wave of Business Technology gy • Requires deployment of a critical mass of its predecessor wave to achieve rapid growth and broad acceptance. • Has an exponentially greater impact on business and society than its predecessor.© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 9. 20th Century Computing© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 10. 21st Century Computing© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 11. Something Remarkable in 2011© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 12. The Worst Technology Predictions… Predictions EVER!
  • 13. No Need for Phones "The Americans h "Th A i have need of the telephone, but we do t l h b t d not. We have plenty of messenger b f boys." " – Sir William Preece, chief P hi f engineer, British Post Offi P t Office, 1876© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 14. Global Internet Users will Double – and most will be Mobile© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 15. Explosive Growth of Tablets • 2011 Worldwide tablet sales were about 63.6 million units, a • 261.4% increase from 2010 sales of 17.6 million units, according to Gartner, Inc. , g , • Tablet sales will experience strong growth through 2015 when sales are forecast to reach 326.3 million units. • 2015 PC market will be only just ahead at 535 million units. • Tablets alone are going to have effective parity with PCs within 4 – 5 years.© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 16. Consumerization of IT© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 17. Ubiquitous Computing “Ubiquitous computing is inevitable.” Within the next few years, you wont be anywhere that you wont hhave access to any data plus massive computational capabilities.” capabilities — Bill Wulf, President US National Academy of Engineering, 2002© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 18. Cloud Computing© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 19. © 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 20. $11B $30B in 5 Years! • Market research firm IDC • Market for public cloud IT service p • Expected to grow at an average rate of 21.6% between 2009 and 2014 • Reaching almost $30 billion. • Th t compares to revenue of about That t f b t $11 billion in 2009.© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 21. 6 Ways Cloud Computing Will Change Business g • A new generation of • More tolerance for products and services. innovation and • The rise of new industry experimentation from i t ti f leaders and IT vendors. businesses. • Reconciliation of SOA • Th slow-moving, The l i with the cloud and other dinosaur firms will new IT models. have t h trouble k i bl keeping • More self-service IT up with more nimble from the business-side. adopters and fast- fast followers.© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 22. Breakthrough Technologies Timeline Mobile Cloud Internet WWWe-Commerce Past Recent Past Immediate Future Intermediate Future 2000 2010 – 2011 2012 – 2013 2015© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 23. Fasten Your Seatbelts© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 24. No Future In Television "Television wont be able to hold onto any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of t ti d f staring at a plywood box every night." -- y g Daryl Zanuck, film producer, co-founder of 20th Century Fox© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 25. The Fifth WaveMainframe PC Client/Server Internet Intelligent Systems60s – 70s 80s 90s 2000s 2010s© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 26. Big data—a growing torrent • $600 to buy a disk drive that can store all of the world’s music • 5 billion mobile phones in use in 2010 • 30 billion pieces of content shared on Facebook every month • 40% projected growth in global data generated per year vs. • 5% growth in global IT spending • 235 terabytes data collected by the US Library of Congress by April 2011 • 15 out of 17 sectors in the United States have more data stored per company than the US Library of Congress Source: McKinsey Global Institute, “Big data: The next frontier for innovation, competition, and productivity”© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 27. Big Data© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 28. Business Decisions "Most discussions of decision making assume that only senior executives make decisions or that only senior d ii h l i executives decisions matter. This is a dangerous mistake.” mistake — Peter Drucker Peter Drucker, "What Makes an Effective Executive," Harvard Business Review, Vol. 82, No. 6, Review Vol 82 No 6 June 2004© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 29. Decision Management Decision Management (DM) is a systematic approach to automate and improve decisions across the enterprise. It allows businesses to: Make more profitable In the same way, over While being able to and targeted and over again adapt “on-the-fly” decisions PRECISION CONSISTENCY AGILITY FAST LOW COST© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 30. Beyond BI & Data Warehousing • “B i “Business Intelligence” is retrospective. I t lli ”i t ti – Looking at historical data for trends – BI systems designed for: y g • Occasional • Low volume • Manual use • Trained T i d experts • Decision Management is forward looking. – Continuous – Real-time – High Volume – Operational decisions – Existing staff© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 31. The Limits Of PC Memory "No one will need more than 637KB of memory for a personal computer. 640KB ought to be enough for anybody. anybody." –Bill Gates, co-founder and Chairman of Microsoft© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 32. Breakthrough Technologies Timeline “Big Data” Decision Management g Cloud Mobile Internet WWWe-Commerce Past Recent Past Immediate Future Intermediate Future 2000 2010 – 2011 2012 – 2013 2015© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 33. DM and Intelligent Systems • Implementing DM means automating (some) decisions, BUT • Gaining the full benefits of DM means automating many decisions. • While some decisions can be automated using just simple, “If, Then, Else” program logic, If, Else • Many more decisions can be automated by using intelligent systems technologies. technologies© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 34. Intelligent Systems Technologies • Business R l M B i Rules Management S t t Systems • Constraint Programming • Optimization Algorithms • Pattern Recognition • Predictive Analytics • Bayesian Belief Networks B i B li f N t k • Case Based Reasoning • Cognitive Systems© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 35. What Cognitive Systems Do • Capture the Knowledge of Human Experts in Knowledge Bases • Uses Knowledge in Knowledge Bases to – Reason about information flowing through the system – In the same ways that experts reason about similar h h b i il information. • Works 24 X 7 • Never forgets anything relevant • Can “think” 10 000 times faster than people. think 10,000 people© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 36. Autonomous Systems© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 37. Watson – and the Jeopardy Challenge p y g© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 38. Business Impact of Cognitive Systems g y • Expert analysts assessed the threat risks of certain individuals based a few dozen queries in an average of one hour • Now Cognitive System makes the same assessments based b d on over 10 000 queries 10,000 i in an average of one minute. • Result: • Higher Accuracy – Fewer False Positives or Negatives • Productivity of Analysts increased 50 Times!© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 39. Inevitable Surprises© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 40. Breakthrough Technologies Timeline Probabilistic Reasoning Cognitive Systems “Big Data” Intelligent g Decision Management Cloud Mobile Internet WWWe-Commerce Past Recent Past Immediate Future Intermediate Future 2000 2010 – 2011 2012 – 2013 2015© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 41. Burj Khalifa – Dubai© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 42. A Valuable Legacy – Modernized!© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 43. Last Mainframe Unplugged? “The last mainframe will be unplugged by 1996." 1996 " – 1991 Stewart Alsop Editor-in-Chief Edit i Chi f InfoWorld© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 44. Homo COBOLProgrammerensis Homo COBOLProgrammerensis as spotted on a System 390 in 1999.© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 45. The Natural Environment for H. Cobolprogrammerensis© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 46. H. Cobolprogrammerensis to H. Generalprogrammerensis p g • COBOL developers can no longer be ONLY COBOL developers • COBOL programming roles tend to require i l d i business awareness skills as well as programming language expertise. expertise • MUST separate presentation logic (UI) and business code. code • Integration is a major strength of COBOL – Composite Applications: Java, XML, SOA Java XML© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 47. Why Modernize? • Immediate access to real world data I di l ld d • To integrate with third parties web applications • To interface with Mobile apps • To interface with Cloud • To integrate with packages for Data Analytics, BI, and Decision Management The Result: • Significant reduction in mainframe costs • Soaring customer satisfaction levels© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 48. New Pastures for Hunting Its Natural Prey* y *The Bug© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 49. Time for Change • It’s not enough to accept change • It’s not even enough to embrace change You’ve got to SEEK OUT change. g g© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 50. Change & Progress “Change does not necessarily y assure progress, but progress implacably requires change.” i h ” Historian Henry Steele Commager© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
  • 51. Follow Up • Jack Shaw, President Breakthrough Business Technologies • M: 770 910 5969 770-910-5969 • Jack@e-com.com • www.e-com.com • www gplus to/JackShaw www.gplus.to/JackShaw • www.Twitter.com/JackShaw • www.YouTube.com/user/JackShaw4728 • www facebook com/JackShawTechnology www.facebook.com/JackShawTechnology • www.LinkedIn.com/in/JackShawTechnology • www.BusinessTechnologyFuturist.WordPress.com© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved